KRACH Ratings for Womens DII

D2 Womens Lacrosse
User avatar
RedFromMI
Posts: 559
Joined: Sat Sep 08, 2018 7:42 pm

KRACH Ratings for Womens DII

Post by RedFromMI » Tue Mar 19, 2019 6:26 pm

For an explanation, see my postings under the Mens DII page.

Poll is from yesterday, but unlike the poll ratings are for games played through yesterday.

Code: Select all

Rank	School			KRACH	RRWP	W	L	Region	Poll
1	Rollins			2833.5	0.926	8	0	S	 6
2	Regis (CO)		2770.4	0.925	6	0	M	 7
3	Le Moyne		2717.9	0.924	6	0	E	 1 (25)
4	Adelphi			2374.1	0.916	5	0	E	 2
5	Assumption		1940.9	0.902	5	0	E	19
6	Saint Leo		1670.1	0.890	8	0	S	24
7	Lindenwood (MO)		1488.8	0.881	7	0	M	 5
8	Tampa			1268.5	0.867	6	2	S	10
9	Florida Southern	1203.8	0.862	6	1	S	 3
10	Bentley			1071.5	0.851	3	0	E	20
11	Colorado Mesa		 905.8	0.834	6	1	M	14
12	Limestone		 792.6	0.820	7	1	S	11
13	Queens (NC)		 693.5	0.805	5	2	S	15
14	Alabama-Huntsville	 548.8	0.776	7	1	S	
15	Indianapolis		 525.7	0.771	6	1	M	12T
16	Mercy			 518.4	0.769	4	2	E	18
17	West Chester		 498.0	0.764	3	1	A	 4
18	Bloomsburg		 431.1	0.745	4	1	A	25
19	Grand Valley State	 423.3	0.742	5	2	M	22
20	Roberts Wesleyan	 414.6	0.739	8	1	E	
21	New Haven		 381.7	0.728	4	1	E	17
22	Mount Olive		 352.2	0.716	6	2	S	
23	Stonehill		 346.0	0.713	4	2	E	
24	CSU-Pueblo		 324.0	0.704	3	2	M	
25	NYIT			 313.1	0.699	4	1	E	23
26	East Stroudsburg	 296.5	0.690	4	2	A	 8
27	Florida Tech		 277.1	0.680	5	4	S	RV
28	Lenoir-Rhyne		 261.5	0.671	5	3	S	
29	Lincoln Memorial	 255.0	0.667	5	2	S	
30	Mercyhurst		 230.7	0.651	3	2	A	21
31	LIU Post		 221.6	0.645	4	2	E	 9
32	Indiana (PA)		 207.5	0.634	3	2	A	
33	Franklin Pierce		 202.0	0.630	3	2	E	
34	Concordia-St. Paul	 198.7	0.627	4	3	M	
35	Rockhurst		 197.9	0.626	6	4	M	
36	Walsh			 196.6	0.625	4	1	M	
37	Embry-Riddle		 188.6	0.618	4	3	S	
38	Young Harris		 185.0	0.615	3	4	S	
39	Molloy			 179.5	0.610	7	2	E	
40	Georgian Court		 176.6	0.607	4	3	A	
41	Saint Anselm		 176.1	0.607	3	1	E	
42	Shippensburg		 150.9	0.581	3	2	A	
43	Davis & Elkins		 146.6	0.576	3	1	M	
44	Tiffin			 143.1	0.572	4	4	M	
45	Saint Michael's		 139.0	0.567	1	2	E	
46	Merrimack		 118.6	0.539	2	2	E	16
47	Slippery Rock		 115.9	0.535	1	2	A	
48	Pace			 110.6	0.527	2	2	E	12T
49	Catawba			 109.3	0.525	3	5	S	
50	Palm Beach Atlantic	 108.3	0.523	4	2	S	
51	Seton HIll		 105.0	0.518	2	4	A	
52	Wingate			 100.0	0.509	3	5	S	
53	S. New Hampshire	  95.9	0.502	2	3	E	
54	Millersville		  92.0	0.494	3	2	A	
55	Gannon			  87.5	0.485	2	2	A	
56	Colorado -ColSprings	  84.4	0.479	2	3	M	
57	Davenport		  83.8	0.478	3	3	M	
58	McKendree		  83.3	0.477	2	3	M	
59	Lewis			  81.8	0.473	1	2	M	
60	Belmont Abbey		  75.9	0.460	5	4	S	
61	West Va Wesleyan	  74.5	0.457	2	2	M	
62	Lake Erie		  67.8	0.440	2	3	M	
63	Barton			  66.9	0.438	4	3	S	
64	Findlay			  66.8	0.438	2	6	M	
65	Wilmington		  65.9	0.435	3	4	A	
66	Charleston		  64.4	0.431	2	3	M	
67	Notre Dame (OH)		  63.4	0.429	2	3	M	
68	Wheeling Jesuit		  62.7	0.427	3	3	M	
69	North Greenville	  62.3	0.426	5	5	S	
70	Kutztown		  61.1	0.422	1	2	A	
71	Bridgeport		  59.5	0.417	1	3	E	
72	Shepherd		  56.8	0.409	2	3	M	
73	Shorter			  55.9	0.406	4	4	S	
74	Lock Haven		  55.6	0.406	2	3	A	
75	Felician		  50.0	0.387	0	1	A	
76	Fort Lewis		  48.3	0.381	1	2	M	
77	St. Thomas Aquinas	  47.2	0.377	2	4	E	
78	Chestnut Hill		  47.0	0.377	1	3	A	
79	UVA-Wise		  46.5	0.375	2	4	M	
80	Queens (NY)		  39.9	0.349	1	3	E	
81	Montevallo		  39.4	0.347	2	3	S	
82	Ashland			  37.5	0.339	2	3	M	
83	American International	  37.4	0.339	2	5	E	
84	Westminster		  35.2	0.329	0	6	M	
85	Lee			  28.0	0.292	2	5	S	
86	Ohio Valley		  27.3	0.289	1	2	M	
87	Thomas Jefferson	  26.8	0.286	0	3	A	
88	Mars Hill		  25.9	0.281	3	5	S	
89	Coker			  24.3	0.271	2	4	S	
90	Nyack			  24.2	0.270	0	3	A	
91	Ursuline		  23.2	0.264	0	3	M	
92	Edinboro		  22.2	0.258	0	5	A	
93	Maryville (MO)		  22.0	0.256	1	5	M	
94	Newberry		  21.1	0.250	2	6	S	
95	Post			  18.9	0.235	1	3	A	
96	Caldwell		  18.0	0.228	0	3	A	
97	S. Connecticut State	  17.6	0.225	0	6	E	
98	Converse		  16.8	0.219	2	3	S	
99	Adams State		  15.7	0.210	0	4	M	
100	Holy Family		  15.7	0.210	1	5	A	
101	Dominican (NY)		  15.3	0.206	0	3	A	
102	Alderson-Broadus	  14.8	0.203	1	7	M	
103	Northern Michigan	  13.6	0.192	0	5	M	
104	Tusculum		  12.2	0.179	1	6	S	
105	Lees-McRae		   9.7	0.154	0	4	S	
106	Oklahoma Baptist	   9.4	0.150	0	4	M	
107	Erskine			   8.6	0.140	2	6	S	
108	Univ. of DC		   6.3	0.112	0	5	E	
109	Southern Wesleyan	   5.7	0.103	0	5	S	
110	Emmanuel (GA)		   4.1	0.080	0	3	S	
111	Chowan			   3.2	0.065	0	7	S	

User avatar
admin
Site Admin
Posts: 1923
Joined: Tue Jan 16, 2018 1:20 pm

Re: KRACH Ratings for Womens DII

Post by admin » Wed Mar 20, 2019 10:30 am

As has been my practice the last few years, I will be posting weekly KRACH ratings for DII. Some information on what KRACH is and is not follows:

KRACH stands for Ken's Ratings for American College Hockey, and was devised by a statistitian named Ken Butler to apply to college hockey. It is a particular implementation of a Bradley-Terry rating system. A good description of the system can be found at: https://www.collegehockeynews.com/info/?d=krach.

The basic idea is that the ratings reflect the relative winning ability of Team A over Team B. If Team A's rating was three times that of Team B, A would be expected to win 75% of the time if they played each other often enough. The ratings depend ONLY on the actual games played, so a regressions technique is employed to match the ratings to the actual record from the season.

The system also can evaluate the SOS directly from the ratings which helps to insulate the system from the faults of RPI and other measures which can be distorted by teams with strong records against weak opposition.

Because it is strictly based on past records, I believe it does a great job of which teams deserve the best chances at playoffs. In my experience in preparing the ratings over the last several years the system has done a good job of predicting who gets into the NCAAs, and a pretty good job of seeding as well.

Some caveats for how I employ the rating system: only DII vs DII games are used, and that also means I don't include games against Pfeiffer and Brevard, which although still technically in DII are well into the DIII transition process, and at this point have DIII schedules, which mean that they are not eligible for any championships. Games against other NCAA divisions and NAIA, etc games are not included. Also, until sufficient games are played, the ratings can be quite unstable with substantial team movement over a few days. I am a bit early in publishing the first men's DII ratings today as there are a half dozen teams who have not yet played a DII opponent (72 teams in DII by my count for 2019).

User avatar
RedFromMI
Posts: 559
Joined: Sat Sep 08, 2018 7:42 pm

Re: KRACH Ratings for Womens DII

Post by RedFromMI » Wed Mar 20, 2019 10:56 am

Thanks for reposting my explanation - I was tired by the time I finished last night...

peanutgallery
Posts: 11
Joined: Sat Jan 12, 2019 6:47 pm

Re: KRACH Ratings for Womens DII

Post by peanutgallery » Wed Mar 20, 2019 3:09 pm

Thank you for posting (creating) the Krach ratings once again.

It will be interesting to see how the remainder of the season plays out as Conference schedules begin soon.

If the model is true, several interesting things would occur.

In the South... all four teams would be from Sunshine State Conference.
In the Atlantic.. first team is West Chester at 17. Big difference from the polls.

The surprise is UAH..but then the model correctly predicted them taking out FIT

thanks again...

User avatar
RedFromMI
Posts: 559
Joined: Sat Sep 08, 2018 7:42 pm

Re: KRACH Ratings for Womens DII

Post by RedFromMI » Wed Mar 20, 2019 5:05 pm

peanutgallery wrote:
Wed Mar 20, 2019 3:09 pm
Thank you for posting (creating) the Krach ratings once again.

It will be interesting to see how the remainder of the season plays out as Conference schedules begin soon.

If the model is true, several interesting things would occur.

In the South... all four teams would be from Sunshine State Conference.
In the Atlantic.. first team is West Chester at 17. Big difference from the polls.

The surprise is UAH..but then the model correctly predicted them taking out FIT

thanks again...
The Sunshine State effect is real as it is truly one of the toughest conferences, but since they mostly still have to play each other, some weeding will still occur. Last year with three South slots, they came very close to getting all three positions - but Limestone just squeaked into the field...

In the end I expect to see either two or three from that conference.

User avatar
RedFromMI
Posts: 559
Joined: Sat Sep 08, 2018 7:42 pm

Re: KRACH Ratings for Womens DII

Post by RedFromMI » Sun Mar 24, 2019 9:17 pm

For games through today, March 24, 2019 (DII vs DII only)

Code: Select all

Rank	School			KRACH	RRWP	W	L	Region	Poll
1	Adelphi			6520.2	0.948	 7	0	E	 2
2	Le Moyne		6112.8	0.945	 7	0	E	 1
3	Regis (CO)		4861.2	0.934	 9	0	M	 7
4	Rollins			3822.7	0.920	 8	0	S	 5
5	Saint Leo		3483.0	0.914	11	0	S	RV (112)
6	Florida Southern	2020.4	0.875	 7	1	S	 3
7	Tampa			1987.7	0.873	 6	2	S	10
8	Lindenwood (MO)		1824.6	0.866	 9	0	M	 6
9	Assumption		1380.1	0.840	 6	2	E	20
10	Indianapolis		1370.3	0.840	 8	1	M	12T
11	Bentley			1359.5	0.839	 4	1	E	19
12	Limestone		1304.6	0.835	 9	1	S	11
13	West Chester		1212.9	0.827	 6	1	A	 4
14	Queens (NC)		1193.9	0.826	 8	2	S	14
15	Mercy			1045.7	0.812	 6	2	E	17
16	Alabama-Huntsville	 967.3	0.803	 9	2	S	
17	Stonehill		 786.6	0.779	 5	2	E	RV (24)
18	New Haven		 714.9	0.767	 5	2	E	16
19	East Stroudsburg	 633.3	0.752	 6	2	A	 8
20	Colorado Mesa		 587.8	0.742	 7	2	M	12T
21	LIU Post		 577.5	0.740	 6	2	E	 9
22	Bloomsburg		 449.6	0.705	 6	2	A	RV (29)
23	Lincoln Memorial	 447.0	0.705	 7	2	S	
24	NYIT			 446.4	0.704	 5	2	E	RV (83)
25	Grand Valley State	 423.9	0.697	 6	3	M	RV (114)
26	Roberts Wesleyan	 390.6	0.685	 8	2	E	
27	Mount Olive		 368.8	0.677	 7	3	S	RV (32)
28	Saint Anselm		 364.9	0.675	 5	1	E	
29	Florida Tech		 329.5	0.660	 5	5	S	
30	Lenoir-Rhyne		 323.6	0.657	 6	4	S	
31	Franklin Pierce		 322.3	0.656	 5	2	E	
32	CSU-Pueblo		 289.5	0.640	 3	3	M	
33	Embry-Riddle		 286.4	0.638	 5	3	S	
34	Young Harris		 266.7	0.627	 4	4	S	
35	Walsh			 265.3	0.626	 5	1	M	
36	Mercyhurst		 257.7	0.621	 4	3	A	RV (61)
37	Georgian Court		 244.7	0.613	 4	4	A	
38	Merrimack		 244.5	0.613	 3	3	E	18
39	Rockhurst		 238.9	0.609	 6	4	M	
40	Shippensburg		 216.1	0.593	 4	3	A	
41	Indiana (PA)		 215.1	0.592	 3	3	A	
42	Molloy			 211.8	0.590	 8	4	E	
43	Pace			 206.9	0.586	 3	4	E	12T
44	McKendree		 193.9	0.575	 4	3	M	
45	Tiffin			 183.4	0.566	 4	5	M	
46	Findlay			 180.4	0.564	 3	6	M	
47	Davis & Elkins		 179.5	0.563	 3	1	M	
48	Millersville		 173.9	0.557	 4	3	A	
49	Concordia-St. Paul	 173.6	0.557	 5	4	M	
50	Seton HIll		 168.5	0.552	 3	5	A	
51	Catawba			 157.6	0.541	 4	6	S	
52	Wheeling Jesuit		 140.9	0.522	 5	3	M	
53	Slippery Rock		 132.8	0.512	 2	3	A	
54	Lake Erie		 130.5	0.509	 3	3	M	
55	Palm Beach Atlantic	 127.0	0.505	 4	3	S	
56	S. New Hampshire	 119.2	0.494	 3	4	E	
57	Davenport		 115.6	0.489	 4	4	M	
58	Kutztown		 115.6	0.489	 2	3	A	
59	Bridgeport		 108.8	0.479	 4	3	E	
60	Lewis			 108.5	0.478	 1	2	M	
61	Shepherd		 103.1	0.470	 4	4	M	
62	Wingate			 100.0	0.465	 3	6	S	
63	Belmont Abbey		  88.8	0.445	 5	6	S	
64	UVA-Wise		  79.6	0.426	 3	5	M	
65	Barton			  79.2	0.426	 5	4	S	
66	North Greenville	  77.7	0.422	 5	5	S	
67	Lock Haven		  76.7	0.420	 3	4	A	
68	Colorado -ColSprings	  73.9	0.414	 2	4	M	
69	Shorter			  70.9	0.407	 4	4	S	
70	Chestnut Hill		  68.5	0.402	 1	4	A	
71	Montevallo		  65.2	0.394	 3	4	S	
72	Gannon			  63.4	0.389	 2	4	A	
73	Saint Michael's		  61.5	0.384	 1	4	E	
74	Wilmington		  60.0	0.380	 3	5	A	
75	Charleston		  58.8	0.377	 2	5	M	
76	St. Thomas Aquinas	  58.2	0.375	 3	5	E	
77	S. Connecticut State	  55.9	0.369	 2	7	E	
78	Fort Lewis		  55.5	0.367	 1	3	M	
79	Westminster		  55.0	0.366	 1	6	M	
80	Ursuline		  54.4	0.364	 1	4	M	
81	Thomas Jefferson	  51.0	0.354	 1	3	A	
82	Notre Dame (OH)		  49.3	0.349	 3	5	M	
83	West Va Wesleyan	  45.5	0.336	 2	4	M	
84	American International	  43.8	0.331	 2	6	E	
85	Mars Hill		  36.9	0.304	 4	6	S	
86	Ashland			  35.3	0.298	 2	5	M	
87	Nyack			  31.9	0.283	 1	4	A	
88	Ohio Valley		  31.4	0.281	 2	2	M	
89	Northern Michigan	  29.8	0.273	 1	6	M	
90	Coker			  28.2	0.266	 3	5	S	
91	Caldwell		  26.0	0.254	 1	6	A	
92	Lee			  25.2	0.250	 2	6	S	
93	Edinboro		  23.0	0.238	 0	7	A	
94	Newberry		  19.4	0.217	 2	8	S	
95	Felician		  19.1	0.214	 0	3	A	
96	Converse		  19.1	0.214	 3	3	S	
97	Alderson-Broadus	  18.6	0.212	 1	7	M	
98	Tusculum		  18.0	0.207	 2	8	S	
99	Maryville (MO)		  16.1	0.194	 1	7	M	
100	Post			  16.1	0.194	 1	4	A	
101	Queens (NY)		  15.9	0.193	 1	6	E	
102	Dominican (NY)		  14.9	0.185	 0	4	A	
103	Holy Family		  13.9	0.177	 1	5	A	
104	Oklahoma Baptist	  11.9	0.161	 1	5	M	
105	Erskine			  11.4	0.157	 3	7	S	
106	Adams State		   6.7	0.108	 0	6	M	
107	Southern Wesleyan	   5.7	0.096	 1	6	S	
108	Lees-McRae		   5.6	0.096	 0	6	S	
109	Univ. of DC		   4.4	0.079	 0	7	E	
110	Emmanuel (GA)		   3.9	0.072	 0	5	S	
111	Chowan			   2.2	0.044	 0	8	S	
Way too early look at ratings within regions (4 each region in NCAA playoffs, showing top eight each region here)

East

Code: Select all

Rank	School			KRACH	RRWP	W	L	Region	Poll
1	Adelphi			6520.2	0.948	 7	0	E	 2
2	Le Moyne		6112.8	0.945	 7	0	E	 1
9	Assumption		1380.1	0.840	 6	2	E	20
11	Bentley			1359.5	0.839	 4	1	E	19
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
15	Mercy			1045.7	0.812	 6	2	E	17
17	Stonehill		 786.6	0.779	 5	2	E	RV (24)
18	New Haven		 714.9	0.767	 5	2	E	16
21	LIU Post		 577.5	0.740	 6	2	E	 9
Atlantic

Code: Select all

Rank	School			KRACH	RRWP	W	L	Region	Poll
13	West Chester		1212.9	0.827	 6	1	A	 4
19	East Stroudsburg	 633.3	0.752	 6	2	A	 8
22	Bloomsburg		 449.6	0.705	 6	2	A	RV (29)
36	Mercyhurst		 257.7	0.621	 4	3	A	RV (61)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
37	Georgian Court		 244.7	0.613	 4	4	A	
40	Shippensburg		 216.1	0.593	 4	3	A	
41	Indiana (PA)		 215.1	0.592	 3	3	A	
48	Millersville		 173.9	0.557	 4	3	A	
South

Code: Select all

Rank	School			KRACH	RRWP	W	L	Region	Poll
4	Rollins			3822.7	0.920	 8	0	S	 5
5	Saint Leo		3483.0	0.914	11	0	S	RV (112)
6	Florida Southern	2020.4	0.875	 7	1	S	 3
7	Tampa			1987.7	0.873	 6	2	S	10
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
12	Limestone		1304.6	0.835	 9	1	S	11
14	Queens (NC)		1193.9	0.826	 8	2	S	14
16	Alabama-Huntsville	 967.3	0.803	 9	2	S	
23	Lincoln Memorial	 447.0	0.705	 7	2	S	
Midwest

Code: Select all

Rank	School			KRACH	RRWP	W	L	Region	Poll
3	Regis (CO)		4861.2	0.934	 9	0	M	 7
8	Lindenwood (MO)		1824.6	0.866	 9	0	M	 6
10	Indianapolis		1370.3	0.840	 8	1	M	12T
20	Colorado Mesa		 587.8	0.742	 7	2	M	12T
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
25	Grand Valley State	 423.9	0.697	 6	3	M	RV (114)
32	CSU-Pueblo		 289.5	0.640	 3	3	M	
35	Walsh			 265.3	0.626	 5	1	M	
44	McKendree		 193.9	0.575	 4	3	M	

User avatar
RedFromMI
Posts: 559
Joined: Sat Sep 08, 2018 7:42 pm

Re: KRACH Ratings for Womens DII

Post by RedFromMI » Mon Mar 25, 2019 3:29 pm

Edited the above entry to reflect today's new poll, which better syncs with my data. This week they only ranked the top 20, and listed more teams receiving votes...

User avatar
RedFromMI
Posts: 559
Joined: Sat Sep 08, 2018 7:42 pm

Re: KRACH Ratings for Womens DII

Post by RedFromMI » Sun Mar 31, 2019 10:49 pm

For games through 3/31/2019 (DII vs DII only):

Code: Select all

Rank	School			KRACH	RRWP	W	L	Region	Poll
 1	Le Moyne		6977.8	0.954	 9	 0	E	 1
 2	Regis (CO)		5139.2	0.941	10	 0	M	10
 3	Rollins			4168.0	0.930	 9	 0	S	 2
 4	Saint Leo		3579.2	0.921	12	 0	S	21
 5	Adelphi			2891.6	0.908	 8	 1	E	 3
 6	Tampa			2723.9	0.904	 8	 2	S	 6
 7	Lindenwood (MO)		1898.6	0.878	10	 0	M	 4
 8	LIU Post		1522.5	0.859	 8	 2	E	 5
 9	Florida Southern	1397.9	0.852	 8	 2	S	 8
10	Limestone		1394.0	0.852	11	 1	S	11
11	Bentley			1357.1	0.849	 6	 1	E	19T
12	Assumption		1252.9	0.842	 7	 2	E	17
13	East Stroudsburg	1250.3	0.842	 8	 2	A	 9
14	Indianapolis		1218.5	0.839	 9	 1	M	12T
15	Mercy			1028.6	0.823	 8	 2	E	15
16	West Chester		1009.1	0.821	 7	 2	A	 7
17	Queens (NC)		1003.6	0.820	 9	 2	S	14
18	Alabama-Huntsville	 833.5	0.801	10	 2	S	
19	Colorado Mesa		 644.2	0.771	 9	 2	M	12T
20	New Haven		 487.4	0.737	 5	 4	E	19T
21	Grand Valley State	 448.7	0.726	 8	 3	M	22
22	Merrimack		 386.7	0.706	 5	 3	E	18
23	Stonehill		 363.2	0.698	 5	 4	E	RV
24	NYIT			 318.0	0.679	 6	 3	E	24
25	Bloomsburg		 314.9	0.678	 7	 3	A	
26	Roberts Wesleyan	 310.6	0.676	 9	 3	E	
27	Seton HIll		 306.9	0.674	 5	 5	A	
28	Lenoir-Rhyne		 299.0	0.670	 7	 5	S	
29	Georgian Court		 291.8	0.667	 5	 4	A	
30	Mount Olive		 290.2	0.666	 7	 4	S	23
31	Florida Tech		 284.9	0.663	 5	 5	S	
32	Franklin Pierce		 263.6	0.652	 6	 3	E	
33	Embry-Riddle		 262.1	0.651	 6	 4	S	
34	Pace			 246.2	0.642	 4	 5	E	16
35	Millersville		 236.9	0.636	 6	 3	A	
36	Lincoln Memorial	 222.2	0.626	 8	 3	S	
37	CSU-Pueblo		 203.1	0.613	 4	 4	M	
38	Rockhurst		 198.8	0.610	 6	 5	M	
39	Young Harris		 193.7	0.606	 5	 5	S	
40	Walsh			 192.9	0.605	 5	 1	M	
41	McKendree		 175.6	0.590	 6	 4	M	
42	Molloy			 168.8	0.584	 8	 5	E	
43	Findlay			 159.6	0.575	 4	 6	M	
44	S. New Hampshire	 155.8	0.571	 4	 5	E	
45	Tiffin			 155.7	0.571	 5	 5	M	
46	Saint Anselm		 154.2	0.570	 5	 3	E	
47	Kutztown		 150.3	0.566	 4	 3	A	
48	Concordia-St. Paul	 148.8	0.564	 6	 4	M	
49	Slippery Rock		 147.2	0.563	 3	 4	A	
50	Wheeling Jesuit		 145.4	0.561	 7	 3	M	
51	Mercyhurst		 136.0	0.550	 4	 5	A	25
52	Catawba			 134.8	0.549	 5	 6	S	
53	Shippensburg		 124.9	0.536	 4	 4	A	
54	Indiana (PA)		 118.2	0.528	 3	 5	A	
55	Lake Erie		 106.0	0.510	 3	 4	M	
56	Palm Beach Atlantic	 100.3	0.501	 4	 4	S	
57	Wingate			  99.1	0.499	 4	 7	S	
58	Bridgeport		  97.9	0.497	 5	 3	E	
59	Shepherd		  97.1	0.496	 5	 4	M	
60	Davenport		  84.2	0.473	 5	 5	M	
61	Davis & Elkins		  83.7	0.472	 3	 2	M	
62	Belmont Abbey		  80.0	0.465	 6	 6	S	
63	Chestnut Hill		  78.1	0.461	 2	 4	A	
64	UVA-Wise		  75.5	0.456	 4	 5	M	
65	Thomas Jefferson	  75.4	0.455	 3	 3	A	
66	North Greenville	  69.4	0.442	 7	 5	S	
67	Westminster		  67.5	0.438	 2	 6	M	
68	Montevallo		  56.3	0.409	 4	 5	S	
69	Barton			  56.1	0.409	 7	 4	S	
70	St. Thomas Aquinas	  52.5	0.398	 5	 5	E	
71	Colorado -ColSprings	  51.6	0.396	 2	 5	M	
72	Lock Haven		  47.4	0.383	 3	 6	A	
73	Charleston		  46.0	0.378	 3	 6	M	
74	Ursuline		  45.0	0.375	 2	 4	M	
75	Saint Michael's		  43.8	0.371	 2	 5	E	
76	Shorter			  41.8	0.364	 4	 5	S	
77	Wilmington		  41.5	0.362	 4	 6	A	
78	American International	  38.4	0.351	 3	 7	E	
79	Edinboro		  36.9	0.345	 1	 8	A	
80	Nyack			  36.6	0.344	 4	 4	A	
81	Notre Dame (OH)		  35.0	0.337	 4	 6	M	
82	Northern Michigan	  34.8	0.336	 2	 6	M	
83	Gannon	 		  29.5	0.313	 2	 6	A	
84	Fort Lewis		  29.4	0.312	 1	 4	M	
85	S. Connecticut State	  28.7	0.309	 2	 9	E	
86	Lewis			  26.9	0.300	 1	 5	M	
87	Ashland			  24.8	0.288	 2	 5	M	
88	Mars Hill		  24.0	0.284	 4	 7	S	
89	Coker			  21.0	0.267	 4	 6	S	
90	West Va Wesleyan	  19.6	0.257	 2	 6	M	
91	Tusculum		  18.9	0.253	 3	 8	S	
92	Converse		  16.2	0.233	 4	 4	S	
93	Caldwell		  15.5	0.228	 1	 7	A	
94	Dominican (NY)		  14.3	0.218	 1	 5	A	
95	Lee			  14.0	0.216	 2	 8	S	
96	Felician		  13.2	0.210	 0	 4	A	
97	Ohio Valley		  12.7	0.205	 2	 3	M	
98	Newberry		  11.0	0.189	 2	 9	S	
99	Alderson-Broadus	   9.9	0.178	 1	10	M	
100	Maryville (MO)		   9.5	0.174	 1	10	M	
101	Oklahoma Baptist	   8.3	0.161	 1	 5	M	
102	Queens (NY)		   8.2	0.159	 1	 9	E	
103	Holy Family		   7.0	0.145	 1	 6	A	
104	Post			   5.9	0.129	 1	 7	A	
105	Lees-McRae		   5.4	0.122	 1	 7	S	
106	Erskine			   5.2	0.119	 3	 9	S	
107	Adams State		   4.7	0.111	 0	 7	M	
108	Southern Wesleyan	   2.8	0.077	 1	 7	S	
109	Emmanuel (GA)		   2.3	0.067	 0	 8	S	
110	Univ. of DC		   1.8	0.055	 0	 9	E	
111	Chowan			   0.9	0.031	 0	10	S	
East Region rankings (top eight, four to enter NCAA tourney)

Code: Select all

Rank	School			KRACH	RRWP	W	L	Region	Poll
 1	Le Moyne		6977.8	0.954	 9	 0	E	 1
 5	Adelphi			2891.6	0.908	 8	 1	E	 3
 8	LIU Post		1522.5	0.859	 8	 2	E	 5
11	Bentley			1357.1	0.849	 6	 1	E	19T
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
12	Assumption		1252.9	0.842	 7	 2	E	17
15	Mercy			1028.6	0.823	 8	 2	E	15
20	New Haven		 487.4	0.737	 5	 4	E	19T
22	Merrimack		 386.7	0.706	 5	 3	E	18
South Region rankings (top eight, four to enter NCAA tourney)

Code: Select all

Rank	School			KRACH	RRWP	W	L	Region	Poll
 3	Rollins			4168.0	0.930	 9	 0	S	 2
 4	Saint Leo		3579.2	0.921	12	 0	S	21
 6	Tampa			2723.9	0.904	 8	 2	S	 6
 9	Florida Southern	1397.9	0.852	 8	 2	S	 8
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
10	Limestone		1394.0	0.852	11	 1	S	11
17	Queens (NC)		1003.6	0.820	 9	 2	S	14
18	Alabama-Huntsville	 833.5	0.801	10	 2	S	
28	Lenoir-Rhyne		 299.0	0.670	 7	 5	S	
Midwest Region rankings (top eight, four to enter NCAA tourney)

Code: Select all

Rank	School			KRACH	RRWP	W	L	Region	Poll
 2	Regis (CO)		5139.2	0.941	10	 0	M	10
 7	Lindenwood (MO)		1898.6	0.878	10	 0	M	 4
14	Indianapolis		1218.5	0.839	 9	 1	M	12T
19	Colorado Mesa		 644.2	0.771	 9	 2	M	12T
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
21	Grand Valley State	 448.7	0.726	 8	 3	M	22
37	CSU-Pueblo		 203.1	0.613	 4	 4	M	
38	Rockhurst		 198.8	0.610	 6	 5	M	
40	Walsh			 192.9	0.605	 5	 1	M	
Atlantic Region rankings (top eight, four to enter NCAA tourney)

Code: Select all

Rank	School			KRACH	RRWP	W	L	Region	Poll
13	East Stroudsburg	1250.3	0.842	 8	 2	A	 9
16	West Chester		1009.1	0.821	 7	 2	A	 7
25	Bloomsburg		 314.9	0.678	 7	 3	A	
27	Seton HIll		 306.9	0.674	 5	 5	A	
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
29	Georgian Court		 291.8	0.667	 5	 4	A	
35	Millersville		 236.9	0.636	 6	 3	A	
47	Kutztown		 150.3	0.566	 4	 3	A	
49	Slippery Rock		 147.2	0.563	 3	 4	A	

User avatar
RedFromMI
Posts: 559
Joined: Sat Sep 08, 2018 7:42 pm

Re: KRACH Ratings for Womens DII

Post by RedFromMI » Sun Apr 07, 2019 5:59 pm

For games through today - Sunday, April 7, 2019. DII vs DII only considered. Poll now updated to 4/8 version.

Code: Select all

Rank	School			KRACH	RRWP	W	 L	Region	Poll
1	Le Moyne		8847.8	0.965	11	 0	E	 1 (625)
2	Regis (CO)		5846.1	0.949	11	 0	M	 9 (438)
3	Saint Leo		3367.3	0.922	13	 0	S	21 (157)
4	Adelphi			2908.9	0.914	10	 1	E	 2 (587)
5	Tampa			2752.1	0.910	 9	 2	S	 5T (507)
6	Lindenwood (MO)		2220.9	0.896	12	 0	M	 3 (553)
7	Rollins			2199.1	0.896	10	 1	S	 5T (507)
8	Florida Southern	2179.8	0.895	10	 2	S	 7 (502)
9	LIU Post		1609.8	0.873	10	 2	E	 4 (530)
10	Indianapolis		1499.7	0.867	12	 1	M	12 (348)
11	Limestone		1449.8	0.864	13	 1	S	10 (384)
12	West Chester		1179.2	0.846	 9	 2	A	 8 (452)
13	Bentley			1120.3	0.842	 8	 1	E	19 (195)
14	Queens (NC)		1088.7	0.839	11	 2	S	13 (317)
15	Assumption		1029.8	0.834	 8	 3	E	17 (212)
16	East Stroudsburg	 756.6	0.804	 9	 3	A	11 (361)
17	Mercy			 603.1	0.779	 8	 4	E	14T (274)
18	Colorado Mesa		 554.1	0.769	 9	 3	M	14T (274)
19	Alabama-Huntsville	 456.9	0.747	10	 3	S	
20	New Haven		 442.2	0.743	 7	 4	E	17 (215)
21	Grand Valley State	 436.4	0.741	 8	 3	M	22 (1)
22	Stonehill		 391.6	0.727	 7	 4	E	
23	Seton HIll		 364.8	0.718	 7	 5	A	
24	NYIT			 352.4	0.714	 8	 3	E	24 (44)
25	Lenoir-Rhyne		 328.6	0.705	 8	 5	S	
26	Merrimack		 305.2	0.695	 6	 4	E	18 (196)
27	Mount Olive		 300.6	0.693	 8	 4	S	23 (82)
28	Bloomsburg		 279.6	0.683	 7	 3	A	
29	Georgian Court		 261.8	0.674	 7	 4	A	
30	Embry-Riddle		 261.1	0.674	 7	 5	S	
31	Roberts Wesleyan	 257.2	0.672	 9	 3	E	
32	Young Harris		 248.6	0.667	 7	 5	S	
33	Florida Tech		 238.4	0.661	 5	 7	S	
34	Rockhurst		 210.7	0.644	 7	 5	M	
35	Millersville		 183.8	0.624	 7	 4	A	
36	Indiana (PA)		 177.7	0.619	 5	 5	A	25 (43)
37	Pace			 177.1	0.618	 5	 6	E	20 (161)
38	Tiffin			 175.6	0.617	 7	 5	M	
39	Findlay			 169.3	0.612	 6	 6	M	
40	Slippery Rock		 160.9	0.604	 4	 5	A	
41	McKendree		 159.7	0.603	 7	 6	M	
42	Kutztown		 151.3	0.595	 5	 3	A	
43	Lincoln Memorial	 151.1	0.595	 8	 5	S	
44	Saint Anselm		 150.6	0.594	 6	 4	E	
45	Mercyhurst		 145.3	0.589	 6	 5	A	
46	Concordia-St. Paul	 133.8	0.577	 7	 4	M	
47	CSU-Pueblo		 128.7	0.571	 4	 6	M	
48	Franklin Pierce		 116.0	0.555	 6	 5	E	
49	Catawba			 113.5	0.552	 5	 7	S	
50	Molloy			 109.8	0.547	 8	 6	E	
51	Lake Erie		 109.8	0.547	 5	 4	M	
52	Wheeling Jesuit		 102.2	0.536	 8	 4	M	
53	S. New Hampshire	  99.9	0.532	 4	 7	E	
54	Wingate			  99.1	0.531	 6	 7	S	
55	Bridgeport		  98.1	0.530	 7	 3	E	
56	UVA-Wise		  96.3	0.527	 6	 5	M	
57	Shippensburg		  88.0	0.513	 4	 6	A	
58	Walsh			  80.9	0.500	 5	 3	M	
59	Shepherd		  76.9	0.492	 6	 4	M	
60	Belmont Abbey		  76.3	0.491	 7	 7	S	
61	Davenport		  69.3	0.477	 5	 5	M	
62	Palm Beach Atlantic	  66.2	0.470	 4	 6	S	
63	North Greenville	  65.6	0.468	 8	 5	S	
64	Chestnut Hill		  64.0	0.464	 3	 5	A	
65	Thomas Jefferson	  59.7	0.454	 5	 4	A	
66	Davis & Elkins		  59.5	0.454	 4	 3	M	
67	Colorado-ColSprings	  57.1	0.447	 4	 5	M	
68	Westminster		  55.4	0.443	 2	 6	M	
69	Barton			  50.2	0.428	 8	 5	S	
70	Wilmington		  40.4	0.395	 6	 6	A	
71	Montevallo		  34.7	0.373	 5	 7	S	
72	Lock Haven		  33.3	0.368	 3	 8	A	
73	American International	  27.9	0.342	 3	 9	E	
74	Saint Michael's		  27.4	0.340	 2	 7	E	
75	St. Thomas Aquinas 	  27.4	0.340	 5	 6	E	
76	Notre Dame (OH)		  26.7	0.337	 5	 7	M	
77	Ursuline		  26.3	0.334	 2	 5	M	
78	Shorter			  26.1	0.333	 4	 6	S	
79	Northern Michigan	  25.1	0.328	 2	 7	M	
80	Charleston		  23.5	0.319	 3	 8	M	
81	Gannon			  22.6	0.313	 2	 8	A	
82	Edinboro		  22.4	0.312	 1	10	A	
83	Coker			  21.3	0.306	 5	 6	S	
84	S. Connecticut State	  20.8	0.303	 2	11	E	
85	Lewis			  20.3	0.299	 1	 5	M	
86	Ashland			  19.7	0.295	 3	 6	M	
87	Fort Lewis		  18.2	0.285	 1	 5	M	
88	Nyack			  18.0	0.284	 5	 6	A	
89	Lee			  17.3	0.278	 3	 8	S	
90	Mars Hill		  15.6	0.266	 4	 9	S	
91	Tusculum		  15.6	0.266	 4	 9	S	
92	Dominican (NY)		  13.4	0.247	 2	 6	A	
93	West Va Wesleyan	  12.7	0.240	 2	 7	M	
94	Converse		  10.0	0.213	 4	 6	S	
95	Ohio Valley		   8.6	0.196	 2	 5	M	
96	Newberry		   7.7	0.185	 2	11	S	
97	Caldwell		   6.6	0.170	 1	 9	A	
98	Alderson-Broadus	   6.5	0.169	 1	11	M	
99	Felician		   6.1	0.163	 0	 6	A	
100	Oklahoma Baptist	   6.1	0.162	 1	 5	M	
101	Maryville (MO)		   6.0	0.162	 1	12	M	
102	Queens (NY)		   5.0	0.144	 2	10	E	
103	Post			   4.7	0.140	 2	 8	A	
104	Lees-McRae		   4.7	0.139	 1	 7	S	
105	Erskine			   3.9	0.125	 3	10	S	
106	Adams State		   3.3	0.113	 0	 8	M	
107	Southern Wesleyan	   2.7	0.097	 1	 8	S	
108	Holy Family		   2.3	0.088	 1	 8	A	
109	Chowan			   1.3	0.058	 1	10	S	
110	Univ. of DC		   0.8	0.037	 0	10	E	
111	Emmanuel (GA)		   0.8	0.036	 0	 9	S	
East Region (top eight shown, top four in region selected for NCAA tourney)

Code: Select all

Rank	School			KRACH	RRWP	W	 L	Region	Poll
1	Le Moyne		8847.8	0.965	11	 0	E	 1 (625)
4	Adelphi			2908.9	0.914	10	 1	E	 2 (587)
9	LIU Post		1609.8	0.873	10	 2	E	 4 (530)
13	Bentley			1120.3	0.842	 8	 1	E	19 (195)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
15	Assumption		1029.8	0.834	 8	 3	E	17 (212)
17	Mercy			 603.1	0.779	 8	 4	E	14T (274)
20	New Haven		 442.2	0.743	 7	 4	E	16 (215)
22	Stonehill		 391.6	0.727	 7	 4	E	

Atlantic Region (top eight shown, top four in region selected for NCAA tourney)

Code: Select all

Rank	School			KRACH	RRWP	W	 L	Region	Poll
12	West Chester		1179.2	0.846	 9	 2	A	 8 (452)
16	East Stroudsburg	 756.6	0.804	 9	 3	A	11 (361)
23	Seton HIll		 364.8	0.718	 7	 5	A	
28	Bloomsburg		 279.6	0.683	 7	 3	A	
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
29	Georgian Court		 261.8	0.674	 7	 4	A	
35	Millersville		 183.8	0.624	 7	 4	A	
36	Indiana (PA)		 177.7	0.619	 5	 5	A	25 (43)
40	Slippery Rock		 160.9	0.604	 4	 5	A	

South Region (top eight shown, top four in region selected for NCAA tourney)

Code: Select all

Rank	School			KRACH	RRWP	W	 L	Region	Poll
3	Saint Leo		3367.3	0.922	13	 0	S	21 (157)
5	Tampa			2752.1	0.910	 9	 2	S	 5T (507)
7	Rollins			2199.1	0.896	10	 1	S	 5T (507)
8	Florida Southern	2179.8	0.895	10	 2	S	 7 (502)
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
11	Limestone		1449.8	0.864	13	 1	S	10 (384)
14	Queens (NC)		1088.7	0.839	11	 2	S	13 (317)
19	Alabama-Huntsville	 456.9	0.747	10	 3	S	
25	Lenoir-Rhyne		 328.6	0.705	 8	 5	S	

Midwest Region (top eight shown, top four in region selected for NCAA tourney)

Code: Select all

Rank	School			KRACH	RRWP	W	 L	Region	Poll
2	Regis (CO)		5846.1	0.949	11	 0	M	 9 (438)
6	Lindenwood (MO)		2220.9	0.896	12	 0	M	 3 (553)
10	Indianapolis		1499.7	0.867	12	 1	M	12 (348)
18	Colorado Mesa		 554.1	0.769	 9	 3	M	14T (274)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
21	Grand Valley State	 436.4	0.741	 8	 3	M	22 (104)
34	Rockhurst		 210.7	0.644	 7	 5	M	
38	Tiffin			 175.6	0.617	 7	 5	M	
39	Findlay			 169.3	0.612	 6	 6	M	
Last edited by RedFromMI on Mon Apr 08, 2019 4:22 pm, edited 2 times in total.

User avatar
RedFromMI
Posts: 559
Joined: Sat Sep 08, 2018 7:42 pm

Re: KRACH Ratings for Womens DII

Post by RedFromMI » Sun Apr 07, 2019 10:39 pm

DII Conference Ratings - using average RRWP (round robin winning percentage, estimation of what the win percentage for a team if they played every other DII team once) as a measure of "toughness" of each conference...

Code: Select all

Conference	RRWP avg

Sunshine	0.7754
NE10		0.6432
PSAC		0.5838
RMAC		0.5279
Great Lakes	0.5149
GMAC		0.4832
SAC		0.4717
GSC		0.4287
MEC		0.4085
Carolinas	0.3284
CACC		0.3080
Clear difference between SSC and everyone else, with NE10 and PSAC close behind. Bottom four conferences suffer from too many new teams...

User avatar
RedFromMI
Posts: 559
Joined: Sat Sep 08, 2018 7:42 pm

Re: KRACH Ratings for Womens DII

Post by RedFromMI » Sun Apr 14, 2019 10:54 pm

Games through Sunday, April 14, 2019. Poll will be updated when out tomorrow (Monday). DII vs DII only...

Code: Select all

Rank	School			KRACH	RRWP	W	L	Region	Poll
1	Le Moyne		7796.8	0.964	13	 0	E	 1
2	Regis (CO)		7121.2	0.961	13	 0	M	 9
3	Rollins			4227.8	0.940	12	 1	S	 5T
4	Adelphi			3293.4	0.928	12	 1	E	 2
5	Florida Southern	3126.7	0.925	13	 2	S	 7
6	Tampa			2370.9	0.910	10	 3	S	 5T
7	Queens (NC)		1429.0	0.875	13	 2	S	13
8	Saint Leo		1413.1	0.874	13	 2	S	21
9	Lindenwood (MO)		1396.4	0.873	12	 1	M	 3
10	Indianapolis		1250.9	0.865	13	 1	M	12
11	West Chester		1158.1	0.858	11	 2	A	 8
12	Limestone		 960.6	0.842	14	 2	S	10
13	LIU Post		 940.7	0.840	10	 3	E	 4
14	Assumption		 873.9	0.834	10	 3	E	17
15	East Stroudsburg	 715.6	0.815	11	 3	A	11
16	Mercy			 523.3	0.782	10	 4	E	14T
17	Bentley			 512.9	0.780	 8	 3	E	19
18	NYIT			 480.0	0.773	10	 3	E	24
19	New Haven		 452.9	0.766	 9	 4	E	16
20	Colorado Mesa		 446.4	0.764	10	 3	M	14T
21	Grand Valley State	 395.4	0.750	10	 3	M	22
22	Lenoir-Rhyne		 327.0	0.727	 9	 5	S	
23	Pace			 312.2	0.722	 7	 6	E	20
24	Alabama-Huntsville	 311.9	0.721	11	 3	S	
25	Mount Olive		 299.0	0.716	10	 4	S	23
26	Merrimack		 298.8	0.716	 7	 5	E	18
27	Bloomsburg		 289.1	0.712	 9	 3	A	
28	Roberts Wesleyan	 264.2	0.700	10	 3	E	
29	Embry-Riddle		 257.4	0.697	 8	 5	S	
30	Georgian Court		 239.1	0.687	 9	 4	A	
31	Seton HIll		 234.2	0.685	 7	 6	A	
32	Stonehill		 215.9	0.674	 7	 6	E	
33	Mercyhurst		 199.1	0.663	 8	 5	A	
34	Florida Tech		 182.0	0.650	 6	 8	S	
35	Indiana (PA)		 178.2	0.647	 7	 5	A	25
36	Rockhurst		 164.2	0.636	 7	 5	M	
37	Tiffin			 163.7	0.636	 8	 6	M	
38	Findlay			 148.6	0.622	 7	 7	M	
39	Young Harris		 144.1	0.618	 7	 6	S	
40	Lincoln Memorial	 134.6	0.608	10	 5	S	
41	McKendree		 132.6	0.606	 8 	 6	M	
42	Kutztown		 127.3	0.600	 6	 4	A	
43	Millersville		 120.9	0.592	 7	 6	A	
44	Slippery Rock		 120.3	0.592	 5	 6	A	
45	Catawba			 115.3	0.586	 6	 8	S	
46	Concordia-St. Paul	 103.1	0.569	 8	 4	M	
47	Wingate			  99.1	0.564	 8 	 7	S	
48	Molloy		  	  95.1	0.557	 9	 6	E	
49	Belmont Abbey		  91.2	0.551	 9	 7	S	
50	Saint Anselm		  90.4	0.550	 6	 6	E	
51	Walsh			  88.3	0.547	 7	 3	M	
52	UVA-Wise		  86.4	0.543	 7	 5	M	
53	Shepherd		  74.7	0.522	 8	 4	M	
54	CSU-Pueblo		  74.5	0.522	 4	 7	M	
55	S. New Hampshire	   72.6	0.518	 5	 8	E	
56	Colorado -ColSprings	  68.1	0.508	 5	 5	M	
57	Thomas Jefferson	  66.8	0.506	 7	 4	A	
58	Wheeling Jesuit		  66.1	0.504	 9	 5	M	
59	Shippensburg		  65.1	0.502	 4	 8	A	
60	Bridgeport		  65.0	0.502	 7	 5	E	
61	Lake Erie		  62.8	0.496	 6	 5	M	
62	Franklin Pierce		  60.5	0.491	 6	 6	E	
63	Davenport		  55.1	0.477	 6	 6	M	
64	Westminster		  53.4	0.473	 3	 7	M	
65	Chestnut Hill		  45.5	0.449	 4	 6	A	
66	Palm Beach Atlantic	  44.5	0.446	 4	 8	S	
67	North Greenville	  41.3	0.435	 8	 7	S	
68	Saint Michael's		  34.2	0.408	 3	 8	E	
69	Barton			  32.9	0.402	 8	 6	S	
70	Davis & Elkins		  32.6	0.401	 5	 5	M	
71	Montevallo		  25.4	0.366	 5	 7	S	
72	Lock Haven		  25.0	0.364	 3	10	A	
73	Wilmington		  23.7	0.357	 7	 7	A	
74	St. Thomas Aquinas  	  23.1	0.353	 6	 6	E	
75	Shorter			  20.9	0.340	 5	 6	S	
76	American International	  20.6	0.338	 3	10	E	
77	Notre Dame (OH)		  20.5	0.337	 6	 8	M	
78	Fort Lewis		  18.5	0.323	 2	 5	M	
79	Ashland			  18.1	0.321	 4 	 7	M	
80	Charleston		  16.4	0.308	 3	 9	M	
81	Edinboro		  16.4	0.308	 1	12	A	
82	Coker			  15.5	0.301	 5	 7	S	
83	Gannon			  15.5	0.301	 2	10	A	
84	S. Connecticut State	  15.3	0.299	 2	13	E	
85	Dominican (NY)		  13.4	0.282	 3 	 7	A	
86	Northern Michigan	  12.6	0.274	 2	10	M	
87	Ursuline		  11.8	0.266	 2	 7	M	
88	Mars Hill		  11.3	0.261	 4	 9	S	
89	Lee			  11.0	0.258	 3	10	S	
90	Tusculum		  10.7	0.254	 4	11	S	
91	Caldwell		  10.5	0.253	 3	 9	A	
92	Ohio Valley		  10.3	0.250	 3	 6	M	
93	Nyack			   8.8	0.232	 5	 8	A	
94	West Va Wesleyan	   8.3	0.225	 2	 9	M	
95	Maryville (MO)		   5.7	0.185	 2	12	M	
96	Oklahoma Baptist	   5.4	0.180	 1	 6	M	
97	Lewis			   5.3	0.178	 1	 8	M	
98	Newberry		   5.3	0.178	 2	13	S	
99	Converse		   4.9	0.171	 4	 7	S	
100	Alderson-Broadus	   4.5	0.162	 1	11	M	
101	Southern Wesleyan	   4.4	0.161	 3	 8	S	
102	Queens (NY)		   3.5	0.141	 2	12	E	
103	Post			   3.2	0.134	 2	10	A	
104	Erskine			   3.0	0.128	 3	11	S	
105	Felician		   2.6	0.118	 0	 7	A	
106	Adams State		   2.3	0.109	 0	10	M	
107	Lees-McRae		   2.1	0.101	 1	 9	S	
108	Holy Family		   1.5	0.081	 1	 9	A	
109	Chowan			1.0	0.059	1	10	S	
110	Emmanuel (GA)		0.5	0.036	0	 9	S	
111	Univ. of DC		0.5	0.035	0	12	E	

East Region Preview (top eight, four selected for NCAA tourney)

Code: Select all

Rank	School			KRACH	RRWP	W	L	Region	Poll
1	Le Moyne		7796.8	0.964	13	 0	E	 1
4	Adelphi			3293.4	0.928	12	 1	E	 2
13	LIU Post		 940.7	0.840	10	 3	E	 4
14	Assumption		 873.9	0.834	10	 3	E	17
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
16	Mercy			 523.3	0.782	10	 4	E	14T
17	Bentley			 512.9	0.780	 8	 3	E	19
18	NYIT			 480.0	0.773	10	 3	E	24
19	New Haven		 452.9	0.766	 9	 4	E	16

South Region Preview

Code: Select all

Rank	School			KRACH	RRWP	W	L	Region	Poll
3	Rollins			4227.8	0.940	12	 1	S	 5T
5	Florida Southern	3126.7	0.925	13	 2	S	 7
6	Tampa			2370.9	0.910	10	 3	S	 5T
7	Queens (NC)		1429.0	0.875	13	 2	S	13
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
8	Saint Leo		1413.1	0.874	13	 2	S	21
12	Limestone		 960.6	0.842	14	 2	S	10
22	Lenoir-Rhyne		 327.0	0.727	 9	 5	S	
24	Alabama-Huntsville	 311.9	0.721	11	 3	S	
Atlantic Region Preview

Code: Select all

Rank	School			KRACH	RRWP	W	L	Region	Poll
11	West Chester		1158.1	0.858	11	 2	A	 8
15	East Stroudsburg	 715.6	0.815	11	 3	A	11
27	Bloomsburg		 289.1	0.712	 9	 3	A	
30	Georgian Court		 239.1	0.687	 9	 4	A	
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
31	Seton HIll		 234.2	0.685	 7	 6	A	
33	Mercyhurst		 199.1	0.663	 8	 5	A	
35	Indiana (PA)		 178.2	0.647	 7	 5	A	25
42	Kutztown		 127.3	0.600	 6	 4	A	

Midwest Region Preview

Code: Select all

Rank	School			KRACH	RRWP	W	L	Region	Poll
2	Regis (CO)		7121.2	0.961	13	 0	M	 9
9	Lindenwood (MO)		1396.4	0.873	12	 1	M	 3
10	Indianapolis		1250.9	0.865	13	 1	M	12
20	Colorado Mesa		 446.4	0.764	10	 3	M	14T
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
21	Grand Valley State	 395.4	0.750	10	 3	M	22
36	Rockhurst		 164.2	0.636	 7	 5	M	
37	Tiffin			 163.7	0.636	 8	 6	M	
38	Findlay			 148.6	0.622	 7	 7	M	
41	McKendree		 132.6	0.606	 8 	 6	M	

laxdad
Posts: 3
Joined: Wed Feb 13, 2019 8:22 pm

Re: KRACH Ratings for Womens DII

Post by laxdad » Mon Apr 15, 2019 6:23 pm

Thanks for all of the time and thought that goes into these posts. What do you guys think needs to happen to move the number 5 team in each region into the NCAA tourney and knock one of the others out? Thanks

User avatar
RedFromMI
Posts: 559
Joined: Sat Sep 08, 2018 7:42 pm

Re: KRACH Ratings for Womens DII

Post by RedFromMI » Mon Apr 15, 2019 6:42 pm

A lot depends on the region...

And we will get some real information Wednesday afternoon when the first regional ranking is released.

But just looking at W-L records - in the East I would say that the bottom pair of teams are fluid at this point - my ratings do not completely mirror the multiple criteria that the NCAA actually uses. In particular SOS measures are completely different. Either LIU Post or Assumption could drop down if they take another loss or two...

In the South, I expect Saint Leo to gather more losses - and remove themselves from the picture. If they did win out, however, they would probably get a spot. Queens losing to Mount Olive could move them out of the top four as Limestone has beaten Mount Olive, and then also would one fewer loss (assuming they don't lose to Mount Olive in the Conference Carolinas tournament...

In the Atlantic region - I think East Stroudsburg and West Chester are safe. The others depend on future games too much.

Midwest - I think the top 3 are set, with only the last spot open...between Mesa and GVSU.

We shall see on Wednesday how close my predictions are for now...

laxdad
Posts: 3
Joined: Wed Feb 13, 2019 8:22 pm

Re: KRACH Ratings for Womens DII

Post by laxdad » Mon Apr 15, 2019 7:57 pm

RedFromMI wrote:
Mon Apr 15, 2019 6:42 pm
A lot depends on the region...

And we will get some real information Wednesday afternoon when the first regional ranking is released.

Is the regional rankings posted by the NCAA?

But just looking at W-L records - in the East I would say that the bottom pair of teams are fluid at this point - my ratings do not completely mirror the multiple criteria that the NCAA actually uses. In particular SOS measures are completely different. Either LIU Post or Assumption could drop down if they take another loss or two...

In the South, I expect Saint Leo to gather more losses - and remove themselves from the picture. If they did win out, however, they would probably get a spot. Queens losing to Mount Olive could move them out of the top four as Limestone has beaten Mount Olive, and then also would one fewer loss (assuming they don't lose to Mount Olive in the Conference Carolinas tournament...

You mention St Leo winning out. Is that just their last two games against Tampa and FIT, or will they need to win a game or two in conference tourney?

In the Atlantic region - I think East Stroudsburg and West Chester are safe. The others depend on future games too much.

Midwest - I think the top 3 are set, with only the last spot open...between Mesa and GVSU.

You mention SOS. Lindenwood has a very weak SOS. How much does NCAA take that into consideration?

We shall see on Wednesday how close my predictions are for now...

Should be an exciting finish


peanutgallery
Posts: 11
Joined: Sat Jan 12, 2019 6:47 pm

Re: KRACH Ratings for Womens DII

Post by peanutgallery » Mon Apr 15, 2019 8:16 pm

RedFromMI wrote:
Mon Apr 15, 2019 6:42 pm
A lot depends on the region...
Agreed...

And we will get some real information Wednesday afternoon when the first regional ranking is released.

But just looking at W-L records - in the East I would say that the bottom pair of teams are fluid at this point - my ratings do not completely mirror the multiple criteria that the NCAA actually uses. In particular SOS measures are completely different. Either LIU Post or Assumption could drop down if they take another loss or two...
Bentley has the better opportunity....beat Merrimack and LIU Post and I think they make it in. Assumption would need to go to the finals of their tournament to beef up their resume

In the South, I expect Saint Leo to gather more losses - and remove themselves from the picture. If they did win out, however, they would probably get a spot. Queens losing to Mount Olive could move them out of the top four as Limestone has beaten Mount Olive, and then also would one fewer loss (assuming they don't lose to Mount Olive in the Conference Carolinas tournament...
For St.Leo...they would need a win over Tampa and at least one win in their tournament. Even with that, I would think you would need both Limestone and Queens to get bounced in the first round of their Tournament. For Limestone, I think a Queens loss to Mount Olive and Limestone subsequently beating them in the tournament would give them a shot

In the Atlantic region - I think East Stroudsburg and West Chester are safe. The others depend on future games too much.
I think ( I don't agree with it...) that Georgian Court failing an all out collapse will get one slot for not being in the PSAC. Thus,
Seton Hill would need to win out and win a game in the conference tournament. Even then, Bloomsburg would need to lose to East Stroudsburg and West Chester. An additional loss to IUP would really prop up Seton Hill. Mercyhurst would need to beat East Stroudsburg and probably win the PSAC tournament. I think they have some questionable losses. IUP to me has a better shot than Mercyhurst


Midwest - I think the top 3 are set, with only the last spot open...between Mesa and GVSU.
GVSU would need to win the GLIAC and beat Indianapolis. Nonetheless, I am not sure it would be enough

We shall see on Wednesday how close my predictions are for now...

leeatu
Posts: 21
Joined: Wed Aug 29, 2018 4:44 pm

Re: KRACH Ratings for Womens DII

Post by leeatu » Mon Apr 15, 2019 10:44 pm

laxdad wrote:
Mon Apr 15, 2019 7:57 pm
Is the regional rankings posted by the NCAA?
Yes. Go to the NCAA D2 Women's Lacrosse (or any D2 sport) page and click [Rankings], then select [Regional Rankings] in the rankings dropdown menu.

User avatar
RedFromMI
Posts: 559
Joined: Sat Sep 08, 2018 7:42 pm

Re: KRACH Ratings for Womens DII

Post by RedFromMI » Tue Apr 16, 2019 8:45 am

leeatu wrote:
Mon Apr 15, 2019 10:44 pm
laxdad wrote:
Mon Apr 15, 2019 7:57 pm
Is the regional rankings posted by the NCAA?
Yes. Go to the NCAA D2 Women's Lacrosse (or any D2 sport) page and click [Rankings], then select [Regional Rankings] in the rankings dropdown menu.
Even better - at the bottom of the ranking page (D2 only) there should be links to the raw data used for the calculations (such as W-L %, SOS, etc.) - with the exception of any head-to-head data. That will be for every school in each region (data segregated by region)...


User avatar
RedFromMI
Posts: 559
Joined: Sat Sep 08, 2018 7:42 pm

Re: KRACH Ratings for Womens DII

Post by RedFromMI » Tue Apr 16, 2019 5:25 pm

Thanks for posting the link - if you follow it today (Tuesday April 16) or first part of the day tomorrow, it is the last published one from 2018. But the new one should go live sometime tomorrow afternoon...

User avatar
RedFromMI
Posts: 559
Joined: Sat Sep 08, 2018 7:42 pm

Re: KRACH Ratings for Womens DII

Post by RedFromMI » Sat Apr 20, 2019 10:08 pm

Games through Saturday April 20 (no games tomorrow on Easter), DII vs. DII only

Code: Select all

Rank	School			KRACH	RRWP	W	L	Region	Poll
 1	Le Moyne		14348.5	0.966	15	 0	E	 1(25)
 2	Regis (CO)		13287.0	0.964	15	 0	M	 4
 3	Rollins			 7503.4	0.943	13	 1	S	 3
 4	Adelphi			 5337.7	0.927	14	 1	E	 2
 5	Florida Southern	 5227.4	0.926	14	 2	S	 5
 6	Tampa			 5005.6	0.924	12	 3	S	 6
 7	Queens (NC)		 2810.0	0.889	15	 2	S	10
 8	Lindenwood (MO)		 2707.6	0.886	15	 1	M	 8
 9	Indianapolis		 2201.0	0.871	15	 1	M	12
10	West Chester		 2134.1	0.869	13	 2	A	 7
11	LIU Post		 2022.7	0.865	12	 3	E	 9
12	Limestone		 1732.8	0.852	15	 2	S	13
13	Saint Leo		 1298.5	0.827	13	 4	S	22
14	Assumption		  964.7	0.798	11	 4	E	17
15	East Stroudsburg	  934.7	0.795	12	 4	A	11
16	Mercy			  848.8	0.785	12	 4	E	14
17	Bentley			  762.8	0.773	 9	 5	E	21
18	Colorado Mesa		  760.4	0.773	11	 3	M	15
19	NYIT			  748.0	0.771	12	 3	E	20
20	New Haven		  681.3	0.760	10	 5	E	16
21	Grand Valley State	  663.5	0.757	11	 3	M	23
22	Pace			  652.6	0.755	 9	 6	E	19
23	Lenoir-Rhyne		  553.9	0.736	11	 5	S	
24	Alabama-Huntsville	  520.1	0.729	13	 3	S	
25	Mercyhurst		  477.6	0.718	10	 5	A	
26	Florida Tech		  433.6	0.706	 7	 8	S	
27	Mount Olive		  430.0	0.705	11	 5	S	24
28	Seton HIll		  409.4	0.699	 9	 6	A	
29	Embry-Riddle		  396.6	0.695	 8	 7	S	
30	Merrimack		  390.0	0.693	 7	 6	E	18
31	Georgian Court		  362.1	0.683	10	 5	A	
32	Indiana (PA)		  360.0	0.682	 9	 5	A	25
33	Bloomsburg		  358.3	0.682	 9	 5	A	
34	Tiffin			  321.5	0.667	 9	 6	M	
35	Roberts Wesleyan	  301.3	0.658	10	 4	E	
36	Rockhurst		  242.5	0.629	 8	 6	M	
37	Young Harris		  230.2	0.621	 8	 6	S	
38	Stonehill		  228.8	0.621	 7	 8	E	
39	Millersville		  224.6	0.618	 9	 6	A	
40	Lincoln Memorial	  218.0	0.614	10	 5	S	
41	McKendree		  210.2	0.609	 8	 6	M	
42	Findlay			  205.9	0.606	 7	 8	M	
43	Catawba			  193.6	0.597	 8	 8	S	
44	Molloy			  189.6	0.594	10	 6	E	
45	Slippery Rock		  183.4	0.589	 5	 7	A	
46	Concordia-St. Paul	  171.5	0.580	 9	 5	M	
47	Saint Anselm		  163.9	0.573	 7	 7	E	
48	Wingate			  158.0	0.568	 8	 8	S	
49	Belmont Abbey		  148.7	0.559	10	 7	S	
50	Walsh			  147.4	0.558	 8	 3	M	
51	UVA-Wise		  143.2	0.554	 8	 5	M	
52	Kutztown		  142.5	0.553	 6	 6	A	
53	Shepherd		  114.7	0.522	 9	 4	M	
54	CSU-Pueblo		  114.2	0.521	 4	 7	M	
55	Thomas Jefferson	  106.9	0.511	 8	 4	A	
56	Wheeling Jesuit		  106.0	0.510	10	 5	M	
57	Colorado -ColSprings	  100.5	0.502	 5	 7	M	
58	S. New Hampshire	   97.3	0.498	 5	 9	E	
59	Bridgeport		   93.8	0.492	 8	 6	E	
60	Lake Erie		   82.1	0.473	 7	 6	M	
61	Franklin Pierce		   81.1	0.471	 6	 8	E	
62	Shippensburg		   77.1	0.464	 4	10	A	
63	Westminster		   76.1	0.462	 3	 8	M	
64	Davenport		   73.9	0.458	 7	 7	M	
65	Palm Beach Atlantic	   69.0	0.448	 4	 9	S	
66	North Greenville	   67.1	0.444	 8	 7	S	
67	Barton			   53.7	0.412	 8	 6	S	
68	Edinboro		   53.4	0.411	 3	12	A	
69	Davis & Elkins		   51.7	0.406	 6	 5	M	
70	Chestnut Hill		   42.1	0.378	 4	 7	A	
71	St. Thomas Aquinas	   38.7	0.366	 7	 7	E	
72	American International	   36.8	0.359	 4	11	E	
73	Montevallo		   36.2	0.357	 5	 8	S	
74	Lock Haven		   35.9	0.356	 3	12	A	
75	Wilmington		   35.0	0.353	 7	 8	A	
76	Northern Michigan	   34.4	0.350	 4	11	M	
77	Shorter			   29.4	0.329	 5	 7	S	
78	Notre Dame (OH)		   27.3	0.319	 6	 9	M	
79	Fort Lewis		   27.3	0.319	 2	 6	M	
80	Charleston		   25.0	0.308	 4	10	M	
81	Saint Michael's		   24.9	0.307	 3	10	E	
82	Coker			   24.6	0.305	 5	 8	S	
83	Gannon			   23.2	0.298	 2	12	A	
84	S. Connecticut State	   21.7	0.289	 2	13	E	
85	Ashland			   20.8	0.284	 4	 9	M	
86	Mars Hill		   18.8	0.271	 5	10	S	
87	Dominican (NY)		   17.8	0.265	 4	 8	A	
88	Caldwell		   17.2	0.261	 4	 9	A	
89	Tusculum		   16.6	0.256	 4	12	S	
90	Lee			   16.4	0.255	 3	11	S	
91	Ursuline		   15.5	0.248	 2 	 8	M	
92	Ohio Valley		   14.5	0.241	 3	 7	M	
93	Nyack			   13.0	0.228	 5	 9	A	
94	Southern Wesleyan	    9.8	0.197	 4	 9	S	
95	West Va Wesleyan	    9.8	0.197	 2	11	M	
96	Maryville (MO)		    8.4	0.181	 2	12	M	
97	Converse		    8.3	0.181	 4	 8	S	
98	Oklahoma Baptist	    7.7	0.173	 1	 7	M	
99	Lewis			    7.6	0.171	 1	10	M	
100	Newberry		    7.5	0.170	 3	14	S	
101	Holy Family		    6.6	0.158	 3	 9	A	
102	Queens (NY)		    5.9	0.148	 2	14	E	
103	Alderson-Broadus	    5.8	0.147	 1	12	M	
104	Post			    5.0	0.133	 2	11	A	
105	Erskine			    4.0	0.115	 3	12	S	
106	Adams State		    3.4	0.103	 0	11	M	
107	Lees-McRae		    3.3	0.102	 2	10	S	
108	Emmanuel (GA)		    2.0	0.072	 1	10	S	
109	Felician		    2.0	0.070	 0	 9	A	
110	Chowan			    1.6	0.060	 1	12	S	
111	Univ. of DC		    1.1	0.042	 0	13	E	
East Region list (4 from each region into NCAA tourney):

Code: Select all

Rank	School			KRACH	RRWP	W	L	Region	Poll
 1	Le Moyne		14348.5	0.966	15	 0	E	 1(25)
 4	Adelphi			 5337.7	0.927	14	 1	E	 2
11	LIU Post		 2022.7	0.865	12	 3	E	 9
14	Assumption		  964.7	0.798	11	 4	E	17
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
16	Mercy			  848.8	0.785	12	 4	E	14
17	Bentley			  762.8	0.773	 9	 5	E	21
19	NYIT			  748.0	0.771	12	 3	E	20
20	New Haven		  681.3	0.760	10	 5	E	16
Atlantic Region list (4 from each region into NCAA tourney):

Code: Select all

Rank	School			KRACH	RRWP	W	L	Region	Poll
10	West Chester		 2134.1	0.869	13	 2	A	 7
15	East Stroudsburg	  934.7	0.795	12	 4	A	11
25	Mercyhurst		  477.6	0.718	10	 5	A	
28	Seton HIll		  409.4	0.699	 9	 6	A	
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
31	Georgian Court		  362.1	0.683	10	 5	A	
32	Indiana (PA)		  360.0	0.682	 9	 5	A	25
33	Bloomsburg		  358.3	0.682	 9	 5	A	
39	Millersville		  224.6	0.618	 9	 6	A	
Midwest Region list (4 from each region into NCAA tourney):

Code: Select all

Rank	School			KRACH	RRWP	W	L	Region	Poll
 2	Regis (CO)		13287.0	0.964	15	 0	M	 4
 8	Lindenwood (MO)		 2707.6	0.886	15	 1	M	 8
 9	Indianapolis		 2201.0	0.871	15	 1	M	12
18	Colorado Mesa		  760.4	0.773	11	 3	M	15
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
21	Grand Valley State	  663.5	0.757	11	 3	M	23
34	Tiffin			  321.5	0.667	 9	 6	M	
36	Rockhurst		  242.5	0.629	 8	 6	M	
41	McKendree		  210.2	0.609	 8	 6	M
South Region list (4 from each region into NCAA tourney):

Code: Select all

Rank	School			KRACH	RRWP	W	L	Region	Poll
 3	Rollins			 7503.4	0.943	13	 1	S	 3
 5	Florida Southern	 5227.4	0.926	14	 2	S	 5
 6	Tampa			 5005.6	0.924	12	 3	S	 6
 7	Queens (NC)		 2810.0	0.889	15	 2	S	10
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
12	Limestone		 1732.8	0.852	15	 2	S	13
13	Saint Leo		 1298.5	0.827	13	 4	S	22
23	Lenoir-Rhyne		  553.9	0.736	11	 5	S	
24	Alabama-Huntsville	  520.1	0.729	13	 3	S	

Post Reply

Return to “D2 WOMENS LACROSSE”