IMO - the new OC had alot more to work with in '23 unless you are clinging to the notion Keogh and Epstein were not significantly compriomised by injury (Keogh also forced to play out of position - he was an Angelus type assist attackman not a midfielder) and something was wrong with DeSimone as his production plummeted from the year before. They average 1.5 goals a game more than in '22 - that's certainly better - it not revelationary and the introduction of Melendez and Collison along with the more steady health of Grimes/Peshko etc can explain that differential just as well.OCanada wrote: ↑Mon May 22, 2023 1:07 pm My assumption is 5 star is projected to have a greater impact than a 4 star. The biggest contributor to this year was the new OC not the recruiting class; plus the two transfers one of which is a local. He played lax at the same school as my son.
I still fail to see a convincing argument for how JHU improves its final result next year over this year unless the team strikes the mother load at the portal. I would like to see a convincing one though. Let us keep in mind that is what i am saying: thete won’t be a jump in relative position at the end
Time will reveal how things work out
State of the Program IMO
Reason for Optimism:
- If Angelus returns - roughly 80% of the scoring returns
- If Szuluk returns - Core 5 of the longpoles is experienced and talented even with losing Mazzone
- Another year in the same offensive system
- If Jaronski returns - all 4 SSDMs return and the 1st pair typically can stand on their own when healthy - Raposo has shown some flashes of quickness and is dangerous in transition
- Recruiting class - given that Freshmen are back as significant contributors - looks strong and targeted in terms of need
- This is conjecture but a team that was successful - returns alot - and has a decent culture typically wants to move forward - they should be more confident and expect more of themselves
- The rising seniors - a couple of them never played in '21 - Bauer and Evans on offense - so they really just finished their sophomore season in terms of eligibility - Bauer went from 4 and 2 in '22 to 9 and 7 in 23 - Evans went from 6 and 3 to 8 and 4 - another leap in their real junior season is not out of the question.
Reasons for Pessimism:
Goalie - after starting 68/57/58 and 50 in his first 4 games and then throwing in a 70% and a 59% against Syracuse and Navy - Marcille finished below 50% for the year - he finished with 8/8/6/10/7 (3 quarters)/6 Saves - Webb and Verdi are completely unknown quantities. If you missed out on the Cornell goalie that's the glaring hole.
Face-offs - once thought to be a strength for this year - Narewski's injury and inconsistency from the other two led to a below 50% for the year even with Mazzone and Hawley's contributions from the wings. Timing was sometimes horrible too. Close the game to 7-6 - ND looks a tiny bit wobbly - and then they roll off 4 or 5 straight FO wins - the only time in the game that happened. That 3 goal 5 minute stretch stretch was the ball game.
You needed the ball after Collison scored.
Finding an inside presence - while the motion/positionless offense can argue against it - the single real weakness I see in the Hopkins offense is the lack of an inside catch and finisher. While the cutting and motion can leave guys open on the inside for easy shots a consistent presence of a Dickson/Cormier/Williams type creates so much havoc and opportunities for others as well as themselves.
The scheme - whatever it is - for replacing Degnon does not work - 2 x 40 goal scorers while shooting over 35% do not grow on trees - Hopkins would appear to have some options - Grimes - Sorichetti - Collison. BTW - I am fine with Collison playing attack - I would NOT pull out the Handley UPenn scheme where everybody waits for him to gather himself and run in from the mid-field.
Opponents - While Anish and Inside Lacrosse seem to be trying to will Notre Dame to the championship - look at the web-site this AM - I believe this year the UVA mountain will be too hard to climb - especially if Nunes is playing well. If you went into a lab and designed a team to handle Notre Dame - UVA is pretty much what you would come up with. Next year, however, the Irish could be pretty formidable - other than Fake and maybe Tevlin they don't lose anything that is not replacable and someone said they are the front runners for Handley (?). Syracuse - especially if they get English's brother and some others couldn't be more loaded on offense - UVA despite losing LaSalla/Dickson/Saustad still has plenty and Duke's attack returns en masse. While you might think OSU and Rutgers have alot of holes to fill - The Terps will be better and PSU has Fracyon and Mich is loaded on offense and appears to have found a goalie. Doesn't look like '24 will be loaded with easy outs.