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Final Four Predictions (Poll)

Posted: Fri Nov 15, 2019 11:19 am
by Cooter
What are your predictions for the Final Four?
As it is early, if there are major injuries you will, of course, be allowed to change them up to the end of February without major penalty.
** Note: in the poll above, I chose the option that you can change your vote at a later time. :idea:

My Picks:
Penn State - Looked good against UVa in fall ball. Ament, O'Keefe and Foulds gives PSU one of the top Attack units in D1. Midfield scoring looked a little off against UVa, but PSU was without Jack Kelly, and will also have rs senior Kevin Hill back in the spring, to go with returning starter TJ Malone. Sophomore Seamus Glynn looked good off the bench for PSU against UVa. Defense is a little more questionable, although they had a solid effort against UVa in fall ball. Colby Kneese returns in goal, and Gerard Arceri at face-offs.

Virginia - Like PSU, loaded on the offense with Aitken, Kraus, Laviano, and Matt Moore returning. Peyton Cormier looked good in fall ball. Then you have the top recruit in Connor Shellenberger and Jeff Connor to fill in the offense. Face-offs just gets stronger for UVa with the addition of Gavin Tygh to go with Petey Lasalla and Justin Schwenk. Close defense looked iffy against PSU in fall ball but UVa was without starter Cade Sausted, still UVa will very likely start a freshman, if things get really bad Tiffany might be forced to move star LSM Jared Conners to close. Alex Rode returns in goal.

Maryland - Another team loaded with offense. All-Americans Jared Bernhardt, Logan Wisnauskas, Bubba Fairman, and Anthony DeMaio all return. Kyle Long, also returns, after having a nice freshman season getting his feet wet. The Terps have a number of good freshmen: Nick DeMaio, Dylan Pallonetti, Jack Sawyer, ... along with sophomore Josh Coffman to fill out the offense. Freshmen Conor Calderone joins with Justin Shockey to handle the face-offs. Close defense is a little iffy for the Terps too. Brett Makar leads the unit and Jack Welding should return to form. Terps bring in transfer NIck Grill and I think Jack DeSantis might step up this year. Drew Morris looks like the frontrunner in goal, but has Chris Brandau and Logan McNaney to contend with.

Syracuse - Syracuse adds transfer Chase Scanlan from Loyola, which should really light up their offense. Rehfuss, Trimboli, Curry, Lipka, Buttermore, and Griffin Cook return on the offense. Syracuse is also looking for the return of Tucker Dordevic from inury. Nick Mellen leads the defense. Jakob Phaup and Danny Varello return on face-offs and Drake Porter returns in goal.

Re: Final Four Predictions (Poll)

Posted: Fri Nov 15, 2019 11:35 am
by Wheels
I like your FF4, Cooter. I really think people are sleeping on Syracuse. Even before the addition of Scanlan, they looked ready to break out again next year. Add Scanlan and they got more complete.

Re: Final Four Predictions (Poll)

Posted: Fri Nov 15, 2019 12:35 pm
by HopFan16
Wheels wrote: Fri Nov 15, 2019 11:35 am I like your FF4, Cooter. I really think people are sleeping on Syracuse. Even before the addition of Scanlan, they looked ready to break out again next year. Add Scanlan and they got more complete.
Who is sleeping on them? They've been an extremely popular preseason Final Four pick if you've been paying attention to social media and the various lax blogs.

One team I think is actually being slept on, as much as it pains me to say, is UNC. They had a bunch of young guys on offense last year and I think it showed. But over the final month or so if the season they looked like a different team—beating Duke and Syracuse and losing two 1-goal games to Virginia (they really should have won that second one—completely choked the game away). Now they add Chris Gray? Going to be significantly improved. Not sure about Final Four yet but I wouldn't be shocked to see them end up there.

Besides that the usual suspects—Virginia, Penn State, Yale—seem like good places to start. Penn State simply must make the Final Four with that roster they bring back.

Re: Final Four Predictions (Poll)

Posted: Fri Nov 15, 2019 12:53 pm
by Cooter
HopFan16 wrote: Fri Nov 15, 2019 12:35 pm Besides that the usual suspects—Virginia, Penn State, Yale—seem like good places to start. Penn State simply must make the Final Four with that roster they bring back.
Wouldn't UMd having been in 5 of the last 6 final fours be a usual suspect?

Re: Final Four Predictions (Poll)

Posted: Fri Nov 15, 2019 1:12 pm
by HopFan16
Cooter wrote: Fri Nov 15, 2019 12:53 pm
HopFan16 wrote: Fri Nov 15, 2019 12:35 pm Besides that the usual suspects—Virginia, Penn State, Yale—seem like good places to start. Penn State simply must make the Final Four with that roster they bring back.
Wouldn't UMd having been in 5 of the last 6 final fours be a usual suspect?
If they fix the defense, sure.

But I think those other three are in their own tier right now.

Re: Final Four Predictions (Poll)

Posted: Fri Nov 15, 2019 2:13 pm
by FannOLax
If we're being asked to predict the Final Four, shouldn't we get to vote for four teams, not just one?

Re: Final Four Predictions (Poll)

Posted: Fri Nov 15, 2019 2:14 pm
by Cooter
HopFan16 wrote: Fri Nov 15, 2019 1:12 pm
Cooter wrote: Fri Nov 15, 2019 12:53 pm
HopFan16 wrote: Fri Nov 15, 2019 12:35 pm Besides that the usual suspects—Virginia, Penn State, Yale—seem like good places to start. Penn State simply must make the Final Four with that roster they bring back.
Wouldn't UMd having been in 5 of the last 6 final fours be a usual suspect?
If they fix the defense, sure.

But I think those other three are in their own tier right now.
That you, especially being a Hopkin's fan, choose to leave UMd out of your choices for the final four is your opinion. I was questioning your lingo "Usual Suspects", when UMd has been in 5 of the last 6 final fours, while PSU was in their first final four ever last year, and UVa was in their first final four in the past 7 years last season. Even with Yale, you have a team that has only been in the final four twice in the last 10 years, although those 2 have been the previous 2 seasons.
Concerning your more recent comment, Tillman has been to the final four 7 of his 9 years at UMd, often handling problems on the level of fixing the defense.

Re: Final Four Predictions (Poll)

Posted: Fri Nov 15, 2019 2:21 pm
by Cooter
FannOLax wrote: Fri Nov 15, 2019 2:13 pm If we're being asked to predict the Final Four, shouldn't we get to vote for four teams, not just one?
They limit polls to just 10 teams and I thought that was a little too restrictive for picking final fours, but not quite so restrictive towards picking an overall champion.
So the poll and topic do not jive, but one still has the idea of making predictions about next season.

Re: Final Four Predictions (Poll)

Posted: Fri Nov 15, 2019 2:23 pm
by HopFan16
Cooter wrote: Fri Nov 15, 2019 2:14 pm
HopFan16 wrote: Fri Nov 15, 2019 1:12 pm
Cooter wrote: Fri Nov 15, 2019 12:53 pm
HopFan16 wrote: Fri Nov 15, 2019 12:35 pm Besides that the usual suspects—Virginia, Penn State, Yale—seem like good places to start. Penn State simply must make the Final Four with that roster they bring back.
Wouldn't UMd having been in 5 of the last 6 final fours be a usual suspect?
If they fix the defense, sure.

But I think those other three are in their own tier right now.
That you, especially being a Hopkin's fan, choose to leave UMd out of your choices for the final four is your opinion. I was questioning your lingo "Usual Suspects", when UMd has been in 5 of the last 6 final fours, while PSU was in their first final four ever last year, and UVa was in their first final four in the past 7 years last season. Even with Yale, you have a team that has only been in the final four twice in the last 10 years, although those 2 have been the previous 2 seasons.
Concerning your more recent comment, Tillman has been to the final four 7 of his 9 years at UMd, often handling problems on the level of fixing the defense.
God you have the thinnest skin don't you. Sorry I didn't pick your guys? Hopkins beat them twice last year so they can't be that good. I think there are better teams. That's all. It's going to be okay.

Re: Final Four Predictions (Poll)

Posted: Fri Nov 15, 2019 2:33 pm
by Cooter
HopFan16 wrote: Fri Nov 15, 2019 2:23 pm God you have the thinnest skin don't you. Sorry I didn't pick your guys? Hopkins beat them twice last year so they can't be that good. I think there are better teams. That's all. It's going to be okay.
I only object to your not giving UMd their due as one of the "Usual Suspects" for the final four, which UMd has earned on the field over the past 9 seasons under Tillman. How many final fours has Hopkins been in over that nine season period?

I don't object to you (or anyone) not picking UMd for your final four prediction. (You'll probably be wrong of course. :lol: )

Anyways is Syracuse your 4th team or do you wish to go with someone else?

Re: Final Four Predictions (Poll)

Posted: Fri Nov 15, 2019 2:43 pm
by FannOLax
HopFan16 wrote: Fri Nov 15, 2019 12:35 pm [...
Besides that the usual suspects—Virginia, Penn State, Yale—seem like good places to start. Penn State simply must make the Final Four with that roster they bring back.
There definitely appears to be a consensus about Virginia, Penn State and Yale. However, last season Penn beat Yale two out of three (all one-goal games, two of them decided in OT), which shows that there can be very fine margins between Final Four and not playing Memorial Day weekend. Syracuse looks like a serious threat to make the Final Four, while Maryland belongs in the conversation. Duke? Maybe. I wouldn't rule out Penn. It's been a while since a school has won back-to-back national championships (Duke in '13 and '14), but things could break UVa's way. A team with a 9-5 record could get hot at the right time, as North Carolina did in 2016. It should be a fun season!

Re: Final Four Predictions (Poll)

Posted: Fri Nov 15, 2019 3:00 pm
by HooDat
Virginia
Cornell
Duke
Penn

Re: Final Four Predictions (Poll)

Posted: Fri Nov 15, 2019 3:34 pm
by laxrules
Cooter wrote: Fri Nov 15, 2019 11:19 am What are your predictions for the Final Four?
As it is early, if there are major injuries you will, of course, be allowed to change them up to the end of February without major penalty.
** Note: in the poll above, I chose the option that you can change your vote at a later time. :idea:

My Picks:
Penn State - Looked good against UVa in fall ball. Ament, O'Keefe and Foulds gives PSU one of the top Attack units in D1. Midfield scoring looked a little off against UVa, but PSU was without Jack Kelly, and will also have rs senior Kevin Hill back in the spring, to go with returning starter TJ Malone. Sophomore Seamus Glynn looked good off the bench for PSU against UVa. Defense is a little more questionable, although they had a solid effort against UVa in fall ball. Colby Kneese returns in goal, and Gerard Arceri at face-offs.

Virginia - Like PSU, loaded on the offense with Aitken, Kraus, Laviano, and Matt Moore returning. Peyton Cormier looked good in fall ball. Then you have the top recruit in Connor Shellenberger and Jeff Connor to fill in the offense. Face-offs just gets stronger for UVa with the addition of Gavin Tygh to go with Petey Lasalla and Justin Schwenk. Close defense looked iffy against PSU in fall ball but UVa was without starter Cade Sausted, still UVa will very likely start a freshman, if things get really bad Tiffany might be forced to move star LSM Jared Conners to close. Alex Rode returns in goal.

Maryland - Another team loaded with offense. All-Americans Jared Bernhardt, Logan Wisnauskas, Bubba Fairman, and Anthony DeMaio all return. Kyle Long, also returns, after having a nice freshman season getting his feet wet. The Terps have a number of good freshmen: Nick DeMaio, Dylan Pallonetti, Jack Sawyer, ... along with sophomore Josh Coffman to fill out the offense. Freshmen Conor Calderone joins with Justin Shockey to handle the face-offs. Close defense is a little iffy for the Terps too. Brett Makar leads the unit and Jack Welding should return to form. Terps bring in transfer NIck Grill and I think Jack DeSantis might step up this year. Drew Morris looks like the frontrunner in goal, but has Chris Brandau and Logan McNaney to contend with.

Syracuse - Syracuse adds transfer Chase Scanlan from Loyola, which should really light up their offense. Rehfuss, Trimboli, Curry, Lipka, Buttermore, and Griffin Cook return on the offense. Syracuse is also looking for the return of Tucker Dordevic from inury. Nick Mellen leads the defense. Jakob Phaup and Danny Varello return on face-offs and Drake Porter returns in goal.
That is my 4 too!!

Re: Final Four Predictions (Poll)

Posted: Fri Nov 15, 2019 7:11 pm
by calourie
should have a chance to vote "other" if accompanied by a comment, though my fave 4 are definitely included: Yale, State, UVA and Syracuse

Re: Final Four Predictions (Poll)

Posted: Fri Nov 15, 2019 7:55 pm
by Cooter
FannOLax wrote: Fri Nov 15, 2019 2:43 pm
HopFan16 wrote: Fri Nov 15, 2019 12:35 pm [...
Besides that the usual suspects—Virginia, Penn State, Yale—seem like good places to start. Penn State simply must make the Final Four with that roster they bring back.
There definitely appears to be a consensus about Virginia, Penn State and Yale. However, last season Penn beat Yale two out of three (all one-goal games, two of them decided in OT), which shows that there can be very fine margins between Final Four and not playing Memorial Day weekend. Syracuse looks like a serious threat to make the Final Four, while Maryland belongs in the conversation. Duke? Maybe. I wouldn't rule out Penn. It's been a while since a school has won back-to-back national championships (Duke in '13 and '14), but things could break UVa's way. A team with a 9-5 record could get hot at the right time, as North Carolina did in 2016. It should be a fun season!
Actually, there has been a lot of shiftiness in the final four recently: (# of repeats from prevous season.)
[2014 Duke, Denver, Notre Dame, Maryland]
2015 Notre Dame, Denver, Maryland, Johns Hopkins (3)
2016 Maryland, Brown, UNC, Loyola (1)
2017 Maryland, Denver, Ohio State, Towson (1)
2018 Maryland, Duke, Yale, Albany (1)
2019 Penn State, Yale, Virginia, Duke (2)

The Virginia-UMd quarterfinal game was an overtime game also.
I don't really see a 3 team top tier, and as far as making the final four it seems very likely that someone unexpected will rise up and make it.

Re: Final Four Predictions (Poll)

Posted: Fri Nov 15, 2019 9:02 pm
by wgdsr
Cooter wrote: Fri Nov 15, 2019 2:33 pm
HopFan16 wrote: Fri Nov 15, 2019 2:23 pm God you have the thinnest skin don't you. Sorry I didn't pick your guys? Hopkins beat them twice last year so they can't be that good. I think there are better teams. That's all. It's going to be okay.
I only object to your not giving UMd their due as one of the "Usual Suspects" for the final four, which UMd has earned on the field over the past 9 seasons under Tillman. How many final fours has Hopkins been in over that nine season period?

I don't object to you (or anyone) not picking UMd for your final four prediction. (You'll probably be wrong of course. :lol: )

Anyways is Syracuse your 4th team or do you wish to go with someone else?
everyone's ff run ends. virginia's did. duke's did before maybe ramping up again. notre dame and denver were in the mix for a while. princeton's did. and of course syracuse's did.
maybe hopfan is getting in at the right time. given how umd closed the season, you can't blame him.
plus by usual suspects he could mean the 3 teams that have been quoted most often of late.
the field is much deeper than that, and each of those 3 also have their flaws defensively, but they each seem to be more explosive offensively than the terps. all pre-season, of course.

Re: Final Four Predictions (Poll)

Posted: Fri Nov 15, 2019 9:59 pm
by Cooter
wgdsr wrote: Fri Nov 15, 2019 9:02 pm plus by usual suspects he could mean the 3 teams that have been quoted most often of late.
He could have just said that. Instead, it appeared like the usual sort of snide Hopkins' comment I have had to read for the last 20 years on lax forums.
wgdsr wrote: Fri Nov 15, 2019 9:02 pm the field is much deeper than that, and each of those 3 also have their flaws defensively, but they each seem to be more explosive offensively than the terps. all pre-season, of course.
I don't know that I believe that is true. PSU showed a particularly explosive offense last season, so I would agree with that part of your statement, but I wouldn't really agree with Yale or UVa. I tend to believe UMd's inconsistency at face-offs tended to do them in.

I would also point out to you that while UMd lost a nice contributor, Louis Dubick, from their offense, Virginia lost a first team All-American Ryan Conrad and a nice contributor Mikey Herring from theirs. PSU lost 2nd team All-American Nick Spillane from their offense. Yale lost HM AA Tigh and a couple other significant contributors. So are you talking about next season or last season?

Re: Final Four Predictions (Poll)

Posted: Fri Nov 15, 2019 11:11 pm
by wgdsr
i have a decent understanding of hoos been lost and who's back.

we are talking about next season, right? that's who's back as well as how teams play. and can be found in last season for clues. my guess without looking it up is umd scored less than those 3.

more to the point, when they needed to turn it on, (behind or d was struggling to make stops) they were able to.

at this point, umd is in show me mode for that if their d isn't up to their normal standard. most of that answer for all 4 we may not get until the end of the year when it's big boy time.

Re: Final Four Predictions (Poll)

Posted: Sat Nov 16, 2019 9:48 am
by ABV 8.3%
wgdsr wrote: Fri Nov 15, 2019 11:11 pm i have a decent understanding of hoos been lost and who's back.

we are talking about next season, right? that's who's back as well as how teams play. and can be found in last season for clues. my guess without looking it up is umd scored less than those 3.

more to the point, when they needed to turn it on, (behind or d was struggling to make stops) they were able to.

at this point, umd is in show me mode for that if their d isn't up to their normal standard. most of that answer for all 4 we may not get until the end of the year when it's big boy time.
Terps were fine last year.

Speaking of last year.....anyone know of a place that tracks LACROSSE stats. More to the point, how many shot clock violations were there last year? Guess the N$aa to busy contracting with an artist to sell the likeness of a 19 year old hoops player instead of compiling stats.

Re: Final Four Predictions (Poll)

Posted: Sat Nov 16, 2019 10:41 am
by Cooter
wgdsr wrote: Fri Nov 15, 2019 11:11 pm i have a decent understanding of hoos been lost and who's back.

we are talking about next season, right? that's who's back as well as how teams play. and can be found in last season for clues. my guess without looking it up is umd scored less than those 3.

more to the point, when they needed to turn it on, (behind or d was struggling to make stops) they were able to.

at this point, umd is in show me mode for that if their d isn't up to their normal standard. most of that answer for all 4 we may not get until the end of the year when it's big boy time.
You might have a decent understanding, but you forgot about it. You stepped in it, and I caught you.
Without Conrad, UVa is in a show me mode also. :idea: