1st you cut off a few years, likely because the ACC had multiple teams in the final 4 in 2014 and 2013. That is how we changed from 10 to 7. You moved to the final 4 , instead of championship. So we have changed the numbers. I did forget about Rutgers. But lets look at the Big 10 vs the ACC, since those are the 2 clearly at the top by both methods..Chousnake wrote: ↑Thu Apr 25, 2024 4:28 pmI still think your perception and analysis are not borne by the numbers. In those 7 years, all 5 ACC teams made the final four. But 4 Big 10 teams made it and 3 Ivies (with 2 others on the doorstep a few times). So where is this ACC dominance? Yes, the ACC won more titles, and yes they are deep, but taking 7 of 32 spots on Memorial Day weekend does not indicate that the ACC is a monster, especially when 3 of those 7 were last season. So from 2015 to 2022, the ACC took 4 of 24 spots while the Big 10 took 9 and the Ivies 5. It's fairly even. And certainly not enough to denigrate the seasons some Ivy players are having this year. Is the ACC the best conference in the lacrosse in 2023-24? Yes, so far. But it's been a year to year thing for the past decade.coda wrote: ↑Thu Apr 25, 2024 4:07 pmThere was no tournament in 2020, my apologies on 2021. I generally root for the Big 10. Big 10 is been Maryland and the others, until the last 2 years (and that 1 run from OSU). Hopefully, that is a sign things are changing. No conference has the kind of balance that the ACC has had. Your numbers are saying I have under-estimated the Big 10, but that is skewed to 1 consistent power. I still think the ACC has basically been the SEC of college lacrosse. Its annoying, but they recruit better. If you have to bet on future champions, you are most likely picking ACC teams first. Its up to the Big 10 and the Ivies to change the current perception among recruits, media, and fans.Chousnake wrote: ↑Thu Apr 25, 2024 3:41 pmYou're counting two years (20-21) when the Ivies didn't even play and two years (22-23) when all other conferences were using Ivy transfers as 5th year players. If you count final four teams, eliminate 2020 and 2021(when the Ivies didn't play), and start in 2015 when the B10 was created, it's pretty balanced. In those 7 seasons - 2015-2019,, 2022-23 - final four representation is:coda wrote: ↑Thu Apr 25, 2024 2:07 pmThat completely fine. Accumulating talent does not always guarantee success. Things like development and constructing a roster come into play.Finster wrote: ↑Thu Apr 25, 2024 1:52 pmcoda wrote: ↑Thu Apr 25, 2024 1:49 pmI didnt say that at all. I actually said Brandau, Malone, and Kirst have outperformed Shelly this year. It seems your issues are with your own reading comprehension, not my actual posts. You have to be living under a rock to think that the ACC does not recruit better than the Big 10 or Ivy. That is just a fact. For the record, I generally root against the ACC. I am just being honest about recruiting.Gobigred wrote: ↑Thu Apr 25, 2024 1:34 pmYour ongoing, uninformed assertions that, because someone plays in the ACC, he must be better than someone who doesn't, regardless of performance on the field. Stats of non-ACC players must be questioned...now, absurdly, because you assert "the ACC recruits better." Tiresome. Empty. No substance. Blind loyalty.coda wrote: ↑Thu Apr 25, 2024 1:19 pmPlease explain your apparent disagreement. What in particular do you have an issue with?Gobigred wrote: ↑Thu Apr 25, 2024 1:14 pmYou've lost all credibility...or, better said, what little you may have had...with this response. Sorry.coda wrote: ↑Thu Apr 25, 2024 12:57 pmProbably not as much, because the ACC recruits better than anyone. You should probably think about the statement. Those 3 maybe the 1st 3 offensive players taken by the PLL, which would only give my statement more credence. That said anytime a conference dominates a particular stat, you have to ask yourself if is just the players or a result of the play in that conference. I think that is just logical, though it may upset the fans of conferencesChousnake wrote: ↑Thu Apr 25, 2024 12:49 pmIf the top three were Kavanaugh, O'Neill and Shelly, would you "pause?"coda wrote: ↑Thu Apr 25, 2024 11:11 aminteresting.. Now if you factor schedule, I would bet Kirst and Brandau are very close. (i have not bothered to look at King's schedule). Only thing I would point out is that is the top 3 are in 1 conference, which should give you pause.The Orfling wrote: ↑Thu Apr 25, 2024 10:45 am Christian Swezey over the weekend had an interesting metric for attackmen (he credited the idea as partly coming from Marc Van Arsdale of Loyola): add Goals, assists, ground balls, and caused turnovers and then subtract turnovers. Swezey’s post had the arithmetic totals, which would be dependent in part on games played, but I suspect if you refined that by dividing by number of games played it would be a pretty solid “attackman’s overall impact on the game” measurement that would give a boost to efficient guys (high production, low turnovers) as well as those like Kavanagh and Kirst who are so good with ground balls and caused turnovers.
This is probably best seen as a metric for “impact on the game/his team” vs. “best player” because a player on a team that concentrates much of its point production in him will have higher numbers. Here’s how it shakes out for some of the attackmen in the conversation:
1. Brandau: G/A/GB/CT minus turnovers 105: Per game 8.08
2. Sam King: G/A/GB/CT minus turnovers 86: Per game 7.82
3. CJ Kirst: G/A/GB/CT minus turnovers 85: Per game 7.08
4. Pat Kav: G/A/GB/CT minus turnovers 68: Per game 6.8
5. O’Neill: G/A/GB/CT minus turnovers 80: Per game 5.71
6. TJ Malone: G/A/GB/CT minus turnovers 60: Per game 5.45
7. Shellenberger: G/A/GB/CT minus turnovers 58: Per game 4.46
This isn’t just about the points, either — part of why Sam King finishes so high is that he’s averaging 3.7 ground balls per game (vs. the next highest, Kirst and Brandau at 2.5 ground balls per game and Shelley lowest in ground balls per game at 1.3).
If you calculated this metric again just for games in conference tournaments and NCAAs you could probably get a good sense of who will close really strong for the post-season awards including the Tewaaraton.
Does the ACC recruit 'better', or simply more well known? 2024 UNC seems to be a case study in how "name" recruits don't automatically translate to D1 success.
I feel like the Ivies often have far grittier players...a playing personality I personally prefer.
The field results are pretty clear on this though. The last 10 years have seen 10 ACC teams reach the finals, 6 Big 10 teams, 3 Ivy, and 1 mid-major (Denver). That includes every member of the ACC making a title game the last 10 years, which is a crazy stat. 2 Big 10 teams (33% of the conference). 2 Ivy teams (28.5%). I would prefer talent to be more spread out, but that does not seem to be happening.
Big 10 - 10
ACC - 7
Ivy -5
Big East - 3
Others 3
And in 2020, the Ivies had three teams in the top 5 when play was suspended. There just isn't as much disparity in the level of talent across the top 3-4 conferences as you think or claim it to be.
Starting when Maryland joined to Big 10. 2015-2023 (skipping 2020, covid year)
Big 10- 446-298 with a .599% win percentage.. Total of 14 seasons with losing records (every team but Maryland has at least 2). Maryland is the only team in the BIG 10 never to have a losing season
ACC- 429-211 with a .670% win percentage. Total of 2 losing seasons (Virginia and Cuse).
Win % by Team (ACC in bold):
1. Maryland .818
2. Duke .726
3. Virginia .694
4. ND .690
5. CUSE .617
6. UNC .613
7. Rutgers .612
8. OSU .569
9. PSI .568
10 Hopkins .547
11 Michigan .432
Hard to look at those numbers and think the Big 10 has been on par with the ACC, since 2015.
Looks like you edited this in, but again I literally said that Brandau. Kirst,and Malone have had better seasons than Shelly. I am not sure why you continue to pretend I think Shelly deserves it over those guys based on this season. I could see them giving to him as basically a career award, but that is different conversation. I have actually argued that Kirst is under-rated, given his other production and the defensive SOS he has faced, but somehow that makes he an ACC guy.he attack position is loaded with talent this year and I just can't see rating Shelly, Kavanaugh, O'Neill, or Shelly above Brandau, King, or Kirst just because the former play in the ACC and the latter in the Ivy. And the ACC-Ivy games this season bear that out.