IvyBrown wrote: ↑Sun Apr 21, 2024 9:43 am
I think these are the updated standings through current.
What are the scenarios to play out here for IL tourney?
SCHOOL CONFERENCE OVERALL
Yale * 4-1 11-2
Cornell * 4-1 8-4
Penn * 4-2 8-5
Princeton 3-2 8-4
Brown 2-3 3-9
Harvard 1-4 7-5
Dartmouth 0-5 3-9
*clinched 2024 Ivy League men's lacrosse tournament berth
Overall seeding and the #4 ILT tournament are still to be determined.
Fourth slot in the ILT: Still up for grabs between Princeton and Brown, with more paths for Princeton. A win for Princeton vs. Yale and they are in (and with at least the #2 seed!); a loss for Princeton and they are still in if Harvard beats Brown. Brown needs to beat Harvard and for Yale to beat Princeton to get into the ILT (they’d have the #4 seed).
Seeding: In terms of what is most likely, Cornell has a very clear path to the #1 seed and hosting: beat Dartmouth (so far winless) on the road. If that is the case, then it’s up to the outcome of Yale’s game vs. Princeton to determine seeds 2-4:
1. Princeton beats Yale/Cornell beats Dartmouth: #1 Cornell; #2 Princeton; #3 Yale; #4 Penn.
2. Yale beats Princeton/Cornell beats Dartmouth: #1 Cornell; #2 Yale; #3 Penn; #4 Princeton or Brown (see above).
3. Princeton beats Yale/Dartmouth beats Cornell: there would be 4 teams at 4-2 (Pr; Pn; C; Y). The #1 seed would be between Cornell and Princeton and Cornell gets it based on head-to-head win over Princeton; Princeton would be #2 (win vs. Penn and, in this scenario, win vs. Yale); Yale #3 (win vs. Penn); Penn #4. So it would be Cornell #1 seed; Princeton #2 seed; Yale #3 seed; Penn #4 seed.
{Corrected with credit to @nms}
4. Yale beats Princeton/Dartmouth beats Cornell: Yale #1 seed; Penn #2 seed; Cornell #3 seed; #4 seed Princeton/Brown depending on outcome of Brown-Harvard game.
Based on how everybody is playing (including injuries), my inbred New England sports pessimism and awareness of matchups as well as how much of a Yale-killer Princeton has been, if I were laying down $$ I think we’ll see scenario 1 (C #1; Pr #2; Y #3; Pn #4). (Of course, I’d prefer any scenario with Yale more highly seeded!)