Israel and West Bank Settlements

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Farfromgeneva
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Re: Israel and Zionism

Post by Farfromgeneva »

Brooklyn wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2023 1:02 am Strange, how certain right wing delusionals demand democracy at home (and even demand the right to keep weapons to insure its continuation), supported invading Afghanistan and Iraq supposedly to promote democracy in those countries, and even applauded the Arab Spring in the old LP. But for some bizarre reason, they hate the idea of democracy in Israel.

Double standards, much :?:
Here I’ll play nice despite the ground rules being otherwise (aka I’ll pull a MD)-don’t really love this guy but he’s a frequent guest on a podcast host in a huge fan of (Russ Roberta, whom ironically I believe is pretty into his faith so Im now curious his view on this subject)

https://www.econlib.org/library/Columns ... cracy.html

Democracy is a Means, Not an End


“The reason democratic nations have personal liberties, property rights, and rule of law is not that they are democracies. Rather, nations that have those things embody the entire package of the Western tradition of good government.”

Everyone loves democracy. Ask an American if there is a better form of government, and they’ll be insulted. You believe in democracy, don’t you? And what exactly is it that you believe in? What people mean by “democracy” is some vague combination of good government, protection of individual rights, extremely broad political participation, and widely shared economic prosperity. One might as well throw in an ideal body mass index and a great latke recipe. It’s all good, but doesn’t mean much, and few people like to think about what democracy really means.

It is fine to celebrate the great achievements of democracies, once they are firmly established. But such celebrations confuse cause and effect. The reason democratic nations have personal liberties, property rights, and rule of law is not that they are democracies. Rather, nations that have those things embody the entire package of the Western tradition of good government. Requiring that government actions hinge on the consent of the governed is the ribbon that holds that bundle together, but it is not the bundle itself. Fareed Zakaria identified this “bundle” problem perfectly.

For people in the West, democracy means “liberal democracy”: a political system marked not only by free and fair elections but also by the rule of law, a separation of powers, and the protection of basic liberties of speech, assembly, religion, and property. But this bundle of freedoms—what might be termed “constitutional liberalism”—has nothing intrinsically to do with democracy and the two have not always gone together, even in the West. After all, Adolf Hitler became chancellor of Germany via free elections. (The Future of Freedom, p. 17, emphasis mine).

So—just what is democracy? In our mental potpourri, good government leads the list. But then what is ‘good government?’ A starting point could be voting and majority rule: most people can choose for all of us, and majorities can impose their will on minorities.

Such blanket endorsements of majority rule make me wonder whether democracy is a fraud or just a conceit. As William Riker pointed out in his 1982 book, Liberalism Against Populism, the claim that “fair” processes always, or even often, lead to “good” outcomes ignores much of what is known about institutions and institutional change. If people disagree, and if there are several choices, democracy is manipulable, even dictatorial. For modern political science, this is called the “Arrow Problem,” after Kenneth Arrow.

If all we mean by democracy is a civil myth, a conceit, it could be useful. The idea of democracy honors common people, calming the mind and pleasing the agora. If democracy is a fraud, however, then we are in bleaker and more sinister terrain. The pretense that in the multitude we find rectitude is dangerous: many of us would love to impose our “wisdom” on others. Saluting the collective wisdom is simply a way to hold other citizens down whilst we steal their purses, or pack their children off to war.

And it has ever been thus. As Polybius tells us:

The Athenian [democracy] is always in the position of a ship without a commander. In such a ship, if fear of the enemy, or the occurrence of a storm induce the crew to be of one mind and to obey the helmsman, everything goes well; but if they recover from this fear, and begin to treat their officers with contempt, and to quarrel with each other because they are no longer all of one mind,—one party wishing to continue the voyage, and the other urging the steersman to bring the ship to anchor; some letting out the sheets, and others hauling them in, and ordering the sails to be furled,—their discord and quarrels make a sorry show to lookers on; and the position of affairs is full of risk to those on board engaged on the same voyage; and the result has often been that, after escaping the dangers of the widest seas, and the most violent storms, they wreck their ship in harbour and close to shore.—Polybius, Histories, Book VI, Chapter 44, ca. 130 B.C. (Translated by Evelyn S. Shuckburgh, 1889).

This is not a call for dictatorship, however. The core of the Arrow problem is that societies choose between two evils: the tyranny of a Hitler or the potential for incoherence described by Polybius. My thesis is that “democracy” without the safeguards of constitutional liberalism is both tyrannical and incoherent, the worst system imaginable.

The U.S. is Not a Democracy

None of this was news to the American founders. Elections helped citizens control elected officials, and little more. This early skepticism is plain, as in this passage from Federalist #10:

…a pure democracy, by which I mean a society consisting of a small number of citizens, who assemble and administer the government in person, can admit of no cure for the mischiefs of faction. A common passion or interest will, in almost every case, be felt by a majority of the whole; a communication and concert result from the form of government itself; and there is nothing to check the inducements to sacrifice the weaker party or an obnoxious individual. Hence it is that such democracies have ever been spectacles of turbulence and contention; have ever been found incompatible with personal security or the rights of property; and have in general been as short in their lives as they have been violent in their deaths. Theoretic politicians, who have patronized this species of government, have erroneously supposed that by reducing mankind to a perfect equality in their political rights, they would, at the same time, be perfectly equalized and assimilated in their possessions, their opinions, and their passions.

America is a federal republic, with horizontal separation of powers among executive, legislature, and judiciary, and vertical separation of powers between the central government and the states. The Declaration of Independence is straightforward: the American system is based on the claim that all citizens have rights, and “That to secure these Rights, Governments are instituted among Men, deriving their just Powers from the Consent of the Governed…” That means that elections are still important. We need elections, literally depend on them to make the whole system work. But elections are not the ends of government, just the means by which citizens can withhold consent.

The problem is that the rules, procedures, and the basic “machinery” of electoral choice as a means have not kept up with the faith people seem to have in democracy as an end. We try to divine the will of the people, their “intent,” on complex questions. Who can forget Florida in 2000, where officials held ballots over their heads, trying to see light through partially detached bits of cardstock chads?

with those who retain a Platonic faith that there is “truth” in politics, remaining only to be discovered and, once discovered, capable of being explained to reasonable men. We live together because social organization provides the efficient means of achieving our individual objectives and not because society offers us a means of arriving at some transcendental common bliss. Politics is a process of compromising our differences, and we differ as to desired collective objectives just as we do over baskets of ordinary consumption goods. In a truth-judgment conception of politics, there might be some merit in an attempt to lay down precepts for the good society. Some professional search for quasi-objective standards might be legitimate. In sharp contrast, when we view politics as process, as means through which group differences are reconciled, any attempt to lay down standards becomes effort largely wasted at best and pernicious at worst, even for the man who qualifies himself as expert.—James M. Buchanan, The Limits of Liberty, p. 1, par. 7.1.1.

Elections cannot work this way, not in a nation four times zones wide (not even counting Alaska or Hawaii). Even though in other aspects of our lives we demand instant information, electoral fairness requires that the states withhold information until all the polls are closed. Voting precincts must sacrifice efficiency (which new paperless voting technologies would appear to offer) for legitimacy, where paper receipts are available and where recounts involve actual physical checks of ballots, one by one.

But you knew about this problem, which is mostly technical. I am trying to argue that there is a different problem, at least as important: we don’t just demand too little of our democratic procedures, we are expecting too much of our democratic process. The educational system in the U.S. has failed students, because we don’t know the limits of unlimited democratic choice. We teach that consensus as a value in itself, even though we know that true consensus appears only in dictatorships or narrowly defined decisions. As James Buchanan, Kenneth Arrow, and a host of public choice scholars have shown, groups cannot be thought to have preferences in the same way that individuals do. To put it another way, it is perfectly possible, and legitimate, for reasonable people to disagree. The role of democracy is not to banish disagreement, but rather to prevent political disagreements from devolving into armed conflict.

But then in what sense does government depend on “the consent of the governed”? The American system seems cumbersome, but it combines the notion of a republic, where policy choice is indirect, with separation of powers of legislation, where an overlapping consensus is required. A majority of the population is required to pass the House, but a majority in a majority of the states is required to pass the Senate. Then the President, whose constituency is the entire nation, must separately consent before the bill becomes law. The result is far removed from “democracy,” but the system does ensure the fundamental democratic principle: government can’t do things to us unless we the governed give our consent. Elections are a check on tyranny, not a conjuring of the will of the people.

Where Do We Go From Here?

Policy makers must understand the twin anachronisms that complicate the failures of voting institutions and democratic ideologies in the U.S. There really are two distinct anachronisms, each of which requires immediate attention.

First, our technology of democracy is too old, and prone to abuse or at least distrust. We must bring voting technology into the 21st century, because we accept much less than is possible. We must immediately solve the problem of guaranteeing mechanisms for recording and counting votes that are beyond reproach. As the election of 2004 shows, we are nearly out of time.

Second, our ideology of democracy, our notion of what democracy can accomplish, is anachronistic also. But in this case, the anachronism is not out of the past, but out of a utopian science fiction future. So, we must also take voting ideology back to the 19th century, where it belongs. We have come to expect much more than is possible from democracy, and democratic institutions.

This essay may make me sound like an enemy of democracy, some kind of elitist nut. Well, that’s not entirely wrong. But describing democracy’s flaws is not the same as arguing the virtues of elitism or dictatorship. I just want to foster an humble skepticism about what democracy really is and what it can actually accomplish. Many policy conflicts hinge on whether the public can tell individuals what to do. There is a subtlety that is often missed in policy debate: there is a difference between public decisions and collective decisions. Public decisions affect everyone by the nature of the choice itself: we can only have one defense budget; polluting rivers befouls not just my water, but yours.

Collective decisions, on the other hand, affect us all only because the majority is empowered to force its will on everyone. There need be no true public aspects to the decision as a policy outcome; we have just chosen to take the decision out of individuals’ hands and put the power in the hands of the mob.

Now, it may very well be the case that lots of collective decisions are also public. But we need to see the line dividing private and collective choices, and to defend it fiercely. As P. J. O’Rourke notes, the fact that a majority likes something doesn’t mean that the majority should get to choose that something for everyone.

Now, majority rule is a precious, sacred thing worth dying for. But—like other precious, sacred things, such as the home and the family—it’s not only worth dying for; it can make you wish you were dead. Imagine if all of life were determined by majority rule. Every meal would be a pizza. Every pair of pants, even those in a Brooks Brothers suit, would be stone-washed denim. Celebrity diets and exercise books would be the only thing on the shelves at the library. And—since women are a majority of the population, we’d all be married to Mel Gibson. (O’Rourke, Parliament of Whores, 1991, p. 5).

The real key to freedom is to secure people from tyranny by the majority, or freedom from democracy. The problem, then, is what Fareed Zakaria has called “illiberal democracy.” The metaphor we use to understand ourselves matters, because it figures in how we try to advise others.

For much of modern history, what characterized governments in Europe and North America, and differentiated them from those around the world, was not democracy but constitutional liberalism. The “Western model of government” is best symbolized not by the mass plebiscite but the impartial judge. (Fareed Zakaria, The Future of Freedom, p. 20.)

The phrase “Covenants, without the Sword, are but words” is from the second paragraph of Chapter XVII of The Leviathan, 1651, Thomas Hobbes.

The framers of the U.S. Constitution fully recognized that there is nothing, nothing at all, inherent in democracy that ensures the freedom of persons or property. When we advise other nations about how to devise better systems of government, our own historical skepticism about the power of pure democracy can be neglected only at our peril. When we help a developing nation design its government, we need unashamedly to advocate something like the U.S. model. Thomas Hobbes said “Covenants, without the Sword, are but words.” The modern equivalent might be this: “Democracy, without the Bill of Rights, is but tyranny.”

*Michael Munger is Chair of Political Science at Duke University.

For more articles by Michael Munger, see the Archive.
Harvard University, out
University of Utah, in

I am going to get a 4.0 in damage.

(Afan jealous he didn’t do this first)
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Re: Israel and Zionism

Post by Seacoaster(1) »

Putting aside OS's compulsive need to set aside judgment only when the exercise of judgment doesn't involve US Democrats, there is little doubt among the punditocracy and even among scholars focused on Israel that this was a colossal intelligence failure, and an astounding "success" by Hamas. The analysis in the aftermath will decide whether this was a failure of collection, or analysis of what was collected, or both. What happened to Israeli electronic monitoring? What happened to Israeli human assets in this remarkably small area of Gaza, or elsewhere among the nations and groups that support Hamas? What word got through from the intelligence-collecting ground to Israeli politicians? Was it sufficiently robust to have compelled action? Did the Netanyahu administration ignore quality intelligence...in a world in which a 10% chance that this or that is true risks thousands of citizens at the far edges of the Israeli countryside?

One such early return:

https://engelsbergideas.com/notebook/fo ... e-failure/

"Part of the explanation seems to be that Hamas resorted to low-tech, old-fashioned, tradecraft that foiled Israeli high-tech capabilities. Hamas achieved apparently perfect operational security: its attack was, it seems, only known to a small number of commanders, who gave orders by word of mouth, thus keeping them out of reach of Israeli eavesdroppers. Israeli security officials monitoring live feeds of the border with Gaza would not have considered anything unusual about people, who turned out to be Hamas attackers, wandering near to the border zone. It was a daily occurrence. They used bulldozers — again, commonplace in Gaza — and civilian trucks to overwhelm border security. Hamas combined this low-tech offensive with sophisticated new capabilities: denial of service attacks, in which snipers took out Israeli electronic sensors. Hamas also apparently used electronic cyber capabilities to jam communications of Israeli commands.

This attack was clearly well planned and thought through, which makes it even more surprising that Israel did not detect whispers of it beforehand.

As well as a failure of Israeli intelligence collection, to defeat Hamas operational security, there may have been a failure of analysis. Hamas’s attack comes fifty years after the failure of Israeli intelligence during the Yom Kippur War in 1973, when Israeli services failed to forewarn an attack by a coalition of Arab states led by Egypt and Syria. The Yom Kippur War has gone down in history as a textbook example of intelligence failure – a mantle that Hamas’s attack will surely now take over. At root, the Yom Kippur war was a failure of Israeli intelligence analysis: driven by a faulty belief that Arab states would not attack because of Israel’s previously demonstrated military strength. Was there a similar analytical failure before Hamas’s assault, a belief by Israeli analysts that Hamas would not attack because it had too much to lose by doing so?

What about Israeli political leadership? In due course, we shall find out what intelligence, if any, Israel’s premier, Benjamin Netanyahu, was given before the attack. Some reporting suggests that Egyptian intelligence provided the Israeli government with a warning that something big was coming from Gaza. Did Netanyahu’s government overlook this? Did Israel’s deeply divided domestic politics contribute to intelligence being overlooked? More generally, did Netanyahu prioritise the threat to Israel posed by Iran – he has made little secret of his views of Iran – over the security threat from Gaza
?"

We can all take a "wait and see" posture. But the idea that Israeli intelligence and leadership didn't fail their people is remote, acutely hard to imagine. Put that aside; we won't know any definitive answer to the question posed above for a long time, if really ever. The next few weeks will be spent, instead, looking at video and photographs of the consequences that Hamas absolutely must have understood would transpire: an Israeli counterattack of mighty and terrible strength, and the displacement of the very people whom Hamas purports to represent and lead in their struggle. We can go ahead and trade bible and ancient stories to argue who is in the right. But the reality is that Hamas -- looking only at the here and now -- placed the people it purports to represent in profound peril, and gave any government charged with the protections of its citizens the motivation and political will to vengeance.
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youthathletics
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Re: Israel and Zionism

Post by youthathletics »

Seacoaster(1) wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2023 8:49 am Putting aside OS's compulsive need to set aside judgment only when the exercise of judgment doesn't involve US Democrats, there is little doubt among the punditocracy and even among scholars focused on Israel that this was a colossal intelligence failure, and an astounding "success" by Hamas. The analysis in the aftermath will decide whether this was a failure of collection, or analysis of what was collected, or both. What happened to Israeli electronic monitoring? What happened to Israeli human assets in this remarkably small area of Gaza, or elsewhere among the nations and groups that support Hamas? What word got through from the intelligence-collecting ground to Israeli politicians? Was it sufficiently robust to have compelled action? Did the Netanyahu administration ignore quality intelligence...in a world in which a 10% chance that this or that is true risks thousands of citizens at the far edges of the Israeli countryside?

One such early return:

https://engelsbergideas.com/notebook/fo ... e-failure/

"Part of the explanation seems to be that Hamas resorted to low-tech, old-fashioned, tradecraft that foiled Israeli high-tech capabilities. Hamas achieved apparently perfect operational security: its attack was, it seems, only known to a small number of commanders, who gave orders by word of mouth, thus keeping them out of reach of Israeli eavesdroppers. Israeli security officials monitoring live feeds of the border with Gaza would not have considered anything unusual about people, who turned out to be Hamas attackers, wandering near to the border zone. It was a daily occurrence. They used bulldozers — again, commonplace in Gaza — and civilian trucks to overwhelm border security. Hamas combined this low-tech offensive with sophisticated new capabilities: denial of service attacks, in which snipers took out Israeli electronic sensors. Hamas also apparently used electronic cyber capabilities to jam communications of Israeli commands.

This attack was clearly well planned and thought through, which makes it even more surprising that Israel did not detect whispers of it beforehand.

As well as a failure of Israeli intelligence collection, to defeat Hamas operational security, there may have been a failure of analysis. Hamas’s attack comes fifty years after the failure of Israeli intelligence during the Yom Kippur War in 1973, when Israeli services failed to forewarn an attack by a coalition of Arab states led by Egypt and Syria. The Yom Kippur War has gone down in history as a textbook example of intelligence failure – a mantle that Hamas’s attack will surely now take over. At root, the Yom Kippur war was a failure of Israeli intelligence analysis: driven by a faulty belief that Arab states would not attack because of Israel’s previously demonstrated military strength. Was there a similar analytical failure before Hamas’s assault, a belief by Israeli analysts that Hamas would not attack because it had too much to lose by doing so?

What about Israeli political leadership? In due course, we shall find out what intelligence, if any, Israel’s premier, Benjamin Netanyahu, was given before the attack. Some reporting suggests that Egyptian intelligence provided the Israeli government with a warning that something big was coming from Gaza. Did Netanyahu’s government overlook this? Did Israel’s deeply divided domestic politics contribute to intelligence being overlooked? More generally, did Netanyahu prioritise the threat to Israel posed by Iran – he has made little secret of his views of Iran – over the security threat from Gaza
?"

We can all take a "wait and see" posture. But the idea that Israeli intelligence and leadership didn't fail their people is remote, acutely hard to imagine. Put that aside; we won't know any definitive answer to the question posed above for a long time, if really ever. The next few weeks will be spent, instead, looking at video and photographs of the consequences that Hamas absolutely must have understood would transpire: an Israeli counterattack of mighty and terrible strength, and the displacement of the very people whom Hamas purports to represent and lead in their struggle. We can go ahead and trade bible and ancient stories to argue who is in the right. But the reality is that Hamas -- looking only at the here and now -- placed the people it purports to represent in profound peril, and gave any government charged with the protections of its citizens the motivation and political will to vengeance.
Maybe Bibi wanted the fight....

Interesting question(s) posed: https://x.com/WarClandestine/status/171 ... 53237?s=20
A fraudulent intent, however carefully concealed at the outset, will generally, in the end, betray itself.
~Livy


“There are two ways to be fooled. One is to believe what isn’t true; the other is to refuse to believe what is true.” -Soren Kierkegaard
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Re: Israel and Zionism

Post by Typical Lax Dad »

youthathletics wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2023 10:30 am
Seacoaster(1) wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2023 8:49 am Putting aside OS's compulsive need to set aside judgment only when the exercise of judgment doesn't involve US Democrats, there is little doubt among the punditocracy and even among scholars focused on Israel that this was a colossal intelligence failure, and an astounding "success" by Hamas. The analysis in the aftermath will decide whether this was a failure of collection, or analysis of what was collected, or both. What happened to Israeli electronic monitoring? What happened to Israeli human assets in this remarkably small area of Gaza, or elsewhere among the nations and groups that support Hamas? What word got through from the intelligence-collecting ground to Israeli politicians? Was it sufficiently robust to have compelled action? Did the Netanyahu administration ignore quality intelligence...in a world in which a 10% chance that this or that is true risks thousands of citizens at the far edges of the Israeli countryside?

One such early return:

https://engelsbergideas.com/notebook/fo ... e-failure/

"Part of the explanation seems to be that Hamas resorted to low-tech, old-fashioned, tradecraft that foiled Israeli high-tech capabilities. Hamas achieved apparently perfect operational security: its attack was, it seems, only known to a small number of commanders, who gave orders by word of mouth, thus keeping them out of reach of Israeli eavesdroppers. Israeli security officials monitoring live feeds of the border with Gaza would not have considered anything unusual about people, who turned out to be Hamas attackers, wandering near to the border zone. It was a daily occurrence. They used bulldozers — again, commonplace in Gaza — and civilian trucks to overwhelm border security. Hamas combined this low-tech offensive with sophisticated new capabilities: denial of service attacks, in which snipers took out Israeli electronic sensors. Hamas also apparently used electronic cyber capabilities to jam communications of Israeli commands.

This attack was clearly well planned and thought through, which makes it even more surprising that Israel did not detect whispers of it beforehand.

As well as a failure of Israeli intelligence collection, to defeat Hamas operational security, there may have been a failure of analysis. Hamas’s attack comes fifty years after the failure of Israeli intelligence during the Yom Kippur War in 1973, when Israeli services failed to forewarn an attack by a coalition of Arab states led by Egypt and Syria. The Yom Kippur War has gone down in history as a textbook example of intelligence failure – a mantle that Hamas’s attack will surely now take over. At root, the Yom Kippur war was a failure of Israeli intelligence analysis: driven by a faulty belief that Arab states would not attack because of Israel’s previously demonstrated military strength. Was there a similar analytical failure before Hamas’s assault, a belief by Israeli analysts that Hamas would not attack because it had too much to lose by doing so?

What about Israeli political leadership? In due course, we shall find out what intelligence, if any, Israel’s premier, Benjamin Netanyahu, was given before the attack. Some reporting suggests that Egyptian intelligence provided the Israeli government with a warning that something big was coming from Gaza. Did Netanyahu’s government overlook this? Did Israel’s deeply divided domestic politics contribute to intelligence being overlooked? More generally, did Netanyahu prioritise the threat to Israel posed by Iran – he has made little secret of his views of Iran – over the security threat from Gaza
?"

We can all take a "wait and see" posture. But the idea that Israeli intelligence and leadership didn't fail their people is remote, acutely hard to imagine. Put that aside; we won't know any definitive answer to the question posed above for a long time, if really ever. The next few weeks will be spent, instead, looking at video and photographs of the consequences that Hamas absolutely must have understood would transpire: an Israeli counterattack of mighty and terrible strength, and the displacement of the very people whom Hamas purports to represent and lead in their struggle. We can go ahead and trade bible and ancient stories to argue who is in the right. But the reality is that Hamas -- looking only at the here and now -- placed the people it purports to represent in profound peril, and gave any government charged with the protections of its citizens the motivation and political will to vengeance.
Maybe Bibi wanted the fight....

Interesting question(s) posed: https://x.com/WarClandestine/status/171 ... 53237?s=20
Maybe Bush wanted the World Trade Center towers to fall…. Maybe we set explosives inside the building as rumor had it…..
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Re: Israel and Zionism

Post by Brooklyn »

Farfromgeneva wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2023 7:04 am
I at least know who I am. Do you have any earthly idea how you communicate with people anymore?

For on you within a few pages to MD:

If you're so smart why don't you go ahead and have a debate with those rabbis? Show them how "smart" you are. I'll be very interested to see how great your knowledge of Hebrew is compared to them. :lol:

Furthermore, if you can set aside your snobbery, let's bear in mind that none of that schitt that does on overseas is any of our godd@mn business

Not sure what you're driving at, here since my post was a reply to MD, not to you. :?:
It has been proven a hundred times that the surest way to the heart of any man, black or white, honest or dishonest, is through justice and fairness.

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Re: Israel and Zionism

Post by Brooklyn »

Farfromgeneva wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2023 7:15 am
Brooklyn wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2023 1:02 am Strange, how certain right wing delusionals demand democracy at home (and even demand the right to keep weapons to insure its continuation), supported invading Afghanistan and Iraq supposedly to promote democracy in those countries, and even applauded the Arab Spring in the old LP. But for some bizarre reason, they hate the idea of democracy in Israel.

Double standards, much :?:
Here I’ll play nice despite the ground rules being otherwise (aka I’ll pull a MD)-don’t really love this guy but he’s a frequent guest on a podcast host in a huge fan of (Russ Roberta, whom ironically I believe is pretty into his faith so Im now curious his view on this subject)

https://www.econlib.org/library/Columns ... cracy.html

Democracy is a Means, Not an End


“The reason democratic nations have personal liberties, property rights, and rule of law is not that they are democracies. Rather, nations that have those things embody the entire package of the Western tradition of good government.”

Everyone loves democracy. Ask an American if there is a better form of government, and they’ll be insulted. You believe in democracy, don’t you? And what exactly is it that you believe in? What people mean by “democracy” is some vague combination of good government, protection of individual rights, extremely broad political participation, and widely shared economic prosperity. One might as well throw in an ideal body mass index and a great latke recipe. It’s all good, but doesn’t mean much, and few people like to think about what democracy really means ...

This is not a call for dictatorship ...

The U.S. is Not a Democracy ...


... democracy’s flaws ...

Now, majority rule is a precious, sacred thing worth dying for ...

The real key to freedom is to secure people from tyranny by the majority, or freedom from democracy. The problem, then, is what Fareed Zakaria has called “illiberal democracy.” The metaphor we use to understand ourselves matters, because it figures in how we try to advise others.
...

The framers of the U.S. Constitution fully recognized that there is nothing, nothing at all, inherent in democracy that ensures the freedom of persons or property. When we advise other nations about how to devise better systems of government, our own historical skepticism about the power of pure democracy can be neglected only at our peril. When we help a developing nation design its government, we need unashamedly to advocate something like the U.S. model. Thomas Hobbes said “Covenants, without the Sword, are but words.” The modern equivalent might be this: “Democracy, without the Bill of Rights, is but tyranny.”



Interesting article. Let's see if I can sum up this long spiel:


''Democracy is a Means, Not an End ... This is not a call for dictatorship ... there is nothing, nothing at all, inherent in democracy that ensures the freedom of persons or property''

This may possibly be true. But then there is no assurance that democracy is going to cause decimation of a people as was suggested before. If Israel had accepted the one state solution, by now Muslims could have been the majority there. But that does not mean that would have caused genocide there. As has been proven previously, history shows that Al Andalus was an empire of relatively peaceful coexistence (op cit). Up to now there has been no solution to the mess in Israel. The principle reason being that it has chosen to disregard its own claims to being democratic. It is tyrannical, bigoted, has imposed Apartheid policies on Palestinians, and has committed all kinds of depredations with our tax dollars. Its supporters happily disregard the pleas of those victims and act as if a great favor has been done to them. This is total insanity.

Your writer has shown that there are flaws in democracy and that it is no guarantee of Paradise. Well, it's humanity so shortfalls are to be expected. But better "democracy" than Apartheid as that is a guaranteed FAIL. The pathetic conditions in Gaza that Israel's defenders have always ignored is something that would never be tolerated anywhere else in the world. Bottom line is that the current crisis could have been avoided had Israel only accepted the one state solution. Their fault, not anyone else's.

Better to offer some solution than none at all. The entire world community united to stop Apartheid in South Africa but applauds it in Israel. That's a disgusting shame.
It has been proven a hundred times that the surest way to the heart of any man, black or white, honest or dishonest, is through justice and fairness.

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Re: Israel and Zionism

Post by Seacoaster(1) »

youthathletics wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2023 10:30 am
Seacoaster(1) wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2023 8:49 am Putting aside OS's compulsive need to set aside judgment only when the exercise of judgment doesn't involve US Democrats, there is little doubt among the punditocracy and even among scholars focused on Israel that this was a colossal intelligence failure, and an astounding "success" by Hamas. The analysis in the aftermath will decide whether this was a failure of collection, or analysis of what was collected, or both. What happened to Israeli electronic monitoring? What happened to Israeli human assets in this remarkably small area of Gaza, or elsewhere among the nations and groups that support Hamas? What word got through from the intelligence-collecting ground to Israeli politicians? Was it sufficiently robust to have compelled action? Did the Netanyahu administration ignore quality intelligence...in a world in which a 10% chance that this or that is true risks thousands of citizens at the far edges of the Israeli countryside?

One such early return:

https://engelsbergideas.com/notebook/fo ... e-failure/

"Part of the explanation seems to be that Hamas resorted to low-tech, old-fashioned, tradecraft that foiled Israeli high-tech capabilities. Hamas achieved apparently perfect operational security: its attack was, it seems, only known to a small number of commanders, who gave orders by word of mouth, thus keeping them out of reach of Israeli eavesdroppers. Israeli security officials monitoring live feeds of the border with Gaza would not have considered anything unusual about people, who turned out to be Hamas attackers, wandering near to the border zone. It was a daily occurrence. They used bulldozers — again, commonplace in Gaza — and civilian trucks to overwhelm border security. Hamas combined this low-tech offensive with sophisticated new capabilities: denial of service attacks, in which snipers took out Israeli electronic sensors. Hamas also apparently used electronic cyber capabilities to jam communications of Israeli commands.

This attack was clearly well planned and thought through, which makes it even more surprising that Israel did not detect whispers of it beforehand.

As well as a failure of Israeli intelligence collection, to defeat Hamas operational security, there may have been a failure of analysis. Hamas’s attack comes fifty years after the failure of Israeli intelligence during the Yom Kippur War in 1973, when Israeli services failed to forewarn an attack by a coalition of Arab states led by Egypt and Syria. The Yom Kippur War has gone down in history as a textbook example of intelligence failure – a mantle that Hamas’s attack will surely now take over. At root, the Yom Kippur war was a failure of Israeli intelligence analysis: driven by a faulty belief that Arab states would not attack because of Israel’s previously demonstrated military strength. Was there a similar analytical failure before Hamas’s assault, a belief by Israeli analysts that Hamas would not attack because it had too much to lose by doing so?

What about Israeli political leadership? In due course, we shall find out what intelligence, if any, Israel’s premier, Benjamin Netanyahu, was given before the attack. Some reporting suggests that Egyptian intelligence provided the Israeli government with a warning that something big was coming from Gaza. Did Netanyahu’s government overlook this? Did Israel’s deeply divided domestic politics contribute to intelligence being overlooked? More generally, did Netanyahu prioritise the threat to Israel posed by Iran – he has made little secret of his views of Iran – over the security threat from Gaza
?"

We can all take a "wait and see" posture. But the idea that Israeli intelligence and leadership didn't fail their people is remote, acutely hard to imagine. Put that aside; we won't know any definitive answer to the question posed above for a long time, if really ever. The next few weeks will be spent, instead, looking at video and photographs of the consequences that Hamas absolutely must have understood would transpire: an Israeli counterattack of mighty and terrible strength, and the displacement of the very people whom Hamas purports to represent and lead in their struggle. We can go ahead and trade bible and ancient stories to argue who is in the right. But the reality is that Hamas -- looking only at the here and now -- placed the people it purports to represent in profound peril, and gave any government charged with the protections of its citizens the motivation and political will to vengeance.
Maybe Bibi wanted the fight....

Interesting question(s) posed: https://x.com/WarClandestine/status/171 ... 53237?s=20
I have to ask you a question: are you out of your mind?

First, this twitter post channels Charlie Kirk. Sorry, really not a credible or creditable source for virtually anything. He runs a grift and misinformation outfit. He has no inner knowledge or course of study about this conflict.

Second, the writer is -- and I am being polite here -- a complete buffoon'ish conspiracy kook. His thesis is the "same concept as 9/11:" government allows spectacular and awful loss of its own citizen's lives in order to get a few moments of public support to commit acts approaching genocide. Government also behind a "hoax" that the other side has engaged in war crimes and atrocities -- with which, of course, the United States and others in this instance must now be complicit.

Why do you read this nonsense -- to say nothing of posting it here -- when there are many, many decent sources of information from credible and creditable people, organizations and institutions. You may not live in a fantasy world, but you seem strangely attentive to it.
Typical Lax Dad
Posts: 34260
Joined: Mon Jul 30, 2018 12:10 pm

Re: Israel and Zionism

Post by Typical Lax Dad »

Seacoaster(1) wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2023 11:17 am
youthathletics wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2023 10:30 am
Seacoaster(1) wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2023 8:49 am Putting aside OS's compulsive need to set aside judgment only when the exercise of judgment doesn't involve US Democrats, there is little doubt among the punditocracy and even among scholars focused on Israel that this was a colossal intelligence failure, and an astounding "success" by Hamas. The analysis in the aftermath will decide whether this was a failure of collection, or analysis of what was collected, or both. What happened to Israeli electronic monitoring? What happened to Israeli human assets in this remarkably small area of Gaza, or elsewhere among the nations and groups that support Hamas? What word got through from the intelligence-collecting ground to Israeli politicians? Was it sufficiently robust to have compelled action? Did the Netanyahu administration ignore quality intelligence...in a world in which a 10% chance that this or that is true risks thousands of citizens at the far edges of the Israeli countryside?

One such early return:

https://engelsbergideas.com/notebook/fo ... e-failure/

"Part of the explanation seems to be that Hamas resorted to low-tech, old-fashioned, tradecraft that foiled Israeli high-tech capabilities. Hamas achieved apparently perfect operational security: its attack was, it seems, only known to a small number of commanders, who gave orders by word of mouth, thus keeping them out of reach of Israeli eavesdroppers. Israeli security officials monitoring live feeds of the border with Gaza would not have considered anything unusual about people, who turned out to be Hamas attackers, wandering near to the border zone. It was a daily occurrence. They used bulldozers — again, commonplace in Gaza — and civilian trucks to overwhelm border security. Hamas combined this low-tech offensive with sophisticated new capabilities: denial of service attacks, in which snipers took out Israeli electronic sensors. Hamas also apparently used electronic cyber capabilities to jam communications of Israeli commands.

This attack was clearly well planned and thought through, which makes it even more surprising that Israel did not detect whispers of it beforehand.

As well as a failure of Israeli intelligence collection, to defeat Hamas operational security, there may have been a failure of analysis. Hamas’s attack comes fifty years after the failure of Israeli intelligence during the Yom Kippur War in 1973, when Israeli services failed to forewarn an attack by a coalition of Arab states led by Egypt and Syria. The Yom Kippur War has gone down in history as a textbook example of intelligence failure – a mantle that Hamas’s attack will surely now take over. At root, the Yom Kippur war was a failure of Israeli intelligence analysis: driven by a faulty belief that Arab states would not attack because of Israel’s previously demonstrated military strength. Was there a similar analytical failure before Hamas’s assault, a belief by Israeli analysts that Hamas would not attack because it had too much to lose by doing so?

What about Israeli political leadership? In due course, we shall find out what intelligence, if any, Israel’s premier, Benjamin Netanyahu, was given before the attack. Some reporting suggests that Egyptian intelligence provided the Israeli government with a warning that something big was coming from Gaza. Did Netanyahu’s government overlook this? Did Israel’s deeply divided domestic politics contribute to intelligence being overlooked? More generally, did Netanyahu prioritise the threat to Israel posed by Iran – he has made little secret of his views of Iran – over the security threat from Gaza
?"

We can all take a "wait and see" posture. But the idea that Israeli intelligence and leadership didn't fail their people is remote, acutely hard to imagine. Put that aside; we won't know any definitive answer to the question posed above for a long time, if really ever. The next few weeks will be spent, instead, looking at video and photographs of the consequences that Hamas absolutely must have understood would transpire: an Israeli counterattack of mighty and terrible strength, and the displacement of the very people whom Hamas purports to represent and lead in their struggle. We can go ahead and trade bible and ancient stories to argue who is in the right. But the reality is that Hamas -- looking only at the here and now -- placed the people it purports to represent in profound peril, and gave any government charged with the protections of its citizens the motivation and political will to vengeance.
Maybe Bibi wanted the fight....

Interesting question(s) posed: https://x.com/WarClandestine/status/171 ... 53237?s=20
I have to ask you a question: are you out of your mind?

First, this twitter post channels Charlie Kirk. Sorry, really not a credible or creditable source for virtually anything. He runs a grift and misinformation outfit. He has no inner knowledge or course of study about this conflict.

Second, the writer is -- and I am being polite here -- a complete buffoon'ish conspiracy kook. His thesis is the "same concept as 9/11:" government allows spectacular and awful loss of its own citizen's lives in order to get a few moments of public support to commit acts approaching genocide. Government also behind a "hoax" that the other side has engaged in war crimes and atrocities -- with which, of course, the United States and others in this instance must now be complicit.

Why do you read this nonsense -- to say nothing of posting it here -- when there are many, many decent sources of information from credible and creditable people, organizations and institutions. You may not live in a fantasy world, but you seem strangely attentive to it.
https://www.adl.org/resources/report/an ... ears-later

Just putting it out there…..
“I wish you would!”
Seacoaster(1)
Posts: 5358
Joined: Tue Mar 29, 2022 6:49 am

Re: Israel and Zionism

Post by Seacoaster(1) »

Typical Lax Dad wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2023 11:21 am
Seacoaster(1) wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2023 11:17 am
youthathletics wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2023 10:30 am
Seacoaster(1) wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2023 8:49 am Putting aside OS's compulsive need to set aside judgment only when the exercise of judgment doesn't involve US Democrats, there is little doubt among the punditocracy and even among scholars focused on Israel that this was a colossal intelligence failure, and an astounding "success" by Hamas. The analysis in the aftermath will decide whether this was a failure of collection, or analysis of what was collected, or both. What happened to Israeli electronic monitoring? What happened to Israeli human assets in this remarkably small area of Gaza, or elsewhere among the nations and groups that support Hamas? What word got through from the intelligence-collecting ground to Israeli politicians? Was it sufficiently robust to have compelled action? Did the Netanyahu administration ignore quality intelligence...in a world in which a 10% chance that this or that is true risks thousands of citizens at the far edges of the Israeli countryside?

One such early return:

https://engelsbergideas.com/notebook/fo ... e-failure/

"Part of the explanation seems to be that Hamas resorted to low-tech, old-fashioned, tradecraft that foiled Israeli high-tech capabilities. Hamas achieved apparently perfect operational security: its attack was, it seems, only known to a small number of commanders, who gave orders by word of mouth, thus keeping them out of reach of Israeli eavesdroppers. Israeli security officials monitoring live feeds of the border with Gaza would not have considered anything unusual about people, who turned out to be Hamas attackers, wandering near to the border zone. It was a daily occurrence. They used bulldozers — again, commonplace in Gaza — and civilian trucks to overwhelm border security. Hamas combined this low-tech offensive with sophisticated new capabilities: denial of service attacks, in which snipers took out Israeli electronic sensors. Hamas also apparently used electronic cyber capabilities to jam communications of Israeli commands.

This attack was clearly well planned and thought through, which makes it even more surprising that Israel did not detect whispers of it beforehand.

As well as a failure of Israeli intelligence collection, to defeat Hamas operational security, there may have been a failure of analysis. Hamas’s attack comes fifty years after the failure of Israeli intelligence during the Yom Kippur War in 1973, when Israeli services failed to forewarn an attack by a coalition of Arab states led by Egypt and Syria. The Yom Kippur War has gone down in history as a textbook example of intelligence failure – a mantle that Hamas’s attack will surely now take over. At root, the Yom Kippur war was a failure of Israeli intelligence analysis: driven by a faulty belief that Arab states would not attack because of Israel’s previously demonstrated military strength. Was there a similar analytical failure before Hamas’s assault, a belief by Israeli analysts that Hamas would not attack because it had too much to lose by doing so?

What about Israeli political leadership? In due course, we shall find out what intelligence, if any, Israel’s premier, Benjamin Netanyahu, was given before the attack. Some reporting suggests that Egyptian intelligence provided the Israeli government with a warning that something big was coming from Gaza. Did Netanyahu’s government overlook this? Did Israel’s deeply divided domestic politics contribute to intelligence being overlooked? More generally, did Netanyahu prioritise the threat to Israel posed by Iran – he has made little secret of his views of Iran – over the security threat from Gaza
?"

We can all take a "wait and see" posture. But the idea that Israeli intelligence and leadership didn't fail their people is remote, acutely hard to imagine. Put that aside; we won't know any definitive answer to the question posed above for a long time, if really ever. The next few weeks will be spent, instead, looking at video and photographs of the consequences that Hamas absolutely must have understood would transpire: an Israeli counterattack of mighty and terrible strength, and the displacement of the very people whom Hamas purports to represent and lead in their struggle. We can go ahead and trade bible and ancient stories to argue who is in the right. But the reality is that Hamas -- looking only at the here and now -- placed the people it purports to represent in profound peril, and gave any government charged with the protections of its citizens the motivation and political will to vengeance.
Maybe Bibi wanted the fight....

Interesting question(s) posed: https://x.com/WarClandestine/status/171 ... 53237?s=20
I have to ask you a question: are you out of your mind?

First, this twitter post channels Charlie Kirk. Sorry, really not a credible or creditable source for virtually anything. He runs a grift and misinformation outfit. He has no inner knowledge or course of study about this conflict.

Second, the writer is -- and I am being polite here -- a complete buffoon'ish conspiracy kook. His thesis is the "same concept as 9/11:" government allows spectacular and awful loss of its own citizen's lives in order to get a few moments of public support to commit acts approaching genocide. Government also behind a "hoax" that the other side has engaged in war crimes and atrocities -- with which, of course, the United States and others in this instance must now be complicit.

Why do you read this nonsense -- to say nothing of posting it here -- when there are many, many decent sources of information from credible and creditable people, organizations and institutions. You may not live in a fantasy world, but you seem strangely attentive to it.
https://www.adl.org/resources/report/an ... ears-later

Just putting it out there…..
Right; "putting it out there"...keep this sh*t alive. Just astounding.
PizzaSnake
Posts: 5364
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Re: Israel and Zionism

Post by PizzaSnake »

Two carrier strike groups, Ford and Eisenhower, now on station. A lot of opportunity for miscalculation, escalation and foreign entanglement.

"It is our true policy to steer clear of permanent alliance with any portion of the foreign world."

— G. Washington
"There is nothing more difficult and more dangerous to carry through than initiating changes. One makes enemies of those who prospered under the old order, and only lukewarm support from those who would prosper under the new."
a fan
Posts: 19702
Joined: Mon Aug 06, 2018 9:05 pm

Re: Israel and Zionism

Post by a fan »

Brooklyn wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2023 12:40 am How does majority rule suddenly mean the decimation of a people?

Anglo Saxons are the vast majority in the USA. Has this meant the decimation of all else?

No because we have one UNITED States of America. Israel should do the same. See my earlier quote where the government professes to be a "democratic state". Now let's see them practice what they profess to be.
Right. And what's your plan when they wipe out the Jewish population, and install Muslim law, Brooks? Punt? Tell the Jewish people 'sorry about that"?

This is the game the Pro-Palestians play. Dealt with this for over a decade in Ann Arbor. You want to pretend like Hamas and other groups want to give the Jewish population shared power and hugs.

You know better, but you pretend like you don't. So when you mention "60 years ago", you pretend like you don't know what happened in 67.
a fan
Posts: 19702
Joined: Mon Aug 06, 2018 9:05 pm

Re: Israel and Zionism

Post by a fan »

Farfromgeneva wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2023 7:11 am
a fan wrote: Sat Oct 14, 2023 10:17 pm
Brooklyn wrote: Sat Oct 14, 2023 10:07 pm
I knew plenty who wanted Israel out, but in the way Brookie advocates......take all the weapons and fences away, let Muslims run things, and sit back and watch what happens.

Nice spin on things.
It's what you said....here ya go. You're telling me with a serious face that the Jewish people and Israel would exist under your "plan"?

Should be self explanatory. Just allow citizenship and equal rights to all people within its borders. Had this happened as was proposed 60 years ago, by now Muslims would have been the majority and the country would have been at peace just as in the days of the Spanish Arabic dynasties.



In what world would the Jewish people not get wiped out with 60 years of this "plan" where you yourself are telling me "by now Muslims would have been the majority".

That's a pretty euphemistic way of putting what the above sentence actually means, Brookie. It means: no Israel.
Imagine if I let my children self govern their relationship with each other?

Unfortunately that may seem parochial but is applicable.
Oh, it's appllicable, and a great analogy I just used with my wife when discussing this mess.

If I could wave a magic wand, I'd take the lands in question from everyone, and make it uninhabitable for no one. What do all parents do when two kids can't share a toy? Take it away. Eventually, they stop pouting, and find something else to do.

It may sound condescending, but nothing is worth this cycle of death and suffering.
User avatar
Brooklyn
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Location: St Paul, Minnesota

Re: Israel and Zionism

Post by Brooklyn »

a fan wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2023 11:55 am
Right. And what's your plan when they wipe out the Jewish population, and install Muslim law, Brooks? Punt? Tell the Jewish people 'sorry about that"?

This is the game the Pro-Palestians play. Dealt with this for over a decade in Ann Arbor. You want to pretend like Hamas and other groups want to give the Jewish population shared power and hugs.

You know better, but you pretend like you don't. So when you mention "60 years ago", you pretend like you don't know what happened in 67.

Typical Islamophobic nonsense.

Israel calls itself a democracy. Now let's see them act like one. And do it without our tax dollars.
It has been proven a hundred times that the surest way to the heart of any man, black or white, honest or dishonest, is through justice and fairness.

Charles Francis "Socker" Coe, Esq
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Kismet
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Re: Israel and Zionism

Post by Kismet »

PizzaSnake wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2023 11:51 am Two carrier strike groups, Ford and Eisenhower, now on station. A lot of opportunity for miscalculation, escalation and foreign entanglement.

"It is our true policy to steer clear of permanent alliance with any portion of the foreign world."

— G. Washington
Eisenhower won't get there for another two weeks - just left Norfolk VA a day ago. The Ford Group is due to return to home port Norfolk as its deployment is up although they may remain for some period of time.

26th MEU (more than 2,000 Marines) departed Kuwait training mission reportedly now steaming south in the Persian Gulf towards Gulf of Oman and tasked with new orders. Could be headed any number of destinations including transiting back through the Red Sea to Eilat in Israel or via the Suez Canal into the Eastern Med. 3,100 miles - likely a week away
Last edited by Kismet on Sun Oct 15, 2023 1:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.
a fan
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Re: Israel and Zionism

Post by a fan »

Brooklyn wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2023 12:00 pm
a fan wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2023 11:55 am
Right. And what's your plan when they wipe out the Jewish population, and install Muslim law, Brooks? Punt? Tell the Jewish people 'sorry about that"?

This is the game the Pro-Palestians play. Dealt with this for over a decade in Ann Arbor. You want to pretend like Hamas and other groups want to give the Jewish population shared power and hugs.

You know better, but you pretend like you don't. So when you mention "60 years ago", you pretend like you don't know what happened in 67.

Typical Islamophobic nonsense.
:lol:What happened in 67? How many more times are you planning to ignore that? This is three times now.

Address what happened. Then you can try your ad hominem attacks to try and run away from reality. That doesn't work with me.
a fan
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Re: Israel and Zionism

Post by a fan »

Brooklyn wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2023 12:00 pm Israel calls itself a democracy.
So does Egypt. Using your "reasoning", there should be hundreds of thousands of Jewish people living there.

How many live there, Brooks?

I'm well practiced in dealing with the hardcore Pro-Palestinian crowd, Brooks. You can see in their eyes when you ask a few rational questions that they know perfectly well that what they are actually asking is for the Jewish population to "coincidentally" leave the region by fictional peaceful means that don't exist.

I'd love nothing more than for peace to reign in the region. Don't know how to get there, outside of pouring investment into Gaza, and make it a modern safe and secure city .....leading to a two State solution.

I do love your rational, reasonable point that we have been recklessly throwing money at Israel for decades, when we don't have a treaty with them. I agree with you 100% on this point. And yes, this makes it so that some of the blood is on our hands. I agree there, too.

But what you are suggesting isn't a solution. What's more, you're a bright man: you KNOW this isn't a solution.
User avatar
youthathletics
Posts: 15966
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Re: Israel and Zionism

Post by youthathletics »

Seacoaster(1) wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2023 11:17 am
youthathletics wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2023 10:30 am
Seacoaster(1) wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2023 8:49 am Putting aside OS's compulsive need to set aside judgment only when the exercise of judgment doesn't involve US Democrats, there is little doubt among the punditocracy and even among scholars focused on Israel that this was a colossal intelligence failure, and an astounding "success" by Hamas. The analysis in the aftermath will decide whether this was a failure of collection, or analysis of what was collected, or both. What happened to Israeli electronic monitoring? What happened to Israeli human assets in this remarkably small area of Gaza, or elsewhere among the nations and groups that support Hamas? What word got through from the intelligence-collecting ground to Israeli politicians? Was it sufficiently robust to have compelled action? Did the Netanyahu administration ignore quality intelligence...in a world in which a 10% chance that this or that is true risks thousands of citizens at the far edges of the Israeli countryside?

One such early return:

https://engelsbergideas.com/notebook/fo ... e-failure/

"Part of the explanation seems to be that Hamas resorted to low-tech, old-fashioned, tradecraft that foiled Israeli high-tech capabilities. Hamas achieved apparently perfect operational security: its attack was, it seems, only known to a small number of commanders, who gave orders by word of mouth, thus keeping them out of reach of Israeli eavesdroppers. Israeli security officials monitoring live feeds of the border with Gaza would not have considered anything unusual about people, who turned out to be Hamas attackers, wandering near to the border zone. It was a daily occurrence. They used bulldozers — again, commonplace in Gaza — and civilian trucks to overwhelm border security. Hamas combined this low-tech offensive with sophisticated new capabilities: denial of service attacks, in which snipers took out Israeli electronic sensors. Hamas also apparently used electronic cyber capabilities to jam communications of Israeli commands.

This attack was clearly well planned and thought through, which makes it even more surprising that Israel did not detect whispers of it beforehand.

As well as a failure of Israeli intelligence collection, to defeat Hamas operational security, there may have been a failure of analysis. Hamas’s attack comes fifty years after the failure of Israeli intelligence during the Yom Kippur War in 1973, when Israeli services failed to forewarn an attack by a coalition of Arab states led by Egypt and Syria. The Yom Kippur War has gone down in history as a textbook example of intelligence failure – a mantle that Hamas’s attack will surely now take over. At root, the Yom Kippur war was a failure of Israeli intelligence analysis: driven by a faulty belief that Arab states would not attack because of Israel’s previously demonstrated military strength. Was there a similar analytical failure before Hamas’s assault, a belief by Israeli analysts that Hamas would not attack because it had too much to lose by doing so?

What about Israeli political leadership? In due course, we shall find out what intelligence, if any, Israel’s premier, Benjamin Netanyahu, was given before the attack. Some reporting suggests that Egyptian intelligence provided the Israeli government with a warning that something big was coming from Gaza. Did Netanyahu’s government overlook this? Did Israel’s deeply divided domestic politics contribute to intelligence being overlooked? More generally, did Netanyahu prioritise the threat to Israel posed by Iran – he has made little secret of his views of Iran – over the security threat from Gaza
?"

We can all take a "wait and see" posture. But the idea that Israeli intelligence and leadership didn't fail their people is remote, acutely hard to imagine. Put that aside; we won't know any definitive answer to the question posed above for a long time, if really ever. The next few weeks will be spent, instead, looking at video and photographs of the consequences that Hamas absolutely must have understood would transpire: an Israeli counterattack of mighty and terrible strength, and the displacement of the very people whom Hamas purports to represent and lead in their struggle. We can go ahead and trade bible and ancient stories to argue who is in the right. But the reality is that Hamas -- looking only at the here and now -- placed the people it purports to represent in profound peril, and gave any government charged with the protections of its citizens the motivation and political will to vengeance.
Maybe Bibi wanted the fight....

Interesting question(s) posed: https://x.com/WarClandestine/status/171 ... 53237?s=20
I have to ask you a question: are you out of your mind?

First, this twitter post channels Charlie Kirk. Sorry, really not a credible or creditable source for virtually anything. He runs a grift and misinformation outfit. He has no inner knowledge or course of study about this conflict.

Second, the writer is -- and I am being polite here -- a complete buffoon'ish conspiracy kook. His thesis is the "same concept as 9/11:" government allows spectacular and awful loss of its own citizen's lives in order to get a few moments of public support to commit acts approaching genocide. Government also behind a "hoax" that the other side has engaged in war crimes and atrocities -- with which, of course, the United States and others in this instance must now be complicit.

Why do you read this nonsense -- to say nothing of posting it here -- when there are many, many decent sources of information from credible and creditable people, organizations and institutions. You may not live in a fantasy world, but you seem strangely attentive to it.
First - and again, who gives a damn who posted it, the message was from Kirk's voice. No clue why you all do this time and again. It could be the devil posting a clip of Jesus speaking, and all you would care about is the guy who tweeted it, ignoring the message.

Second - It was merely another possibility.... a question to consider, to be thought provoking in an otherwise unanswerable situation. And, clearly you are just as clueless b/c you continue to pontificate whatever the consensus is from your partisan leaning feeds. Further, if we use our head for more than a hat rack, we consider ALL possibilities. Do I believe it....who cares if I do. This is a forum and the goal is to NOT just all agree on the presented citations just because they come from CNN or some "historian" from Harvard. When we blindly trust what is laid out for us by the so called experts, in the middle of chaos, without factual understanding.....we are left accepting conceptual context as fact, when it is still continued research.

Lastly - it would be far easier to swallow that Bibi intentionally wanted this....otherwise, what it shows is that Israel, being one of the most secure & wisest intel nations on earth, failed to protect their own people and were undermined and outfoxed by a small faction of people less than size of Concord NH. That should scare the hell out of us, knowing Israel AND US Intel did not pick up on this and prepare accordingly. And it is not out of the question to consider all this b/c Israel Gov't has been going through a significant power struggle.
A fraudulent intent, however carefully concealed at the outset, will generally, in the end, betray itself.
~Livy


“There are two ways to be fooled. One is to believe what isn’t true; the other is to refuse to believe what is true.” -Soren Kierkegaard
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Brooklyn
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Re: Israel and Zionism

Post by Brooklyn »

a fan wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2023 12:16 pm
Brooklyn wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2023 12:00 pm Israel calls itself a democracy.
So does Egypt. Using your "reasoning", there should be hundreds of thousands of Jewish people living there.

How many live there, Brooks?

I'm well practiced in dealing with the hardcore Pro-Palestinian crowd, Brooks. You can see in their eyes when you ask a few rational questions that they know perfectly well that what they are actually asking is for the Jewish population to "coincidentally" leave the region by fictional peaceful means that don't exist.

I'd love nothing more than for peace to reign in the region. Don't know how to get there, outside of pouring investment into Gaza, and make it a modern safe and secure city .....leading to a two State solution.

I do love your rational, reasonable point that we have been recklessly throwing money at Israel for decades, when we don't have a treaty with them. I agree with you 100% on this point. And yes, this makes it so that some of the blood is on our hands. I agree there, too.

But what you are suggesting isn't a solution. What's more, you're a bright man: you KNOW this isn't a solution.

'67? We all know What the heck happened so I assumed you were being rhetorical. After all, Palestinians were not the ones who threw the first shot as you saw from reading my earlier post from Einstein. They have been the victims all along and so many people in the USA disregard them as they were nothing more than a collective pile of dog schitt. Of course, across the world people are understandably sympathetic to then. This is why there are so many pro Palestinians protests world wide. Just take a look at this massive rally in support of Palestine which took place in Yemen:

Image
https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/e95453c0 ... r=1&s=none

You never see such massive crowds in support of Israeli Apartheid.

You say one state is not a solution, so what in your imagined and ever so great ingenuity do see as a solution?
It has been proven a hundred times that the surest way to the heart of any man, black or white, honest or dishonest, is through justice and fairness.

Charles Francis "Socker" Coe, Esq
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Kismet
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Re: Israel and Zionism

Post by Kismet »

youthathletics wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2023 12:55 pm
Seacoaster(1) wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2023 11:17 am
youthathletics wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2023 10:30 am
Seacoaster(1) wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2023 8:49 am Putting aside OS's compulsive need to set aside judgment only when the exercise of judgment doesn't involve US Democrats, there is little doubt among the punditocracy and even among scholars focused on Israel that this was a colossal intelligence failure, and an astounding "success" by Hamas. The analysis in the aftermath will decide whether this was a failure of collection, or analysis of what was collected, or both. What happened to Israeli electronic monitoring? What happened to Israeli human assets in this remarkably small area of Gaza, or elsewhere among the nations and groups that support Hamas? What word got through from the intelligence-collecting ground to Israeli politicians? Was it sufficiently robust to have compelled action? Did the Netanyahu administration ignore quality intelligence...in a world in which a 10% chance that this or that is true risks thousands of citizens at the far edges of the Israeli countryside?

One such early return:

https://engelsbergideas.com/notebook/fo ... e-failure/

"Part of the explanation seems to be that Hamas resorted to low-tech, old-fashioned, tradecraft that foiled Israeli high-tech capabilities. Hamas achieved apparently perfect operational security: its attack was, it seems, only known to a small number of commanders, who gave orders by word of mouth, thus keeping them out of reach of Israeli eavesdroppers. Israeli security officials monitoring live feeds of the border with Gaza would not have considered anything unusual about people, who turned out to be Hamas attackers, wandering near to the border zone. It was a daily occurrence. They used bulldozers — again, commonplace in Gaza — and civilian trucks to overwhelm border security. Hamas combined this low-tech offensive with sophisticated new capabilities: denial of service attacks, in which snipers took out Israeli electronic sensors. Hamas also apparently used electronic cyber capabilities to jam communications of Israeli commands.

This attack was clearly well planned and thought through, which makes it even more surprising that Israel did not detect whispers of it beforehand.

As well as a failure of Israeli intelligence collection, to defeat Hamas operational security, there may have been a failure of analysis. Hamas’s attack comes fifty years after the failure of Israeli intelligence during the Yom Kippur War in 1973, when Israeli services failed to forewarn an attack by a coalition of Arab states led by Egypt and Syria. The Yom Kippur War has gone down in history as a textbook example of intelligence failure – a mantle that Hamas’s attack will surely now take over. At root, the Yom Kippur war was a failure of Israeli intelligence analysis: driven by a faulty belief that Arab states would not attack because of Israel’s previously demonstrated military strength. Was there a similar analytical failure before Hamas’s assault, a belief by Israeli analysts that Hamas would not attack because it had too much to lose by doing so?

What about Israeli political leadership? In due course, we shall find out what intelligence, if any, Israel’s premier, Benjamin Netanyahu, was given before the attack. Some reporting suggests that Egyptian intelligence provided the Israeli government with a warning that something big was coming from Gaza. Did Netanyahu’s government overlook this? Did Israel’s deeply divided domestic politics contribute to intelligence being overlooked? More generally, did Netanyahu prioritise the threat to Israel posed by Iran – he has made little secret of his views of Iran – over the security threat from Gaza
?"

We can all take a "wait and see" posture. But the idea that Israeli intelligence and leadership didn't fail their people is remote, acutely hard to imagine. Put that aside; we won't know any definitive answer to the question posed above for a long time, if really ever. The next few weeks will be spent, instead, looking at video and photographs of the consequences that Hamas absolutely must have understood would transpire: an Israeli counterattack of mighty and terrible strength, and the displacement of the very people whom Hamas purports to represent and lead in their struggle. We can go ahead and trade bible and ancient stories to argue who is in the right. But the reality is that Hamas -- looking only at the here and now -- placed the people it purports to represent in profound peril, and gave any government charged with the protections of its citizens the motivation and political will to vengeance.
Maybe Bibi wanted the fight....

Interesting question(s) posed: https://x.com/WarClandestine/status/171 ... 53237?s=20
I have to ask you a question: are you out of your mind?

First, this twitter post channels Charlie Kirk. Sorry, really not a credible or creditable source for virtually anything. He runs a grift and misinformation outfit. He has no inner knowledge or course of study about this conflict.

Second, the writer is -- and I am being polite here -- a complete buffoon'ish conspiracy kook. His thesis is the "same concept as 9/11:" government allows spectacular and awful loss of its own citizen's lives in order to get a few moments of public support to commit acts approaching genocide. Government also behind a "hoax" that the other side has engaged in war crimes and atrocities -- with which, of course, the United States and others in this instance must now be complicit.

Why do you read this nonsense -- to say nothing of posting it here -- when there are many, many decent sources of information from credible and creditable people, organizations and institutions. You may not live in a fantasy world, but you seem strangely attentive to it.
First - and again, who gives a damn who posted it, the message was from Kirk's voice. No clue why you all do this time and again. It could be the devil posting a clip of Jesus speaking, and all you would care about is the guy who tweeted it, ignoring the message.

Second - It was merely another possibility.... a question to consider, to be thought provoking in an otherwise unanswerable situation. And, clearly you are just as clueless b/c you continue to pontificate whatever the consensus is from your partisan leaning feeds. Further, if we use our head for more than a hat rack, we consider ALL possibilities. Do I believe it....who cares if I do. This is a forum and the goal is to NOT just all agree on the presented citations just because they come from CNN or some "historian" from Harvard. When we blindly trust what is laid out for us by the so called experts, in the middle of chaos, without factual understanding.....we are left accepting conceptual context as fact, when it is still continued research.

Lastly - it would be far easier to swallow that Bibi intentionally wanted this....otherwise, what it shows is that Israel, being one of the most secure & wisest intel nations on earth, failed to protect their own people and were undermined and outfoxed by a small faction of people less than size of Concord NH. That should scare the hell out of us, knowing Israel AND US Intel did not pick up on this and prepare accordingly. And it is not out of the question to consider all this b/c Israel Gov't has been going through a significant power struggle.
Doubt Netanyahu wanted this particular action but he (and his coalition) seemed use Hamas as part of their effort to secure political advantage and it stunningly blew up in the faces. Like the iconic Golda Meir in 1973 the electorate will toss him out in the very near future.

Read the stories from author and current NYT Correspondent Ronen Bergman whose reporting indicates that the defense establishment could not get a word in edgewise with the ruling government coalition about the effects on preparedness of the recent political uproar - which it looks like the terrorists took full advantage of.

https://www.nytimes.com/by/ronen-bergman

https://twitter.com/ronenbergman

You must know that people like Kirk always have an agenda - not matter what the particular issue they are commenting on on any given day.
Last edited by Kismet on Sun Oct 15, 2023 6:09 pm, edited 1 time in total.
PizzaSnake
Posts: 5364
Joined: Tue Mar 05, 2019 8:36 pm

Re: Israel and Zionism

Post by PizzaSnake »

Anyone who can explain this “iron-clad” security guarantee to a nation with whom we have no formal alliance? While you’re at it, what has the cost been to the US in providing this security, ranging from direct outlay to inputed costs, i.e. stagflation resulting from ‘73 oil embargo?

And no, impugning my intent in raising the question is not a sufficient, meaningful response.

““The increases to U.S. force Posture signal the United States’ ironclad commitment to Israel’s security and our resolve to deter any state or non-state actor seeking to escalate this war,” Austin said in a news release Saturday.”
"There is nothing more difficult and more dangerous to carry through than initiating changes. One makes enemies of those who prospered under the old order, and only lukewarm support from those who would prosper under the new."
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