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Re: 2020 Elections - Donald Trump FIRED

Posted: Tue Nov 24, 2020 7:16 am
by seacoaster
old salt wrote: Tue Nov 24, 2020 12:48 am If Trump wants to remain leader of the GOP, with any thought of running again &/or being a king-maker, he needs to make winning those 2 GA Senate races his only objective. If he stands by, or does damage, while the GOP loses the Senate, he's done.
Agreed. But his continuity within the party and for the 2024 election appears to be based on a platform that he was jobbed in this election by a fraud that doesn't exist, not on any principled defense of why Loeffler and Perdue should be in the Senate.

Re: 2020 Elections - Donald Trump FIRED

Posted: Tue Nov 24, 2020 7:18 am
by Bart
Kismet wrote: Tue Nov 24, 2020 6:59 am In other news, his lawyers missed the submission deadline for Third Circuit appeal in PA and when they did file 30 minutes after the deadline their brief was filled with typos and mis-spellings. Another legal dead end.
Does this just get them closer to being heard at the Supreme Court level? If dismissed at the Third Circuit is that the last remedy?

Also, does the Rep Kelly lawsuit have any shot to connect? Seems to me as knowing nothing about the law...........that this has no shot?

Re: 2020 Elections - Donald Trump FIRED

Posted: Tue Nov 24, 2020 8:01 am
by wgdsr
youthathletics wrote: Mon Nov 23, 2020 7:50 pm
holmes435 wrote: Mon Nov 23, 2020 7:48 pm
youthathletics wrote: Mon Nov 23, 2020 5:37 pmI did vote for him twice, no argument....no way could I pull the lever for Hillary. And as I noted many times, living in MD an (r) vote is meaningless unless we are trying to make a statement that MD needs more Red....which helps the Hogan cause. :D
Get rid of the EC and your vote for president would actually count in MD ;)

If you wanna go further... lobby for ranked choice voting and you'll never have to worry about a Trump-like candidate with ~25% popularity in your party (initially) winning the primary either.
That ain’t going to happen anytime soon. Better to do what I can.
your vote has the exact same level of "meaning" for a national election whether you are in a swing state, betting the heavy favorite or underdog for your state, electoral college or popular vote.

the. exact. same.

Re: 2020 Elections - Donald Trump FIRED

Posted: Tue Nov 24, 2020 9:41 am
by Typical Lax Dad
wgdsr wrote: Tue Nov 24, 2020 8:01 am
youthathletics wrote: Mon Nov 23, 2020 7:50 pm
holmes435 wrote: Mon Nov 23, 2020 7:48 pm
youthathletics wrote: Mon Nov 23, 2020 5:37 pmI did vote for him twice, no argument....no way could I pull the lever for Hillary. And as I noted many times, living in MD an (r) vote is meaningless unless we are trying to make a statement that MD needs more Red....which helps the Hogan cause. :D
Get rid of the EC and your vote for president would actually count in MD ;)

If you wanna go further... lobby for ranked choice voting and you'll never have to worry about a Trump-like candidate with ~25% popularity in your party (initially) winning the primary either.
That ain’t going to happen anytime soon. Better to do what I can.
your vote has the exact same level of "meaning" for a national election whether you are in a swing state, betting the heavy favorite or underdog for your state, electoral college or popular vote.

the. exact. same.
I believe “impact” is a better choice of words, but I can see where “meaningful” would also do.

Re: 2020 Elections - Donald Trump FIRED

Posted: Tue Nov 24, 2020 1:30 pm
by holmes435
wgdsr wrote: Tue Nov 24, 2020 8:01 am
youthathletics wrote: Mon Nov 23, 2020 7:50 pm
holmes435 wrote: Mon Nov 23, 2020 7:48 pm
youthathletics wrote: Mon Nov 23, 2020 5:37 pmI did vote for him twice, no argument....no way could I pull the lever for Hillary. And as I noted many times, living in MD an (r) vote is meaningless unless we are trying to make a statement that MD needs more Red....which helps the Hogan cause. :D
Get rid of the EC and your vote for president would actually count in MD ;)

If you wanna go further... lobby for ranked choice voting and you'll never have to worry about a Trump-like candidate with ~25% popularity in your party (initially) winning the primary either.
That ain’t going to happen anytime soon. Better to do what I can.
your vote has the exact same level of "meaning" for a national election whether you are in a swing state, betting the heavy favorite or underdog for your state, electoral college or popular vote.

the. exact. same.
Absolutely false.

Wyoming gets 3 electoral votes for a population of around 568,000 from the 2010 census. 1 electoral vote per ~189,000
California gets 55 electoral votes for a population of around 37,300,000 from the 2010 census. 1 electoral vote per ~678,000

For a California vote to count the. exact. same. as a Wyoming vote, California would need about 197 electoral votes.

Re: 2020 Elections - Donald Trump FIRED

Posted: Tue Nov 24, 2020 1:57 pm
by ggait
And it is actually worse than that.

Since, as a deep blue state, a CA vote (Dem or Rep) does not have hardly any outcome determining impact.

CO used to get a lot of attention a few years back when it was a swing state. Now -- nothing, as it has turned reliably blue.

Re: 2020 Elections - Donald Trump FIRED

Posted: Tue Nov 24, 2020 2:40 pm
by wgdsr
holmes435 wrote: Tue Nov 24, 2020 1:30 pm
wgdsr wrote: Tue Nov 24, 2020 8:01 am
youthathletics wrote: Mon Nov 23, 2020 7:50 pm
holmes435 wrote: Mon Nov 23, 2020 7:48 pm
youthathletics wrote: Mon Nov 23, 2020 5:37 pmI did vote for him twice, no argument....no way could I pull the lever for Hillary. And as I noted many times, living in MD an (r) vote is meaningless unless we are trying to make a statement that MD needs more Red....which helps the Hogan cause. :D
Get rid of the EC and your vote for president would actually count in MD ;)

If you wanna go further... lobby for ranked choice voting and you'll never have to worry about a Trump-like candidate with ~25% popularity in your party (initially) winning the primary either.
That ain’t going to happen anytime soon. Better to do what I can.
your vote has the exact same level of "meaning" for a national election whether you are in a swing state, betting the heavy favorite or underdog for your state, electoral college or popular vote.

the. exact. same.
Absolutely false.

Wyoming gets 3 electoral votes for a population of around 568,000 from the 2010 census. 1 electoral vote per ~189,000
California gets 55 electoral votes for a population of around 37,300,000 from the 2010 census. 1 electoral vote per ~678,000

For a California vote to count the. exact. same. as a Wyoming vote, California would need about 197 electoral votes.
i was speaking about the takes above. in this instance, that an r vote in maryland is meaningless. and that an r vote would count in a national popular election but not in an electoral college one in maryland.

wasn't comparing states, as that wasn't brought up or addressed. though i can see how that could read. he can only live in one state. wyoming also gets more congressmen/women per pop, too. sure, your vote can go to the final tally, and could be on the winning side instead of the losing where it gets cut off halfway.... the reverse is also true.

but my point is the talk was about how his individual vote would mean something in the construct. practical. the reality is, his individual vote is meaningless in a national election. it has a marginal value of nothing in practical terms for settling an election. dem, rep, indy. what presidential election has been turned by one vote in the last 100 years? 200 years? a voter in maryland or anywhere else? no one will ever notice that vote (except him). and the idea that your vote counts more in a swing state vs. a red or blue state is even sillier. imo. because it'll be closer?

if you start talking about the collective you (all republicans in maryland), that's a different argument. obviously, we all vote for reasons other than practicality. thankfully.

Re: 2020 Elections - Donald Trump FIRED

Posted: Tue Nov 24, 2020 3:16 pm
by old salt
Kismet wrote: Tue Nov 24, 2020 6:59 am
old salt wrote: Tue Nov 24, 2020 12:48 am If Trump wants to remain leader of the GOP, with any thought of running again &/or being a king-maker, he needs to make winning those 2 GA Senate races his only objective. If he stands by, or does damage, while the GOP loses the Senate, he's done.
That said, it seems that you and Roger Stone are using the same hymnal - what a surprise :lol: :!: :!: :!: Are you scheduling your Nixon tattoo? :oops:
https://www.thedailybeast.com/roger-sto ... e-majority
As usual, you're interpreting with your head up your ass. Stone is advocating just the opposite of what I'm saying.
If the GOP loses GA, they're finished as a party. Trump can't save them, yet the party can't survive without his supporters.
Best case for the GOP -- Trump continues helping the GOP, just to maintain the value of his brand, but does not run again.

Re: 2020 Elections - Donald Trump FIRED

Posted: Tue Nov 24, 2020 3:19 pm
by seacoaster
Bart wrote: Tue Nov 24, 2020 7:18 am
Kismet wrote: Tue Nov 24, 2020 6:59 am In other news, his lawyers missed the submission deadline for Third Circuit appeal in PA and when they did file 30 minutes after the deadline their brief was filled with typos and mis-spellings. Another legal dead end.
Does this just get them closer to being heard at the Supreme Court level? If dismissed at the Third Circuit is that the last remedy?

Also, does the Rep Kelly lawsuit have any shot to connect? Seems to me as knowing nothing about the law...........that this has no shot?
Bart, here is the DNC's response to the Kelly Complaint:

https://www.democracydocket.com/wp-cont ... ef.pdf.pdf

Long shot would be kind.

Re: 2020 Elections - Donald Trump FIRED

Posted: Tue Nov 24, 2020 4:09 pm
by Typical Lax Dad
wgdsr wrote: Tue Nov 24, 2020 2:40 pm
holmes435 wrote: Tue Nov 24, 2020 1:30 pm
wgdsr wrote: Tue Nov 24, 2020 8:01 am
youthathletics wrote: Mon Nov 23, 2020 7:50 pm
holmes435 wrote: Mon Nov 23, 2020 7:48 pm
youthathletics wrote: Mon Nov 23, 2020 5:37 pmI did vote for him twice, no argument....no way could I pull the lever for Hillary. And as I noted many times, living in MD an (r) vote is meaningless unless we are trying to make a statement that MD needs more Red....which helps the Hogan cause. :D
Get rid of the EC and your vote for president would actually count in MD ;)

If you wanna go further... lobby for ranked choice voting and you'll never have to worry about a Trump-like candidate with ~25% popularity in your party (initially) winning the primary either.
That ain’t going to happen anytime soon. Better to do what I can.
your vote has the exact same level of "meaning" for a national election whether you are in a swing state, betting the heavy favorite or underdog for your state, electoral college or popular vote.

the. exact. same.
Absolutely false.

Wyoming gets 3 electoral votes for a population of around 568,000 from the 2010 census. 1 electoral vote per ~189,000
California gets 55 electoral votes for a population of around 37,300,000 from the 2010 census. 1 electoral vote per ~678,000

For a California vote to count the. exact. same. as a Wyoming vote, California would need about 197 electoral votes.
i was speaking about the takes above. in this instance, that an r vote in maryland is meaningless. and that an r vote would count in a national popular election but not in an electoral college one in maryland.

wasn't comparing states, as that wasn't brought up or addressed. though i can see how that could read. he can only live in one state. wyoming also gets more congressmen/women per pop, too. sure, your vote can go to the final tally, and could be on the winning side instead of the losing where it gets cut off halfway.... the reverse is also true.

but my point is the talk was about how his individual vote would mean something in the construct. practical. the reality is, his individual vote is meaningless in a national election. it has a marginal value of nothing in practical terms for settling an election. dem, rep, indy. what presidential election has been turned by one vote in the last 100 years? 200 years? a voter in maryland or anywhere else? no one will ever notice that vote (except him). and the idea that your vote counts more in a swing state vs. a red or blue state is even sillier. imo. because it'll be closer?

if you start talking about the collective you (all republicans in maryland), that's a different argument. obviously, we all vote for reasons other than practicality. thankfully.
At what number does the marginal value cross the 0 threshold and who is it? At what point in an election does one determine their vote is meaningless so why bother?

Re: 2020 Elections - Donald Trump FIRED

Posted: Tue Nov 24, 2020 4:20 pm
by Matnum PI

Re: 2020 Elections - Donald Trump FIRED

Posted: Tue Nov 24, 2020 4:42 pm
by wgdsr
Typical Lax Dad wrote: Tue Nov 24, 2020 4:09 pm
wgdsr wrote: Tue Nov 24, 2020 2:40 pm
holmes435 wrote: Tue Nov 24, 2020 1:30 pm
wgdsr wrote: Tue Nov 24, 2020 8:01 am
youthathletics wrote: Mon Nov 23, 2020 7:50 pm
holmes435 wrote: Mon Nov 23, 2020 7:48 pm
youthathletics wrote: Mon Nov 23, 2020 5:37 pmI did vote for him twice, no argument....no way could I pull the lever for Hillary. And as I noted many times, living in MD an (r) vote is meaningless unless we are trying to make a statement that MD needs more Red....which helps the Hogan cause. :D
Get rid of the EC and your vote for president would actually count in MD ;)

If you wanna go further... lobby for ranked choice voting and you'll never have to worry about a Trump-like candidate with ~25% popularity in your party (initially) winning the primary either.
That ain’t going to happen anytime soon. Better to do what I can.
your vote has the exact same level of "meaning" for a national election whether you are in a swing state, betting the heavy favorite or underdog for your state, electoral college or popular vote.

the. exact. same.
Absolutely false.

Wyoming gets 3 electoral votes for a population of around 568,000 from the 2010 census. 1 electoral vote per ~189,000
California gets 55 electoral votes for a population of around 37,300,000 from the 2010 census. 1 electoral vote per ~678,000

For a California vote to count the. exact. same. as a Wyoming vote, California would need about 197 electoral votes.
i was speaking about the takes above. in this instance, that an r vote in maryland is meaningless. and that an r vote would count in a national popular election but not in an electoral college one in maryland.

wasn't comparing states, as that wasn't brought up or addressed. though i can see how that could read. he can only live in one state. wyoming also gets more congressmen/women per pop, too. sure, your vote can go to the final tally, and could be on the winning side instead of the losing where it gets cut off halfway.... the reverse is also true.

but my point is the talk was about how his individual vote would mean something in the construct. practical. the reality is, his individual vote is meaningless in a national election. it has a marginal value of nothing in practical terms for settling an election. dem, rep, indy. what presidential election has been turned by one vote in the last 100 years? 200 years? a voter in maryland or anywhere else? no one will ever notice that vote (except him). and the idea that your vote counts more in a swing state vs. a red or blue state is even sillier. imo. because it'll be closer?

if you start talking about the collective you (all republicans in maryland), that's a different argument. obviously, we all vote for reasons other than practicality. thankfully.
At what number does the marginal value cross the 0 threshold and who is it? At what point in an election does one determine their vote is meaningless so why bother?
unless you have some way of getting others to vote or not (which is a different discussion) the answer to your first 2 questions are +1 to the winning side and that person does not exist. because he or she is replaced by #2 without their vote. and/or everyone after them. and before them.

to the latter... hopefully never. unfortunately, in reality that's not really the case. they hear or have conversations that suggest as much, or calculate it that way themselves ... and decide their civic duty/support enthusiasm/exercise of the right doesn't override their practical plight.

Re: 2020 Elections - Donald Trump FIRED

Posted: Tue Nov 24, 2020 5:01 pm
by Typical Lax Dad
wgdsr wrote: Tue Nov 24, 2020 4:42 pm
Typical Lax Dad wrote: Tue Nov 24, 2020 4:09 pm
wgdsr wrote: Tue Nov 24, 2020 2:40 pm
holmes435 wrote: Tue Nov 24, 2020 1:30 pm
wgdsr wrote: Tue Nov 24, 2020 8:01 am
youthathletics wrote: Mon Nov 23, 2020 7:50 pm
holmes435 wrote: Mon Nov 23, 2020 7:48 pm
youthathletics wrote: Mon Nov 23, 2020 5:37 pmI did vote for him twice, no argument....no way could I pull the lever for Hillary. And as I noted many times, living in MD an (r) vote is meaningless unless we are trying to make a statement that MD needs more Red....which helps the Hogan cause. :D
Get rid of the EC and your vote for president would actually count in MD ;)

If you wanna go further... lobby for ranked choice voting and you'll never have to worry about a Trump-like candidate with ~25% popularity in your party (initially) winning the primary either.
That ain’t going to happen anytime soon. Better to do what I can.
your vote has the exact same level of "meaning" for a national election whether you are in a swing state, betting the heavy favorite or underdog for your state, electoral college or popular vote.

the. exact. same.
Absolutely false.

Wyoming gets 3 electoral votes for a population of around 568,000 from the 2010 census. 1 electoral vote per ~189,000
California gets 55 electoral votes for a population of around 37,300,000 from the 2010 census. 1 electoral vote per ~678,000

For a California vote to count the. exact. same. as a Wyoming vote, California would need about 197 electoral votes.
i was speaking about the takes above. in this instance, that an r vote in maryland is meaningless. and that an r vote would count in a national popular election but not in an electoral college one in maryland.

wasn't comparing states, as that wasn't brought up or addressed. though i can see how that could read. he can only live in one state. wyoming also gets more congressmen/women per pop, too. sure, your vote can go to the final tally, and could be on the winning side instead of the losing where it gets cut off halfway.... the reverse is also true.

but my point is the talk was about how his individual vote would mean something in the construct. practical. the reality is, his individual vote is meaningless in a national election. it has a marginal value of nothing in practical terms for settling an election. dem, rep, indy. what presidential election has been turned by one vote in the last 100 years? 200 years? a voter in maryland or anywhere else? no one will ever notice that vote (except him). and the idea that your vote counts more in a swing state vs. a red or blue state is even sillier. imo. because it'll be closer?

if you start talking about the collective you (all republicans in maryland), that's a different argument. obviously, we all vote for reasons other than practicality. thankfully.
At what number does the marginal value cross the 0 threshold and who is it? At what point in an election does one determine their vote is meaningless so why bother?
unless you have some way of getting others to vote or not (which is a different discussion) the answer to your first 2 questions are +1 to the winning side and that person does not exist. because he or she is replaced by #2 without their vote. and/or everyone after them. and before them.

to the latter... hopefully never. unfortunately, in reality that's not really the case. they hear or have conversations that suggest as much, or calculate it that way themselves ... and decide their civic duty/support enthusiasm/exercise of the right doesn't override their practical plight.
Thanks for engaging me. That’s about what I was looking for...😀

Re: 2020 Elections - Donald Trump FIRED

Posted: Tue Nov 24, 2020 5:11 pm
by seacoaster
Matnum PI wrote: Tue Nov 24, 2020 4:20 pm Trump is hating this...

https://www.nytimes.com/live/2020/11/24 ... akes-shape
I think much of this has to do with Yellen taking over at Treasury, from one of the bigger hacks ever to blunder into a cabinet post. Excising Navarro, Mnuch, and Larry "Foster Brooks" Kudlow from the economic lever pressing can only be helpful.

Re: 2020 Elections - Donald Trump FIRED

Posted: Tue Nov 24, 2020 5:27 pm
by ggait
Trump (despite his claims otherwise) wasn't necessarily what the markets wanted.

Tax cuts are always welcomed by investors. But China trade war is bad for business. Covid is bad for business. And constant cray cray is bad for business.

Having qualified people running the government (even if Dems) is good for business. Normal is better for business than crazy.

Re: 2020 Elections - Donald Trump FIRED

Posted: Tue Nov 24, 2020 5:35 pm
by MDlaxfan76
predictable is good for business...

Re: 2020 Elections - Donald Trump FIRED

Posted: Tue Nov 24, 2020 5:40 pm
by Bart
seacoaster wrote: Tue Nov 24, 2020 3:19 pm
Bart wrote: Tue Nov 24, 2020 7:18 am
Kismet wrote: Tue Nov 24, 2020 6:59 am In other news, his lawyers missed the submission deadline for Third Circuit appeal in PA and when they did file 30 minutes after the deadline their brief was filled with typos and mis-spellings. Another legal dead end.
Does this just get them closer to being heard at the Supreme Court level? If dismissed at the Third Circuit is that the last remedy?

Also, does the Rep Kelly lawsuit have any shot to connect? Seems to me as knowing nothing about the law...........that this has no shot?
Bart, here is the DNC's response to the Kelly Complaint:

https://www.democracydocket.com/wp-cont ... ef.pdf.pdf

Long shot would be kind.
Thanks for that. Interesting read. Don’t know if I understand all the particulars but i get the general gist of it.

Re: 2020 Elections - Donald Trump FIRED

Posted: Tue Nov 24, 2020 5:52 pm
by Typical Lax Dad
ggait wrote: Tue Nov 24, 2020 5:27 pm Trump (despite his claims otherwise) wasn't necessarily what the markets wanted.

Tax cuts are always welcomed by investors. But China trade war is bad for business. Covid is bad for business. And constant cray cray is bad for business.

Having qualified people running the government (even if Dems) is good for business. Normal is better for business than crazy.
The folks I know were enthusiastic to get a “businessman” in...when they realized he was a fool, they wanted Biden this time around. These people wanted just a normal person.

Re: 2020 Elections - Donald Trump FIRED

Posted: Tue Nov 24, 2020 6:44 pm
by a fan
ggait wrote: Tue Nov 24, 2020 5:27 pm Trump (despite his claims otherwise) wasn't necessarily what the markets wanted.

Tax cuts are always welcomed by investors.
Dumb ones, yes. They don't seem to get that we're blowing money on interest----instead of buying the stuff that companies make.

Re: 2020 Elections - Donald Trump FIRED

Posted: Tue Nov 24, 2020 8:39 pm
by 3rdPersonPlural
old salt wrote: Tue Nov 24, 2020 12:48 am If Trump wants to remain leader of the GOP, with any thought of running again &/or being a king-maker, he needs to make winning those 2 GA Senate races his only objective. If he stands by, or does damage, while the GOP loses the Senate, he's done.
I don't think so, OS. Trump has a loyal base of (I'm guessing) about 50 million that are more loyal to him than to the republican platform. Frankly, if the Dems get the senate, Trump can rail the way he likes -- and everything that aggrieves him will be Democrat-caused.

I am confident that Trump is more protective of his brand than that of the Republican party. He will chose accordingly.