Yup, TLD, Hurricanes are super new. But, seeing that the earth is only 150 years old....... Based on that picture, willing to bet that 90% of the property destroyed were NOT compliant with that pesky building code. Don't see a lot of hurricane ties in the debris. Do you?
________________________________
At this point, most us us have read that hurricane Michaels accelerated strength was due to the increase in water temperature. (seeing that hurricanes derive its energy from the heat ) Climate $cientist$, however, won't clearly commit to the increase as the "only factor".
“The rapid intensification of these storms, which was part of what made them so dangerous and devastating, is something models are telling us global warming should make more common globally over the present century,” said Gabriel Vecchi, one of the authors of the study and a climate scientist at Princeton University. ″However, I don’t think I’m in a position to say — one way or the other — whether global warming played an important role in Michael’s rapid intensification,” he cautioned.
WHy are they so noncommittal to blaming the "above normal" water temperatures as the driving factor? Because they know people like me, and more respected "scientist$", will do the easy research. NOAA's buoy system is great. It has historic data. Buoy 42039 was the last to be in the path of Michael before landfall.
https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page. ... tion=42039
Using October 6th for a baseline, we do indeed see the water temp increases that the alarmists are referencing. Seeing that the historic data only goes back to 1996 (for the full calendar year) and not the dawn of man of 150 years ago, we should be able to conclude much, if little.
(all October 6th highs, degrees in F. )
In 1996, water temp was 81.32
in 1997, water temp was 83.1
in 2006, water temp was 84.74
in 2015, water temp was 80.42
in 2017, water temp was 82.22
in 2018, water temp was 85.1.
In three short years, the dramatic increase of 4.68 degrees F surely bolsters the climate $cientist$ claim that Michaels accelerated strength and increase in category status is attributed to the almost 5 degree water temp change. Especially if one ignores the 2006 reading, where the increase was .32 degrees F. Or rather, what is the "normal water temp"
Some cherry picked "highs" for any particular year.
2005, on July 22 (91.9/92 degrees F )
1996, on July 15th, (88.34 degrees F )
2017, on July 7th, (90.5 degrees F )
Can we conclude that the year Hurricane Katrina hit, the almost 7 degree yearly high as compared to the water temp on October 6th, 2018, is normal?
Or, do we compare the years 2017 & 2018, where the water temperature increase was almost 3 degrees higher as powering Michael so quickly? Or, do we go back to using the 2015 Oct 6th temp that is almost 5 degrees lower as the new normal?
The problem with the earth being only 150 years old, not 700 like "some say", is the data only provides the data from when man started to collect data. Only the data only goes back 22 years (for most NOAA buoys ) Or roughly 15% of mans time on earth.
THoughts on what "normal" is would be appreciated.
