youthathletics wrote: ↑Sat Jan 08, 2022 8:47 am
old salt wrote: ↑Sat Jan 08, 2022 2:37 am
PizzaSnake wrote: ↑Fri Jan 07, 2022 10:46 pm
old salt wrote: ↑Fri Jan 07, 2022 10:15 pm
PizzaSnake wrote: ↑Fri Jan 07, 2022 9:02 pm
old salt wrote: ↑Fri Jan 07, 2022 6:56 pm
Ian Bremmer -- if Putin formally sends Russian troops into the areas of E Ukraine now controlled by Russian separatists, the US will increase sanctions, but the EU will split from the US & do nothing meaningful.
Putin won't attack Kyiv but he will then occupy much of the Donbass region.
No shite. If the US became involved militarily, china would snap up Taiwan immediately. If you think supply chains and chip shortages are bad now…
In any case, things will get interesting once the Winter Olympics conclude.
imo -- the US would levy sanctions & send more forces to NATO's E flank.
EU NATO members may also send some more forces to the E front,
but not do anything to prompt Putin to reduce the gas flow in the winter.
Not to be too callous, but Ukraine and Russia are the EU’s problem.
Taiwan and China are much more relevant to the interests of the world economy.
I agree.
Now Sweden & Finland are considering applying for NATO membership, as 30k Russian paratroopers are invited into the capital of Kazakhstan, where the President has issued shoot-to-kill ROE vs protesters.
I read that yesterday....crazy times. I also recommend that we work more closely with Taiwan, create an exchange program to have more of a presence there and in turn bring in their semi-conductor manufacturing leverage to the US....be up and running in no time.
These machines are what China wants. It can’t make them. Hard to move. Doubt they could maintain and operate without manufacturing consortium support.
“The machine is made by ASML Holding, based in Veldhoven. Its system uses a different kind of light to define ultrasmall circuitry on chips, packing more performance into the small slices of silicon. The tool, which took decades to develop and was introduced for high-volume manufacturing in 2017, costs more than $150 million. Shipping it to customers requires 40 shipping containers, 20 trucks and three Boeing 747s.
The complex machine is widely acknowledged as necessary for making the most advanced chips, an ability with geopolitical implications. The Trump administration successfully lobbied the Dutch government to block shipments of such a machine to China in 2019, and the Biden administration has shown no signs of reversing that stance.”
https://www.nytimes.com/2021/07/04/tech ... chips.html
"There is nothing more difficult and more dangerous to carry through than initiating changes. One makes enemies of those who prospered under the old order, and only lukewarm support from those who would prosper under the new."