It could relate to the fact that teams have not been awarded AQs yet. It looks like the sum of the at-large probabilities has been normalized to 8.Trumansburger wrote: ↑Sat May 04, 2019 11:49 amOK, I see Cornell listed at 50%. And when I scroll down it shows Syracuse with only 33% and Maryland 42.9% Tournament Selection Probability. Those seem low. Am I missing something?Cooter wrote: ↑Sat May 04, 2019 10:27 am
Laf from laxpowers assessment has Cornell at 50%
http://www.laxbytes.com/2019/binmenstats/ncaapb01.php
The quality wins factor has usually seemed rather important to selection committees and Hopkins is the worst of the five in that category by a significant amount.
While the selection criteria are listed, how a particular selection committee uses it often seems inconsistent. So it is hard to figure out, with a lot of teams relatively close, what will be the major factor.
For example, Yale and Penn have both AQ probabilities and at-large probabilities. After their game tomorrow, one will be an AQ and have no at-large probability. So right now, there is a good amount of at-large probability being held by teams that will be AQs.