NCAA D3 Tournament 2022
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NCAA D3 Tournament 2022
Into April and stuff already shaping up in an incredible way. Seems hard to pinpoint teams that are safe and not, so here we are!! What do we think about the NCAA Tournament this year? Teams, predications, seeds, anything! Fire away!!
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Re: NCAA D3 Tournament 2022
I don't know a ton about the southern teams and conferences but what I do know is that the teams up North are beating the crap out of each-other and conference tournaments are going to be huge! Leagues like the NESCAC and Liberty League are well worthy of having 3 or maybe 4 teams into the tournament and even if that were possible, some good teams would be left out! If those two leagues specifically keep up this madness, the selection committee will have serious headaches when forced to pick who the 3rd and 4th teams from these leagues will be to keep playing into May!. Off the top of my head - I would argue there are 10+ teams between the LL and 'CAC who are good enough to compete in May if in a different league up North! Very excited to watch how the rankings up North finish up throughout April.
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Re: NCAA D3 Tournament 2022
I think there is a lot that is still to be seen but if I was a betting man I would say CNU comes from the south. Of course the up coming game against Salisbury will tell us more but, thus far no one has been able to even come close to beating them, outbound of an early season match vs RMC. Out of the north I think RIT or Union could be favorites- but of course the NESCA teams are always a threat. However, I worry about the defensive of these teams. CNU is in my option the most well rounded team and I wouldn't be surprised if they won it all.
Re: NCAA D3 Tournament 2022
For the NCAA tournament, is there a limit on roster size?
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Re: NCAA D3 Tournament 2022
Here’s what the numbers look like.
AQ: 26 *I Think
Atlantic East: Cabrini (8-2)
CCC: Western New England (6-4)
CCIW: Elmhurst (9-2)
Centennial: Dickinson (10-0)*
CSAC: Stockton (6-2)
Empire 8: Saint John Fisher (8-1)*
Great Northeast: Norwich (8-1)
HCAC: Southwestern (TX) (10-3)
Landmark: Catholic (6-3)
Liberty: Union (9-0)*
Little East: Western Connecticut (9-1)
MAC-Commonwealth: York (7-2)*
MAC-Freedom: Stevens Tech (4-6)
MIAA: Albion (7-3)
NCAC: Denison (6-4)
NESCAC: Bowdoin (9-0)*
NEWMAC: MIT (9-0)
North Atlantic: SUNY-Delhi (6-4)
NACC: Milwaukee School of Engineering (5-2)
OAC: John Carroll (9-1)
ODAC: Washington and Lee (6-5)
PAC: Grove City (7-4)
SAA: Centre (6-5)
Skyline: Farmingdale St. (7-0)
SUNYAC: Cortland (4-6)
USA South: Southern Virginia (7-2)
*Would likely get a pool c bid if they lost the AQ. (Assumes that they don’t lose too many critical games along the way)
Pool B: 1
1. Christopher Newport (12-0)
Win %: 100% RPI:4 SOS: 10
No brainer. Giving them the Pool B first over Salisbury. Legitimate 1st Overall Seed Contender
Regionally Ranked Wins: 8
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 11 – Roanoke, HSC, RMC, Grove City, Catholic, IWU, Gettysburg, Lynchburg, W&L, Whittier, Williams
Pool C: 10
Salisbury (11-0)
Win %: 100% RPI: 3 SOS: 18
No Brainer. 1st Overall seed Contender.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 4
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 7 – Gettysburg, Lynchburg, RMC, ONU, York, Whittier, Stevenson
RIT (9-1)
Win %: 90% RPI: 6 SOS: 8
Unlikely to lose enough games down the stretch. Already have a strong schedule and quality wins. Their SOS is likely to improve with games vs St. Lawrence, Ithaca, Union, and Clarkson remaining.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 3/4
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 5 – Muhlenberg, York, OWU, SJFC, Vassar
Gettysburg (8-3)
Win %: 73% RPI: 10 SOS: 25
3 Really quality wins and solid SOS probably gets them in barring any slip ups.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 4
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 4 – Stevenson, ONU, W&L, F&M
RPI (9-1)
Win %: 90% RPI: 8 SOS: 28
Great Record. Very average SOS so far. But a 2 very good wins and opportunity for more. Clarkson, Union, SLU and Ithaca remain.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 2
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 6 – Coast Guard, Bridgewater, Middlebury, Vassar, Skidmore, RIT
Tufts (6-2)
Win %: 75% RPI: 9 SOS: 6
Their still very much in the at-large discussion. Can probably afford at least 2 more losses. Plenty of quality win opps left on their schedule.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 3
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 2 – Lynchburg, Trinity
St. Lawrence (6-2)
Win %: 75% RPI: 11 SOS: 15
A decent resume already, but a lot of tests looming with RPI, RIT, Clarkson, and Middlebury Remaining
Regionally Ranked Wins: 2
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 2 – WNE, Ithaca
LAST FOUR IN
Franklin & Marshall (9-2)
Win %: 82% RPI: 17 SOS: 49
Weak SOS. Few Quality wins. Starting to feel like a bubble team.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 1
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 5 – Lebanon Valley, Kenyon, E-Town, Stevenson, Swarthmore
Middlebury (5-3)
Win %: 63% RPI: 15 SOS: 5
1 Really Quality win right now. No bad losses. Great SOS. They have a good remaining schedule with Wesleyan, Amherst, Williams, Babson and SLU.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 2
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 3 – Conn Coll., Trinity, Tufts
Ithaca (8-2)
Win %: 80% RPI: 15 SOS: 36
Poor SOS, it will improve. Can they get the wins?
Regionally Ranked Wins: 2
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 2 – Birmingham Southern, Clarkson
Williams (5-3)
Win %: 63% RPI: 13 SOS: 7
Team is lacking many wins past RPI. Expect the value of that win to be at an all-time high this week and fall before years end. Critical games vs Tufts, Amherst, MIT, Wesleyan, and Middlebury remain.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 1
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: Trinity, Conn. Coll, RPI
Pool C Considerations
Amherst (4-4)
Win %: 50% RPI: 16 SOS: 2
Great SOS. Average Results. Plenty of opportunity left. They’ve been 1 up 1 down all year. Need to win at least 2/3 of Williams, Wesleyan, Middlebury and probably pick up a NESCAC tourney win to have a shot.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 2
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 2 – WNE, Gettysburg
Lynchburg (6-4)
Win %: 60% RPI: 18 SOS: 48
Average record, few ranked wins. Poor SOS. Likely AQ or Bust. Denison win value took a big hit.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 2
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 4 – Greensboro, St. Mary’s, Cabrini, Denison
Stevenson (5-4)
Win %: 55% RPI: 24 SOS: 22
They’ve played a solid SOS. But that may fall. Their game vs York is a must win.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 1
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 2 – Denison, Kean
Wesleyan (6-2)
Win %: 75% RPI: 26 SOS: 40
At this point they are a long way off. No quality wins. They play 5 regionally ranked teams in their next 6 games.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 0
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 2 – Salve Regina, Coast Guard
Conn. College (3-2)
Win %: 60% RPI: 23 SOS: 12
Good SOS. 0 Quality wins. There’s many opportunities left.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 0
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 0
Muhlenberg (6-2)
Win %: 75% RPI: 33 SOS: 44
Not a good enough resume yet. Lots of chances left.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 2
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 3 – Swarthmore, Susquehanna, Transylvania
Roanoke (7-4)
Win %: 64% RPI: 21 SOS: 41
Not a strong enough resume. Must beat Lynchburg.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 2
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 4 – Catholic, HSC, OWU, UMW
If they lost their AQ would be in the discussion but would likely fall short of a Pool C.
Washington and Lee (6-5)
Win %: 55% RPI: 19 SOS: 4
Strong SOS. That will fall, but their win % will go up.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 4
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 5 – Baldwin-Wallace, HSC, Roanoke, RMC, Lynchburg
Denison
Win %: 60% RPI: 27 SOS: 38
Ok Resume, not enough big wins.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 3
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 4 – Baldwin-Wallace, W&L, Kenyon, John Carroll
Cabrini (8-2)
Win %: 80% RPI: 22 SOS: 60
Good record. 1 ok win. Wins vs Salisbury and York would be game changers. If they lose those and lost the AQ they would be nowhere near an at-large.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 1
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 1 – HSC
John Carroll (9-1)
Win %: 90% RPI: 20 SOS: 68
SOS will hurt them.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 1
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 3 – OWU, Brockport, Grove City
AQ: 26 *I Think
Atlantic East: Cabrini (8-2)
CCC: Western New England (6-4)
CCIW: Elmhurst (9-2)
Centennial: Dickinson (10-0)*
CSAC: Stockton (6-2)
Empire 8: Saint John Fisher (8-1)*
Great Northeast: Norwich (8-1)
HCAC: Southwestern (TX) (10-3)
Landmark: Catholic (6-3)
Liberty: Union (9-0)*
Little East: Western Connecticut (9-1)
MAC-Commonwealth: York (7-2)*
MAC-Freedom: Stevens Tech (4-6)
MIAA: Albion (7-3)
NCAC: Denison (6-4)
NESCAC: Bowdoin (9-0)*
NEWMAC: MIT (9-0)
North Atlantic: SUNY-Delhi (6-4)
NACC: Milwaukee School of Engineering (5-2)
OAC: John Carroll (9-1)
ODAC: Washington and Lee (6-5)
PAC: Grove City (7-4)
SAA: Centre (6-5)
Skyline: Farmingdale St. (7-0)
SUNYAC: Cortland (4-6)
USA South: Southern Virginia (7-2)
*Would likely get a pool c bid if they lost the AQ. (Assumes that they don’t lose too many critical games along the way)
Pool B: 1
1. Christopher Newport (12-0)
Win %: 100% RPI:4 SOS: 10
No brainer. Giving them the Pool B first over Salisbury. Legitimate 1st Overall Seed Contender
Regionally Ranked Wins: 8
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 11 – Roanoke, HSC, RMC, Grove City, Catholic, IWU, Gettysburg, Lynchburg, W&L, Whittier, Williams
Pool C: 10
Salisbury (11-0)
Win %: 100% RPI: 3 SOS: 18
No Brainer. 1st Overall seed Contender.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 4
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 7 – Gettysburg, Lynchburg, RMC, ONU, York, Whittier, Stevenson
RIT (9-1)
Win %: 90% RPI: 6 SOS: 8
Unlikely to lose enough games down the stretch. Already have a strong schedule and quality wins. Their SOS is likely to improve with games vs St. Lawrence, Ithaca, Union, and Clarkson remaining.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 3/4
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 5 – Muhlenberg, York, OWU, SJFC, Vassar
Gettysburg (8-3)
Win %: 73% RPI: 10 SOS: 25
3 Really quality wins and solid SOS probably gets them in barring any slip ups.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 4
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 4 – Stevenson, ONU, W&L, F&M
RPI (9-1)
Win %: 90% RPI: 8 SOS: 28
Great Record. Very average SOS so far. But a 2 very good wins and opportunity for more. Clarkson, Union, SLU and Ithaca remain.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 2
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 6 – Coast Guard, Bridgewater, Middlebury, Vassar, Skidmore, RIT
Tufts (6-2)
Win %: 75% RPI: 9 SOS: 6
Their still very much in the at-large discussion. Can probably afford at least 2 more losses. Plenty of quality win opps left on their schedule.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 3
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 2 – Lynchburg, Trinity
St. Lawrence (6-2)
Win %: 75% RPI: 11 SOS: 15
A decent resume already, but a lot of tests looming with RPI, RIT, Clarkson, and Middlebury Remaining
Regionally Ranked Wins: 2
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 2 – WNE, Ithaca
LAST FOUR IN
Franklin & Marshall (9-2)
Win %: 82% RPI: 17 SOS: 49
Weak SOS. Few Quality wins. Starting to feel like a bubble team.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 1
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 5 – Lebanon Valley, Kenyon, E-Town, Stevenson, Swarthmore
Middlebury (5-3)
Win %: 63% RPI: 15 SOS: 5
1 Really Quality win right now. No bad losses. Great SOS. They have a good remaining schedule with Wesleyan, Amherst, Williams, Babson and SLU.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 2
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 3 – Conn Coll., Trinity, Tufts
Ithaca (8-2)
Win %: 80% RPI: 15 SOS: 36
Poor SOS, it will improve. Can they get the wins?
Regionally Ranked Wins: 2
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 2 – Birmingham Southern, Clarkson
Williams (5-3)
Win %: 63% RPI: 13 SOS: 7
Team is lacking many wins past RPI. Expect the value of that win to be at an all-time high this week and fall before years end. Critical games vs Tufts, Amherst, MIT, Wesleyan, and Middlebury remain.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 1
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: Trinity, Conn. Coll, RPI
Pool C Considerations
Amherst (4-4)
Win %: 50% RPI: 16 SOS: 2
Great SOS. Average Results. Plenty of opportunity left. They’ve been 1 up 1 down all year. Need to win at least 2/3 of Williams, Wesleyan, Middlebury and probably pick up a NESCAC tourney win to have a shot.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 2
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 2 – WNE, Gettysburg
Lynchburg (6-4)
Win %: 60% RPI: 18 SOS: 48
Average record, few ranked wins. Poor SOS. Likely AQ or Bust. Denison win value took a big hit.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 2
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 4 – Greensboro, St. Mary’s, Cabrini, Denison
Stevenson (5-4)
Win %: 55% RPI: 24 SOS: 22
They’ve played a solid SOS. But that may fall. Their game vs York is a must win.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 1
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 2 – Denison, Kean
Wesleyan (6-2)
Win %: 75% RPI: 26 SOS: 40
At this point they are a long way off. No quality wins. They play 5 regionally ranked teams in their next 6 games.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 0
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 2 – Salve Regina, Coast Guard
Conn. College (3-2)
Win %: 60% RPI: 23 SOS: 12
Good SOS. 0 Quality wins. There’s many opportunities left.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 0
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 0
Muhlenberg (6-2)
Win %: 75% RPI: 33 SOS: 44
Not a good enough resume yet. Lots of chances left.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 2
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 3 – Swarthmore, Susquehanna, Transylvania
Roanoke (7-4)
Win %: 64% RPI: 21 SOS: 41
Not a strong enough resume. Must beat Lynchburg.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 2
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 4 – Catholic, HSC, OWU, UMW
If they lost their AQ would be in the discussion but would likely fall short of a Pool C.
Washington and Lee (6-5)
Win %: 55% RPI: 19 SOS: 4
Strong SOS. That will fall, but their win % will go up.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 4
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 5 – Baldwin-Wallace, HSC, Roanoke, RMC, Lynchburg
Denison
Win %: 60% RPI: 27 SOS: 38
Ok Resume, not enough big wins.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 3
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 4 – Baldwin-Wallace, W&L, Kenyon, John Carroll
Cabrini (8-2)
Win %: 80% RPI: 22 SOS: 60
Good record. 1 ok win. Wins vs Salisbury and York would be game changers. If they lose those and lost the AQ they would be nowhere near an at-large.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 1
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 1 – HSC
John Carroll (9-1)
Win %: 90% RPI: 20 SOS: 68
SOS will hurt them.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 1
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 3 – OWU, Brockport, Grove City
Last edited by InsiderRoll on Mon Apr 04, 2022 9:10 pm, edited 1 time in total.
- DeepPocket
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Re: NCAA D3 Tournament 2022
That’s some nice work!InsiderRoll wrote: ↑Mon Apr 04, 2022 8:31 pm Here’s what the numbers look like.
AQ: 26 *I Think
Atlantic East: Cabrini (8-2)
CCC: Western New England (6-4)
CCIW: Elmhurst (9-2)
Centennial: Dickinson (10-0)*
CSAC: Stockton (6-2)
Empire 8: Saint John Fisher (8-1)*
Great Northeast: Norwich (8-1)
HCAC: Southwestern (TX) (10-3)
Landmark: Catholic (6-3)
Liberty: Union (9-0)*
Little East: Western Connecticut (9-1)
MAC-Commonwealth: York (7-2)*
MAC-Freedom: Stevens Tech (4-6)
MIAA: Albion (7-3)
NCAC: Denison (6-4)
NESCAC: Bowdoin (9-0)*
NEWMAC: MIT (9-0)
North Atlantic: SUNY-Delhi (6-4)
NACC: Milwaukee School of Engineering (5-2)
OAC: John Carroll (9-1)
ODAC: Washington and Lee (6-5)
PAC: Grove City (7-4)
SAA: Centre (6-5)
Skyline: Farmingdale St. (7-0)
SUNYAC: Cortland (4-6)
USA South: Southern Virginia (7-2)
*Would likely get a pool c bid if they lost the AQ. (Assumes that they don’t lose too many critical games along the way)
Pool B: 1
1. Christopher Newport (12-0)
Win %: 100% RPI:4 SOS: 10
No brainer. Giving them the Pool B first over Salisbury. Legitimate 1st Overall Seed Contender
Regionally Ranked Wins: 8
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 11 – Roanoke, HSC, RMC, Grove City, Catholic, IWU, Gettysburg, Lynchburg, W&L, Whittier, Williams
Pool C: 10
Salisbury (11-0)
Win %: 100% RPI: 3 SOS: 18
No Brainer. 1st Overall seed Contender.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 4
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 7 – Gettysburg, Lynchburg, RMC, ONU, York, Whittier, Stevenson
RIT (9-1)
Win %: 90% RPI: 6 SOS: 8
Unlikely to lose enough games down the stretch. Already have a strong schedule and quality wins. Their SOS is likely to improve with games vs St. Lawrence, Ithaca, Union, and Clarkson remaining.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 3/4
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 5 – Muhlenberg, York, OWU, SJFC, Vassar
Gettysburg (8-3)
Win %: 73% RPI: 10 SOS: 25
3 Really quality wins and solid SOS probably gets them in barring any slip ups.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 4
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 4 – Stevenson, ONU, W&L, F&M
RPI (9-1)
Win %: 90% RPI: 8 SOS: 28
Great Record. Very average SOS so far. But a 2 very good wins and opportunity for more. Clarkson, Union, SLU and Ithaca remain.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 2
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 6 – Coast Guard, Bridgewater, Middlebury, Vassar, Skidmore, RIT
Tufts (6-2)
Win %: 75% RPI: 9 SOS: 6
Their still very much in the at-large discussion. Can probably afford at least 2 more losses. Plenty of quality win opps left on their schedule.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 3
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 2 – Lynchburg, Trinity
St. Lawrence (6-2)
Win %: 75% RPI: 11 SOS: 15
A decent resume already, but a lot of tests looming with RPI, RIT, Clarkson, and Middlebury Remaining
Regionally Ranked Wins: 2
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 2 – WNE, Ithaca
LAST FOUR IN
Franklin & Marshall (9-2)
Win %: 82% RPI: 17 SOS: 49
Weak SOS. Few Quality wins. Starting to feel like a bubble team.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 1
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 5 – Lebanon Valley, Kenyon, E-Town, Stevenson, Swarthmore
Middlebury (5-3)
Win %: 63% RPI: 15 SOS: 5
1 Really Quality win right now. No bad losses. Great SOS. They have a good remaining schedule with Wesleyan, Amherst, Williams, Babson and SLU.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 2
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 3 – Conn Coll., Trinity, Tufts
Ithaca (8-2)
Win %: 80% RPI: 15 SOS: 36
Poor SOS, it will improve. Can they get the wins?
Regionally Ranked Wins: 2
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 2 – Birmingham Southern, Clarkson
Williams (5-3)
Win %: 63% RPI: 13 SOS: 7
Team is lacking many wins past RPI. Expect the value of that win to be at an all-time high this week and fall before years end. Critical games vs Tufts, Amherst, MIT, Wesleyan, and Middlebury remain.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 1
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: Trinity, Conn. Coll, RPI
Pool C Considerations
Amherst (4-4)
Win %: 50% RPI: 16 SOS: 2
Great SOS. Average Results. Plenty of opportunity left. They’ve been 1 up 1 down all year. Need to win at least 2/3 of Williams, Wesleyan, Middlebury and probably pick up a NESCAC tourney win to have a shot.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 2
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 2 – WNE, Gettysburg
Lynchburg
Win %: 60% RPI: 18 SOS: 48
Average record, few ranked wins. Poor SOS. Likely AQ or Bust. Denison win value took a big hit.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 2
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 4 – Greensboro, St. Mary’s, Cabrini, Denison
Stevenson (5-4)
Win %: 55% RPI: 24 SOS: 22
They’ve played a solid SOS. But that may fall. Their game vs York is a must win.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 1
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 2 – Denison, Kean
Wesleyan (6-2)
Win %: 75% RPI: 26 SOS: 40
At this point they are a long way off. No quality wins. They play 5 regionally ranked teams in their next 6 games.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 0
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 2 – Salve Regina, Coast Guard
Conn. College (3-2)
Win %: 60% RPI: 23 SOS: 12
Good SOS. 0 Quality wins. There’s many opportunities left.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 0
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 0
Muhlenberg (6-2)
Win %: 75% RPI: 33 SOS: 44
Not a good enough resume yet. Lots of chances left.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 2
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 3 – Swarthmore, Susquehanna, Transylvania
Roanoke (7-4)
Win %: 64% RPI: 21 SOS: 41
Not a strong enough resume. Must beat Lynchburg.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 2
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 4 – Catholic, HSC, OWU, UMW
If they lost their AQ would be in the discussion but would likely fall short of a Pool C.
Washington and Lee (6-5)
Win %: 55% RPI: 19 SOS: 4
Strong SOS. That will fall, but their win % will go up.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 4
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 5 – Baldwin-Wallace, HSC, Roanoke, RMC, Lynchburg
Denison
Win %: 60% RPI: 27 SOS: 38
Ok Resume, not enough big wins.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 3
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 4 – Baldwin-Wallace, W&L, Kenyon, John Carroll
Cabrini (8-2)
Win %: 80% RPI: 22 SOS: 60
Good record. 1 ok win. Wins vs Salisbury and York would be game changers. If they lose those and lost the AQ they would be nowhere near an at-large.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 1
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 1 – HSC
John Carroll (9-1)
Win %: 90% RPI: 20 SOS: 68
SOS will hurt them.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 1
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 3 – OWU, Brockport, Grove City
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Re: NCAA D3 Tournament 2022
Very nice, thank you.
Re: NCAA D3 Tournament 2022
Yes extremely helpful! I am going to print it and save it for selection day because I am sure I will be confused as h*ll. I know the records will have changed and there will be some upsets but that is a solid start.
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Re: NCAA D3 Tournament 2022
This is great. If you have time to do this each week or every other week between now and selection day that would be awesome.
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Re: NCAA D3 Tournament 2022
You did the lord’s work!! Thanks so much for this. Very interesting how it stands right nowInsiderRoll wrote: ↑Mon Apr 04, 2022 8:31 pm Here’s what the numbers look like.
AQ: 26 *I Think
Atlantic East: Cabrini (8-2)
CCC: Western New England (6-4)
CCIW: Elmhurst (9-2)
Centennial: Dickinson (10-0)*
CSAC: Stockton (6-2)
Empire 8: Saint John Fisher (8-1)*
Great Northeast: Norwich (8-1)
HCAC: Southwestern (TX) (10-3)
Landmark: Catholic (6-3)
Liberty: Union (9-0)*
Little East: Western Connecticut (9-1)
MAC-Commonwealth: York (7-2)*
MAC-Freedom: Stevens Tech (4-6)
MIAA: Albion (7-3)
NCAC: Denison (6-4)
NESCAC: Bowdoin (9-0)*
NEWMAC: MIT (9-0)
North Atlantic: SUNY-Delhi (6-4)
NACC: Milwaukee School of Engineering (5-2)
OAC: John Carroll (9-1)
ODAC: Washington and Lee (6-5)
PAC: Grove City (7-4)
SAA: Centre (6-5)
Skyline: Farmingdale St. (7-0)
SUNYAC: Cortland (4-6)
USA South: Southern Virginia (7-2)
*Would likely get a pool c bid if they lost the AQ. (Assumes that they don’t lose too many critical games along the way)
Pool B: 1
1. Christopher Newport (12-0)
Win %: 100% RPI:4 SOS: 10
No brainer. Giving them the Pool B first over Salisbury. Legitimate 1st Overall Seed Contender
Regionally Ranked Wins: 8
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 11 – Roanoke, HSC, RMC, Grove City, Catholic, IWU, Gettysburg, Lynchburg, W&L, Whittier, Williams
Pool C: 10
Salisbury (11-0)
Win %: 100% RPI: 3 SOS: 18
No Brainer. 1st Overall seed Contender.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 4
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 7 – Gettysburg, Lynchburg, RMC, ONU, York, Whittier, Stevenson
RIT (9-1)
Win %: 90% RPI: 6 SOS: 8
Unlikely to lose enough games down the stretch. Already have a strong schedule and quality wins. Their SOS is likely to improve with games vs St. Lawrence, Ithaca, Union, and Clarkson remaining.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 3/4
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 5 – Muhlenberg, York, OWU, SJFC, Vassar
Gettysburg (8-3)
Win %: 73% RPI: 10 SOS: 25
3 Really quality wins and solid SOS probably gets them in barring any slip ups.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 4
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 4 – Stevenson, ONU, W&L, F&M
RPI (9-1)
Win %: 90% RPI: 8 SOS: 28
Great Record. Very average SOS so far. But a 2 very good wins and opportunity for more. Clarkson, Union, SLU and Ithaca remain.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 2
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 6 – Coast Guard, Bridgewater, Middlebury, Vassar, Skidmore, RIT
Tufts (6-2)
Win %: 75% RPI: 9 SOS: 6
Their still very much in the at-large discussion. Can probably afford at least 2 more losses. Plenty of quality win opps left on their schedule.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 3
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 2 – Lynchburg, Trinity
St. Lawrence (6-2)
Win %: 75% RPI: 11 SOS: 15
A decent resume already, but a lot of tests looming with RPI, RIT, Clarkson, and Middlebury Remaining
Regionally Ranked Wins: 2
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 2 – WNE, Ithaca
LAST FOUR IN
Franklin & Marshall (9-2)
Win %: 82% RPI: 17 SOS: 49
Weak SOS. Few Quality wins. Starting to feel like a bubble team.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 1
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 5 – Lebanon Valley, Kenyon, E-Town, Stevenson, Swarthmore
Middlebury (5-3)
Win %: 63% RPI: 15 SOS: 5
1 Really Quality win right now. No bad losses. Great SOS. They have a good remaining schedule with Wesleyan, Amherst, Williams, Babson and SLU.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 2
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 3 – Conn Coll., Trinity, Tufts
Ithaca (8-2)
Win %: 80% RPI: 15 SOS: 36
Poor SOS, it will improve. Can they get the wins?
Regionally Ranked Wins: 2
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 2 – Birmingham Southern, Clarkson
Williams (5-3)
Win %: 63% RPI: 13 SOS: 7
Team is lacking many wins past RPI. Expect the value of that win to be at an all-time high this week and fall before years end. Critical games vs Tufts, Amherst, MIT, Wesleyan, and Middlebury remain.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 1
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: Trinity, Conn. Coll, RPI
Pool C Considerations
Amherst (4-4)
Win %: 50% RPI: 16 SOS: 2
Great SOS. Average Results. Plenty of opportunity left. They’ve been 1 up 1 down all year. Need to win at least 2/3 of Williams, Wesleyan, Middlebury and probably pick up a NESCAC tourney win to have a shot.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 2
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 2 – WNE, Gettysburg
Lynchburg (6-4)
Win %: 60% RPI: 18 SOS: 48
Average record, few ranked wins. Poor SOS. Likely AQ or Bust. Denison win value took a big hit.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 2
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 4 – Greensboro, St. Mary’s, Cabrini, Denison
Stevenson (5-4)
Win %: 55% RPI: 24 SOS: 22
They’ve played a solid SOS. But that may fall. Their game vs York is a must win.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 1
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 2 – Denison, Kean
Wesleyan (6-2)
Win %: 75% RPI: 26 SOS: 40
At this point they are a long way off. No quality wins. They play 5 regionally ranked teams in their next 6 games.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 0
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 2 – Salve Regina, Coast Guard
Conn. College (3-2)
Win %: 60% RPI: 23 SOS: 12
Good SOS. 0 Quality wins. There’s many opportunities left.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 0
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 0
Muhlenberg (6-2)
Win %: 75% RPI: 33 SOS: 44
Not a good enough resume yet. Lots of chances left.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 2
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 3 – Swarthmore, Susquehanna, Transylvania
Roanoke (7-4)
Win %: 64% RPI: 21 SOS: 41
Not a strong enough resume. Must beat Lynchburg.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 2
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 4 – Catholic, HSC, OWU, UMW
If they lost their AQ would be in the discussion but would likely fall short of a Pool C.
Washington and Lee (6-5)
Win %: 55% RPI: 19 SOS: 4
Strong SOS. That will fall, but their win % will go up.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 4
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 5 – Baldwin-Wallace, HSC, Roanoke, RMC, Lynchburg
Denison
Win %: 60% RPI: 27 SOS: 38
Ok Resume, not enough big wins.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 3
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 4 – Baldwin-Wallace, W&L, Kenyon, John Carroll
Cabrini (8-2)
Win %: 80% RPI: 22 SOS: 60
Good record. 1 ok win. Wins vs Salisbury and York would be game changers. If they lose those and lost the AQ they would be nowhere near an at-large.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 1
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 1 – HSC
John Carroll (9-1)
Win %: 90% RPI: 20 SOS: 68
SOS will hurt them.
Regionally Ranked Wins: 1
Wins vs Teams w/Winning Records: 3 – OWU, Brockport, Grove City
Re: NCAA D3 Tournament 2022
Maybe one of the best posts I've ever seen on the FanLax forums. A sincere than you for this breakdown.
Seriously, this rivals what D-III used to post back on the LaxPower forums, though to be honest your post has considerably more detail. Just superb...
Re: NCAA D3 Tournament 2022
Quite a breakdown, much appreciated!
Re: NCAA D3 Tournament 2022
Seems like a good time to bring this thread back to the top! Looking at the Laxpower tournament probabilities is very interesting, but I think there may be a major flaw in their calculations. Since Salisbury lost to CNU, they are listed as having ~5% chance of making the tournament, which is obviously incorrect. I'm guessing this calculation is treating them as only eligible for the Pool B bid (which will go to CNU), but not as a Pool C candidate as well?
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Re: NCAA D3 Tournament 2022
Does anybody know when the first round of regional rankings will be released by the NCAA?
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Re: NCAA D3 Tournament 2022
Great overview, I assume the ODAC will send their AQ and that will probably be it.
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Re: NCAA D3 Tournament 2022
DII regional rankings are out. DIII is there in part, but the ranked teams are listed alphabetically, not in ranked order.
https://www.ncaa.com/rankings/lacrosse- ... l-rankings
https://www.ncaa.com/rankings/lacrosse- ... l-rankings
MAC - The SEC of DIII lacrosse.
Re: NCAA D3 Tournament 2022
What is the ranking criteria?
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Re: NCAA D3 Tournament 2022
Not knocking any of these teams, but I'm not sure how these work.
St Mary's, even with a weaker overall SoS, have a win over a regionally ranked team (R-MC) and some similarly (or better) games against other ranked teams. Seems they are at least deserving of a spot, even if it's at the bottom of the region. Guess that one goal loss up at Morrisville hurt?
https://smcmathletics.com/sports/mlax/schedule
St Mary's, even with a weaker overall SoS, have a win over a regionally ranked team (R-MC) and some similarly (or better) games against other ranked teams. Seems they are at least deserving of a spot, even if it's at the bottom of the region. Guess that one goal loss up at Morrisville hurt?
https://smcmathletics.com/sports/mlax/schedule