LaxPower Back-Up Stick

steel_hop wrote: ↑Thu Mar 16, 2023 11:47 am

51percentcorn wrote: ↑Thu Mar 16, 2023 10:11 am

DocBarrister wrote: ↑Wed Mar 15, 2023 8:24 pm

gymman1031 wrote: ↑Wed Mar 15, 2023 8:10 pm Predictions for Friday evening at Navy? If things keep going in the same pattern, I say Hopkins wins big.

I predict Navy delivers their best game of the season and falls short to Hopkins 14-9.

DocBarrister

Boy there's some unwarranted hubris for the lacrosse Gods to chew on. It's fine to think these two teams are in different places and that Hopkins might be favored. It's quite another to think that you can have Navy play its best and still get spanked by 5 goals. I can remember back in 2012 going to USN-MC thinking the at one time #1 ranked Blue Jays might have a walk in the park against a 5-6 Navy team and they were embarrassed 8-2 and came achingly close to being shut out. The Zach Palmer goal could have been waived off for in the crease and the only other goal was from Greg Edmunds = SSDM - with 2 minutes left in the game. Throw in John Greely's 2nd ACL tear in that game and it was certainly one of the worst days for a Petro coached Hopkins team. This Hopkins team had some success in defeating a well regarded Jacksonville team and at the time a highly ranked Georgetown team - followed that up with a very competent first half against Carolina - didn't handle the success and finish the job. Fatigue and injuries likely played a role. Now they have 3 consecutive games where they are not talent deficient to the other team IMO. On Sunday they have to deal with the fatigue issue but not Friday. If they have any thought they can roll the ball out and win this game - they will lose. Then - my harp - but Hopkins style of play is not necessarily condusive to beating teams by 5 goals - especially if they are playing their best - if they do not best their average shots per game of 36 - they have to shoot pretty much 40% to get to 14. Not impossibe but not easy either. ANd also - a very shot happy Navy team - if they get to averages - will show Marcille at least 25 shots he has to get in front of. Win face-offs - don't turn the ball over and they should be in decent shape.

Exactly. This has all the makings of a 8-6 type of game for numerous reasons:
1) it is at Navy on a Friday night under the lights. Navy has struggled this year but will look at beating Hopkins as a way to correct the season and prepare for the rest of the conference schedule.
2) Hopkins is coming off of 2 big rivalry games. Not that Navy isn't but it is hard to get up for 3-4 Navy team after sort of competing against the number 1 team in the nation and Hopkins biggest rival - SU. A let down could occur
3) This is Hopkins and for the last 5-6 years, they seemed to not have been able to handle success very well (not that there has been a ton of success). But, Navy is the type of team that Hopkins should handle but hasn't lately.

Has all the makings of a trap game in my view.

jhu06 wrote: ↑Thu Mar 16, 2023 1:21 pm

steel_hop wrote: ↑Thu Mar 16, 2023 11:47 am

51percentcorn wrote: ↑Thu Mar 16, 2023 10:11 am

DocBarrister wrote: ↑Wed Mar 15, 2023 8:24 pm

gymman1031 wrote: ↑Wed Mar 15, 2023 8:10 pm Predictions for Friday evening at Navy? If things keep going in the same pattern, I say Hopkins wins big.

I predict Navy delivers their best game of the season and falls short to Hopkins 14-9.

DocBarrister

Boy there's some unwarranted hubris for the lacrosse Gods to chew on. It's fine to think these two teams are in different places and that Hopkins might be favored. It's quite another to think that you can have Navy play its best and still get spanked by 5 goals. I can remember back in 2012 going to USN-MC thinking the at one time #1 ranked Blue Jays might have a walk in the park against a 5-6 Navy team and they were embarrassed 8-2 and came achingly close to being shut out. The Zach Palmer goal could have been waived off for in the crease and the only other goal was from Greg Edmunds = SSDM - with 2 minutes left in the game. Throw in John Greely's 2nd ACL tear in that game and it was certainly one of the worst days for a Petro coached Hopkins team. This Hopkins team had some success in defeating a well regarded Jacksonville team and at the time a highly ranked Georgetown team - followed that up with a very competent first half against Carolina - didn't handle the success and finish the job. Fatigue and injuries likely played a role. Now they have 3 consecutive games where they are not talent deficient to the other team IMO. On Sunday they have to deal with the fatigue issue but not Friday. If they have any thought they can roll the ball out and win this game - they will lose. Then - my harp - but Hopkins style of play is not necessarily condusive to beating teams by 5 goals - especially if they are playing their best - if they do not best their average shots per game of 36 - they have to shoot pretty much 40% to get to 14. Not impossibe but not easy either. ANd also - a very shot happy Navy team - if they get to averages - will show Marcille at least 25 shots he has to get in front of. Win face-offs - don't turn the ball over and they should be in decent shape.

Exactly. This has all the makings of a 8-6 type of game for numerous reasons:
1) it is at Navy on a Friday night under the lights. Navy has struggled this year but will look at beating Hopkins as a way to correct the season and prepare for the rest of the conference schedule.
2) Hopkins is coming off of 2 big rivalry games. Not that Navy isn't but it is hard to get up for 3-4 Navy team after sort of competing against the number 1 team in the nation and Hopkins biggest rival - SU. A let down could occur
3) This is Hopkins and for the last 5-6 years, they seemed to not have been able to handle success very well (not that there has been a ton of success). But, Navy is the type of team that Hopkins should handle but hasn't lately.

Has all the makings of a trap game in my view.

The "trap game" was st joes ahead of uva/cuse. The finish against unc and loyola performance which the media and forum commenters have excused are far more concerning. Cuse and UVa are rivals, but beating jville and georgetown-getting off to a strong start were far bigger for this season and programs fate.

If you rewatch the game they were alternating chauvette/evans when the second midfield with peshko/grimes got out there. Maybe phillips can help get grimes and peshko going but mcdermott is also back and PM has liked him since year 1. That's a lot of bodies to try figure out. It would be great for glassmeyer the kid to return. They can always use more ssdm bodies.

Baker sat down w/Navy fans podcast. I don't know her and didn't listen but this is the first interview I've seen since her PM hiring news conference.
https://soundcloud.com/singsecondsports ... on-hopkins

gymman1031 wrote: ↑Wed Mar 15, 2023 8:10 pm Predictions for Friday evening at Navy? If things keep going in the same pattern, I say Hopkins wins big.

DougELax wrote: ↑Thu Mar 16, 2023 4:08 pm On the Navy website tickets are downloaded to your phone. Does anyone know if you can just show up and get parking and tickets?

get it to x wrote: ↑Fri Mar 17, 2023 12:51 pm Could we see three midfield lines today as a way to save a little for Sunday? If Hop can get a working margin, I could see these three lines, with Krampf starting at attack:

1) Collison, Grimes, Melendez
2) Peshko, Chauvette, Bauer
3) McDermott, Phillips, English

Could we also see some more bodies at SSDM?

get it to x wrote: ↑Fri Mar 17, 2023 12:51 pm Could we see three midfield lines today as a way to save a little for Sunday? If Hop can get a working margin, I could see these three lines, with Krampf starting at attack:

1) Collison, Grimes, Melendez
2) Peshko, Chauvette, Bauer
3) McDermott, Phillips, English

Could we also see some more bodies at SSDM?

bearlaxfan wrote: ↑Fri Mar 17, 2023 7:16 pm Between the camera angle & the camera work I hope I have some dramamine in the med cabinet.