https://www.nationalreview.com/magazine ... integrate/
Will the United States Disintegrate ?
by Terry Teachout
We may face an unbridgeable chasm.
I saw it coming — 20 years ago. Within days of the 2000 presidential election, I wrote an essay for Commentary called “Republican Nation, Democratic Nation?” in which I argued that the election showed that America was splitting into “two geographically and culturally distinct units.” I went on to explain:
On one side of the fence is an urban- and suburban-based congeries of government employees, union members, blacks, and those highly educated, comparatively affluent “knowledge workers” known to political scientists as the New Class. On the other is the contemporary equivalent of what H. L. Mencken dubbed the Bible belt, . . . in which rural and small-town America have joined forces with the fast-growing group of Americans who live in “exurbia,” the new middle-class communities that are springing up beyond the rim of the older suburbs.
What is now conventional wisdom, however, was nothing of the sort when my essay came out early in 2001. Numerous commentators, among them David Brooks and Andrew Sullivan, dismissed my claim as alarmism. In Brooks’s words: “There is no fundamental conflict. There may be cracks, but there is no chasm.” Except for Michael Barone, who spotted the cultural split first and wrote about it prior to the election, the only prominent person to think otherwise was Gertrude Himmelfarb, the great cultural and intellectual historian, who wrote in Commentary, “I entirely (well, almost entirely) agree with Terry Teachout.” While she was reluctant to go so far as to declare that America had split into two nations, preferring instead to say that we were “one nation, two cultures,” the title of her 2000 book on the subject, Himmelfarb was in no doubt that the country was undergoing a profound and fateful cultural transformation, and differed with me only in what to call it.
Four years later, my critics had all changed their minds. Part of what opened their eyes was the publication of The Big Sort: Why the Clustering of Like-Minded America Is Tearing Us Apart, in which Bill Bishop and Robert G. Cushing used “in-migration” data and other survey evidence to show that Americans were consciously clustering in “communities of sameness . . . whose inhabitants find other Americans to be culturally incomprehensible”:
We discovered that people who left counties with large numbers of Evangelicals rarely moved to counties dominated by Democrats. People who left counties with a high proportion of Evangelicals largely moved to counties of like faith. Similarly, we found that when people moved from Republican counties, they were very likely to settle in other Republican counties.
Their existing political and cultural attitudes were reinforced because they were now surrounded by people who thought as they thought — and who, in the case of Red America, were for the most part working-class whites, many of them Christian evangelicals, without a college education. The only thing missing was a political leader capable of speaking to and for the newly self-aware identitarians of Red America. Existing Republican leaders did not know how to do this, nor did anyone involved with what used to be called the “conservative movement.”* This left the door open for an outsider who understood that, in the words of Chris Arnade, one of the most insightful journalistic observers of Red America, working-class Americans “believe in faith, family, the flag, and the American dream, and are not embarrassed about that.” Donald Trump was that man.
I did not foresee that Trump would win the Republican nomination in 2016 — nobody did — but no sooner did he become the nominee than I realized, and said publicly, that he had a realistic chance of becoming the next president. His most fervent supporters, as I wrote in Commentary in the spring of 2016, were anxious middle- and working-class white men who sense that official employment statistics understate the problem of long-term unemployment in the U.S., fear that their own jobs may be at risk, and have come to the conclusion that unrestricted immigration is . . . a direct and mortal threat to themselves and their families.
Trump saw at once that these voters felt powerless and disrespected, both by the leaders of Blue America and by the other Republican candidates, and so he ran as a Jacksonian populist (to use Walter Russell Mead’s formulation) who spoke the coded language of white anxiety clearly and fluently — a language to which, as the 2020 exit polls show, a growing number of working-class Latinos and black men are also responding. Not surprisingly, Blue America responded with sniggeringly dismissive not-our-kind-dearie New Class disdain, but Trump’s followers saw him as their champion, and so they put him in the White House.
Four years later, the cultural chasm separating the two Americas has grown wider still. The condition that increasingly obtains in American society is that those who disagree no longer have anything to say to one another: Fact-based argument has been replaced by the knee-jerk contempt of identity politics. This is why I have come to believe that I will live to see Red and Blue America negotiate what I call a “soft disunion.” No, there won’t be a second Civil War, but we have also come a long way from the stirring words of Abraham Lincoln’s first inaugural address: “We are not enemies, but friends. We must not be enemies. Though passion may have strained, it must not break our bonds of affection.” Indeed, the gap that separates the two Americas has grown so deep and wide that I find it hard to imagine their caring to function as a single nation for very much longer. If this is so, then I expect they will ultimately find a more or less polite way to stop doing so, one enabled by the slow workings of the Big Sort.
The chief obstacle that stands in the way of the soft disunion of America is that Red and Blue America are not geographically disjunct, as were the North and South in the Civil War. Even in the biggest and reddest of states, there are deep-blue enclaves that have no wish to be absorbed into the whole. Perhaps they will be the West Berlins of the 21st century, tiny islands of dissent in vast seas of concord. But if the desire to separate is strong enough, then the problem will surely be solved in one way or another. Lincoln said it: “If destruction be our lot we must ourselves be its author and finisher. As a nation of freemen we must live through all time or die by suicide.” And so we may, sundered by inattention.
And then . . . what? Given the present state of American politics, I fear that few will lament the disintegration of the United States of America as it has hitherto been understood. Indeed, many will see it as blessed deliverance from the horrors of unpeaceful cultural coexistence. But for those of us who love America, messy and confused as it is, soft disunion will be a terrible thing, no less terrible for having been effected politely.
Change the Electoral College or the Union?
Re: Change the Electoral College or the Union?
For neo-secessionists, here's an intriguing pay-walled NR essay to feed the paranoia :
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Re: Change the Electoral College or the Union?
“Neo secessionist” = traitor (and selfish as well as weak of mind and spirit for running away vs trying to work with others and compromising)
Now I love those cowboys, I love their gold
Love my uncle, God rest his soul
Taught me good, Lord, taught me all I know
Taught me so well, that I grabbed that gold
I left his dead ass there by the side of the road, yeah
Love my uncle, God rest his soul
Taught me good, Lord, taught me all I know
Taught me so well, that I grabbed that gold
I left his dead ass there by the side of the road, yeah
Re: Change the Electoral College or the Union?
Loved Collins on talk show this morning saying, DC should be absorbed into MD, to give those USA citizens formal representation in America.
She might be on to something, but let's start by reuniting the Carolinas and the Dakotas! Heck, why not send New Mexico back south of the border?
She might be on to something, but let's start by reuniting the Carolinas and the Dakotas! Heck, why not send New Mexico back south of the border?
by cradleandshoot » Fri Aug 13, 2021 8:57 am
Mr moderator, deactivate my account.
You have heck this forum up to making it nothing more than a joke. I hope you are happy.
This is cradle and shoot signing out.
Mr moderator, deactivate my account.
You have heck this forum up to making it nothing more than a joke. I hope you are happy.
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Re: Change the Electoral College or the Union?
As someone on my Twitter feed responded - absorb Maine back into Massachussetts...CU88 wrote: ↑Sun May 02, 2021 12:56 pm Loved Collins on talk show this morning saying, DC should be absorbed into MD, to give those USA citizens formal representation in America.
She might be on to something, but let's start by reuniting the Carolinas and the Dakotas! Heck, why not send New Mexico back south of the border?
Re: Change the Electoral College or the Union?
West Virginia goes back into VA like it used to be.
And make South Jersey (Iggles!) separate from North Jersey. Each of those Jersey states would be 3-4x bigger than the new combined state of Dakota.
And make South Jersey (Iggles!) separate from North Jersey. Each of those Jersey states would be 3-4x bigger than the new combined state of Dakota.
Last edited by ggait on Sun May 02, 2021 3:12 pm, edited 2 times in total.
Boycott stupid. If you ignore the gator troll, eventually he'll just go back under his bridge.
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Re: Change the Electoral College or the Union?
Only if Remaining Jersey has to take Staten Island off New York’s hands..
Now I love those cowboys, I love their gold
Love my uncle, God rest his soul
Taught me good, Lord, taught me all I know
Taught me so well, that I grabbed that gold
I left his dead ass there by the side of the road, yeah
Love my uncle, God rest his soul
Taught me good, Lord, taught me all I know
Taught me so well, that I grabbed that gold
I left his dead ass there by the side of the road, yeah
Re: Change the Electoral College or the Union?
Losing Pete Davidson to North Jersey is a good idea.
Boycott stupid. If you ignore the gator troll, eventually he'll just go back under his bridge.
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Re: Change the Electoral College or the Union?
He’s like the best thing they have going for themselves (saying something).
Now I love those cowboys, I love their gold
Love my uncle, God rest his soul
Taught me good, Lord, taught me all I know
Taught me so well, that I grabbed that gold
I left his dead ass there by the side of the road, yeah
Love my uncle, God rest his soul
Taught me good, Lord, taught me all I know
Taught me so well, that I grabbed that gold
I left his dead ass there by the side of the road, yeah
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Re: Change the Electoral College or the Union?
If WV goes back to VA will they still be allowed to keep inoperable vehicles and washing machines on their front yard?
Re: Change the Electoral College or the Union?
... there is plenty of that in the Virginia hills.ardilla secreta wrote: ↑Mon May 03, 2021 5:48 pmIf WV goes back to VA will they still be allowed to keep inoperable vehicles and washing machines on their front yard?
STAND AGAINST FASCISM
Re: Change the Electoral College or the Union?
Every state admitted after the original 13 was done so by a simple majority vote in Congress. So why should D.C. be any different?
Make D.C. our 51st state.
https://twitter.com/IndivisibleTeam/sta ... 3962826755
Make D.C. our 51st state.
https://twitter.com/IndivisibleTeam/sta ... 3962826755
by cradleandshoot » Fri Aug 13, 2021 8:57 am
Mr moderator, deactivate my account.
You have heck this forum up to making it nothing more than a joke. I hope you are happy.
This is cradle and shoot signing out.
Mr moderator, deactivate my account.
You have heck this forum up to making it nothing more than a joke. I hope you are happy.
This is cradle and shoot signing out.
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Re: Change the Electoral College or the Union?
We should also add Puerto Rico.
And start un-gerrymandering by making:
N and S California.
Maryland and Baltimore.
Long Island.
And start un-gerrymandering by making:
N and S California.
Maryland and Baltimore.
Long Island.
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Re: Change the Electoral College or the Union?
Don't forget West New York. This could be a fun game gerrymandering for US Senators.kramerica.inc wrote: ↑Mon May 24, 2021 10:43 am We should also add Puerto Rico.
And start un-gerrymandering by making:
N and S California.
Maryland and Baltimore.
Long Island.
We don't make mistakes, we have happy accidents.
Bob Ross:
Bob Ross:
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Re: Change the Electoral College or the Union?
Stacking the courts is already a strategy. Why not stack congress too?cradleandshoot wrote: ↑Mon May 24, 2021 10:48 amDon't forget West New York. This could be a fun game gerrymandering for US Senators.kramerica.inc wrote: ↑Mon May 24, 2021 10:43 am We should also add Puerto Rico.
And start un-gerrymandering by making:
N and S California.
Maryland and Baltimore.
Long Island.
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Re: Change the Electoral College or the Union?
No problem with the libs for trying. I have a big problem when they blow smoke up my ass and lie about what it is they really want. What they really want is more Democrat seats in both houses. Why don't they just admit that from the start. These are the folks who lectured us all for 4 years about lying to the American people.kramerica.inc wrote: ↑Mon May 24, 2021 11:14 amStacking the courts is already a strategy. Why not stack congress too?cradleandshoot wrote: ↑Mon May 24, 2021 10:48 amDon't forget West New York. This could be a fun game gerrymandering for US Senators.kramerica.inc wrote: ↑Mon May 24, 2021 10:43 am We should also add Puerto Rico.
And start un-gerrymandering by making:
N and S California.
Maryland and Baltimore.
Long Island.
We don't make mistakes, we have happy accidents.
Bob Ross:
Bob Ross:
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Re: Change the Electoral College or the Union?
One massive opportunity zonecradleandshoot wrote: ↑Mon May 24, 2021 10:48 amDon't forget West New York. This could be a fun game gerrymandering for US Senators.kramerica.inc wrote: ↑Mon May 24, 2021 10:43 am We should also add Puerto Rico.
And start un-gerrymandering by making:
N and S California.
Maryland and Baltimore.
Long Island.
Now I love those cowboys, I love their gold
Love my uncle, God rest his soul
Taught me good, Lord, taught me all I know
Taught me so well, that I grabbed that gold
I left his dead ass there by the side of the road, yeah
Love my uncle, God rest his soul
Taught me good, Lord, taught me all I know
Taught me so well, that I grabbed that gold
I left his dead ass there by the side of the road, yeah
Re: Change the Electoral College or the Union?
Now, however, several dozen leading constitutional law experts are weighing in with a new letter that seeks to demolish this argument once and for all, making the case that granting D.C. statehood is absolutely within Congress’ constitutional authority. This should give the cause a big boost at a critical moment.
https://www.dropbox.com/s/ghtdagoapnlzo ... 1.pdf?dl=0
https://www.dropbox.com/s/ghtdagoapnlzo ... 1.pdf?dl=0
by cradleandshoot » Fri Aug 13, 2021 8:57 am
Mr moderator, deactivate my account.
You have heck this forum up to making it nothing more than a joke. I hope you are happy.
This is cradle and shoot signing out.
Mr moderator, deactivate my account.
You have heck this forum up to making it nothing more than a joke. I hope you are happy.
This is cradle and shoot signing out.
Re: Change the Electoral College or the Union?
When Adding New States Helped the Republicans
Putting new stars on the U.S. flag has always been political. But D.C. statehood is a modest partisan ploy compared with the mass admission of underpopulated western territories—which boosts the GOP even 130 years later.
SEPTEMBER 19, 2019
Heather Cox Richardson
Professor of history at Boston College
https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archi ... ns/598243/
Putting new stars on the U.S. flag has always been political. But D.C. statehood is a modest partisan ploy compared with the mass admission of underpopulated western territories—which boosts the GOP even 130 years later.
SEPTEMBER 19, 2019
Heather Cox Richardson
Professor of history at Boston College
https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archi ... ns/598243/
by cradleandshoot » Fri Aug 13, 2021 8:57 am
Mr moderator, deactivate my account.
You have heck this forum up to making it nothing more than a joke. I hope you are happy.
This is cradle and shoot signing out.
Mr moderator, deactivate my account.
You have heck this forum up to making it nothing more than a joke. I hope you are happy.
This is cradle and shoot signing out.
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Re: Change the Electoral College or the Union?
Just what we need, more Senators & Representatives that lie, cheat and steal.Farfromgeneva wrote: ↑Mon May 24, 2021 11:57 amOne massive opportunity zonecradleandshoot wrote: ↑Mon May 24, 2021 10:48 amDon't forget West New York. This could be a fun game gerrymandering for US Senators.kramerica.inc wrote: ↑Mon May 24, 2021 10:43 am We should also add Puerto Rico.
And start un-gerrymandering by making:
N and S California.
Maryland and Baltimore.
Long Island.
A fraudulent intent, however carefully concealed at the outset, will generally, in the end, betray itself.
~Livy
“There are two ways to be fooled. One is to believe what isn’t true; the other is to refuse to believe what is true.” -Soren Kierkegaard
~Livy
“There are two ways to be fooled. One is to believe what isn’t true; the other is to refuse to believe what is true.” -Soren Kierkegaard
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Re: Change the Electoral College or the Union?
hmmm, of course it's partisan. Who said it wasn't?cradleandshoot wrote: ↑Mon May 24, 2021 11:28 amNo problem with the libs for trying. I have a big problem when they blow smoke up my ass and lie about what it is they really want. What they really want is more Democrat seats in both houses. Why don't they just admit that from the start. These are the folks who lectured us all for 4 years about lying to the American people.kramerica.inc wrote: ↑Mon May 24, 2021 11:14 amStacking the courts is already a strategy. Why not stack congress too?cradleandshoot wrote: ↑Mon May 24, 2021 10:48 amDon't forget West New York. This could be a fun game gerrymandering for US Senators.kramerica.inc wrote: ↑Mon May 24, 2021 10:43 am We should also add Puerto Rico.
And start un-gerrymandering by making:
N and S California.
Maryland and Baltimore.
Long Island.
That said, it also has the benefit of being consistent with the principle of all citizens being represented, having a full say in their governing.
But arguing against full representation rights?...nah, just raw partisan.
And immensely hypocritical, as well as ahistorical.
Yes, Puerto Rico; heck of a lot more US citizens than several states. If they vote for entry, no excuse really not to grant it.
Kram, I'm 100% down with getting rid of the gobbledy gook gerrymandering in our state (MD) and all other states at the same time...unfortunately SCOTUS ruled against some common sense efforts to make that happen.
I don't understand your comments about N and S California...you want to add a couple more Senators or is this somehow related to gerrymandering?