As is my habit, I have calculated KRACH ratings (you can look up old explanations posted in prior years) which are designed to show the relative strength of teams in the situation where there is limited cross conference play. (KRACH is an acronym for Ken's Ratings of American College Hockey).
System assumes assigning a number to each team, where that number divided by the sum of the numbers for two teams playing represent that team's probability of winning. There is a way to calculate those numbers so the predictions add up to the actual record for each school.
This system is what is called retrodictive - it is meant to predict the past games, and in effect, shows what each team has earned. It has a limited means of prediction of future games, as it only predicts the future wins and losses assuming the records of the past games are the best predictors. Think of it as RPI+record combined in a sense, telling you who earned top ratings by their past performance in the year.
So for all my ratings, I am only including DII vs DII games. All games against DIII, DI, and NAIA are excluded.
2022 KRACH Ratings
Re: 2022 KRACH Ratings
This is a fairly early post for me using this method of ranking, so for the next few weeks teams that play more games will have more stable rankings.
Data for games played through today, 3/2/2022:
Data for games played through today, 3/2/2022:
Code: Select all
School KRACH RRWP W L Rank Region SOS SOS Rank
1 Le Moyne 5186.6 0.956 3 0 1 N 924 1
2 Indianapolis 3136.6 0.932 5 0 2 S 361 2
3 Rollins 2355.4 0.915 5 0 3 S 271 6
4 Tusculum 1815.6 0.897 6 0 4 S 177 13
5 Queens (NC) 1529.1 0.883 4 0 5 S 214 10
6 Tampa 1416.3 0.877 4 0 6 S 198 11
7 Limestone 877.0 0.832 4 1 7 S 311 4
8 Wingate 750.9 0.811 4 1 8 S 266 8
9 Mercy 704.9 0.808 3 1 9 N 319 3
10 Lenoir-Rhyne 502.2 0.766 4 2 10 S 286 5
11 Saint Leo 428.7 0.745 3 1 11 S 194 12
12 Colorado Mesa 416.8 0.741 4 1 12 S 148 21
13 Pace 356.6 0.719 1 0 13 N 140 23
14 Roberts Wesleyan 338.2 0.711 3 0 14 N 60 62
15 Adelphi 290.6 0.688 2 0 15 N 71 52
16 Florida Southern 282.8 0.684 4 2 16 S 161 16
17 Lander 273.8 0.679 5 1 17 S 80 46
18 Mercyhurst 267.2 0.675 2 2 18 N 267 7
19 Saint Rose 257.3 0.669 4 1 19 N 91 40
20 Saint Anselm 233.0 0.653 2 0 20 N 57 64
21 Lindenwood 215.3 0.640 1 1 21 S 215 9
22 Anderson 212.6 0.638 5 2 22 S 100 37
23 Mount Olive 206.8 0.633 3 2 23 S 150 19
24 Florida Tech 194.5 0.623 3 2 24 S 141 22
25 North Greenville 188.6 0.618 4 2 25 S 107 34
26 Franklin Pierce 182.6 0.612 1 0 26 N 72 51
27 Maryville 164.6 0.595 3 1 27 S 74 47
28 Lewis 151.1 0.580 3 2 28 S 110 32
29 Lake Erie 150.6 0.579 2 2 29 N 151 18
30 Newberry 149.2 0.577 2 2 30 S 149 20
31 Rockhurst 137.0 0.562 3 2 31 S 99 38
32 Bentley 128.5 0.551 1 0 32 N 51 68
33 Alabama Huntsville 124.3 0.545 3 3 33 S 124 27
34 Mars Hill 112.5 0.527 4 2 34 S 64 59
35 Montevallo 111.3 0.525 3 3 35 S 111 31
36 Davenport 109.3 0.522 3 1 36 S 49 69
37 Caldwell 108.0 0.520 1 1 37 N 108 33
38 Seton Hill 91.8 0.491 3 3 38 N 92 39
39 Lynn 79.1 0.464 1 3 39 S 175 14
40 Wilmington 70.6 0.444 1 1 40 N 71 54
41 Barton 70.2 0.442 3 3 41 S 70 55
42 S. New Hampshire 65.1 0.428 0 0 42 N 65 58
43 Palm Beach Atlantic 61.6 0.419 2 2 43 S 62 61
44 Quincy 56.3 0.403 1 1 44 S 56 67
45 American International 54.1 0.395 1 2 45 N 87 42
46 Molloy 51.6 0.387 2 3 46 N 71 53
47 Embry-Riddle 47.7 0.373 2 4 47 S 84 44
48 Adams State 44.5 0.361 0 1 48 S 113 30
49 Saint Thomas Aquinas 43.5 0.357 1 1 49 N 43 72
50 Chowan 41.7 0.350 2 3 50 S 57 63
51 Lees-McRae 41.5 0.349 1 4 51 S 117 28
52 Dominican (NY) 38.6 0.337 1 2 52 N 62 60
53 Belmont Abbey 37.7 0.333 1 4 53 S 106 35
54 Chestnut Hill 33.1 0.311 1 3 54 N 73 48
55 CSU Pueblo 32.2 0.306 0 1 55 S 82 45
56 Post 31.7 0.304 0 2 56 N 129 24
57 Frostburg State* 31.7 0.304 0 2 57 N 129 25
58 Davis & Elkins 29.9 0.294 1 1 58 N 30 74
59 Emmanuel (GA) 29.8 0.294 1 4 59 S 84 43
60 Lincoln Memorial 25.7 0.270 1 4 60 S 73 50
61 Walsh 25.1 0.267 0 2 61 N 102 36
62 Felician 22.7 0.251 2 2 62 N 23 75
63 Saint Michael's 22.5 0.250 0 1 63 N 57 65
64 Wheeling 19.4 0.232 1 5 64 N 67 57
65 Georgian Court 18.9 0.225 0 5 65 N 165 15
66 Assumption 17.0 0.210 0 2 66 N 70 56
67 Coker 15.0 0.193 0 6 67 S 154 17
68 Westminster (UT) 13.4 0.183 0 1 69 S 34 73
69 District of Columbia 13.9 0.183 0 2 68 N 57 66
70 Shorter 13.0 0.175 0 3 70 S 73 49
71 Catawba 12.4 0.169 0 4 71 S 829 41
72 Young Harris 10.6 0.156 0 7 74 S 125 26
73 Flagler 11.1 0.156 0 6 72 S 114 29
74 Alderson Broaddus 10.9 0.154 0 2 73 N 45 70
75 D'Youville* 7.8 0.119 0 3 75 N 44 71
Re: 2022 KRACH Ratings
For games ending 3/20/2022 (D2 vs. D2 only):
Code: Select all
Rank School KRACH RRWP W L Region SOS SOS Rank Change from last week
1 Tampa 20371.7 0.981 7 0 S 1731 1 +5
2 Rollins 5135.9 0.935 7 0 S 436 8 +1
3 Limestone 3210.3 0.909 6 1 S 797 3 +4
4 Lindenwood 2595.5 0.895 4 2 S 1479 2 +17
5 Le Moyne 2170.2 0.882 5 1 N 634 6 -5
6 Indianapolis 2001.0 0.876 7 1 S 432 9 -5
7 Florida Southern 1398.2 0.846 6 3 S 767 4 +9
8 Mercy 1355.3 0.843 5 1 N 396 10 +1
9 Pace 1273.5 0.838 5 0 N 147 20 +4
10 Lenoir-Rhyne 1243.8 0.835 6 3 S 683 5 --
11 Colorado Mesa 669.0 0.770 5 2 S 314 12 +1
12 Florida Tech 666.3 0.770 4 3 S 523 7 +12
13 Franklin Pierce 477.3 0.729 4 0 N 67 52 +13
14 Maryville 436.2 0.718 7 1 S 94 40 +13
15 Bentley 421.5 0.713 3 1 N 191 14 +17
16 Adelphi 420.0 0.713 3 0 N 75 49 -1
17 Wingate 393.3 0.701 6 2 S 157 18 -9
18 Saint Anselm 352.4 0.689 3 1 N 159 17 +2
19 Newberry 344.8 0.686 6 2 S 137 23 +11
20 Tusculum 332.7 0.681 7 2 S 115 30 -16
21 Anderson (SC) 303.3 0.669 7 3 S 145 21 +1
22 Lewis 295.4 0.665 6 2 S 118 29 +6
23 Roberts Wesleyan 289.9 0.662 5 1 N 85 44 -9
24 Queens (NC) 278.4 0.656 5 2 S 131 26 -19
25 Belmont Abbey 260.7 0.647 3 4 S 332 11 +28
26 Wilmington 262.9 0.646 3 3 N 263 13 +14
27 Saint Leo 249.5 0.641 4 2 S 142 22 -16
28 Mercyhurst 248.1 0.640 3 2 N 180 15 -10
29 Saint Rose 221.6 0.623 5 2 N 104 37 -10
30 Frostburg State* 183.0 0.595 3 2 N 133 24 +27
31 Seton Hill 152.8 0.567 4 4 N 153 19 +7
32 Rockhurst 131.3 0.544 3 3 S 131 25 -1
33 Lander 118.8 0.528 6 3 S 65 54 -16
34 Barton 107.7 0.512 5 4 S 89 43 +7
35 Lake Erie 99.1 0.499 2 4 N 174 16 -6
36 Montevallo 94.8 0.492 4 4 S 95 39 -1
37 Mount Olive 90.8 0.485 4 4 S 91 42 -14
38 Alabama Huntsville 86.3 0.477 4 5 S 105 36 -5
39 Davenport 83.9 0.473 4 2 S 48 61 -3
40 Westminster (UT) 81.0 0.467 2 2 S 81 46 +28
41 North Greenville 75.6 0.456 4 4 S 76 47 -16
42 Palm Beach Atlantic 75.1 0.455 3 3 S 75 48 +1
43 S. New Hampshire 66.8 0.436 1 2 N 107 33 -1
44 Dominican (NY) 55.0 0.405 3 3 N 55 56 +8
45 CSU Pueblo 52.3 0.397 1 2 S 84 45 +10
46 Chestnut Hill 50.3 0.391 3 4 N 64 55 +8
47 Lynn 47.4 0.382 2 6 S 119 28 -18
48 Adams State 44.4 0.371 0 1 S 113 31 --
49 Georgian Court 37.1 0.343 2 7 N 107 34 +16
50 Mars Hill 34.4 0.332 4 5 S 42 66 -16
51 Molloy 33.0 0.326 3 5 N 51 58 -5
52 Embry-Riddle (FL) 32.4 0.323 3 7 S 68 51 -5
53 Lees-McRae 31.1 0.317 2 4 S 55 57 -2
54 Assumption 29.8 0.310 1 3 N 66 53 +12
55 Catawba 28.3 0.302 1 5 S 97 38 +16
56 Post 27.6 0.299 2 4 N 49 59 --
57 Saint Michael's 27.4 0.298 1 5 N 94 41 +6
58 Caldwell 27.1 0.296 2 3 N 37 67 -21
59 Chowan 24.2 0.280 3 4 S 31 69 -9
60 Lincoln Memorial 22.9 0.272 3 7 S 48 60 --
61 Quincy 21.3 0.262 1 3 S 47 62 -17
62 District of Columbia 21.0 0.260 1 3 N 47 63 +7
63 Coker 20.1 0.254 1 8 S 106 35 +4
64 Felician 18.9 0.245 4 4 N 19 74 -2
65 Davis & Elkins 17.4 0.234 1 2 N 28 72 -7
66 American International 13.3 0.201 2 5 N 28 71 -21
67 Wheeling 11.6 0.188 2 6 N 29 70 -3
68 Walsh 10.3 0.171 0 4 N 74 50 -7
69 Emmanuel (GA) 9.9 0.166 1 7 S 46 65 -10
70 Young Harris 9.0 0.161 0 8 S 119 27 +2
71 Flagler 8.1 0.145 0 8 S 108 32 +2
72 Shorter 5.3 0.107 0 5 S 468 64 -2
73 Alderson Broaddus 5.2 0.105 1 4 N 15 75 +1
74 Saint Thomas Aquinas 5.1 0.104 1 6 N 21 73 -25
75 D'Youville 3.1 0.070 0 6 N 32 68 --
Re: 2022 KRACH Ratings
For games through 3/28/2022 (DII vs DII only):
Code: Select all
Rank School KRACH RRWP W L Region SOS SOS Rnk Change
1 Tampa 22023.7 0.984 9 0 S 1483 1 --
2 Rollins 6008.1 0.947 8 0 S 451 8 --
3 Limestone 3238.7 0.918 8 1 S 618 4 --
4 Lindenwood 2626.4 0.906 6 2 S 1047 2 --
5 Le Moyne 2046.2 0.890 6 1 N 508 7 --
6 Indianapolis 1836.9 0.883 8 1 S 350 9 --
7 Florida Southern 1336.0 0.859 7 3 S 637 3 --
8 Lenoir-Rhyne 1213.4 0.852 7 3 S 579 5 +2
9 Mercy 1176.2 0.849 6 1 N 292 10 -1
10 Florida Tech 1025.6 0.838 6 3 S 563 6 +2
11 Pace 892.5 0.825 6 0 N 87 30 -2
12 Adelphi 665.8 0.798 4 0 N 93 25 +4
13 Roberts Wesleyan 576.9 0.784 7 1 N 124 17 +10
14 Bentley 495.1 0.768 4 1 N 176 13 +1
15 Colorado Mesa 454.7 0.758 6 3 S 250 12 -4
16 Belmont Abbey 260.9 0.693 4 4 S 261 11 +9
17 Wingate 264.8 0.692 7 2 S 92 27 --
18 Mercyhurst 246.8 0.686 5 2 N 116 19 +10
19 Franklin Pierce 207.0 0.664 4 1 N 73 38 -6
20 Westminster (UT) 210.0 0.663 4 2 S 120 18 +20
21 Saint Leo 203.0 0.661 5 3 S 131 15 +6
22 Wilmington 187.7 0.648 4 3 N 147 14 +4
23 Lewis 173.5 0.640 7 3 S 83 32 -1
24 Maryville 172.3 0.639 7 2 S 60 45 -10
25 Newberry 167.5 0.635 7 3 S 80 33 -6
26 Queens (NC) 167.1 0.635 5 3 S 108 21 -2
27 Tusculum 159.4 0.628 7 3 S 76 35 -7
28 Saint Anselm 157.2 0.626 3 2 N 114 20 -10
29 Rockhurst 152.0 0.622 5 3 S 98 23 +3
30 Saint Rose 138.4 0.609 5 3 N 89 28 -1
31 Anderson (SC) 117.3 0.585 7 4 S 71 40 -10
32 Seton Hill 112.8 0.579 5 4 N 93 26 -1
33 Frostburg State* 101.7 0.564 3 4 N 130 16 -3
34 Palm Beach Atlantic 78.5 0.526 4 4 S 78 34 +8
35 Lander 76.0 0.521 7 4 S 46 50 -2
36 Lake Erie 62.2 0.490 3 5 N 96 24 -1
37 Montevallo 61.8 0.489 5 5 S 62 43 -1
38 Mount Olive 60.4 0.486 4 5 S 73 39 -1
39 Dominican (NY) 56.3 0.475 5 3 N 36 54 +5
40 Barton 52.7 0.465 5 5 S 53 46 -6
41 North Greenville 52.7 0.465 6 5 S 45 52 --
42 Alabama Huntsville 52.3 0.464 4 6 S 75 36 -4
43 S. New Hampshire 40.2 0.423 1 3 N 89 29 --
44 Chowan 37.9 0.414 5 3 S 25 66 +15
45 Lynn 36.4 0.408 2 7 S 105 22 +2
46 Chestnut Hill 36.3 0.408 4 5 N 44 53 --
47 Catawba 34.5 0.400 2 5 S 74 37 +8
48 Adams State 32.2 0.390 1 3 S 71 41 --
49 Davenport 28.8 0.373 5 4 S 24 67 -10
50 Assumption 26.1 0.358 2 3 N 36 55 +4
51 Post 23.9 0.345 3 4 N 30 57 +5
52 Felician 22.3 0.335 5 4 N 18 71 +12
53 Mars Hill 19.4 0.314 4 6 S 28 59 -3
54 Embry-Riddle (FL) 19.0 0.311 3 8 S 45 51 -2
55 Molloy 16.5 0.291 3 7 N 35 56 -4
56 Georgian Court 14.3 0.271 2 8 N 47 49 -7
57 CSU Pueblo 14.0 0.268 1 5 S 48 48 -12
58 Lincoln Memorial 13.3 0.261 4 8 S 25 64 +2
59 Saint Michael's 12.9 0.258 1 6 N 52 47 -2
60 Caldwell 12.3 0.251 2 5 N 26 61 -2
61 Lees-McRae 11.9 0.246 2 6 S 30 58 -9
62 District of Columbia 11.9 0.246 1 3 N 26 62 --
63 Coker 10.4 0.229 1 9 S 61 44 --
64 Walsh 9.4 0.217 2 5 N 20 69 +4
65 Quincy 8.7 0.207 1 4 S 25 65 -4
66 Emmanuel (GA) 8.1 0.199 2 8 S 27 60 +3
67 Wheeling 7.0 0.186 2 6 N 18 72 --
68 American International 6.1 0.167 1 6 N 25 63 -2
69 Shorter 5.2 0.150 1 6 S 21 68 +3
70 Flagler 5.1 0.149 0 10 S 84 31 +1
71 Davis & Elkins 4.8 0.142 1 4 N 14 73 -6
72 Young Harris 4.5 0.141 0 9 S 67 42 -2
73 Alderson Broaddus 3.0 0.100 1 5 N 10 75 --
74 Saint Thomas Aquinas 2.9 0.098 1 7 N 13 74 --
75 D'Youville* 1.8 0.067 0 6 N 19 70 --
Re: 2022 KRACH Ratings
Way too early look at positioning for the NCAAs:
North:
1. Le Moyne
2. Mercy
3. Pace
4. Adelphi
5. Roberts Wesleyan
6. Bentley
-------------
7. Mercyhurst
8. Franklin Pierce
9. Wilmington
10. Saint Anselm
South:
1. Tampa
2. Rollins
3. Limestone
4. Lindenwood
5. Indianapolis
6. Florida Southern
------------
7. Lenoir-Rhyne
8. Florida Tech
9. Colorado Mesa
10. Belmont Abbey
North:
1. Le Moyne
2. Mercy
3. Pace
4. Adelphi
5. Roberts Wesleyan
6. Bentley
-------------
7. Mercyhurst
8. Franklin Pierce
9. Wilmington
10. Saint Anselm
South:
1. Tampa
2. Rollins
3. Limestone
4. Lindenwood
5. Indianapolis
6. Florida Southern
------------
7. Lenoir-Rhyne
8. Florida Tech
9. Colorado Mesa
10. Belmont Abbey
-
Laxwarrior
- Posts: 164
- Joined: Sat Sep 08, 2018 11:14 am
Re: 2022 KRACH Ratings
rollins vs tampa this weekend. what could that do to ranking of the loser?
Re: 2022 KRACH Ratings
Doing a what if (isolated, so not the complete story):Laxwarrior wrote: ↑Mon Mar 28, 2022 3:46 pm rollins vs tampa this weekend. what could that do to ranking of the loser?
Adding a Tampa win over Rollins and nothing else top 20 stays as is. Rollins goes to #3 SOS and gets quite a bit closer to Stone in 3rd. But the SOS increase compensates enough due to the added competition.
Adding a Rollins win over Tampa and nothing else Tampa and Rollins swap places, as well as several lower place swaps:
1. Rollins
2. Tampa
3. Limestone
4. Le Moyne
5. Lindenwood
6. Indy
7. Mercy
8. Florida Southern
9. LR
10. Pace
11. FIT
12. Adelphi
13. Roberts Wes.
14. Bentley
15. Mesa
16. Wingate
17. Mercyhurst
18. Abbey
19. Franklin Pierce
20. Saint Leo
Of course, there will be a lot of other results that will move other teams around...
-
Laxwarrior
- Posts: 164
- Joined: Sat Sep 08, 2018 11:14 am
Re: 2022 KRACH Ratings
Good Stuff, thanks
Re: 2022 KRACH Ratings
For games through 4/3/2022 (D2 vs D2 only):
*Ineligible for NCAA playoffs due to reclassification
Reminder: KRACH numbers work like the following - to determine the relative probability for winning of two teams the KRACH number for one team divided by the sum of the KRACH number for both teams playing gives the fractional probability.
RRWP is Round Robin Winning Percentage. It calculates the record percentage if every team plays every other team in D2 once. Easier to grasp than the KRACH numbers as a relative strength measure.
Code: Select all
Rank School KRACH RRWP W L Region SOS SOS Rank Change
1 Tampa 50018.7 0.986 10 0 S 3053 1 --
2 Rollins 7154.1 0.926 8 1 S 1365 3 --
3 Limestone 7090.6 0.926 10 1 S 1099 5 --
4 Lindenwood 5753.0 0.915 7 2 S 1993 2 --
5 Le Moyne 5656.3 0.914 8 1 N 1079 6 --
6 Indianapolis 3634.3 0.888 9 1 S 621 9 --
7 Florida Southern 2818.2 0.871 8 3 S 1189 4 --
8 Lenoir-Rhyne 2543.8 0.863 9 3 S 962 8 --
9 Mercy 2430.6 0.860 6 1 N 603 10 --
10 Adelphi 2144.0 0.851 6 0 N 210 18 +2
11 Florida Tech 2017.4 0.846 7 3 S 963 7 -1
12 Pace 1455.7 0.819 7 1 N 314 15 -1
13 Wingate 1066.8 0.787 9 2 S 293 16 +4
14 Roberts Wesleyan 907.9 0.776 8 1 N 173 29 -1
15 Wilmington 856.2 0.766 6 3 N 470 11 +7
16 Colorado Mesa 672.5 0.745 6 3 S 369 13 -1
17 Mercyhurst 488.4 0.710 5 2 N 229 17 +1
18 Saint Anselm 410.9 0.690 4 3 N 323 14 +10
19 Queens (NC) 406.2 0.688 7 3 S 194 21 +7
20 Bentley 375.9 0.679 5 2 N 176 27 -6
21 Rockhurst 375.1 0.679 6 3 S 206 19 +8
22 Belmont Abbey 349.7 0.670 4 5 S 425 12 -6
23 Seton Hill 312.4 0.656 7 4 N 190 23 +9
24 Saint Leo 304.9 0.653 5 3 S 197 20 -2
25 Westminster (UT) 285.0 0.642 5 3 S 184 25 -5
26 Anderson (SC) 279.5 0.642 8 4 S 150 33 +5
27 Maryville 268.7 0.637 8 3 S 113 37 -3
28 Newberry 258.3 0.632 7 5 S 191 22 -3
29 Lewis 229.2 0.616 7 4 S 139 34 -6
30 Franklin Pierce 220.6 0.611 5 1 N 64 51 -11
31 Mount Olive 172.0 0.577 5 5 S 172 30 +7
32 Saint Rose 165.2 0.572 6 4 N 116 35 -2
33 Tusculum 152.2 0.560 7 5 S 112 38 -6
34 Lander 149.6 0.558 8 4 S 80 45 +1
35 Frostburg State* 117.0 0.523 3 5 N 181 26 -2
36 Palm Beach Atlantic 114.0 0.519 4 4 S 114 36 -2
37 North Greenville 101.3 0.502 8 5 S 66 50 +4
38 Barton 99.2 0.499 6 5 S 84 44 +2
39 Lake Erie 84.3 0.476 3 6 N 154 32 -3
40 Montevallo 76.9 0.462 5 6 S 90 39 -3
41 Alabama Huntsville 76.4 0.462 5 6 S 90 40 +1
42 Chestnut Hill 66.5 0.441 5 5 N 66 49 +4
43 S. New Hampshire 66.1 0.440 1 4 N 186 24 --
44 Dominican (NY) 59.6 0.425 5 3 N 38 58 -5
45 Catawba 56.8 0.418 2 7 S 164 31 +2
46 Lynn 54.0 0.411 2 8 S 176 28 -1
47 Chowan 44.3 0.383 5 4 S 36 63 -3
48 Davenport 42.2 0.376 5 5 S 42 55 +1
49 Assumption 33.9 0.345 2 5 N 72 47 +1
50 Post 33.5 0.343 4 4 N 33 65 +1
51 Embry-Riddle (FL) 28.7 0.321 3 9 S 76 46 +3
52 Molloy 28.3 0.319 5 7 N 38 59 +3
53 CSU Pueblo 28.2 0.319 2 5 S 60 54 +4
54 Georgian Court 24.0 0.297 3 9 N 64 52 +2
55 Coker 22.0 0.285 2 10 S 88 41 +8
56 Adams State 21.9 0.285 1 4 S 62 53 -8
57 Felician 21.7 0.283 5 5 N 22 71 -5
58 Mars Hill 19.7 0.270 4 8 S 37 61 -5
59 Saint Michael's 18.9 0.265 1 7 N 88 42 --
60 Lincoln Memorial 18.0 0.259 4 9 S 37 60 -2
61 Lees-McRae 14.6 0.232 2 7 S 42 56 --
62 Walsh 11.4 0.203 2 5 N 24 69 +2
63 District of Columbia 11.3 0.202 1 5 N 39 57 -1
64 Quincy 10.7 0.196 1 5 S 37 62 +1
65 Flagler 10.4 0.193 1 10 S 67 48 +5
66 Emmanuel (GA) 9.9 0.187 2 9 S 36 64 --
67 Caldwell 9.2 0.179 2 7 N 27 68 -7
68 Wheeling 8.3 0.174 2 6 N 21 72 -1
69 Davis & Elkins 7.8 0.163 2 4 N 14 74 +2
70 Shorter 6.3 0.141 1 7 S 29 67 -1
71 American International 6.0 0.137 1 8 N 32 66 -3
72 Young Harris 5.2 0.130 0 10 S 85 43 --
73 Saint Thomas Aquinas 2.9 0.080 1 8 N 15 73 +1
74 Alderson Broaddus 2.7 0.076 1 6 N 11 75 -1
75 D'Youville* 2.2 0.063 0 6 N 22 70 --
Reminder: KRACH numbers work like the following - to determine the relative probability for winning of two teams the KRACH number for one team divided by the sum of the KRACH number for both teams playing gives the fractional probability.
RRWP is Round Robin Winning Percentage. It calculates the record percentage if every team plays every other team in D2 once. Easier to grasp than the KRACH numbers as a relative strength measure.
Re: 2022 KRACH Ratings
Still too early look at playoff positioning (6 teams each from North and South):
North:
1. Le Moyne
2. Mercy
3. Adelphi
4. Pace
5. Roberts Wesleyan
6. Wilmington
7. Mercyhurst
8. Saint Anselm
9. Bentley
10. Seton Hill
South:
1. Tampa
2. Rollins
3. Limestone
4. Lindenwood
5. Indianapolis
6. Florida Southern
7. Lenoir-Rhyne
8. Florida Tech
9. Wingate
10. Colorado Mesa
North:
1. Le Moyne
2. Mercy
3. Adelphi
4. Pace
5. Roberts Wesleyan
6. Wilmington
7. Mercyhurst
8. Saint Anselm
9. Bentley
10. Seton Hill
South:
1. Tampa
2. Rollins
3. Limestone
4. Lindenwood
5. Indianapolis
6. Florida Southern
7. Lenoir-Rhyne
8. Florida Tech
9. Wingate
10. Colorado Mesa
Re: 2022 KRACH Ratings
For games played by 4/10/2022 (D2 vs D2 only):
*ineligible for NCAA postseason competition due to divisional reclassification
Code: Select all
Rank School KRACH RRWP W L Region SOS SOSRank Change
1 Tampa 69077.4 0.988 12 0 S 3549 1 --
2 Rollins 8315.2 0.925 10 1 S 1288 4 --
3 Limestone 8274.9 0.925 11 1 S 1172 5 --
4 Lindenwood 7089.7 0.917 9 2 S 1947 2 --
5 Adelphi 6415.6 0.912 8 0 N 482 10 +5
6 Le Moyne 6337.0 0.911 9 1 N 1084 7 -1
7 Indianapolis 4462.2 0.891 11 1 S 632 9 -1
8 Florida Southern 3270.1 0.872 9 4 S 1576 3 -1
9 Lenoir-Rhyne 2845.1 0.862 9 3 S 1076 8 -1
10 Mercy 2488.0 0.853 8 1 N 475 11 -1
11 Florida Tech 2102.4 0.840 8 4 S 1130 6 --
12 Pace 1499.3 0.813 8 2 N 459 12 --
13 Wingate 1253.1 0.794 10 2 S 312 17 --
14 Roberts Wesleyan 904.4 0.768 9 1 N 155 28 --
15 Wilmington 858.4 0.760 8 3 N 362 13 --
16 Mercyhurst 794.2 0.756 7 2 N 275 18 +1
17 Colorado Mesa 719.3 0.746 7 3 S 343 15 -1
18 Queens (NC) 490.6 0.705 8 3 S 207 21 +1
19 Belmont Abbey 411.7 0.686 6 5 S 350 14 +3
20 Bentley 396.4 0.681 6 2 N 158 27 --
21 Saint Anselm 391.6 0.680 5 4 N 322 16 +3
22 Rockhurst 370.9 0.673 6 4 S 259 19 -1
23 Franklin Pierce 319.9 0.656 6 2 N 127 36 +7
24 Westminster (UT) 304.6 0.647 6 3 S 167 26 +1
25 Maryville 296.8 0.646 9 3 S 112 38 +2
26 Seton Hill 285.1 0.641 7 5 N 211 20 -3
27 Anderson (SC) 277.5 0.638 8 5 S 181 25 -1
28 Lewis 250.1 0.625 7 5 S 185 24 +1
29 Newberry 234.1 0.617 7 6 S 204 22 -1
30 Mount Olive 196.7 0.594 7 5 S 145 30 +1
31 Tusculum 175.0 0.579 8 5 S 114 37 +2
32 Saint Leo 150.8 0.558 5 5 S 151 29 -8
33 Saint Rose 138.6 0.547 7 5 N 102 39 -1
34 Lander 137.7 0.546 9 4 S 66 50 --
35 Frostburg State* 118.6 0.526 4 5 N 144 31 --
36 S. New Hampshire 108.1 0.513 3 4 N 138 32 +7
37 Palm Beach Atlantic 96.1 0.496 4 6 S 137 33 -1
38 Barton 91.5 0.490 7 5 S 68 47 --
39 Lake Erie 91.2 0.489 4 6 N 130 35 --
40 Chestnut Hill 90.4 0.488 7 5 N 67 48 +2
41 Alabama Huntsville 87.9 0.484 6 6 S 88 42 --
42 North Greenville 86.3 0.481 8 6 S 66 49 -5
43 Lynn 73.5 0.459 3 9 S 194 23 +3
44 Catawba 64.5 0.440 3 7 S 135 34 +1
45 Montevallo 56.3 0.421 5 7 S 76 46 -5
46 Davenport 41.9 0.380 5 6 S 49 55 +2
47 Dominican (NY) 37.3 0.364 5 5 N 37 61 -3
48 Embry-Riddle (FL) 35.1 0.356 4 10 S 80 44 +3
49 Chowan 33.5 0.349 5 6 S 39 59 -3
50 Molloy 31.3 0.340 5 7 N 42 58 +2
51 Assumption 30.7 0.337 2 7 N 89 41 -2
52 Georgian Court 30.4 0.336 5 9 N 52 53 +2
53 Post 25.6 0.313 4 5 N 31 66 -3
54 CSU Pueblo 24.2 0.306 2 6 S 61 52 -1
55 Walsh 19.7 0.279 3 6 N 36 62 +7
56 Adams State 18.2 0.269 1 5 S 62 51 --
57 Coker 18.1 0.268 2 11 S 80 45 -2
58 Saint Michael's 17.4 0.263 1 9 N 102 40 +1
59 Lincoln Memorial 15.6 0.250 4 9 S 32 64 +1
60 Mars Hill 15.1 0.246 4 9 S 31 65 -2
61 Felician 14.9 0.245 5 7 N 20 71 -4
62 Flagler 12.6 0.224 2 10 S 51 54 +3
63 Lees-McRae 11.7 0.215 2 9 S 42 57 -2
64 District of Columbia 11.1 0.210 1 5 N 38 60 -1
65 Quincy 9.4 0.191 1 7 S 43 56 -1
66 Emmanuel (GA) 8.3 0.179 2 10 S 33 63 --
67 Wheeling 7.0 0.166 2 8 N 23 68 +1
68 Caldwell 6.9 0.160 2 8 N 23 69 -1
69 Davis & Elkins 5.3 0.135 2 5 N 11 74 --
70 Young Harris 4.7 0.131 0 11 S 84 43 +2
71 American International 4.5 0.122 1 10 N 29 67 --
72 Shorter 4.2 0.117 1 8 S 22 70 -2
73 Saint Thomas Aquinas 2.4 0.076 1 10 N 15 73 --
74 Alderson Broaddus 2.3 0.074 1 6 N 9 75 --
75 D'Youville* 1.7 0.058 0 7 N 20 72 --
Re: 2022 KRACH Ratings
Early look at positioning for playoffs:
North Region:
South Region:
North Region:
Code: Select all
Rank School KRACH RRWP W L Region SOS SOSRank Change
5 Adelphi 6415.6 0.912 8 0 N 482 10 +5
6 Le Moyne 6337.0 0.911 9 1 N 1084 7 -1
10 Mercy 2488.0 0.853 8 1 N 475 11 -1
12 Pace 1499.3 0.813 8 2 N 459 12 --
14 Roberts Wesleyan 904.4 0.768 9 1 N 155 28 --
15 Wilmington 858.4 0.760 8 3 N 362 13 --
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16 Mercyhurst 794.2 0.756 7 2 N 275 18 +1
20 Bentley 396.4 0.681 6 2 N 158 27 --
21 Saint Anselm 391.6 0.680 5 4 N 322 16 +3
23 Franklin Pierce 319.9 0.656 6 2 N 127 36 +7
Code: Select all
Rank School KRACH RRWP W L Region SOS SOSRank Change
1 Tampa 69077.4 0.988 12 0 S 3549 1 --
2 Rollins 8315.2 0.925 10 1 S 1288 4 --
3 Limestone 8274.9 0.925 11 1 S 1172 5 --
4 Lindenwood 7089.7 0.917 9 2 S 1947 2 --
7 Indianapolis 4462.2 0.891 11 1 S 632 9 -1
8 Florida Southern 3270.1 0.872 9 4 S 1576 3 -1
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9 Lenoir-Rhyne 2845.1 0.862 9 3 S 1076 8 -1
11 Florida Tech 2102.4 0.840 8 4 S 1130 6 --
13 Wingate 1253.1 0.794 10 2 S 312 17 --
17 Colorado Mesa 719.3 0.746 7 3 S 343 15 -1
Re: 2022 KRACH Ratings
Predicting a Lemoyne/Pace Final in the North and Tampa/Limestone in the south. Limestone vs LeMoyne in the Finals.RedFromMI wrote: ↑Mon Apr 11, 2022 11:55 am Early look at positioning for playoffs:
North Region:
South Region:Code: Select all
Rank School KRACH RRWP W L Region SOS SOSRank Change 5 Adelphi 6415.6 0.912 8 0 N 482 10 +5 6 Le Moyne 6337.0 0.911 9 1 N 1084 7 -1 10 Mercy 2488.0 0.853 8 1 N 475 11 -1 12 Pace 1499.3 0.813 8 2 N 459 12 -- 14 Roberts Wesleyan 904.4 0.768 9 1 N 155 28 -- 15 Wilmington 858.4 0.760 8 3 N 362 13 -- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 16 Mercyhurst 794.2 0.756 7 2 N 275 18 +1 20 Bentley 396.4 0.681 6 2 N 158 27 -- 21 Saint Anselm 391.6 0.680 5 4 N 322 16 +3 23 Franklin Pierce 319.9 0.656 6 2 N 127 36 +7
Code: Select all
Rank School KRACH RRWP W L Region SOS SOSRank Change 1 Tampa 69077.4 0.988 12 0 S 3549 1 -- 2 Rollins 8315.2 0.925 10 1 S 1288 4 -- 3 Limestone 8274.9 0.925 11 1 S 1172 5 -- 4 Lindenwood 7089.7 0.917 9 2 S 1947 2 -- 7 Indianapolis 4462.2 0.891 11 1 S 632 9 -1 8 Florida Southern 3270.1 0.872 9 4 S 1576 3 -1 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 9 Lenoir-Rhyne 2845.1 0.862 9 3 S 1076 8 -1 11 Florida Tech 2102.4 0.840 8 4 S 1130 6 -- 13 Wingate 1253.1 0.794 10 2 S 312 17 -- 17 Colorado Mesa 719.3 0.746 7 3 S 343 15 -1
-
Laxwarrior
- Posts: 164
- Joined: Sat Sep 08, 2018 11:14 am
Re: 2022 KRACH Ratings
RedFromMI wrote: ↑Mon Apr 11, 2022 11:55 am Early look at positioning for playoffs:
North Region:
South Region:Code: Select all
Rank School KRACH RRWP W L Region SOS SOSRank Change 5 Adelphi 6415.6 0.912 8 0 N 482 10 +5 6 Le Moyne 6337.0 0.911 9 1 N 1084 7 -1 10 Mercy 2488.0 0.853 8 1 N 475 11 -1 12 Pace 1499.3 0.813 8 2 N 459 12 -- 14 Roberts Wesleyan 904.4 0.768 9 1 N 155 28 -- 15 Wilmington 858.4 0.760 8 3 N 362 13 -- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 16 Mercyhurst 794.2 0.756 7 2 N 275 18 +1 20 Bentley 396.4 0.681 6 2 N 158 27 -- 21 Saint Anselm 391.6 0.680 5 4 N 322 16 +3 23 Franklin Pierce 319.9 0.656 6 2 N 127 36 +7
Code: Select all
Rank School KRACH RRWP W L Region SOS SOSRank Change 1 Tampa 69077.4 0.988 12 0 S 3549 1 -- 2 Rollins 8315.2 0.925 10 1 S 1288 4 -- 3 Limestone 8274.9 0.925 11 1 S 1172 5 -- 4 Lindenwood 7089.7 0.917 9 2 S 1947 2 -- 7 Indianapolis 4462.2 0.891 11 1 S 632 9 -1 8 Florida Southern 3270.1 0.872 9 4 S 1576 3 -1 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 9 Lenoir-Rhyne 2845.1 0.862 9 3 S 1076 8 -1 11 Florida Tech 2102.4 0.840 8 4 S 1130 6 -- 13 Wingate 1253.1 0.794 10 2 S 312 17 -- 17 Colorado Mesa 719.3 0.746 7 3 S 343 15 -1
Good stuff, keep it coming!
Re: 2022 KRACH Ratings
Seems like Limestone is really rolling right now. There are still some big games remaining, and add in the conference tourneys some teams can make a late push for the NCAA. What are the biggest games remaining (non conf tourney) you are looking forward to? I have UIndy vs Mercyhurst and UIndy vs Limestone.
Re: 2022 KRACH Ratings
Seton Hill vs. Tampa is up there.HoundsDad wrote: ↑Mon Apr 11, 2022 8:30 pm Seems like Limestone is really rolling right now. There are still some big games remaining, and add in the conference tourneys some teams can make a late push for the NCAA. What are the biggest games remaining (non conf tourney) you are looking forward to? I have UIndy vs Mercyhurst and UIndy vs Limestone.
The Griffins have been up and down all year, and haven't been able to put it all together.
But they looked like they found something on offense against Mercyhurst after struggling for the majority of the year.
I know it's out of region, but a "W" over Tampa might help their chances for the playoffs.
Re: 2022 KRACH Ratings
It is out of region, but it is surprising to many that it _almost_ is in region (misses by a couple of states). For example, if Seton Hill is up against Limestone it is actually in region.
The following link might be helpful (a pdf file with a table listing all the in region states for a particular state location for a school):
https://ncaaorg.s3.amazonaws.com/champi ... isting.pdf
To use this, find the basketball region a particular school is located within (for Limestone this would be the Southeast) and within the Southeast section of the file you find that playing ANY school within: AL, DC, FL, GA, KY, LA*, MD, MS, NC, OH, PA, PR, TN, VA, WV would be in region for an SC located school like Limestone. (The asterisk is because there are no D2 schools in LA).
The following link might be helpful (a pdf file with a table listing all the in region states for a particular state location for a school):
https://ncaaorg.s3.amazonaws.com/champi ... isting.pdf
To use this, find the basketball region a particular school is located within (for Limestone this would be the Southeast) and within the Southeast section of the file you find that playing ANY school within: AL, DC, FL, GA, KY, LA*, MD, MS, NC, OH, PA, PR, TN, VA, WV would be in region for an SC located school like Limestone. (The asterisk is because there are no D2 schools in LA).