Search found 72 matches

by crazyhorse
Tue Apr 19, 2022 8:39 am
Forum: D1 WOMENS LACROSSE
Topic: Bracketology - Always a sign The Tournament is near
Replies: 290
Views: 31017

Re: Bracketology - Always a sign The Tournament is near

Here goes for this week, starting with the 8 seeded teams who will be hosting 1st 2 rounds: 1. UNC - as clear cut as it gets. 5 significant wins (defined by wins over teams with RPI of 20 or better) 2. Northwestern - RPI 0f 3, SOS of 2, 5 sig wins 3. Syracuse - RPI 2, SOS 3, 5 sig wins 4. BC - RPI 4...
by crazyhorse
Mon Apr 18, 2022 5:22 pm
Forum: D1 WOMENS LACROSSE
Topic: Duke
Replies: 320
Views: 26514

Re: Duke

Advice taken. Moving on. WIll update my bracketology tonight if I have time to give us all something else to talk about. Maybe I can figure out how to do one that doesn't use strength of schedule :D - sorry, couldn't resist!
by crazyhorse
Mon Apr 18, 2022 4:58 pm
Forum: D1 WOMENS LACROSSE
Topic: Duke
Replies: 320
Views: 26514

Re: Duke

Yeah, we all just misunderstood your original post: "It occurs to me that Duke has been unfairly criticized to a degree in the area of strength of schedule . What’s the difference between Duke and Stony Brook? Duke schedules cupcakes for their out of conference games and Stony Brook has the cup...
by crazyhorse
Sun Apr 17, 2022 7:50 pm
Forum: D1 WOMENS LACROSSE
Topic: Duke
Replies: 320
Views: 26514

Re: Duke

Been away for most of the weekend - feel like this one was directed at me, so let me try to explain SOS again. These were my guesses from last week on how SOS might shake out: As for the others in the "middle" of the SOS pack that you asked about, I did a cursory look at average winning p...
by crazyhorse
Sun Apr 17, 2022 7:49 pm
Forum: D1 WOMENS LACROSSE
Topic: Duke
Replies: 320
Views: 26514

Re: Duke

OuttaNowhereWregget wrote: Sun Apr 17, 2022 6:19 pm
crazyhorse wrote: Sun Apr 17, 2022 6:16 pm I tried. Hard to refute your statement if flawed calculations don't matter.
Fixed that for you.
Thank you! What would we do without you?
by crazyhorse
Sun Apr 17, 2022 6:16 pm
Forum: D1 WOMENS LACROSSE
Topic: Duke
Replies: 320
Views: 26514

Re: Duke

I tried. Hard to refute your statement if calculations don't matter.
by crazyhorse
Sun Apr 17, 2022 5:30 pm
Forum: D1 WOMENS LACROSSE
Topic: Duke
Replies: 320
Views: 26514

Re: Duke

Let's check back on this here Duke's-SOS-(not to mention RPI)-won't-be-in-the-same-grouping-as-these-other-teams assertion after today's results, shall we? #7 Duke played #2 BC W 16-15 #5 Stony Brook played UMass Lowell W 16-1 #6 Loyola played Army W 16-7 #8 Florida played Vandy W 16-8 #11 James Ma...
by crazyhorse
Wed Apr 13, 2022 5:09 pm
Forum: D1 WOMENS LACROSSE
Topic: Duke
Replies: 320
Views: 26514

Re: Duke

The formula is what it is. I don't agree with it either, but that doesn't mean the math isn't straight forward. I am on the record as stating, for instance, that Loyola is better than their RPI of 14 would suggest. Conversely, I don't think a team like Temple is as good as their RPI of 16. Unfortuna...
by crazyhorse
Wed Apr 13, 2022 3:11 pm
Forum: D1 WOMENS LACROSSE
Topic: Duke
Replies: 320
Views: 26514

Re: Duke

Interesting afternoon - looks like the critique of Duke's OOC schedule has devolved into trying to project SOS. I happen to be of those odd ducks that love math - it's why I took a stab at bracketology when I had some free time the other night. Whoever said RPI math is straight forward is correct. T...
by crazyhorse
Tue Apr 12, 2022 9:53 am
Forum: D1 WOMENS LACROSSE
Topic: Bracketology - Always a sign The Tournament is near
Replies: 290
Views: 31017

Re: Bracketology - Always a sign The Tournament is near

My bracketology for the week, following same guidelines as committee namely seeding top 8 teams to host and making geographical adjustments to limit travel: 1. UNC bye Ohio State vs Jacksonville 2. BC bye UMass vs Yale 3. Northwestern bye UConn vs Michigan 4. Syracuse vs Central Michigan Rutgers vs ...
by crazyhorse
Tue Apr 12, 2022 9:37 am
Forum: D1 WOMENS LACROSSE
Topic: Duke
Replies: 320
Views: 26514

Re: Duke

SOS rankings for all ACC schools:

Notre Dame 1
Syracuse 2
Virginia 5
Boston College 6
UNC 8
Louisville 9
Virginia Tech 11
Pittsburgh 16
Duke 37
by crazyhorse
Wed Apr 06, 2022 1:14 pm
Forum: D1 WOMENS LACROSSE
Topic: Duke
Replies: 320
Views: 26514

Re: Duke

I should have put those two lines in quotes because they came from ONW in response to a previous post but no matter, I'll respond to your question. Yes, you do get "bonus points" from the last 25% IF your conference is dominant in out of conference games. Here is a quote from the USALaxMag...
by crazyhorse
Wed Apr 06, 2022 12:36 pm
Forum: D1 WOMENS LACROSSE
Topic: Bracketology - Always a sign The Tournament is near
Replies: 290
Views: 31017

Re: Bracketology - Always a sign The Tournament is near

Here's my top 8 seeds: 1. UNC 2. Syracuse (if and until they lose to BC, their metrics are better) 3. BC 4. Northwestern 5. Stony Brook 6. Loyola 7. Maryland 8. Denver I believe Loyola's 3 top-20 wins outweighs their lower SOS. Close call between Denver and Princeton for 8. Committee has a tendency ...
by crazyhorse
Wed Apr 06, 2022 12:27 pm
Forum: D1 WOMENS LACROSSE
Topic: Duke
Replies: 320
Views: 26514

Re: Duke

just a friendly little jab about the points bolded. On another thread, I had said "weak SOS should bite them come seeding time" and you replied with "I wouldn't be so sure about that". I know you've been critical of their schedule, which is why your previous reply had surprised me.
by crazyhorse
Wed Apr 06, 2022 11:53 am
Forum: D1 WOMENS LACROSSE
Topic: Duke
Replies: 320
Views: 26514

Re: Duke

Exactly what I said last week on another thread: Duke could use a quality win as well. They currently have none (defined as beating a team with an RPI of 1-20) despite their gaudy record. And by that definition winning today wouldn't count as one either. Weak SOS should bite them come seeding time. ...
by crazyhorse
Mon Apr 04, 2022 3:33 pm
Forum: D1 WOMENS LACROSSE
Topic: FanLax Forum Poll
Replies: 731
Views: 82637

Re: FanLax Forum Poll

D1 WOMEN: FanLax Forum Poll (04/04/22) https://fanlax.com/2022/04/04/d1-women-fanlax-forum-poll-04-04-22/ https://fanlax.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/D1W-Ranking-04.04.22.jpg Rats! My #5 was supposed to be Stony Brook. I could have sworn I clicked on Stony Brook. Does the format allow double vote...
by crazyhorse
Mon Apr 04, 2022 3:22 pm
Forum: D1 WOMENS LACROSSE
Topic: FanLax Forum Poll
Replies: 731
Views: 82637

Re: FanLax Forum Poll

If ND manages to have a record of 500, do they get an at large bid based on the RPI rating and whatever else if looked at. They will likely have no significant wins but a handful of 1 goal losses to very good teams. They should finish the season 8-8, then will likely face Duke in ACC tournament. A ...
by crazyhorse
Mon Apr 04, 2022 12:47 pm
Forum: D1 WOMENS LACROSSE
Topic: FanLax Forum Poll
Replies: 731
Views: 82637

Re: FanLax Forum Poll

Team Seed RPI W-L SOS Sig Wins Sig Losses Avg RPI of Top 10 UNC 1 1 12-0 6 5 JMU, Fla, NW, BC, ND 0 12 Syr 2 2 10-2 2 5 SB, Duke, Temp, Loy, ND 0 11 BC 3 3 11-1 7 2 NW, Den 0 15 NW 4 4 10-2 4 4 Syr, SB, OSU, ND 0 11 SB 5 5 8-2 9 3 Flor, JHU, Prince 0 22 Loy 6 13 10-1 18 3 JHU, Flor, Prince 0 25 MD 7...
by crazyhorse
Mon Apr 04, 2022 12:24 pm
Forum: D1 WOMENS LACROSSE
Topic: FanLax Forum Poll
Replies: 731
Views: 82637

Re: FanLax Forum Poll

I submitted my Fanlax poll with some bracketology mixed in, attempting to get inside the committee’s head to project the eight seeds. I tried to take into account their criteria which includes: Win-loss record RPI (arguably the most important metric they look at based on past years) SOS Significant ...
by crazyhorse
Sat Apr 02, 2022 8:22 am
Forum: D1 WOMENS LACROSSE
Topic: 2022 TV and Webcast Schedule
Replies: 159
Views: 13337

Re: Sat Apr 2

For my money, #15 Virginia at #7 Duke is the game of the day. Lot of other top ranked teams in action today. Too bad they have no worthy opponents, if you will. Carolina should spank Notre Dame. Same with Maryland Hop; Syracuse Pitt and BC VT among others. However, if there are upsets, all of a sud...

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