OK. Let's get the "Personal" out of the way. Forget I said it.Bart wrote: ↑Thu Apr 07, 2022 9:37 pmPersonal? Didn’t know I mentioned you or your kid. It’s not like someone said loyola…a team everyone loves to hate and I said …..I’m in.Dr. Tact wrote: ↑Thu Apr 07, 2022 9:10 pmSorry, was that directed at me because of loyola? I was just making a comment about duke and their draw percentage. If they didnt win 80 percent of the draws they wouldnt win as many games...pretty simple conceptBart wrote: ↑Thu Apr 07, 2022 8:46 pmIf…. Kind of like if Rosenzweig doesn’t win 5 DC’s SU wins by more than one. All parts of a team
You didnt need to make it personal
Jenner is part of a team. Her 80% win tonight helped her team win. Much like on the mens side several face off specialists help their teams win the national championships. Part of a team.
One more thing to get out here. I am not a fan of Duke Women's lax. It is a personal bias that I don't need to go into here. That said, my comments were not driven from my dislike of the program. I was just stating some observations.
Jenner is part of a team and she helped her team win the game last night. She is also the premier draw specialist in the game today. That is not a question. My points were in this vein... In general, a team that significantly wins draws by a large margin wins the game (I know we had some examples of the opposite on another thread). Your Team gets more opportunities to score and the opponent gets less. Pretty simple. So, look at my previous comments a little closer. I thought that it was a simple statement that when winning a 1 goal game, if you didn't win such a large percentage of draws, the result could (I would say "would") be different. I said that maybe the key to beating Duke is draws. That isn't so outrageous, again, simple concept. Nowhere did I say Jenner wasn't great, wasn't part of a team. She was crucial to their win. But if you can go with me here, if you limit Duke/Jenner to say 60% wins, you can get more opportunities to win. Last night Duke won 23 of 33 (70%) of all draws. Jenner was awarded 18 of those 23. She nearly outdrew the Hokies by 2 to 1. Hypothetically, if Duke (not just Jenner) were limited to 60% wins, that would be 20 draw controls. So, 3 less chances to score for Duke and 3 more chances for VT. This does not factor any total goal differentials that might happen because of the 6 draw delta. So, as a Team there could be a difference in goals scored/given up. I would take the bet that with those +3/-3 chances that VT's Team could have scored one more goal and that Duke's Team would score one less. That is just my opinion on what I saw last night between the two squads. Now, if you are good/lucky enough to limit Duke to 50%, the delta could be 12 draws. That isn't what happened or historically happens with Jenner or the Duke Team. Just my simple statement that got this started. If you can limit draw wins, by Duke, you likely have the best chance to beat them. Duke and VT were equal last night. Whoever won the most draws, won the game. Simple.