Lacrosse Analytics

[OuttaNowhereWregget]

The sports teams with the largest payrolls have analytics departments and use them extensively and it has nothing to do with saving money.

I don't doubt that this is true and when the game is about Ws one would be a fool in not using analytics to help his team win. The downside of analytics, IMO, is that diving too deeply into them and playing the game by what they dictate changes games, and they're not played as they were intended to be. Basketball is played backwards today cuz the analysts tell you to play for the three, not the two. Hoops was intended to be played going to the hoop, not stepping past the half court line and throwing one up, or getting it to the hoop and throwing it out to half court for the shot.
Offense in baseball is pretty tough. 100 mph pitchers. Trying to get wood on that and putting it where the eight players in front of you aren't aint easy, and when the analysts enter the game it's even tougher. People have always "cheated" a little on batters based on where they most often hit but analytics has given a whole new definition to "cheating" on a batter. A lot of the strategy of baseball has been taken out of the game. The long ball rules, swing for the fence, baby!! We don't need no stinkin' bunts.
Not thinkin' analytics has changed lacrosse all that much but the sticks (bags) sure as hell have!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Good stuff, D. And that’s what I ultimately detest about analytics—it has changed sports for the worse. Your baseball and basketball examples are spot on.

[Lax101]

I vote that we eliminate the Lacrosse Analytics thread. Who the heck cares about this nonsense. It is inaccurate, irrelevant and boring. Seems like others agree.

[OuttaNowhereWregget]

I vote that we eliminate the Lacrosse Analytics thread. Who the heck cares about this nonsense. It is inaccurate, irrelevant and boring. Seems like others agree.

It stirs some good discussion, though. It will never be eliminated off this board, just like it won't be eliminated from sports. Too far down the road--in both cases.

[laxreference]

As always, here is the top individual EGA performances of the past week. The full post is here, but here are the highlights...

Charlotte North (BC) took the top spot with a 9.78 EGA game against Northwestern. What else is there to say at this point?


Here is how the rest of the top 10 shook out:

Kenzie Sklar (KENT) - 8.16 EGA
Natalie Calandra-Ryan (YOUNG) - 8.40 EGA
Shelby Harrison (JHU) - 7.70 EGA
Lauren Russell (WM) - 7.24 EGA
Ashley Humphrey (STAN) - 7.19 EGA
Katie DeSimone (DUKE) - 6.79 EGA
Dymin Gerow (UMBC) - 6.62 EGA
Delaney Rodriguez-Shaw (DUQ) - 6.89 EGA
Madison Ahern (ND) - 6.54 EGA

[laxreference]

Updated list of Live Win Probability Links

- Marquette vs Louisville
- Arizona State vs Michigan
- Saint Francis vs Youngstown State
- USC vs Jacksonville
- Duke vs William and Mary
- Duquesne vs Kent State
- Akron vs Wofford
- Maryland vs Virginia
- Siena vs Pittsburgh
- Oregon vs Mercer
- Winthrop vs East Carolina
- UMass Lowell vs Holy Cross
- San Diego State vs California
- Denver vs Stanford

[laxreference]

Live Win Probability Links

- Loyola vs Johns Hopkins
- Coastal Carolina vs Davidson
- North Carolina vs Florida
- Boston U vs Boston College
- Fairfield vs Wagner
- Temple vs Saint Joseph's
- Hofstra vs Army
- Bryant vs Brown
- Canisius vs Robert Morris
- Cornell vs Villanova
- Radford vs Old Dominion
- UConn vs James Madison
- Richmond vs Liberty
- Mount St Mary's vs La Salle
- Dartmouth vs New Hampshire
- VCU vs Virginia Tech
- UMBC vs American
- Quinnipiac vs LIU
- Manhattan vs Columbia
- Notre Dame vs Vanderbilt
- Longwood vs Delaware State
- Rutgers vs Georgetown
- Delaware vs Penn
- Albany vs Colgate
- Sacred Heart vs Yale
- Bucknell vs Binghamton
- George Washington vs Navy

[laxreference]

Updated list of Live Win Probability Links

- Central Michigan vs Louisville
- Lafayette vs Drexel
- Marquette vs Ohio State
- Princeton vs Virginia
- USC vs Mercer
- Colorado vs Harvard
- St. Bonaventure vs Pittsburgh
- Duke vs High Point
- Niagara vs Jacksonville
- Michigan vs Cincinnati
- Marist vs UMass Lowell
- Oregon vs Kennesaw State
- Akron vs Gardner-Webb
- Central Conn vs Monmouth
- Duquesne vs Kent State
- Presbyterian vs East Carolina
- San Diego State vs UC Davis
- Denver vs California
- Stony Brook vs Syracuse

[laxreference]

As always, here is the top individual EGA performances of the past week. The full post is here, but here are the highlights...

For once, Charlotte North did not grab the top spot. That went to Catriona Barry (DUKE) with a 9.02 EGA game. I use a 0-99 Madden-style scale to get a picture of each player's strengths and weaknesses. So far, she's a 99 for individual efficiency, 88 for shooting, 87 for assist rate. For her worst metric, ball security, she still gets an above-average 56.


Here is how the rest of the top 10 shook out:

Charlotte North (BC) - 8.97 EGA
Quinn Nicolai (TEM) - 7.68 EGA
Livy Rosenzweig (LOY) - 7.62 EGA
Karson Harris (DREX) - 7.09 EGA
Siena Gore (KSU) - 7.39 EGA
Belle Mastropietro (TEM) - 7.27 EGA
Dymin Gerow (UMBC) - 6.81 EGA
Deanna Balsama (SDSU) - 6.70 EGA
Danielle Pavinelli (FL) - 6.61 EGA

[laxreference]

Live Win Probability Links for today's games

- La Salle vs Lafayette
- American vs Howard
- Florida vs Maryland
- Temple vs Princeton
- High Point vs James Madison
- Fairfield vs Hofstra
- Virginia Tech vs Louisville
- Robert Morris vs Bucknell
- George Washington vs UMBC
- Old Dominion vs Longwood
- Boston U vs UMass
- Penn State vs Cornell
- Johns Hopkins vs Penn
- Lehigh vs Rutgers
- Georgetown vs Harvard
- Binghamton vs Mount St Mary's
- Monmouth vs LIU
- Bryant vs Columbia
- Manhattan vs Delaware State
- Colgate vs St. Bonaventure
- Boston College vs Brown
- Army vs Marist
- UC Davis vs California
- Syracuse vs Notre Dame
- Yale vs Albany

[laxreference]

As always, here is the top individual EGA performances of the past week. The full post is here, but here are the highlights...

Sydney Watson (UCONN) takes the crown with a 9.50 EGA game against UMass-Lowell. The UConn star has actually seen a bit of a drop-off this year in her overall efficiency even as her production has gone up due to a higher usage rate. Will be curious if the Huskies are going to be relying on her more this year, or if the offense just needs some time to settle.


Here is how the rest of the top 10 shook out:

Noelle Boyd (AKR) - 9.22 EGA
Lauren Gilbert (NW) - 7.84 EGA
Sarah Cipolla (WM) - 7.99 EGA
Belle Martire (WM) - 7.89 EGA
Abby Edmisten (PRES) - 7.68 EGA
Sarah Falk (ALB) - 7.43 EGA
Aurora Cordingley (MD) - 7.09 EGA
Julianne Carey (DAV) - 7.35 EGA
Charlotte North (BC) - 7.08 EGA

[laxreference]

Live Win Probability Links

- Northwestern vs North Carolina
- Duke vs Syracuse
- Virginia vs Notre Dame
- Marquette vs Niagara
- Cincinnati vs Akron
- Michigan vs Central Michigan
- Drexel vs Johns Hopkins
- UMass Lowell vs Mercer
- Howard vs Longwood
- Vanderbilt vs Denver
- Detroit Mercy vs Butler
- UC Davis vs Colorado
- Delaware State vs Sacred Heart

[Lax101]

This week's winner played against UMass-Lowell. Now that is credible data, while others battle in the ACC. I've said it before and some may disagree but I don't think this player would even start for UNC or BC. This is the second year in a row an AA middie transfered to UNC and found it incredibly hard to excel. Those 2 AA middies would also light up UMass-Lowell.

[laxreference]

This week's winner played against UMass-Lowell. Now that is credible data, while others battle in the ACC. I've said it before and some may disagree but I don't think this player would even start for UNC or BC. This is the second year in a row an AA middie transfered to UNC and found it incredibly hard to excel. Those 2 AA middies would also light up UMass-Lowell.

You are right. Often times, a player will have a high EGA score because they played a terrible defense. I'm ok with that; part of the reason for this weekly list is to highlight players who don't get a lot of recognition otherwise. Skipping the opponent-adjustment is a big part of doing that.

[laxreference]

Here's my top-20 for Week 4.

lacrossereference_rankings_20220307_NCAAD1Women.jpg (130.4 KiB) Viewed 1407 times

[laxreference]

As always, here is the top individual EGA performances of the past week. The full post is here, but here are the highlights...

Emma Vinall (AMU) made her first appearance of the season with an 8.89 EGA game against Gardner Webb. Vinall has been a mainstay on this list in past seasons, but it appears she's been more of the focus for opposing defenses as her play share is down 3 percentage points from last season.


Here is how the rest of the top 10 shook out:

Kerri Gutenberger (MAR) - 8.61 EGA
Siena Gore (KSU) - 7.86 EGA
Belle Mastropietro (TEM) - 7.95 EGA
Blair Pearre (TOW) - 7.73 EGA
Julianne Carey (DAV) - 7.67 EGA
Quinn Nicolai (TEM) - 7.45 EGA
Jenny Kinsey (JAV) - 7.18 EGA
Ava Goeller (CIN) - 7.05 EGA
Nicole McNeely (SIE) - 7.36 EGA

[laxreference]

Through last night's games, here's the Efficiency Matrix for all Division I teams. After adjusting for the quality of the opponents faced, the best teams are up and to the right.

efficiency_matrix_NCAAD1Women_20220312.jpg (119 KiB) Viewed 1250 times

[Dr. Tact]

Through last night's games, here's the Efficiency Matrix for all Division I teams. After adjusting for the quality of the opponents faced, the best teams are up and to the right.


efficiency_matrix_NCAAD1Women_20220312.jpg

That is an interesting chart....

[DMac]

[OuttaNowhereWregget]

[laxreference]

Live Win Probability Links for today's games.

- Johns Hopkins vs Stony Brook
- Notre Dame vs Jacksonville
- Penn vs Duke
- LIU vs Stetson
- Saint Francis vs Longwood
- Yale vs Boston College
- Denver vs Michigan
- Louisville vs North Carolina
- Rutgers vs James Madison
- Cornell vs UConn
- Villanova vs Maryland
- Colorado vs Arizona State
- Binghamton vs Pittsburgh
- American vs Old Dominion
- Presbyterian vs Delaware State
- Davidson vs Radford
- UMBC vs Bucknell
- Liberty vs California
- Stanford vs UC Davis
- Oregon vs USC