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Re: 2020 Elections - THIS IS IT!!

Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 3:49 pm
by Matnum PI

Re: 2020 Elections - THIS IS IT!!

Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 3:59 pm
by ardilla secreta
kramerica.inc wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 3:19 pm Most everyone I know, voted early. Like 90% of people.
Think this had more to do with Corona and avoiding potential lines on Election day, rather than R or D.
Which is why I voted today. No lines today because people already waited in lines to avoid waiting in lines.

Re: 2020 Elections - THIS IS IT!!

Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 3:59 pm
by njbill
wgdsr wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 3:45 pm
youthathletics wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 3:40 pm
wgdsr wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 3:34 pm maricopa county. has over 60% of the electorate.

https://mobile.twitter.com/PpollingNumb ... 4129203203

here was az pregame:
https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/AZ.html
this total was over 90% of the 2016 total. possible 10% or more jump in overall voting in 2020.

trump took maricopa 490k to 459k in 2016.
Just heard DeSantis on the radio....said R turnout is almost twice that of 2016.
florida update
https://mobile.twitter.com/PpollingNumb ... 3906971649
not sure if it includes 6 other counties. lead stretch 35k. dems voting late in the day? grabbing all the independents? rino's are fired up? still more mail ins to count?

tbd.
These numbers don’t look good at all for Trump. Am I missing something?

Re: 2020 Elections - THIS IS IT!!

Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 4:05 pm
by wgdsr
njbill wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 3:59 pm
wgdsr wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 3:45 pm
youthathletics wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 3:40 pm
wgdsr wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 3:34 pm maricopa county. has over 60% of the electorate.

https://mobile.twitter.com/PpollingNumb ... 4129203203

here was az pregame:
https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/AZ.html
this total was over 90% of the 2016 total. possible 10% or more jump in overall voting in 2020.

trump took maricopa 490k to 459k in 2016.
Just heard DeSantis on the radio....said R turnout is almost twice that of 2016.
florida update
https://mobile.twitter.com/PpollingNumb ... 3906971649
not sure if it includes 6 other counties. lead stretch 35k. dems voting late in the day? grabbing all the independents? rino's are fired up? still more mail ins to count?

tbd.
These numbers don’t look good at all for Trump. Am I missing something?
i haven't got any idea. these are up to date totals based on registration
and i believe contain 6 counties that weren't included earlier.

as far as registered, there are 150k? more dems than republicans, the smallest gap in lots of years, but who knows who's dead?

not sure what time actual polling results start rolling out.

maricopa on its face looks good for trump.

Re: 2020 Elections - THIS IS IT!!

Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 4:10 pm
by njbill
My comments were Florida only.

I would expect more registered Republicans are voting for Biden than the reverse. Also, I would expect Joe will get a very healthy share of the independents. Roll those things together, and it looks like a pretty good lead for Joe at this point.

But Florida is like Chinatown.

Re: 2020 Elections - THIS IS IT!!

Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 4:15 pm
by wgdsr
njbill wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 4:10 pm My comments were Florida only.

I would expect more registered Republicans are voting for Biden than the reverse. Also, I would expect Joe will get a very healthy share of the independents. Roll those things together, and it looks like a pretty good lead for Joe at this point.

But Florida is like Chinatown.
some folks are saying gotta win by 300k registration but who knows? we'll get polling results by the time they can get there.

that said, they were down 116k before the day started.

Re: 2020 Elections - THIS IS IT!!

Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 4:15 pm
by Typical Lax Dad
I plan on pulling a Hyman Roth tonight. Hoping to go to bed without seeing any feedback on the election if I can avoid it.

Re: 2020 Elections - THIS IS IT!!

Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 4:18 pm
by wgdsr

Re: 2020 Elections - THIS IS IT!!

Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 4:25 pm
by DMac
Have felt for quite some time that Trump will pull this out. Not based on anything other than gut feeling.
Polls mean jack to me, sure didn't mean much last time, not figuring they mean a whole lot this time either.
Went to bed before the results were in last time, was a whole lot closer than I figured it would be but still
didn't give Trump a snowball's chance in hell of winning it. Just don't think the Ds are very good at this, not
too much longer before we find out.

Re: 2020 Elections - THIS IS IT!!

Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 4:25 pm
by cradleandshoot
Typical Lax Dad wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 4:15 pm I plan on pulling a Hyman Roth tonight. Hoping to go to bed without seeing any feedback on the election if I can avoid it.
If you don't see the horizon in your home town still burning when you wake up, you will know who won. :D I'm with you i will be in bed by 9pm as always.

Re: 2020 Elections - THIS IS IT!!

Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 4:34 pm
by a fan
DMac wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 4:25 pm Have felt for quite some time that Trump will pull this out. Not based on anything other than gut feeling.
Same here.

Oh well. The part that makes me happy? Record Voter Turnout. If we turn out in such great numbers, and Trump wins? Fine by me. Neat to see Americans getting engaged like this!

Re: 2020 Elections - THIS IS IT!!

Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 4:40 pm
by Typical Lax Dad
cradleandshoot wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 4:25 pm
Typical Lax Dad wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 4:15 pm I plan on pulling a Hyman Roth tonight. Hoping to go to bed without seeing any feedback on the election if I can avoid it.
If you don't see the horizon in your home town still burning when you wake up, you will know who won. :D I'm with you i will be in bed by 9pm as always.
:lol: I love that movie and that’s my favorite scene.

Re: 2020 Elections - THIS IS IT!!

Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 4:45 pm
by cradleandshoot
seacoaster wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 2:56 pm
njbill wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 2:54 pm
cradleandshoot wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 1:37 pm Funny you should mention Philly counselor. I was just talking with my son who lives just outside of Philly. Since there are such huge #s of trump supporters in Philly the game plan is this... and don't tell anybody I told you. They are all going to go to Geno's and grab a cheesesteak and a cup of fries. Then the republican mob is moving into downtown and they are going to grab the liberty bell and hold it hostage until trump is declared the winner in PA. You can't tell a soul that I told you this. ;)
Huge nos. of Trump voters in Philly? If three is a huge number, I guess. :lol: Remember all those Romney precincts that got zeroed out.

Mum’s the word.
How you doing? I imagine going from polling place to polling place, and keeping the IDs and disguises straight can be tedious.
I wore my BHO mask, no one questioned all of my votes at all. :D East Irondequoit is a democrat haven to say the least.

Re: 2020 Elections - THIS IS IT!!

Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 5:28 pm
by Matnum PI
first polls close at 6 PM...

Re: 2020 Elections - THIS IS IT!!

Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 5:44 pm
by wgdsr
fla now plus 191k for republican registered.
rep registered were +186k in 2016 and won by 113k.

rino's and indies will pull it out if dems win florida. not dems showing him out.

edit: now at 203.5. about 15k per hour and the polls close in one hour. don't know the delay in count average per county, but looking like 300k won't happen.

maybe somewhere in the mid 200s or more. then, we wait. are the pre-election polls right? if florida goes, trump's path is over.

Re: 2020 Elections - THIS IS IT!!

Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:29 pm
by Nigel
cradleandshoot wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 4:45 pm
seacoaster wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 2:56 pm
njbill wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 2:54 pm
cradleandshoot wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 1:37 pm Funny you should mention Philly counselor. I was just talking with my son who lives just outside of Philly. Since there are such huge #s of trump supporters in Philly the game plan is this... and don't tell anybody I told you. They are all going to go to Geno's and grab a cheesesteak and a cup of fries. Then the republican mob is moving into downtown and they are going to grab the liberty bell and hold it hostage until trump is declared the winner in PA. You can't tell a soul that I told you this. ;)
Huge nos. of Trump voters in Philly? If three is a huge number, I guess. :lol: Remember all those Romney precincts that got zeroed out.

Mum’s the word.
How you doing? I imagine going from polling place to polling place, and keeping the IDs and disguises straight can be tedious.
I wore my BHO mask, no one questioned all of my votes at all. :D East Irondequoit is a democrat haven to say the least.
That's why East IQ sucks at lax...

Re: 2020 Elections - THIS IS IT!!

Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:32 pm
by ABV 8.3%
Typical Lax Dad wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 4:15 pm I plan on pulling a Hyman Roth tonight. Hoping to go to bed without seeing any feedback on the election if I can avoid it.
this explains much. :lol:


New Years Eve.........what election?

Re: 2020 Elections - THIS IS IT!!

Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:43 pm
by Typical Lax Dad
ABV 8.3% wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 6:32 pm
Typical Lax Dad wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 4:15 pm I plan on pulling a Hyman Roth tonight. Hoping to go to bed without seeing any feedback on the election if I can avoid it.
this explains much. :lol:


New Years Eve.........what election?
How was the mask today?

Re: 2020 Elections - THIS IS IT!!

Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 7:00 pm
by DMac
a fan wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 4:34 pm
DMac wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 4:25 pm Have felt for quite some time that Trump will pull this out. Not based on anything other than gut feeling.
Same here.

Oh well. The part that makes me happy? Record Voter Turnout. If we turn out in such great numbers, and Trump wins? Fine by me. Neat to see Americans getting engaged like this!
Can't bittch about the outcome, whole lot of people came out and played. One team wins, one teams loses.
Can bittch a whole lot about what kind of aszwhole the guy who won is though.

Re: 2020 Elections - THIS IS IT!!

Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 7:32 pm
by 3rdPersonPlural
Image