coda wrote: ↑Wed Jun 28, 2023 2:57 pm
DocBarrister wrote: ↑Wed Jun 28, 2023 2:37 pm
coda wrote: ↑Wed Jun 28, 2023 8:50 am
BrownDad wrote: ↑Wed Jun 28, 2023 8:28 am
Time will tell if you're right about the long-term growth of the portal but you're already wildly wrong. This year there are 112 players in the portal (as reported in Lacrosse Bucket) of which 28 are non-seniors (25%). Last year it was 176 players of which 83 were non-seniors (47%). That's a 36% drop in total number of players and a 66% drop in non-seniors in 1 year. Last year 39 players (22%) that were in the portal didn't transfer anywhere and of these 27 were seniors (69%). This year so far 32 players (29%) haven't transferred and 21 of them are seniors (66%). The inference is that far fewer players entered the portal this year and, while many more of them were seniors, there is about the same level of success in transferring.
Not interested in the "star" player debate but as we get further away from an extra Covid year being available I just don't see "star" players trying to find a different place to play for their senior year when they've only got 4 years of eligibility.
Covid crew getting through the system is slowing it down. The answer is generally in between. The portal will be a factor going on. The teams that learn how to navigate it correctly will flourish. Throwing around NIL money and stocking up on portal players is likely to be very inconsistent and potentially harmful to the long term stability. You have to find the balance. Its going to be interesting.
Yep, Covid “blip.” If other sports are a measure, the transfer portal will steadily grow over time. No reason to believe lacrosse is an exception to the general rule. It’s a good development, as the portal facilitates options for transferring students.
https://www.ncaa.org/news/2023/2/21/med ... nd-ii.aspx
DocBarrister
I am not sure what the general rule is in non-revenue sports. I am not sure anyone has done the work on that.
there's no general rule for any sport, mostly just cherry picked numbers. what has happened, though, is the nc$$ has had to be more accomodating to athletes. kill the in-conference transfer rules. allow direct graduate school transfers in the revenues. then allow one-time undergrads. cost of attendance. and of course... nil.
impossible to know how far that will stretch, and that is sport specific.
what it has allowed the haves to do is turn over rosters. unhappy or underperforming football or basketball players... they're out. now, they were doing that some anyway in the form of one year schollies, but now their players do that for them. coaches bemoan the chaos, but they have another bite at the apple.
for lacrosse, as this was supposed to be in a lot of cases the chance to get into a selective school, johnny's gonna have a tough time telling pops he wants to go to lower us w news /report because he can't crack the lineup. where that's not the case, still just gonna be tough to find a match school that rivals your 1st choice outside of lax just to get more burn.
the guys best situated seem to be the ones that blow up at mid-tier or below and can trade up. kinda like juco previously.