Re: OuttaNowhereWregget--Redux
Posted: Wed Dec 13, 2023 9:59 am
Same Party, Different House
https://fanlax.com/forum/
I missed the mention of that. And if true, definitely bumps them up over the Tigers.OuttaNowhereWregget wrote: ↑Wed Dec 13, 2023 9:59 amIf Duke is playing Hop--then Duke already has a tougher OOC than Clemson. Don't sleep on the Blue Jays this year...
It's true. Hop playing a strong OOC schedule as always:spidey44 wrote: ↑Wed Dec 13, 2023 10:02 amI missed the mention of that. And if true, definitely bumps them up over the Tigers.OuttaNowhereWregget wrote: ↑Wed Dec 13, 2023 9:59 amIf Duke is playing Hop--then Duke already has a tougher OOC than Clemson. Don't sleep on the Blue Jays this year...
Seems the second tier of ACC schools prefers to pad their records...hmmm wrote: ↑Wed Dec 13, 2023 10:06 amIt's true. Hop playing a strong OOC schedule as always:spidey44 wrote: ↑Wed Dec 13, 2023 10:02 amI missed the mention of that. And if true, definitely bumps them up over the Tigers.OuttaNowhereWregget wrote: ↑Wed Dec 13, 2023 9:59 amIf Duke is playing Hop--then Duke already has a tougher OOC than Clemson. Don't sleep on the Blue Jays this year...
JMU
Stony Brook
Loyola
Duke
USC
Penn
Georgetown
Vanderbilt
Albany
Siena
As mentioned, acc schools don’t need any out of conference games to play at least 5-6 top 20 rpi teams per season AND the acc is so brutal that unless you are Carolina or cuse or bc, your win loss record in conference will be a slight drag on your own rpi rating. So schedule some cupcakes to get the win percentage up….because the quality of opponents in acc is good enough on its own.spidey44 wrote: ↑Wed Dec 13, 2023 10:09 amSeems the second tier of ACC schools prefers to pad their records...hmmm wrote: ↑Wed Dec 13, 2023 10:06 amIt's true. Hop playing a strong OOC schedule as always:spidey44 wrote: ↑Wed Dec 13, 2023 10:02 amI missed the mention of that. And if true, definitely bumps them up over the Tigers.OuttaNowhereWregget wrote: ↑Wed Dec 13, 2023 9:59 amIf Duke is playing Hop--then Duke already has a tougher OOC than Clemson. Don't sleep on the Blue Jays this year...
JMU
Stony Brook
Loyola
Duke
USC
Penn
Georgetown
Vanderbilt
Albany
Siena
you know what..not a terrible schedule. So good for Stanford. Maybe it'll help them be ready for the NCAA tournament..in 2025OuttaNowhereWregget wrote: ↑Tue Dec 12, 2023 4:38 am Just noticed that PAC-12 teams will not be playing each other twice during the regular season in '24. A departure from what it's been in years previous. Perhaps it has something to do with upcoming conference realignments.
Also of note. A mere 15 regular season games on the '24 slate for the team Kleizaster most enjoys taking shots at (oft times to comedic levels). 15 regular season games for a non-Ivy League team. Not 16. Not 17. Seems more teams are taking that route. Villanova and now Stanford and probably more teams will follow as more schedules are released. Oh well--what's been good for the powder blue goose...
Get 'em, Kle!
The Big Ten had 4 teams finish in RPI top 20 last year. The ACC had 5. The Big ten had 6 teams finish in the top 32. The ACC had 5. OSU finished last in the Big Ten and finished with an RPI of 44. The ACC had 3 teams finish outside the top 40(Va Tech, Louisville, Pitt). Big Ten teams don't schedule the way the mid-level ACC teams do. Va Tech finished 10-9 with an RPI of 40. Hop finished 9-9 with an RPI of 14. Michigan was 12-8 with an RPI of 12. Clemson was 12-6 with an RPI of 34. Rutgers was 8-9 and theirs was 28. Scheduling matters.Womenslaxxfan wrote: ↑Wed Dec 13, 2023 10:15 amAs mentioned, acc schools don’t need any out of conference games to play at least 5-6 top 20 rpi teams per season AND the acc is so brutal that unless you are Carolina or cuse or bc, your win loss record in conference will be a slight drag on your own rpi rating. So schedule some cupcakes to get the win percentage up….because the quality of opponents in acc is good enough on its own.spidey44 wrote: ↑Wed Dec 13, 2023 10:09 amSeems the second tier of ACC schools prefers to pad their records...hmmm wrote: ↑Wed Dec 13, 2023 10:06 amIt's true. Hop playing a strong OOC schedule as always:spidey44 wrote: ↑Wed Dec 13, 2023 10:02 amI missed the mention of that. And if true, definitely bumps them up over the Tigers.OuttaNowhereWregget wrote: ↑Wed Dec 13, 2023 9:59 amIf Duke is playing Hop--then Duke already has a tougher OOC than Clemson. Don't sleep on the Blue Jays this year...
JMU
Stony Brook
Loyola
Duke
USC
Penn
Georgetown
Vanderbilt
Albany
Siena
No other conference has the same dynamic….
Big 10 had a very strong year last year. But that’s an anomaly in my opinion. I don’t see sustained excellence for Rutgers, OSU, or Georgetown. Penn state has been up and down. Maryland seems to be on the decline. Hop looks to be on the rise, but I believe they have a ceiling like ivies bc of their admissions bar.hmmm wrote: ↑Wed Dec 13, 2023 10:27 amThe Big Ten had 4 teams finish in RPI top 20 last year. The ACC had 5. The Big ten had 6 teams finish in the top 32. The ACC had 5. OSU finished last in the Big Ten and finished with an RPI of 44. The ACC had 3 teams finish outside the top 40(Va Tech, Louisville, Pitt). Big Ten teams don't schedule the way the mid-level ACC teams do. Va Tech finished 10-9 with an RPI of 40. Hop finished 9-9 with an RPI of 14. Michigan was 12-8 with an RPI of 12. Clemson was 12-6 with an RPI of 34. Rutgers was 8-9 and theirs was 28. Scheduling matters.Womenslaxxfan wrote: ↑Wed Dec 13, 2023 10:15 amAs mentioned, acc schools don’t need any out of conference games to play at least 5-6 top 20 rpi teams per season AND the acc is so brutal that unless you are Carolina or cuse or bc, your win loss record in conference will be a slight drag on your own rpi rating. So schedule some cupcakes to get the win percentage up….because the quality of opponents in acc is good enough on its own.spidey44 wrote: ↑Wed Dec 13, 2023 10:09 amSeems the second tier of ACC schools prefers to pad their records...hmmm wrote: ↑Wed Dec 13, 2023 10:06 amIt's true. Hop playing a strong OOC schedule as always:spidey44 wrote: ↑Wed Dec 13, 2023 10:02 amI missed the mention of that. And if true, definitely bumps them up over the Tigers.OuttaNowhereWregget wrote: ↑Wed Dec 13, 2023 9:59 amIf Duke is playing Hop--then Duke already has a tougher OOC than Clemson. Don't sleep on the Blue Jays this year...
JMU
Stony Brook
Loyola
Duke
USC
Penn
Georgetown
Vanderbilt
Albany
Siena
No other conference has the same dynamic….
In 2022 OSU was again the lowest ranked Big Ten team, but they were at 24. Georgetown isn't in the Big Ten. There are only 7 teams.Womenslaxxfan wrote: ↑Wed Dec 13, 2023 10:46 amBig 10 had a very strong year last year. But that’s an anomaly in my opinion. I don’t see sustained excellence for Rutgers, OSU, or Georgetown. Penn state has been up and down. Maryland seems to be on the decline. Hop looks to be on the rise, but I believe they have a ceiling like ivies bc of their admissions bar.hmmm wrote: ↑Wed Dec 13, 2023 10:27 amThe Big Ten had 4 teams finish in RPI top 20 last year. The ACC had 5. The Big ten had 6 teams finish in the top 32. The ACC had 5. OSU finished last in the Big Ten and finished with an RPI of 44. The ACC had 3 teams finish outside the top 40(Va Tech, Louisville, Pitt). Big Ten teams don't schedule the way the mid-level ACC teams do. Va Tech finished 10-9 with an RPI of 40. Hop finished 9-9 with an RPI of 14. Michigan was 12-8 with an RPI of 12. Clemson was 12-6 with an RPI of 34. Rutgers was 8-9 and theirs was 28. Scheduling matters.Womenslaxxfan wrote: ↑Wed Dec 13, 2023 10:15 amAs mentioned, acc schools don’t need any out of conference games to play at least 5-6 top 20 rpi teams per season AND the acc is so brutal that unless you are Carolina or cuse or bc, your win loss record in conference will be a slight drag on your own rpi rating. So schedule some cupcakes to get the win percentage up….because the quality of opponents in acc is good enough on its own.spidey44 wrote: ↑Wed Dec 13, 2023 10:09 amSeems the second tier of ACC schools prefers to pad their records...hmmm wrote: ↑Wed Dec 13, 2023 10:06 amIt's true. Hop playing a strong OOC schedule as always:spidey44 wrote: ↑Wed Dec 13, 2023 10:02 amI missed the mention of that. And if true, definitely bumps them up over the Tigers.OuttaNowhereWregget wrote: ↑Wed Dec 13, 2023 9:59 amIf Duke is playing Hop--then Duke already has a tougher OOC than Clemson. Don't sleep on the Blue Jays this year...
JMU
Stony Brook
Loyola
Duke
USC
Penn
Georgetown
Vanderbilt
Albany
Siena
No other conference has the same dynamic….
The acc gets the most best recruits. They have 6 programs that are typically top 20 (unc, bc, cuse, nd, uva, duke) and Clemson is likely on the rise as well.
I won’t argue with your numbers from last year because they are right!
But I don’t think you’ll see the bottom 3 of the big 10 with similar rpis this year. Big 10 might have one top 10 team this year.
That's a great point. Hard to find any holes in your numbers or logic. Big 10's obviously been getting a bad rap.hmmm wrote: ↑Wed Dec 13, 2023 11:18 am Geography was brought up to excuse NDs scheduling CMU and EMU. Michigan also plays those schools for geographical reasons. But last year they also scheduled Denver, Stony Brook, Florida, and Jacksonville OOC. ND on the other hand played Northwestern and the second highest ranked team was Liberty.
I don't disagree, but quality of opponents should matter to the selection committee (In my opinion). If your only wins are against Eastern Michigan and Wofford and the like then you don't necessarily deserve to make the tournamentWomenslaxxfan wrote: ↑Wed Dec 13, 2023 10:15 am
As mentioned, acc schools don’t need any out of conference games to play at least 5-6 top 20 rpi teams per season AND the acc is so brutal that unless you are Carolina or cuse or bc, your win loss record in conference will be a slight drag on your own rpi rating. So schedule some cupcakes to get the win percentage up….because the quality of opponents in acc is good enough on its own.
No other conference has the same dynamic….
Sorry. Mentally confused Michigan and gtown bc of men.hmmm wrote: ↑Wed Dec 13, 2023 11:18 amIn 2022 OSU was again the lowest ranked Big Ten team, but they were at 24. Georgetown isn't in the Big Ten. There are only 7 teams.Womenslaxxfan wrote: ↑Wed Dec 13, 2023 10:46 amBig 10 had a very strong year last year. But that’s an anomaly in my opinion. I don’t see sustained excellence for Rutgers, OSU, or Georgetown. Penn state has been up and down. Maryland seems to be on the decline. Hop looks to be on the rise, but I believe they have a ceiling like ivies bc of their admissions bar.hmmm wrote: ↑Wed Dec 13, 2023 10:27 amThe Big Ten had 4 teams finish in RPI top 20 last year. The ACC had 5. The Big ten had 6 teams finish in the top 32. The ACC had 5. OSU finished last in the Big Ten and finished with an RPI of 44. The ACC had 3 teams finish outside the top 40(Va Tech, Louisville, Pitt). Big Ten teams don't schedule the way the mid-level ACC teams do. Va Tech finished 10-9 with an RPI of 40. Hop finished 9-9 with an RPI of 14. Michigan was 12-8 with an RPI of 12. Clemson was 12-6 with an RPI of 34. Rutgers was 8-9 and theirs was 28. Scheduling matters.Womenslaxxfan wrote: ↑Wed Dec 13, 2023 10:15 amAs mentioned, acc schools don’t need any out of conference games to play at least 5-6 top 20 rpi teams per season AND the acc is so brutal that unless you are Carolina or cuse or bc, your win loss record in conference will be a slight drag on your own rpi rating. So schedule some cupcakes to get the win percentage up….because the quality of opponents in acc is good enough on its own.spidey44 wrote: ↑Wed Dec 13, 2023 10:09 amSeems the second tier of ACC schools prefers to pad their records...hmmm wrote: ↑Wed Dec 13, 2023 10:06 amIt's true. Hop playing a strong OOC schedule as always:spidey44 wrote: ↑Wed Dec 13, 2023 10:02 amI missed the mention of that. And if true, definitely bumps them up over the Tigers.OuttaNowhereWregget wrote: ↑Wed Dec 13, 2023 9:59 amIf Duke is playing Hop--then Duke already has a tougher OOC than Clemson. Don't sleep on the Blue Jays this year...
JMU
Stony Brook
Loyola
Duke
USC
Penn
Georgetown
Vanderbilt
Albany
Siena
No other conference has the same dynamic….
The acc gets the most best recruits. They have 6 programs that are typically top 20 (unc, bc, cuse, nd, uva, duke) and Clemson is likely on the rise as well.
I won’t argue with your numbers from last year because they are right!
But I don’t think you’ll see the bottom 3 of the big 10 with similar rpis this year. Big 10 might have one top 10 team this year.
NW
MD
Hop
Michigan
PSU
Rutgers
OSU
I would argue that from year to year, all 7 of those teams are better than Va Tech, Pitt and Louisville. There are no easy games there. But you don't see Big Ten teams scheduling OOC like Duke, ND, UVA, Clemson, Va Tech, Louisville and Pitt do. Geography was brought up to excuse NDs scheduling CMU and EMU. Michigan also plays those schools for geographical reasons. But last year they also scheduled Denver, Stony Brook, Florida, and Jacksonville OOC. ND on the other hand played Northwestern and the second highest ranked team was Liberty.
I'll add to this that these teams have gotten smart in terms of manipulating the RPI. Since 50% of the RPI is the record of the teams you play, the key is to schedule mid-majors that finish with very good records. You can't schedule bad teams with bad records, but you can schedule mid-major teams that do very well in their conferences and boost your RPI.
Apparently I’m just confused in general. Grown men and women in big east. Duh!Womenslaxxfan wrote: ↑Wed Dec 13, 2023 11:51 amSorry. Mentally confused Michigan and gtown bc of men.hmmm wrote: ↑Wed Dec 13, 2023 11:18 amIn 2022 OSU was again the lowest ranked Big Ten team, but they were at 24. Georgetown isn't in the Big Ten. There are only 7 teams.Womenslaxxfan wrote: ↑Wed Dec 13, 2023 10:46 amBig 10 had a very strong year last year. But that’s an anomaly in my opinion. I don’t see sustained excellence for Rutgers, OSU, or Georgetown. Penn state has been up and down. Maryland seems to be on the decline. Hop looks to be on the rise, but I believe they have a ceiling like ivies bc of their admissions bar.hmmm wrote: ↑Wed Dec 13, 2023 10:27 amThe Big Ten had 4 teams finish in RPI top 20 last year. The ACC had 5. The Big ten had 6 teams finish in the top 32. The ACC had 5. OSU finished last in the Big Ten and finished with an RPI of 44. The ACC had 3 teams finish outside the top 40(Va Tech, Louisville, Pitt). Big Ten teams don't schedule the way the mid-level ACC teams do. Va Tech finished 10-9 with an RPI of 40. Hop finished 9-9 with an RPI of 14. Michigan was 12-8 with an RPI of 12. Clemson was 12-6 with an RPI of 34. Rutgers was 8-9 and theirs was 28. Scheduling matters.Womenslaxxfan wrote: ↑Wed Dec 13, 2023 10:15 amAs mentioned, acc schools don’t need any out of conference games to play at least 5-6 top 20 rpi teams per season AND the acc is so brutal that unless you are Carolina or cuse or bc, your win loss record in conference will be a slight drag on your own rpi rating. So schedule some cupcakes to get the win percentage up….because the quality of opponents in acc is good enough on its own.spidey44 wrote: ↑Wed Dec 13, 2023 10:09 amSeems the second tier of ACC schools prefers to pad their records...hmmm wrote: ↑Wed Dec 13, 2023 10:06 amIt's true. Hop playing a strong OOC schedule as always:spidey44 wrote: ↑Wed Dec 13, 2023 10:02 amI missed the mention of that. And if true, definitely bumps them up over the Tigers.OuttaNowhereWregget wrote: ↑Wed Dec 13, 2023 9:59 amIf Duke is playing Hop--then Duke already has a tougher OOC than Clemson. Don't sleep on the Blue Jays this year...
JMU
Stony Brook
Loyola
Duke
USC
Penn
Georgetown
Vanderbilt
Albany
Siena
No other conference has the same dynamic….
The acc gets the most best recruits. They have 6 programs that are typically top 20 (unc, bc, cuse, nd, uva, duke) and Clemson is likely on the rise as well.
I won’t argue with your numbers from last year because they are right!
But I don’t think you’ll see the bottom 3 of the big 10 with similar rpis this year. Big 10 might have one top 10 team this year.
NW
MD
Hop
Michigan
PSU
Rutgers
OSU
I would argue that from year to year, all 7 of those teams are better than Va Tech, Pitt and Louisville. There are no easy games there. But you don't see Big Ten teams scheduling OOC like Duke, ND, UVA, Clemson, Va Tech, Louisville and Pitt do. Geography was brought up to excuse NDs scheduling CMU and EMU. Michigan also plays those schools for geographical reasons. But last year they also scheduled Denver, Stony Brook, Florida, and Jacksonville OOC. ND on the other hand played Northwestern and the second highest ranked team was Liberty.
I'll add to this that these teams have gotten smart in terms of manipulating the RPI. Since 50% of the RPI is the record of the teams you play, the key is to schedule mid-majors that finish with very good records. You can't schedule bad teams with bad records, but you can schedule mid-major teams that do very well in their conferences and boost your RPI.
I would quibble about whether on average Virginia tech is better team than osu but otherwise agree. The big 10 lives in the 10-30 rpi neighborhood from top to nearly bottom. It has traditionally had 2 perennial top 10 teams in Maryland and northwestern, but Maryland seems to be slumping.
Your last point is especially good. Mid majors with good records are the key to your ooc schedule not only providing g you with the WIN component of rpi, but also with opponent record portion….