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It looks like the over/under has become a bit more susceptible…

Anyone have any picks that they like for this week? All I will say is that Bellarmine v. RMU at 24.5 seems like easy $. Famous last words, I know.

JHU -1.5 over OSU

Sinman - Thank you for keeping this thread going, I have taken a break from the forums and am ready to make my return. I will be sure to submit my picks after careful deliberation and running some numbers

I may not hit on the Bellarmine v. RMU pick (btw, the o/u is available at 23.5 on BETMGM), but I am still sensing some weakness in the books’ modeling when it comes to the over/unders. Wish I was better with regressions and excel…

sinman6 wrote: ↑Wed Apr 12, 2023 12:36 pm I may not hit on the Bellarmine v. RMU pick (btw, the o/u is available at 23.5 on BETMGM), but I am still sensing some weakness in the books’ modeling when it comes to the over/unders. Wish I was better with regressions and excel…

I've done better on over/unders than picking winners actually, definitely some softer numbers

Going over 21.5 for Towson v. Denver.

Hoping for mediocre goalie play on the Towson side. That will be the key to hitting the over.

Bryant v. Vermont, O24.5.

Anyone else out there?

I should also say, after an awful start, I am sitting at something around 25-12 (only giving myself points for affirmative picks). Record may be off by one or two on either side, but w/e, the point is that the books are getting weaker… especially on the o/u, where it seems like they basically use the same model as the Massey ratings. If anyone is good at excel and wants to run some regressions using the data sets from LacrosseReference, send me a DM.

Week 10 plays:
1u:
Utah -7.5
Hopkins -1.5
Binghamton +2.5
Bryant +1.5
Duke +1.5
UNC +1.5
UNC over 25.5
St. Joseph’s over 27.5

0.5u:
Boston ML
Delaware over 25.5
Hofstra under 23.5
Sacred Heart under 22.5
Lehigh -3
Harvard +1.5
Manhattan under 19.5
Air Force -8.5
LIU under 24.5

BOL

Record is now 26-12. Thanks bryant. Sometimes better to be lucky than good

Maryland (-260) giving 2.5 to Rutgers (+190) at SHI Stadium?!

That game is destined to be a 1-goal game.