Here are all the live win probability pages for today's MLAX games.
- Bryant vs Stony Brook
- Denver vs Marquette
- Johns Hopkins vs Ohio State
- Penn State vs Rutgers
- Boston U vs Merrimack
- Hofstra vs Sacred Heart
- Michigan vs Maryland
- Delaware vs NJIT
- Utah vs Air Force
- Duke vs Towson
- Mount St Marys vs Navy
- Virginia vs Loyola
- Jacksonville vs Mercer
Lacrosse Analytics
-
- Posts: 1131
- Joined: Wed Aug 29, 2018 3:54 pm
- Contact:
Re: Lacrosse Analytics
Data Engineer/Lacrosse Fan --- Twitter: @laxreference --- Informed fans get Expected Goals, the new daily newsletter from LacrosseReference
-
- Posts: 1131
- Joined: Wed Aug 29, 2018 3:54 pm
- Contact:
Re: Lacrosse Analytics
Here's the full list of game pages for the women's slate today.
- Army vs Syracuse
- Georgetown vs Villanova
- Robert Morris vs Colgate
- Providence vs St. John's
- North Carolina vs Richmond
- Army vs Syracuse
- Georgetown vs Villanova
- Robert Morris vs Colgate
- Providence vs St. John's
- North Carolina vs Richmond
Data Engineer/Lacrosse Fan --- Twitter: @laxreference --- Informed fans get Expected Goals, the new daily newsletter from LacrosseReference
-
- Posts: 1131
- Joined: Wed Aug 29, 2018 3:54 pm
- Contact:
Re: Lacrosse Analytics
As always, here is the top individual EGA performances of the past week. The full post is here, but here are the highlights...
Ashton Wood (MER) grabbed the top spot for his 7.23 EGA game in the loss to Jacksonville. One thing that is interesting about Wood's season so far this year is that he's really cut down on the turnovers. In 2020, his play-share-adjusted TO rate was .19 after putting up a .17 mark in '19. In 3 games this year, his play-share-adjusted TO rate is just .06.
The rest of the top-10 looks like this:
Asher Nolting (HPU) - 6.65 EGA
Jake Carraway (GTWN) - 6.62 EGA
Andrew Tyeryar (UNC) - 6.58 EGA
Matt Moore (UVA) - 5.78 EGA
Vince D'Alto (BU) - 5.75 EGA
Jake Naso (DUKE) - 5.60 EGA
Connor KIRST (RU) - 5.57 EGA
Nathan Laliberte (BRY) - 5.56 EGA
RJ Romeo (PC) - 5.45 EGA
Here is the infographic in case you want the visual view:
Ashton Wood (MER) grabbed the top spot for his 7.23 EGA game in the loss to Jacksonville. One thing that is interesting about Wood's season so far this year is that he's really cut down on the turnovers. In 2020, his play-share-adjusted TO rate was .19 after putting up a .17 mark in '19. In 3 games this year, his play-share-adjusted TO rate is just .06.
The rest of the top-10 looks like this:
Asher Nolting (HPU) - 6.65 EGA
Jake Carraway (GTWN) - 6.62 EGA
Andrew Tyeryar (UNC) - 6.58 EGA
Matt Moore (UVA) - 5.78 EGA
Vince D'Alto (BU) - 5.75 EGA
Jake Naso (DUKE) - 5.60 EGA
Connor KIRST (RU) - 5.57 EGA
Nathan Laliberte (BRY) - 5.56 EGA
RJ Romeo (PC) - 5.45 EGA
Here is the infographic in case you want the visual view:
Data Engineer/Lacrosse Fan --- Twitter: @laxreference --- Informed fans get Expected Goals, the new daily newsletter from LacrosseReference
-
- Posts: 8866
- Joined: Thu Aug 02, 2018 4:36 pm
Re: Lacrosse Analytics
LaxRef, this is the Women's Division 1 forum.laxreference wrote: ↑Mon Feb 22, 2021 10:57 am As always, here is the top individual EGA performances of the past week. The full post is here, but here are the highlights...
Ashton Wood (MER) grabbed the top spot for his 7.23 EGA game in the loss to Jacksonville. One thing that is interesting about Wood's season so far this year is that he's really cut down on the turnovers. In 2020, his play-share-adjusted TO rate was .19 after putting up a .17 mark in '19. In 3 games this year, his play-share-adjusted TO rate is just .06.
The rest of the top-10 looks like this:
Asher Nolting (HPU) - 6.65 EGA
Jake Carraway (GTWN) - 6.62 EGA
Andrew Tyeryar (UNC) - 6.58 EGA
Matt Moore (UVA) - 5.78 EGA
Vince D'Alto (BU) - 5.75 EGA
Jake Naso (DUKE) - 5.60 EGA
Connor KIRST (RU) - 5.57 EGA
Nathan Laliberte (BRY) - 5.56 EGA
RJ Romeo (PC) - 5.45 EGA
Here is the infographic in case you want the visual view:
PlayerGame_visualization_d1m_20210222.png
- OuttaNowhereWregget
- Posts: 7085
- Joined: Fri Feb 05, 2021 4:39 am
Re: Lacrosse Analytics
LaxRef, I couldn’t give two craps about these lifeless crapbag analytics—for male or female.laxreference wrote: ↑Mon Feb 22, 2021 10:57 am As always, here is the top individual EGA performances of the past week. The full post is here, but here are the highlights...
Ashton Wood (MER) grabbed the top spot for his 7.23 EGA game in the loss to Jacksonville. One thing that is interesting about Wood's season so far this year is that he's really cut down on the turnovers. In 2020, his play-share-adjusted TO rate was .19 after putting up a .17 mark in '19. In 3 games this year, his play-share-adjusted TO rate is just .06.
The rest of the top-10 looks like this:
Asher Nolting (HPU) - 6.65 EGA
Jake Carraway (GTWN) - 6.62 EGA
Andrew Tyeryar (UNC) - 6.58 EGA
Matt Moore (UVA) - 5.78 EGA
Vince D'Alto (BU) - 5.75 EGA
Jake Naso (DUKE) - 5.60 EGA
Connor KIRST (RU) - 5.57 EGA
Nathan Laliberte (BRY) - 5.56 EGA
RJ Romeo (PC) - 5.45 EGA
Here is the infographic in case you want the visual view:
PlayerGame_visualization_d1m_20210222.png
Re: Lacrosse Analytics
....and he doesn't give a krap whether you give a krap or not. I'm not a stats analytics guy either but it's his thing, what's the harm?
- OuttaNowhereWregget
- Posts: 7085
- Joined: Fri Feb 05, 2021 4:39 am
Re: Lacrosse Analytics
And I don’t give a dump whether you don’t give a dump about him not giving a dump... I’m kidding. You’re right. But seacoaster is also right. He’s posting it in the wrong place.
Re: Lacrosse Analytics
Bahahahahaha! This is shaping up like an old Ralph and Norton routine on the Honeymooners.
-
- Posts: 8866
- Joined: Thu Aug 02, 2018 4:36 pm
Re: Lacrosse Analytics
I am happy to read analytics stuff. The OCD in me just wants it squared off, in the right place, etc., etc.OuttaNowhereWregget wrote: ↑Mon Feb 22, 2021 12:05 pmAnd I don’t give a dump whether you don’t give a dump about him not giving a dump... I’m kidding. You’re right. But seacoaster is also right. He’s posting it in the wrong place.
-
- Posts: 1131
- Joined: Wed Aug 29, 2018 3:54 pm
- Contact:
Re: Lacrosse Analytics
As always, here is the top individual EGA performances of the past week. The full post is here, but here are the highlights...
Ashton Wood (MER) grabbed the top spot for his 7.23 EGA game in the loss to Jacksonville. One thing that is interesting about Wood's season so far this year is that he's really cut down on the turnovers. In 2020, his play-share-adjusted TO rate was .19 after putting up a .17 mark in '19. In 3 games this year, his play-share-adjusted TO rate is just .06.
The rest of the top-10 looks like this:
Asher Nolting (HPU) - 6.65 EGA
Jake Carraway (GTWN) - 6.62 EGA
Andrew Tyeryar (UNC) - 6.58 EGA
Matt Moore (UVA) - 5.78 EGA
Vince D'Alto (BU) - 5.75 EGA
Jake Naso (DUKE) - 5.60 EGA
Connor KIRST (RU) - 5.57 EGA
Nathan Laliberte (BRY) - 5.56 EGA
RJ Romeo (PC) - 5.45 EGA
Here is the infographic in case you want the visual view:
Ashton Wood (MER) grabbed the top spot for his 7.23 EGA game in the loss to Jacksonville. One thing that is interesting about Wood's season so far this year is that he's really cut down on the turnovers. In 2020, his play-share-adjusted TO rate was .19 after putting up a .17 mark in '19. In 3 games this year, his play-share-adjusted TO rate is just .06.
The rest of the top-10 looks like this:
Asher Nolting (HPU) - 6.65 EGA
Jake Carraway (GTWN) - 6.62 EGA
Andrew Tyeryar (UNC) - 6.58 EGA
Matt Moore (UVA) - 5.78 EGA
Vince D'Alto (BU) - 5.75 EGA
Jake Naso (DUKE) - 5.60 EGA
Connor KIRST (RU) - 5.57 EGA
Nathan Laliberte (BRY) - 5.56 EGA
RJ Romeo (PC) - 5.45 EGA
Here is the infographic in case you want the visual view:
Data Engineer/Lacrosse Fan --- Twitter: @laxreference --- Informed fans get Expected Goals, the new daily newsletter from LacrosseReference
-
- Posts: 1131
- Joined: Wed Aug 29, 2018 3:54 pm
- Contact:
Re: Lacrosse Analytics
And so it is. Apologies. I'll have the women's list up tomorrow.
Data Engineer/Lacrosse Fan --- Twitter: @laxreference --- Informed fans get Expected Goals, the new daily newsletter from LacrosseReference
-
- Posts: 1131
- Joined: Wed Aug 29, 2018 3:54 pm
- Contact:
Re: Lacrosse Analytics
This made me chuckle.OuttaNowhereWregget wrote: ↑Mon Feb 22, 2021 11:48 am
LaxRef, I couldn’t give two craps about these lifeless crapbag analytics—for male or female.
Data Engineer/Lacrosse Fan --- Twitter: @laxreference --- Informed fans get Expected Goals, the new daily newsletter from LacrosseReference
- OuttaNowhereWregget
- Posts: 7085
- Joined: Fri Feb 05, 2021 4:39 am
Re: Lacrosse Analytics
Oh that’s alright. Don’t trouble yourself.laxreference wrote: ↑Mon Feb 22, 2021 1:06 pmAnd so it is. Apologies. I'll have the women's list up tomorrow.
Re: Lacrosse Analytics
Thought maybe you were breaking some news that these men now identify as women.laxreference wrote: ↑Mon Feb 22, 2021 1:06 pmAnd so it is. Apologies. I'll have the women's list up tomorrow.
Re: Lacrosse Analytics
https://youtu.be/a-5rqvAw-_Injbill wrote: ↑Mon Feb 22, 2021 1:12 pmThought maybe you were breaking some news that these men now identify as women.laxreference wrote: ↑Mon Feb 22, 2021 1:06 pmAnd so it is. Apologies. I'll have the women's list up tomorrow.
-
- Posts: 1131
- Joined: Wed Aug 29, 2018 3:54 pm
- Contact:
Re: Lacrosse Analytics
Just one game on the slate today: Maryland vs Penn State. This link will switch over from preview stats to live box and win probabilities once the game starts.
Data Engineer/Lacrosse Fan --- Twitter: @laxreference --- Informed fans get Expected Goals, the new daily newsletter from LacrosseReference
-
- Posts: 1131
- Joined: Wed Aug 29, 2018 3:54 pm
- Contact:
Re: Lacrosse Analytics
As always, here is the top individual EGA performances of the past week. The full post is here, but here are the highlights...
Ryan Tierney (HOF) had the top stat line with 9.28 EGA. So far, Tierney is shooting 47% (career high) on 12 shots/gm (career high). His excess shooting percentage (measure of how many goals he scores vs expectation given the shot profile) is positive for the first time in his career. And he's matched a career low in turnover rate so far. Put all that together and you have most of the explanation as to how Hofstra has the No 12. opponent-adjusted offense this year.
And here is how the rest of the top 10 shook out:
Chase Patterson (HOF) - 7.05 EGA
Dylan Pallonetti (STNY) - 6.74 EGA
Aidan Olmstead (LOY) - 6.54 EGA
Joe Robertson (DUKE) - 6.22 EGA
Matt Campbell (NOVA) - 6.19 EGA
Jonathan Dugenio (RU) - 6.16 EGA
Brendan Nichtern (ARMY) - 6.09 EGA
Mike Robinson (DEL) - 5.99 EGA
Mike Sisselberger (LEH) - 5.92 EGA
Here is the infographic in case you want the visual view:
Ryan Tierney (HOF) had the top stat line with 9.28 EGA. So far, Tierney is shooting 47% (career high) on 12 shots/gm (career high). His excess shooting percentage (measure of how many goals he scores vs expectation given the shot profile) is positive for the first time in his career. And he's matched a career low in turnover rate so far. Put all that together and you have most of the explanation as to how Hofstra has the No 12. opponent-adjusted offense this year.
And here is how the rest of the top 10 shook out:
Chase Patterson (HOF) - 7.05 EGA
Dylan Pallonetti (STNY) - 6.74 EGA
Aidan Olmstead (LOY) - 6.54 EGA
Joe Robertson (DUKE) - 6.22 EGA
Matt Campbell (NOVA) - 6.19 EGA
Jonathan Dugenio (RU) - 6.16 EGA
Brendan Nichtern (ARMY) - 6.09 EGA
Mike Robinson (DEL) - 5.99 EGA
Mike Sisselberger (LEH) - 5.92 EGA
Here is the infographic in case you want the visual view:
Data Engineer/Lacrosse Fan --- Twitter: @laxreference --- Informed fans get Expected Goals, the new daily newsletter from LacrosseReference
-
- Posts: 1131
- Joined: Wed Aug 29, 2018 3:54 pm
- Contact:
Re: Lacrosse Analytics
Updated list of Live Win Probability Links
- Merrimack vs Bryant
- Manhattan vs Monmouth
- VMI vs Lafayette
- Ohio State vs Penn State
- Marquette vs Georgetown
- Army vs Boston U
- Michigan vs Rutgers
- Stony Brook vs UMBC
- Denver vs St. John's
- Albany vs Hartford
- St. Bonaventure vs Quinnipiac
- Johns Hopkins vs Maryland
- Loyola vs Lehigh
- Vermont vs Syracuse
- Towson vs Drexel
- Hobart vs Mount St Marys
- Detroit vs Marist
- LIU vs Sacred Heart
- Binghamton vs NJIT
- Mercer vs North Carolina
- Canisius vs Siena
- Jacksonville vs Utah
- Air Force vs Virginia
- Bellarmine vs Notre Dame
- Delaware vs Fairfield
- Holy Cross vs Colgate
- Merrimack vs Bryant
- Manhattan vs Monmouth
- VMI vs Lafayette
- Ohio State vs Penn State
- Marquette vs Georgetown
- Army vs Boston U
- Michigan vs Rutgers
- Stony Brook vs UMBC
- Denver vs St. John's
- Albany vs Hartford
- St. Bonaventure vs Quinnipiac
- Johns Hopkins vs Maryland
- Loyola vs Lehigh
- Vermont vs Syracuse
- Towson vs Drexel
- Hobart vs Mount St Marys
- Detroit vs Marist
- LIU vs Sacred Heart
- Binghamton vs NJIT
- Mercer vs North Carolina
- Canisius vs Siena
- Jacksonville vs Utah
- Air Force vs Virginia
- Bellarmine vs Notre Dame
- Delaware vs Fairfield
- Holy Cross vs Colgate
Data Engineer/Lacrosse Fan --- Twitter: @laxreference --- Informed fans get Expected Goals, the new daily newsletter from LacrosseReference
-
- Posts: 1131
- Joined: Wed Aug 29, 2018 3:54 pm
- Contact:
Re: Lacrosse Analytics
As always, here is the top individual EGA performances of the past week. The full post is here, but here are the highlights...
James Reilly (GTWN) finished with the top stat line (8.25 EGA) this week. Marquette hung with the Hoyas for 30 minutes. But then in the middle 2 quarters, Georgetown outscored them 14-5, on the back of a 28-13 possession advantage. Reilly was a big part of that.
And here is how the rest of the top 10 shook out:
Chris Gray (UNC) - 7.94 EGA
Tommy Sopko (BUCK) - 7.15 EGA
Nick Rowlett (MICH) - 7.12 EGA
Tye Kurtz (DEL) - 7.09 EGA
Ryan Smith (RMU) - 6.64 EGA
Tommy Burke (UVM) - 6.54 EGA
Tj Malone (PSU) - 6.47 EGA
Ryan Archer (HOB) - 6.42 EGA
Adam Charalambides (RU) - 6.20 EGA
Here is the infographic in case you want the visual view:
James Reilly (GTWN) finished with the top stat line (8.25 EGA) this week. Marquette hung with the Hoyas for 30 minutes. But then in the middle 2 quarters, Georgetown outscored them 14-5, on the back of a 28-13 possession advantage. Reilly was a big part of that.
And here is how the rest of the top 10 shook out:
Chris Gray (UNC) - 7.94 EGA
Tommy Sopko (BUCK) - 7.15 EGA
Nick Rowlett (MICH) - 7.12 EGA
Tye Kurtz (DEL) - 7.09 EGA
Ryan Smith (RMU) - 6.64 EGA
Tommy Burke (UVM) - 6.54 EGA
Tj Malone (PSU) - 6.47 EGA
Ryan Archer (HOB) - 6.42 EGA
Adam Charalambides (RU) - 6.20 EGA
Here is the infographic in case you want the visual view:
Data Engineer/Lacrosse Fan --- Twitter: @laxreference --- Informed fans get Expected Goals, the new daily newsletter from LacrosseReference
-
- Posts: 1131
- Joined: Wed Aug 29, 2018 3:54 pm
- Contact:
Re: Lacrosse Analytics
Two MLAX games on the slate today:
- Stony Brook vs Syracuse
- Boston U vs Holy Cross
The Cuse game should have some fireworks; it pits the No. 3 opponent-adjusted offense (Cuse) against the No.5 unit (Stony Brook).
- Stony Brook vs Syracuse
- Boston U vs Holy Cross
The Cuse game should have some fireworks; it pits the No. 3 opponent-adjusted offense (Cuse) against the No.5 unit (Stony Brook).
Data Engineer/Lacrosse Fan --- Twitter: @laxreference --- Informed fans get Expected Goals, the new daily newsletter from LacrosseReference