… and how many if we reacted to COVID the same way we do FLU? We don't social distance for FLU. We don't wear facemasks in public for the FLU. So your contention is, none of this matters. Let COVID run free, run wild. Gotcha.6ftstick wrote: ↑Wed Apr 08, 2020 12:38 pmThe IMHE model used by the CDC and Dr. Birx and Dr. Fauci estimate the total US coronavirus deaths to be 81,766 by August 4th.jhu72 wrote: ↑Wed Apr 08, 2020 12:32 pmDamn, he claims R0 is bigger than anyone has to date. Means lots of untested, unreported infections. Totally believable. DOESN'T SAY SQUAT ABOUT HOW DEADLY THE DISEASE IS! Stick to washing airplanes.Peter Brown wrote: ↑Wed Apr 08, 2020 11:38 am Hey, I'm sorry to post positive news for the hysterical TDS'ers littering this board, but sanity calls for sane minds to share good news:
the R0 naught appears to be substantially higher than previously indicated. If true, this implies much wider infection and asymptomatic rate which increases probability of herd immunity and lowers risk of reopening of the global economy.
R0.jpg
Back to work!!!!
And 81,000 by May 21st.
The actual number of US deaths due to coronavirus on Monday was: 10,068 deaths.
The estimated IHME model number of deaths by Monday was: 12,539 (range of 11,256 – 14,281)
The IHME numbers are already off by 20%!
On Wednesday (today)— 3 days later — they updated their predictions AGAIN!
The latest IHME predictions call for 60,000 deaths by August.
No more deadly than the FN FLU.
Last week you were telling us total deaths would be under 20K, are you now saying 60K?? Or you just don't know, but it won't be as bad as the FLU??