Re: Championship-ND Vs. MD On Monday, 05/27, At 1:00 PM
Posted: Sun May 26, 2024 12:35 pm
Looking forward to watching this game on mute ..... Q / Carcaterra are just too much. Mark Dixon is a much better.
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That's a good point, and I clearly overstated the likelihood of faceoffs being 50/50. ND's Hagstrom was 1 for 8 when they played before, while Lynch was 66% on the day. I am sure Lynch will take every faceoff if he is healthy. However . . . I'm no faceoff technician, but Wierman is feeling it and playing extremely well right now, so I don't expect him to lose 2 to 1 to Lynch this time around. But he could; and if he does, it's hard to imagine Maryland being able to overcome the deficit in possessions.BetweenTheLines wrote: ↑Sat May 25, 2024 11:51 pmColin Hagstrom took a good chunk of those face-offs. Lynch was 12 of 18.The Orfling wrote: ↑Sat May 25, 2024 10:10 pmI think Maryland could win, but it's still a tall order. Notre Dame is loaded with talent, has experience, has a great FOGO/goalie combination, and maybe the best extra man offense in memory. That's a lot to overcome. Wierman is playing great ball right now but was actually slightly below 50% (12 for 25) against Lynch earlier this season (the teams were exactly 50-50 overall); it's accordingly hard to imagine a big edge in faceoffs as was the case against UVA.Finster wrote: ↑Sat May 25, 2024 6:12 pm The lack of respect to Coach Tillman, man.
He’s seen ND once already. That’s worth 4-5 goals.
This guy is not going to be out-coached Monday. Not by Corrigan.
Draftkings has ND by 3.
Faceoff will tell some of the story, but not all (assuming it’s close to 50/50 this time).
I think the game comes down to Entenmann versus McNaney.
Things that will probably be the same last time:
- Entenmann will be great;
- Kavs will be great;
- ND will be relentless on ground balls;
- Faceoffs will be relatively even;
Things that could be different:
- If Maryland is penalized ND will score (had three EMO goals last game).
- McNaney is playing far better (was well under 50% in save percentage last time);
- Maryland should clear significantly better (they cleared at 75% against ND before but looked great against UVA's ride today);
- Maryland team D has rounded into form and is playing extremely well;
I think the keys for Maryland will be possession (must clear well, must get at least 50% or more on faceoffs); avoiding penalties; and staying within a goal or two of ND the whole game so they can string together some sequences (defensive stop, score on the other end, Wierman win a faceoff) right at the end.
- Maryland made some key changes on offense and is playing far better offensively.
Faison is fast for a Division I college football receiver. I suspect he could cause a little havoc.coda wrote: ↑Sun May 26, 2024 8:39 amI think this is over-rated. Ajax can shut down a star, but the other 5 defenders need to do their job for that to happen. To simplify, Maryland dared Duke and UVA’s midfield to beat them. They couldn’t and Maryland was able to get away with minimal sliding and was able to stay with their match-ups. If ND midfield can force slides, they will dictate the match-ups. That will free up Pat from AjaxBetweenTheLines wrote: ↑Sat May 25, 2024 11:57 pmMy guy. I was responding to Finster, who said that whoever Ajax covers will disappear.jrn19 wrote: ↑Sat May 25, 2024 7:21 pmI never said he disappeared. Those are your words, not mineBetweenTheLines wrote: ↑Sat May 25, 2024 7:11 pmWhy cite other players’ points but only Pat’s goals? His contributions are more than just goals and, that day, he had 3 assists. He even had more CTs than Ajax.jrn19 wrote: ↑Sat May 25, 2024 6:58 pmKavanaghs combined for 3 goals in March. McClane and Faison by comparison had 6 goals and 11 points. That's what killed the Terps, along with (in part due to the Kav's, but that wasn't anything against Zap) a glut of Maryland turnovers in the clearing gameBetweenTheLines wrote: ↑Sat May 25, 2024 6:43 pmHe wasn’t able to make any of them disappear in March…
Notre Dame was the better team that day, has been the best team this season, and likely will be the better team on Monday. But doubt it'll be because the Kavanaghs dominate Zaps and the Terps poles
He didn’t disappear.
You jumped in the middle. I responded to you, but also reiterated my initial point that, statistically, he didn't cause them to disappear the first time around, so it's far from a sure thing that it will happen Monday.
If the refs swallow the whistles that will probably help Maryland; although the Terps are not a big riding team and are thus not heavily penalized (vs. Notre Dame with an aggressive ride that results in more fouls) Notre Dame's EMO unit is so other-worldly that Terps really cannot afford man down situations other than maybe a few stray 30 second violations.Farfromgeneva wrote: ↑Sun May 26, 2024 1:20 pm Having watched the semis both winners has massive possession and fo advantages of FO and goalie are a wash as great as MD has played in the playoffs hard to see them matching up on offense.
Refs really swallowed their whistles yesterday too. Saw a lot that often gets called not called. Will that be the same tomorrow?
Notre Dame oddly gets off to some slow starts. I think their usual possession advantage and depth helps them late in games.Farfromgeneva wrote: ↑Sun May 26, 2024 1:20 pm Having watched the semis both winners has massive possession and fo advantages of FO and goalie are a wash as great as MD has played in the playoffs hard to see them matching up on offense.
Refs really swallowed their whistles yesterday too. Saw a lot that often gets called not called. Will that be the same tomorrow?
The effectiveness of ND’s ride will be a big determinant of the game. If Maryland can handle ND’s ride, as the Terps handled Virginia’s ride yesterday, this should be a competitive game. Don’t think Tillman will make any major changes on clears by Monday, so ND will know what to expect.The Orfling wrote: ↑Sun May 26, 2024 1:25 pmIf the refs swallow the whistles that will probably help Maryland; although the Terps are not a big riding team and are thus not heavily penalized (vs. Notre Dame with an aggressive ride that results in more fouls) Notre Dame's EMO unit is so other-worldly that Terps really cannot afford man down situations other than maybe a few stray 30 second violations.Farfromgeneva wrote: ↑Sun May 26, 2024 1:20 pm Having watched the semis both winners has massive possession and fo advantages of FO and goalie are a wash as great as MD has played in the playoffs hard to see them matching up on offense.
Refs really swallowed their whistles yesterday too. Saw a lot that often gets called not called. Will that be the same tomorrow?
clarification "far more disciplined defensively and deeper offensively" than UVAstupefied wrote: ↑Sun May 26, 2024 1:57 pm Had been favoring Maryland thru va game but believe their run ends with ND who are far more disciplinled defensively and deeper offensively . Unlike previous games , Weirman and McNaney together do not present a advantage over Lynch and Entenman. Maryland d played a great game especially on timing of slides , Shellenberger had few opportunities but had his hands free and Taylor and Cake dropping feeds that Cormier did. Spread of three sounds right, should be a competitive game in low double digits 13-10
Agreed a less closely officiated game should benefit MD. Do we trust them to behave the same tomorrow. They did a great job shutting down the UVA two man game but were pretty physical doing so. I love that play but a lot of times I’d see those plays flagged.The Orfling wrote: ↑Sun May 26, 2024 1:25 pmIf the refs swallow the whistles that will probably help Maryland; although the Terps are not a big riding team and are thus not heavily penalized (vs. Notre Dame with an aggressive ride that results in more fouls) Notre Dame's EMO unit is so other-worldly that Terps really cannot afford man down situations other than maybe a few stray 30 second violations.Farfromgeneva wrote: ↑Sun May 26, 2024 1:20 pm Having watched the semis both winners has massive possession and fo advantages of FO and goalie are a wash as great as MD has played in the playoffs hard to see them matching up on offense.
Refs really swallowed their whistles yesterday too. Saw a lot that often gets called not called. Will that be the same tomorrow?
Dude I am burnt like a pot of black beans left on over night. Lower arms, that side from Kneecap to where the shorts hit and worst-the thinned spots on my dome!
Yeah, I think the refs will officiate it fairly similarly. When UVA beat Yale in the 2019 national championship game I was at the game and the aggressive UVA ride with no calls for slashing, etc. was quite helpful to UVA in getting the momentum which they never let go (they absolutely were the better team that day). So normally I'd say this could be an advantage for Notre Dame (won't get called on some of those one hand attackman axe swing checks) but because ND's EMO is off the charts good if the refs just let 'em play that's a good thing for the Terps.Farfromgeneva wrote: ↑Sun May 26, 2024 2:52 pmAgreed a less closely officiated game should benefit MD. Do we trust them to behave the same tomorrow. They did a great job shutting down the UVA two man game but were pretty physical doing so. I love that play but a lot of times I’d see those plays flagged.The Orfling wrote: ↑Sun May 26, 2024 1:25 pmIf the refs swallow the whistles that will probably help Maryland; although the Terps are not a big riding team and are thus not heavily penalized (vs. Notre Dame with an aggressive ride that results in more fouls) Notre Dame's EMO unit is so other-worldly that Terps really cannot afford man down situations other than maybe a few stray 30 second violations.Farfromgeneva wrote: ↑Sun May 26, 2024 1:20 pm Having watched the semis both winners has massive possession and fo advantages of FO and goalie are a wash as great as MD has played in the playoffs hard to see them matching up on offense.
Refs really swallowed their whistles yesterday too. Saw a lot that often gets called not called. Will that be the same tomorrow?
Also, how do you hire Cassese after that game and Lehigh winning the PL minus the two studs they he who left the prior two years (Mule and the one who went to Duke two years ago in spacing on)?
I was hanging with the Atlanta coaches tailgate.Farfromgeneva wrote: ↑Sun May 26, 2024 2:56 pmDude I am burnt like a pot of black beans left on over night. Lower arms, that side from Kneecap to where the shorts hit and worst-the thinned spots on my dome!
This favors ND. One less hour to recover from Saturday for Maryland which played the second game on Saturday. One might not think so, but the finalist that played the first semifinal game wins the NC more often than not and I don't think they are always the higher seed. That precious hour lost is significant. I gather this decision was taken to avoid bad weather.AreaLax wrote: ↑Sun May 26, 2024 4:12 pm Hearing game time is changing to noon
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