Atlantic Sun. But the rest of your post is spot on.
2022 alignments
SoCon:
Jacksonville
Mercer
High Point
Richmond
VMI
Hampton
ASun:
Robert Morris
Cleveland State
Detroit Mercy
Bellarmine
Air Force
Utah
Atlantic Sun. But the rest of your post is spot on.
When I consider how road weary they will be later in the season, and they like to run a lot, I see it like this (even though I think they’re like a 23-35 area team):wgdsr wrote: ↑Sun Feb 21, 2021 2:56 pminteresting.Farfromgeneva wrote: ↑Sun Feb 21, 2021 2:25 pm Nope, got bounced from NEC (very similar in some ways to Bart getting booted from the PL in 04 in fact) when they made the move to Horizon for other sports, driven by basketball post NIT win over Kentucky,I guess asked about staying as affiliate member, like Hobart, and the schools said “pound sand bro”. So independent this year with a nasty schedule (wish we were playing them, NEC has each team playing their closest conference opponent by distance 2x which would’ve been RoMo for us but instead we have to play MSM 2x as next closest - apparently closer than Providence, Philly, Staten Island and Fairfield Co CT to Geneva which seems crazy).
Next year RoMo joins the SoCon but “we” (wasn’t a hobart influences decision) didn’t let them play this year out. Here’s their schedule:
2021 Schedule
02/07 @ Duke L 16-12
02/13 @ High Point L 21-15
02/21 @ Colgate Preview
02/23 vs Bellarmine PPD
02/27 @ Notre Dame Preview
03/13 @ Air Force Preview
03/20 @ Virginia Preview
04/03 @ Jacksonville Preview
04/10 vs Cleveland State Preview
04/17 @ Bucknell Preview
05/01 @ Utah Preview
given their results thus far, i don't really see 1 and 9 or 2 and 8 in the cards.
and for an individual team's rpi, the game played is dropped for opponent's record.
almost as important (although not for weighting but because of dispersion) is opp opp record, and theirs should be pretty strong.
they finish 4 - 6 or 5-5, that's 4-5 or 5-4 on opponent's rec, with a potentially high number on opp opp.
it's playing teams with very bad record or average record and very bad opp opp (or of course poor both) that dings teams and leagues. right now, i'd give romo a very good chance of avoiding either.
Yes sorry I knew they did that a few weeks ago but was lazy and thoughtless. Probably going to take me until around 2023 or so to not just lump all schools in both conferences as “SoCon schools”
Yeah, I agree 100%.Farfromgeneva wrote: ↑Sun Feb 21, 2021 3:17 pm And to add, while SoCon looks stronger w Rich & HPU at the top, I think the ASUn is actually a deeper, “better” overall composition for lacrosse.
we'll see!Farfromgeneva wrote: ↑Sun Feb 21, 2021 3:16 pmWhen I consider how road weary they will be later in the season, and they like to run a lot, I see it like this (even though I think they’re like a 23-35 area team):wgdsr wrote: ↑Sun Feb 21, 2021 2:56 pminteresting.Farfromgeneva wrote: ↑Sun Feb 21, 2021 2:25 pm Nope, got bounced from NEC (very similar in some ways to Bart getting booted from the PL in 04 in fact) when they made the move to Horizon for other sports, driven by basketball post NIT win over Kentucky,I guess asked about staying as affiliate member, like Hobart, and the schools said “pound sand bro”. So independent this year with a nasty schedule (wish we were playing them, NEC has each team playing their closest conference opponent by distance 2x which would’ve been RoMo for us but instead we have to play MSM 2x as next closest - apparently closer than Providence, Philly, Staten Island and Fairfield Co CT to Geneva which seems crazy).
Next year RoMo joins the SoCon but “we” (wasn’t a hobart influences decision) didn’t let them play this year out. Here’s their schedule:
2021 Schedule
02/07 @ Duke L 16-12
02/13 @ High Point L 21-15
02/21 @ Colgate Preview
02/23 vs Bellarmine PPD
02/27 @ Notre Dame Preview
03/13 @ Air Force Preview
03/20 @ Virginia Preview
04/03 @ Jacksonville Preview
04/10 vs Cleveland State Preview
04/17 @ Bucknell Preview
05/01 @ Utah Preview
given their results thus far, i don't really see 1 and 9 or 2 and 8 in the cards.
and for an individual team's rpi, the game played is dropped for opponent's record.
almost as important (although not for weighting but because of dispersion) is opp opp record, and theirs should be pretty strong.
they finish 4 - 6 or 5-5, that's 4-5 or 5-4 on opponent's rec, with a potentially high number on opp opp.
it's playing teams with very bad record or average record and very bad opp opp (or of course poor both) that dings teams and leagues. right now, i'd give romo a very good chance of avoiding either.
L - ND, Air Force, UVA & Bucknell
W - Cleveland State home game
Toss Up - @ Jax & @ Utah
Jax is earlier so I think they win that one but Pittsburg to Fl after playing UVA two weeks prior could get caught.
Utah also feels like they should win but Utah does have some talent I believe and it’s the last game of a nasty travel heavy year on 5/1 so like Jax I could see them getting caught especially late flying out to Utah.
Best case it’s 4-6 (4-6 w/o opponent game), but I could easily see 2-8, 3-7 given the circumstances and wouldn’t hold it against them but the math is less forgiving there.
Are you predicting another disappointing season for Michigan?
Gonna go 18-11 MD, 15-13 Michigan, and 12-10 OSU.gymman1031 wrote: ↑Thu Feb 25, 2021 8:30 pm Predictions for this weekend's games?
Maryland @ Penn State
Hopkins @ Michigan
Rutgers @ Ohio State
Depends on who they’ve beaten. If they’ve got 3 wins over Maryland/OSU/Rutgers; why not? It’s not like the bubble is gonna be deep this year