Re: Johns Hopkins 2023
Posted: Thu Mar 02, 2023 7:26 am
Do we think Degnon returns next game or is he out?
Hawley and Mazzone have taken the vast majority of the faces on the wing. No compolaints; Hawley's a GB machine. Picking the "best" FO before a game is much easier said than done. Styles/ techniques are very individual, and the best FO (like Cole) have a variety of ways to win. Can be hard to predict beforehand what will be an effective counter. That's where it is incredibly valuable to have two (or 3, if Narewski ever comes back) effective guys ready to go. At a minimum, especially if the game is high scoring, you can wear the other guy down.jhu06 wrote: ↑Wed Mar 01, 2023 9:57 pmThey need to find their best wings and faceoff guys and start them. In a lot of games it's been show up and figure out who is performing or not at faceoff that day. They need this resolved going into the game so we're not trying to play catch up all day.HopFan16 wrote: ↑Wed Mar 01, 2023 5:27 pmHe's either on bath salts or is just trolling. Either way, don't feed into itgymman1031 wrote: ↑Wed Mar 01, 2023 5:20 pm Hopkins was starting to hit their stride when the season ended in 2000!? LOL! They were 2-4, had lost four straight, and needed to make a comeback just to force OT with Mount St. Mary’s!
Back to the offense/schemes — what we're running now is fairly similar to what Benson ran from 2014 to 2020. Some new wrinkles here and there but at the end of the day a motion offense is a motion offense. It's definitely more positionless now than it used to be though. I've liked the spacing in the offense this year, feels like the field is always pretty balanced and guys aren't running into each other or having to pass long distances which invites poor fundamentals. But there's still a long way to go for it to be a unit that scares defenses.
Saturday's game could be high scoring. Zach Cole gets St. Joe's the ball and that offense can score and score quickly. If the last year or so is any indication they won't be the toughest defense we face so we should, one hopes, be able to put some points on the board when the ball's on our end. I'd expect Cole to win the majority of faceoffs — he's very good — but our guys should be able to scrape together some wins and keep it within shouting distance. Think the more efficient team will win. Jays opened as 1.5 pt underdogs at home. This is an important one. A win goes a long way — increases the odds of .500 or better and gets you another important top 20 OOC win over a team we could be on the bubble with. At the risk of drawing too grand of a conclusion given there still are lots of big games to go, I think this is the kind of game that, if this team is for real, they will find a way to win.
Degnon was not in uniform but he did apparently go through a pregame warmup routine, which suggests he's close to returning.51percentcorn wrote: ↑Thu Mar 02, 2023 10:13 am Reading the announcer tea leaves - Degnon was in uniform against Utah? I would say that's a fairly positive sign you could see him on Saturday. While he has 7 goals in 4 games - it would be nice to see some outside lefty rips materialize to help loosen things up.
On more controversial news - the Petro departure/Milliman arrival decommit face-off man - Constantinides - has been doing well for Towson - 52% on the year and that's with a 38% rate against Cole of St. Joe's. He must have been a big reason Towson took Loyola to the limit. Towson was down one to St. Joe's with 7 minutes left - falling 16-13. Milliman took the job on April 26th? Constantinides verified his commitment to Towson on May 27th so Milliman had one month to run him off.
Here's my harp again. Aside from the fact that these statistics are a comparison of 5 games this year and the entirety of last year I am perplexed by the following: - In 2022 Hopkins garnered 50 ground balls LESS than their opponents and averaged 31 ground ball per game - so far this year they are UP 11 ground balls on opponents and are averaging 34 ground balls per game. Their face-off performance is apprx. 2 percentage points better this year so far 51% to 49%. Clearing success rate is up 4 percentage points 88% from 84%. Goalie Save percentage is WAY up as we know - approx. 12 percentage points 59 to 47%. Even turnovers which is at a "not very good" level of exactly 16 per game - is actually down so far from the 16.8 of last year. SO - to quote Nicholas Cage from The Rock "How in the name of Zeus' butt hole" is Hopkins averaging almost 5 fewer shots per game? - every sign points to more possessions so far. To continue with the Cage lines from that scene "I only bring it up because it might be useful information given the current situation." (That being the somewhat high probability your face-off percentage is going to drop like a rock on Saturday).
possessions are about the same @ 34 (clears+rides+faceoffs won). although opponents' possessions have dropped from 37 to 34.51percentcorn wrote: ↑Thu Mar 02, 2023 10:13 am Reading the announcer tea leaves - Degnon was in uniform against Utah? I would say that's a fairly positive sign you could see him on Saturday. While he has 7 goals in 4 games - it would be nice to see some outside lefty rips materialize to help loosen things up.
On more controversial news - the Petro departure/Milliman arrival decommit face-off man - Constantinides - has been doing well for Towson - 52% on the year and that's with a 38% rate against Cole of St. Joe's. He must have been a big reason Towson took Loyola to the limit. Towson was down one to St. Joe's with 7 minutes left - falling 16-13. Milliman took the job on April 26th? Constantinides verified his commitment to Towson on May 27th so Milliman had one month to run him off.
Here's my harp again. Aside from the fact that these statistics are a comparison of 5 games this year and the entirety of last year I am perplexed by the following: - In 2022 Hopkins garnered 50 ground balls LESS than their opponents and averaged 31 ground ball per game - so far this year they are UP 11 ground balls on opponents and are averaging 34 ground balls per game. Their face-off performance is apprx. 2 percentage points better this year so far 51% to 49%. Clearing success rate is up 4 percentage points 88% from 84%. Goalie Save percentage is WAY up as we know - approx. 12 percentage points 59 to 47%. Even turnovers which is at a "not very good" level of exactly 16 per game - is actually down so far from the 16.8 of last year. SO - to quote Nicholas Cage from The Rock "How in the name of Zeus' butt hole" is Hopkins averaging almost 5 fewer shots per game? - every sign points to more possessions so far. To continue with the Cage lines from that scene "I only bring it up because it might be useful information given the current situation." (That being the somewhat high probability your face-off percentage is going to drop like a rock on Saturday).
That's also what your mom told me about you
Fair enough. I won't bring your mother into this, though I can't promise I won't bring something into your motherLawdawg100 wrote: ↑Thu Mar 02, 2023 12:46 pmMy opinions are my own, sorry they do not agree with yours. Does not mean you should bring my mother into this. We are all adults here let’s act like it.
Make sure when you bring it to her you wrap it. I didn’t wrap mine when I brought it to your mother and things got messy. (If you would continue to act like a child I will play along. I was always the tougher one in the group in my days just to let you know)HopFan16 wrote: ↑Thu Mar 02, 2023 12:52 pmFair enough. I won't bring your mother into this, though I can't promise I won't bring something into your motherLawdawg100 wrote: ↑Thu Mar 02, 2023 12:46 pmMy opinions are my own, sorry they do not agree with yours. Does not mean you should bring my mother into this. We are all adults here let’s act like it.
Have you considered the possibility that maybe you should direct your disappointment at Inside Lacrosse, instead of in a 18 year old kid?Lawdawg100 wrote: ↑Thu Mar 02, 2023 12:31 pm Brendan Grimes has been nothing but a disappointment since being at Hopkins. Only 33 points in 3 years and being a top recruit as well as the #4 freshman in 2021. He needs to get it together if Hopkins wants a shot at championship weekend.
He has missed time bcs of injuries and played injured as well. How does it look if adjustments for those contingencies are factored in? I tend go agree he needs to be 100%a fan wrote: ↑Thu Mar 02, 2023 1:04 pmHave you considered the possibility that maybe you should direct your disappointment at Inside Lacrosse, instead of in a 18 year old kid?Lawdawg100 wrote: ↑Thu Mar 02, 2023 12:31 pm Brendan Grimes has been nothing but a disappointment since being at Hopkins. Only 33 points in 3 years and being a top recruit as well as the #4 freshman in 2021. He needs to get it together if Hopkins wants a shot at championship weekend.
None of these kids ask for these stupid numerical "rankings", you know.