No P5 AD wants to expand into any new non-revenue sport at his/her school. None, nada, zero. Female or male. TBH, most would cut many of their existing non-revenue sports if they could. It has been that way for many decades.Have the odds for expansion of DI lacrosse gone from extremely slim to possible contraction?
Does it make sense to carry the NCAA minimum number of teams, which I believe is 15, to control costs and travel concerns associated with these Super Conferences.
If forced to for compliance, they'll expand into a female high headcount sport -- rowing, wlax, beach volleyball, whatev. Although cutting male sports is more likely and easier.
So conference reorg will have ZERO impact on the chances of expansion in P5 D1 mlax. Because the chances were already about 0%. For the past 50 years you've got ND, Mich, Utah, right?
But I'll give you about a 0.001% chance that USC could add mlax in the next 15 years. Since they will soon have B10 $$$$$, and the B10 also has mlax. I'd also guess that there's a much higher chance USC would add mhockey. That's a B10 sport too and at least it brings in some dough.