These are fair points, but allow me a little push back.wgdsr wrote: ↑Fri Jan 22, 2021 11:03 pm some of it is money and want to. sone if it is limited to actual resources that may/may not be able to be mined any sooner than we have vaccines avail from other vectors.
there's no longstanding (or really any) success for mrna. we happened to have those 2 come thru and be way more successful than anyone dreamed. they got billions to do it.
back in the day(may or june), could i envision most science experts thought a vaccine would be marginally successful, if we could even find one? yes. that's with hundreds to choose from. so what would their rec be in that case? front 20 billion for 30 vaccines? i highly doubt it.
In terms of mining resources, I thought that pertained to testing kits, not the vaccine. In any event, it would take a lot of persuading to get me to be convinced that this is really a material hold up or that it can’t be resolved. If there is enough stuff in the ground for a bazillion doses to be manufactured over the next couple of years, I suspect there’s a way to get it out of the ground quicker.
Yes, the scientists have come up with at least two vaccines whose apparent efficacy is better than any of us could’ve dreamed of. They get huge atta boys, Nobel prizes, trips to Disney, and a lifetime supply of Froot Loops. They did their job. Spectacularly.
But they have nothing to do with manufacturing. The manufacturing arms of their companies are different doobies. And then of course there is Uncle Donald’s laissez-faire (to be charitable) attitude about all this.
Not sure if there were actually 30 ponies in the race, but I don’t think that number is too far off. And it’s a very valid point that we can’t be paying billions to all of the ponies. But I’m sure those who were looking at vaccine development and emerging test results had a pretty good handle on which ponies to back after a while. Like let’s not give any money to the vaccines where the mice ended toes up. And certainly by early fall, that 30 number could’ve been whittled way, way down.