Re: All things Chinese CoronaVirus
Posted: Sat Nov 21, 2020 10:57 am
Continuing to slow would be even better (You left it hanging over the plate). Hope you are having as beautiful a day as we are having up here.
Continuing to slow would be even better (You left it hanging over the plate). Hope you are having as beautiful a day as we are having up here.
thanks. seems people got the infectious part largely right early on.Bart wrote: ↑Fri Nov 20, 2020 12:37 pm Interesting meta analysis from Lancet Microbe looking at viral load, and viral shedding. It does a little comparison between COVID-19, MERS and SARS as well.
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanm ... 5/fulltext
Interesting take aways, IMO, there is a prolonged viral shedding of up to 83 days but an inability to culture active virus after 9 days of onset of symptoms. No successful culture of virus below a certain threshold and it suggest most infectious stage is as people have thought, early in the onset of the disease.
This would suggest to me that a great strategy for heading off the spread of this thing would be self administered home rapid tests.
If you want to read more on that avenue you may want to check out Michael Mina, a Harvard Epidemiologist, Immunologist. He is pretty adamant on the strategy. To me, it makes sense the more I read about it.
Here is a quote of a recent article he wrote: "
Widespread and frequent rapid antigen testing (public health screening to suppress outbreaks) is the best possible tool we have at our disposal today—and we are not using it."
Here is the article:https://time.com/5912705/covid-19-stop- ... christmas/
... don't get me wrong, I see the massive potential for this technology. The technology is not the problem. It's the morons who don't believe in science.RedFromMI wrote: ↑Fri Nov 20, 2020 1:55 pmThe nice thing about this approach is even if only half the population uses it - it still works, just a bit more slowly...jhu72 wrote: ↑Fri Nov 20, 2020 1:41 pm... your analysis appears correct. My concern with at home testing in general is, it will not gain us much given the current attitudes among the populous. If you believe it is a hoax, are you going to run the test. If you run the test, are you going to believe the results and act on them. I am skeptical. In a world where we didn't have to contend with dumbasses this would all work great.RedFromMI wrote: ↑Fri Nov 20, 2020 12:41 pmI would suspect that would be a good short term goal of Biden when he takes office. It is too bad that Trump is still wanting to have low testing to "look" better rather than doing the right thing.Bart wrote: ↑Fri Nov 20, 2020 12:37 pm Interesting meta analysis from Lancet Microbe looking at viral load, and viral shedding. It does a little comparison between COVID-19, MERS and SARS as well.
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanm ... 5/fulltext
Interesting take aways, IMO, there is a prolonged viral shedding of up to 83 days but an inability to culture active virus after 9 days of onset of symptoms. No successful culture of virus below a certain threshold and it suggest most infectious stage is as people have thought, early in the onset of the disease.
This would suggest to me that a great strategy for heading off the spread of this thing would be self administered home rapid tests.
If you want to read more on that avenue you may want to check out Michael Mina, a Harvard Epidemiologist, Immunologist. He is pretty adamant on the strategy. To me, it makes sense the more I read about it.
Here is a quote of a recent article he wrote: "
Widespread and frequent rapid antigen testing (public health screening to suppress outbreaks) is the best possible tool we have at our disposal today—and we are not using it."
Here is the article:https://time.com/5912705/covid-19-stop- ... christmas/
PCR test results?Jim Malone wrote: ↑Sat Nov 21, 2020 1:06 pm Another positive rapid test result on Thursday after receiving text I was in contact with a positive tested person.
No symptoms except fatigue like the first time. Just sleeping the days and nights away.
Waiting for the result of swab sent to lab.
So 2 positives and 2 negatives so far with a no antigen/antibody in blood for last bloodwork.
Pulse Oximeter numbers are above normal and temperature is fine.
I think I am getting snow jobbed and no one really knows what this ducking thing is.
This article is from the first two known people that were closely monitored and treated only with oxygen, they did not seem to cause great alarm from the finding: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7036338/jhu72 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 21, 2020 12:29 pm... don't get me wrong, I see the massive potential for this technology. The technology is not the problem. It's the morons who don't believe in science.RedFromMI wrote: ↑Fri Nov 20, 2020 1:55 pmThe nice thing about this approach is even if only half the population uses it - it still works, just a bit more slowly...jhu72 wrote: ↑Fri Nov 20, 2020 1:41 pm... your analysis appears correct. My concern with at home testing in general is, it will not gain us much given the current attitudes among the populous. If you believe it is a hoax, are you going to run the test. If you run the test, are you going to believe the results and act on them. I am skeptical. In a world where we didn't have to contend with dumbasses this would all work great.RedFromMI wrote: ↑Fri Nov 20, 2020 12:41 pmI would suspect that would be a good short term goal of Biden when he takes office. It is too bad that Trump is still wanting to have low testing to "look" better rather than doing the right thing.Bart wrote: ↑Fri Nov 20, 2020 12:37 pm Interesting meta analysis from Lancet Microbe looking at viral load, and viral shedding. It does a little comparison between COVID-19, MERS and SARS as well.
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanm ... 5/fulltext
Interesting take aways, IMO, there is a prolonged viral shedding of up to 83 days but an inability to culture active virus after 9 days of onset of symptoms. No successful culture of virus below a certain threshold and it suggest most infectious stage is as people have thought, early in the onset of the disease.
This would suggest to me that a great strategy for heading off the spread of this thing would be self administered home rapid tests.
If you want to read more on that avenue you may want to check out Michael Mina, a Harvard Epidemiologist, Immunologist. He is pretty adamant on the strategy. To me, it makes sense the more I read about it.
Here is a quote of a recent article he wrote: "
Widespread and frequent rapid antigen testing (public health screening to suppress outbreaks) is the best possible tool we have at our disposal today—and we are not using it."
Here is the article:https://time.com/5912705/covid-19-stop- ... christmas/
if you get pregnant once, can you get it again? how long would immunity last, at least 9 months?youthathletics wrote: ↑Sat Nov 21, 2020 1:30 pmThis article is from the first two known people that were closely monitored and treated only with oxygen, they did not seem to cause great alarm from the finding: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7036338/jhu72 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 21, 2020 12:29 pm... don't get me wrong, I see the massive potential for this technology. The technology is not the problem. It's the morons who don't believe in science.RedFromMI wrote: ↑Fri Nov 20, 2020 1:55 pmThe nice thing about this approach is even if only half the population uses it - it still works, just a bit more slowly...jhu72 wrote: ↑Fri Nov 20, 2020 1:41 pm... your analysis appears correct. My concern with at home testing in general is, it will not gain us much given the current attitudes among the populous. If you believe it is a hoax, are you going to run the test. If you run the test, are you going to believe the results and act on them. I am skeptical. In a world where we didn't have to contend with dumbasses this would all work great.RedFromMI wrote: ↑Fri Nov 20, 2020 12:41 pmI would suspect that would be a good short term goal of Biden when he takes office. It is too bad that Trump is still wanting to have low testing to "look" better rather than doing the right thing.Bart wrote: ↑Fri Nov 20, 2020 12:37 pm Interesting meta analysis from Lancet Microbe looking at viral load, and viral shedding. It does a little comparison between COVID-19, MERS and SARS as well.
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanm ... 5/fulltext
Interesting take aways, IMO, there is a prolonged viral shedding of up to 83 days but an inability to culture active virus after 9 days of onset of symptoms. No successful culture of virus below a certain threshold and it suggest most infectious stage is as people have thought, early in the onset of the disease.
This would suggest to me that a great strategy for heading off the spread of this thing would be self administered home rapid tests.
If you want to read more on that avenue you may want to check out Michael Mina, a Harvard Epidemiologist, Immunologist. He is pretty adamant on the strategy. To me, it makes sense the more I read about it.
Here is a quote of a recent article he wrote: "
Widespread and frequent rapid antigen testing (public health screening to suppress outbreaks) is the best possible tool we have at our disposal today—and we are not using it."
Here is the article:https://time.com/5912705/covid-19-stop- ... christmas/
If home testing is going to be used, it MUST be as simple as a pregnancy test, and each family will need dozens and each test MUST be standardized .....which is why I do not believe it will ever happen.
Agree re home testing. In my area, it is quite difficult to get a test, any test, right now. I was told by the county health department that that is because of the upcoming holiday which is sorta, kinda when you’d like testing to be available.youthathletics wrote: ↑Sat Nov 21, 2020 1:30 pm If home testing is going to be used, it MUST be as simple as a pregnancy test, and each family will need dozens and each test MUST be standardized .....which is why I do not believe it will ever happen.
Just had an excellent experience with testing required by the club community in Florida we are visiting for at least a month...needed to quarantine for 3 days on arrival then test and quarantine until clear. The test was a mouth swab PCR and results back in 24 hours (much faster than some other testing sites apparently). Arrived on a Monday night, clear on Thursday. Able to play golf etc with own cart in the meantime, but couldn't use gym, outside dining, etc until cleared...no problem.njbill wrote: ↑Sat Nov 21, 2020 2:06 pmAgree re home testing. In my area, it is quite difficult to get a test, any test, right now. I was told by the county health department that that is because of the upcoming holiday which is sorta, kinda when you’d like testing to be available.youthathletics wrote: ↑Sat Nov 21, 2020 1:30 pm If home testing is going to be used, it MUST be as simple as a pregnancy test, and each family will need dozens and each test MUST be standardized .....which is why I do not believe it will ever happen.
But don’t worry. Help is on the way on Jan. 20.
I have not seen a breakdown, sorry.wgdsr wrote: ↑Sat Nov 21, 2020 10:58 amthanks. seems people got the infectious part largely right early on.Bart wrote: ↑Fri Nov 20, 2020 12:37 pm Interesting meta analysis from Lancet Microbe looking at viral load, and viral shedding. It does a little comparison between COVID-19, MERS and SARS as well.
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanm ... 5/fulltext
Interesting take aways, IMO, there is a prolonged viral shedding of up to 83 days but an inability to culture active virus after 9 days of onset of symptoms. No successful culture of virus below a certain threshold and it suggest most infectious stage is as people have thought, early in the onset of the disease.
This would suggest to me that a great strategy for heading off the spread of this thing would be self administered home rapid tests.
If you want to read more on that avenue you may want to check out Michael Mina, a Harvard Epidemiologist, Immunologist. He is pretty adamant on the strategy. To me, it makes sense the more I read about it.
Here is a quote of a recent article he wrote: "
Widespread and frequent rapid antigen testing (public health screening to suppress outbreaks) is the best possible tool we have at our disposal today—and we are not using it."
Here is the article:https://time.com/5912705/covid-19-stop- ... christmas/
interesting and good to see a cheap solution (no barrier there) that would have a built in accuracy platform. that's what, the ability to get out 330 million kits to perform billions of tests... does mina have a breakdown of how quickly that could be accomplished anywhere?
univ of illinois has tried similar plan, to mixed results. outside of upper bound models bc they didn't foresee kids would still go to parties, not take the call on results, not cooperate with contact tracing.
very difficult to impossible to model behavior.
Where are you seeing it rough to get a test? I have had over over 25 men in the DMV get tests within hours/same day....no problems whatsoever.MDlaxfan76 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 21, 2020 5:57 pm ...really tough to get a test unless showing symptoms...way too late...
I haven't personally seen the issue and described a good experience, however: https://www.foxnews.com/us/us-covid-tes ... s-holidaysyouthathletics wrote: ↑Sun Nov 22, 2020 8:07 amWhere are you seeing it rough to get a test? I have had over over 25 men in the DMV get tests within hours/same day....no problems whatsoever.MDlaxfan76 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 21, 2020 5:57 pm ...really tough to get a test unless showing symptoms...way too late...
I have, in Burlington County. Drug stores are all booked up and aren’t even taking any appointments right now (I’ve tried and this is the response I got on the website).MDlaxfan76 wrote: ↑Sun Nov 22, 2020 9:55 amI haven't personally seen the issue and described a good experience, however: https://www.foxnews.com/us/us-covid-tes ... s-holidaysyouthathletics wrote: ↑Sun Nov 22, 2020 8:07 amWhere are you seeing it rough to get a test? I have had over over 25 men in the DMV get tests within hours/same day....no problems whatsoever.MDlaxfan76 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 21, 2020 5:57 pm ...really tough to get a test unless showing symptoms...way too late...
https://www.cnn.com/2020/11/20/health/c ... index.html