cradleandshoot wrote: ↑Thu Nov 12, 2020 10:37 am
MDlaxfan76 wrote: ↑Thu Nov 12, 2020 9:21 am
cradleandshoot wrote: ↑Thu Nov 12, 2020 9:18 am
ggait wrote: ↑Thu Nov 12, 2020 9:03 am
Only way to win in Georgia is to get all the trump voters to turn out in January.
You break with trump now, guaranteed loss.
Party over country.
I think the trump voters will come out in georgia no matter what. I would think this is less about trump and more about the importance of keeping the senate to the republican party. Checks and balances is a good thing. I would think all Republicans understand what the bottom line is.
The question is what % of those voters are Trump Cult versus "Republican". Even a small portion of those who voted for Trump becoming angry at the GOP "Establishment" could mean they stay home... and if the Dems show up...
Would that not be called biting off your own nose just to spite your face?
The hardcore trump folks are not stupid. Of course maybe giving the keys to the steamroller over to the democrats will be a beautiful thing to them?
There have been a remarkably high number of previously non-voters who showed up for Trump, bunch in 2016 and many millions more in 2020. They didn't show up for the GOP, but they voted down ballot for GOP.
Will they show up for Trumpy GOP candidates with Trump not on the ballot?
Trump didn't convert any meaningful # of Hillary or third party voters from 2016 to vote for him in 2020, but he did attract a huge # of voters who simply never participate otherwise. Would they come out for these Georgia Trumpy GOP candidates if they stood up and said enough with this, Biden won Georgia, and it ticked off Trump? Or do they need to call for the GOP Secretary of State to resign, to blare out baseless allegations of fraud, etc? Just to keep Trump in their corner?
Biden did convert some of the prior Trump voters, yet enough of them voted down ballot with the GOP to keep it from costing the R's much. Not so much the suburban women, but a point here or there in ruby red districts. And older voters turned off by Trump. They stuck with GOP.
But Biden turned out enormous #'s of infrequent voters as well, though that was far less the story than the conversion of older voters and suburban women.
So, it's going to be an interesting turnout question. History would certainly suggest that a special election favors the steadiest of voters, typically older and whiter, thus GOP, and especially in a place like Georgia, but this
may have different dynamics.