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Re: CAA 2024

Posted: Sat Apr 20, 2024 4:46 pm
by gymman1031
LIfan92 wrote: Sat Apr 20, 2024 3:56 pm
gymman1031 wrote: Sat Apr 20, 2024 3:21 pm Alright, folks! I am a friend of a diehard Hofstra fan. I want to know exactly what to tell her regarding Hofstra's CAA Tournament chances. I know that

After today, Hofstra, Stony Brook, Drexel, and Monmouth are all 2-4 in conference play:

Hofstra has beaten Monmouth, but they lost to Drexel. They play Stony Brook next week.

Drexel has beaten Hofstra, but they lost to Stony Brook. They play Monmouth next week.

Monmouth has beaten Stony Brook, but they lost to Hofstra. They play Drexel next week.

Stony Brook has beaten Drexel, but they lost to Monmouth. They play Hofstra next week.


The above said, if Hofstra beats Stony Brook, what needs to happen for them to earn a spot in the conference tournament?
Hofstra wins and Monmouth wins then Hofstra is in at the 4 seed.
Thanks so much! However, if exactly that doesn't happen, Drexel makes it in as that seed?

Re: CAA 2024

Posted: Sat Apr 20, 2024 4:56 pm
by LIfan92
gymman1031 wrote: Sat Apr 20, 2024 4:46 pm
LIfan92 wrote: Sat Apr 20, 2024 3:56 pm
gymman1031 wrote: Sat Apr 20, 2024 3:21 pm Alright, folks! I am a friend of a diehard Hofstra fan. I want to know exactly what to tell her regarding Hofstra's CAA Tournament chances. I know that

After today, Hofstra, Stony Brook, Drexel, and Monmouth are all 2-4 in conference play:

Hofstra has beaten Monmouth, but they lost to Drexel. They play Stony Brook next week.

Drexel has beaten Hofstra, but they lost to Stony Brook. They play Monmouth next week.

Monmouth has beaten Stony Brook, but they lost to Hofstra. They play Drexel next week.

Stony Brook has beaten Drexel, but they lost to Monmouth. They play Hofstra next week.


The above said, if Hofstra beats Stony Brook, what needs to happen for them to earn a spot in the conference tournament?
Hofstra wins and Monmouth wins then Hofstra is in at the 4 seed.
Thanks so much! However, if exactly that doesn't happen, Drexel makes it in as that seed?
I believe Monmouth and Stony brook win then Monmouth gets in. I could be wrong. It seems like it can get confusing. I’m a Hofstra fan so I just know what I want.

Re: CAA 2024

Posted: Sat Apr 20, 2024 5:02 pm
by gymman1031
LIfan92 wrote: Sat Apr 20, 2024 4:56 pm
gymman1031 wrote: Sat Apr 20, 2024 4:46 pm
LIfan92 wrote: Sat Apr 20, 2024 3:56 pm
gymman1031 wrote: Sat Apr 20, 2024 3:21 pm Alright, folks! I am a friend of a diehard Hofstra fan. I want to know exactly what to tell her regarding Hofstra's CAA Tournament chances. I know that

After today, Hofstra, Stony Brook, Drexel, and Monmouth are all 2-4 in conference play:

Hofstra has beaten Monmouth, but they lost to Drexel. They play Stony Brook next week.

Drexel has beaten Hofstra, but they lost to Stony Brook. They play Monmouth next week.

Monmouth has beaten Stony Brook, but they lost to Hofstra. They play Drexel next week.

Stony Brook has beaten Drexel, but they lost to Monmouth. They play Hofstra next week.


The above said, if Hofstra beats Stony Brook, what needs to happen for them to earn a spot in the conference tournament?
Hofstra wins and Monmouth wins then Hofstra is in at the 4 seed.
Thanks so much! However, if exactly that doesn't happen, Drexel makes it in as that seed?
I believe Monmouth and Stony brook win then Monmouth gets in. I could be wrong. It seems like it can get confusing. I’m a Hofstra fan so I just know what I want.
Gotcha! Thanks so much!!

Re: CAA 2024

Posted: Sat Apr 20, 2024 9:10 pm
by 10stone5
Kevin Ellington over 70% in saves today again,

Ellington is number one in DI.

Re: CAA 2024

Posted: Sat Apr 20, 2024 10:14 pm
by Nassaufan
It's funny (and sad, actually) that the four teams fighting to make the CAA tournament are all 2-4 and playing each other next weekend:

Drexel @ Monmouth

Hofstra @ Stony Brook

Here's another way to look at the scenarios for fourth place:

If Hofstra and Monmouth win, then Hofstra gets in because Hofstra beat Monmouth.

If Hofstra and Drexel win, then Drexel gets in because Drexel beat Hofstra.

If Stony Brook and Monmouth win, then Monmouth gets in because Monmouth beat Stony Brook.

If Stony Brook and Drexel win, then Stony Brook gets in because Stony Brook beat Drexel.

Who will get in? Flip a coin ... or two.

Re: CAA 2024

Posted: Sat Apr 20, 2024 10:34 pm
by 10stone5
All well and good,

but Tigers Hens playing well above the other teams.

Re: CAA 2024

Posted: Sun Apr 21, 2024 8:42 am
by Henpecked
10stone5 wrote: Sat Apr 20, 2024 10:34 pm All well and good,

but Tigers Hens playing well above the other teams.
Hens are looking okay but are very young and are limping into the playoffs with key injuries. Losing Joe Speers in the second quarter last week against Stony Brook was a killer. Against Drexel it didn’t matter but against better teams they’ll need two strong LSMs. Patrick Gillin has been awesome at LSM. Coach DeLuca has been rotating Donny Gayhardt, Nick Cowen and Rowan Marsell in the second rope unit.

Also, the Hens are thin at offensive midfield after losing Jason Kolar in week 3 and Drew Lenkaitis the whole year. The Acchione twins, Brendan Powers have picked up the slack and have been very consistent. I think they’ll need to get more production from Jessen, Owings and D’Ambrogi if they want to make a run. Particularly with the weather heating up.

We shall see. A team that is led by two historic attackman is suddenly leaning on its impenetrable defense and ridiculously hot goaltender. Ellington now leads all D 1 lacrosse in save percentage (.615) and has gone 88%, 71%, 64% and 74% the last four games.

Re: CAA 2024

Posted: Sun Apr 21, 2024 11:18 am
by Nassaufan
10stone5 wrote: Sat Apr 20, 2024 10:34 pm All well and good,

but Tigers Hens playing well above the other teams.
True, but they're already in the tournament and not playing to host. That role goes to TU this year. The interest next weekend is who else makes the fray. And don't overlook Fairfield. They're sitting quietly at #3 and could win it all.

Re: CAA 2024

Posted: Sun Apr 21, 2024 12:34 pm
by 10stone5
I'm just looking at who can beat one of the seeded teams.

All beatable, BTW.

But right now, it would look like Hens or Tigers versus a 3, 4, 5 seed - so a Hopkins, UVA, Pios -- all definitely beatable teams.

Its not the on-steroids, Covid-boosted teams of a couple years ago (or maybe even last year).

Re: CAA 2024

Posted: Mon Apr 22, 2024 10:52 am
by hofpride
monmouth drexel is fri so hof will know where they stand going into sat game

Re: CAA 2024

Posted: Mon Apr 22, 2024 8:15 pm
by JustPassingThrough
hofpride wrote: Mon Apr 22, 2024 10:52 am monmouth drexel is fri so hof will know where they stand going into sat game
The set up for these two games is a bit funny because on Saturday one team will be playing for the post-season and the other will clearly be playing to spoil it/finish on a win. Basically, "we're going to beat you so neither of us makes the playoffs".

Re: CAA 2024

Posted: Mon Apr 22, 2024 8:26 pm
by JustPassingThrough
10stone5 wrote: Sun Apr 21, 2024 12:34 pm I'm just looking at who can beat one of the seeded teams.

All beatable, BTW.

But right now, it would look like Hens or Tigers versus a 3, 4, 5 seed - so a Hopkins, UVA, Pios -- all definitely beatable teams.

Its not the on-steroids, Covid-boosted teams of a couple years ago (or maybe even last year).
It could be a viable draw for Towson or Delaware. They have the records/RPI to be ahead of MAAC, A-Sun, and America East winner. In the mix with likely A-10 winners. They might catch the 4 seed in the NCAA first round.

Re: CAA 2024

Posted: Mon Apr 22, 2024 9:57 pm
by 10stone5
JustPassingThrough wrote: Mon Apr 22, 2024 8:26 pm
10stone5 wrote: Sun Apr 21, 2024 12:34 pm I'm just looking at who can beat one of the seeded teams.

All beatable, BTW.

But right now, it would look like Hens or Tigers versus a 3, 4, 5 seed - so a Hopkins, UVA, Pios -- all definitely beatable teams.

Its not the on-steroids, Covid-boosted teams of a couple years ago (or maybe even last year).
It could be a viable draw for Towson or Delaware. They have the records/RPI to be ahead of MAAC, A-Sun, and America East winner. In the mix with likely A-10 winners. They might catch the 4 seed in the NCAA first round.
That's how I'm seeing it.
Ellington has been super hot in goal for Hens.
Tigers have the offense which can hang with these teams.

None of the top seeds are anything like those from a couple years back, and the Hens beat one of those supposed super teams in a 1st round upset.

Re: CAA 2024

Posted: Tue Apr 23, 2024 8:43 pm
by 10stone5
Nick DeMaio passes San Ramon Valley's (NorCal) Austin French for the 2nd most Division I points by a California prep grad.

He trails only his brother, Anthony. Two of the best to come out of the California prep system.

Re: CAA 2024

Posted: Wed Apr 24, 2024 9:56 am
by JustPassingThrough
Lax Reference post for tourney seeding based on win probability for games this weekend: https://twitter.com/laxreference/status ... 3418941921

#1 Delaware 75% vs Towson 25%
#4 Stony Brook 52%, Monmouth 23%, Drexel 16%, Hofstra 7%

Re: CAA 2024

Posted: Wed Apr 24, 2024 9:59 am
by hofpride
COME ON MONMOUTH LETS SEE WHAT U GOT VS DREXEL!!

Re: CAA 2024

Posted: Wed Apr 24, 2024 10:28 am
by 10stone5
I’ve got Monmouth over Drexel.

Tigers - Hens,
surprised at that probability spread, I’d have expected closer.

Re: CAA 2024

Posted: Wed Apr 24, 2024 10:29 am
by hofpride
if monmouth wins hof sb will be the ultimate cage fight

Re: CAA 2024

Posted: Wed Apr 24, 2024 5:39 pm
by 10stone5
I’m liking the Dutch in that game,
I feel the Dutch are the better street fighters.

Re: CAA 2024

Posted: Thu Apr 25, 2024 9:34 am
by hofpride
get the rosary beads out Hof fans