2019 Patriot League

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Nigel
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2019 Patriot League

Post by Nigel » Sat Mar 02, 2019 10:04 pm

2019 PATRIOT LEAGUE WOMEN'S LACROSSE PREVIEW

LOYOLA MARYLAND GREYHOUNDS
2018 Record: 16-5 overall, 9-0 Patriot League
(Patriot League runner-up; advanced to NCAA Second Round)
Head Coach: Jen Adams
Notable: The Greyhounds were the Patriot League runner-up for the second consecutive season and advanced to the NCAA Tournament Second Round, with the 2019 squad promising to be even stronger. Sophomore attacker Livy Rosenzweig, the preseason offensive player of the year, returns after becoming the first Greyhound in program history to eclipse 100 points in a single season and will be part of an explosive attack that includes three-time all-League senior Hannah Powers (48 goals, 30 assists, 78 points). Two-time all-League midfielder Taylor VanThof (49 goals, 119 draw controls) has excelled on both ends of the field with a defense that will be anchored by preseason defensive player of the year and three-time all-League defender Kristen Yanchoris (25 ground balls, 19 caused turnovers) and all-League senior goalkeeper Kady Glynn (10.85 goals against average).


NAVY MIDSHIPMEN
2018 Record: 18-4 overall, 8-1 Patriot League
(’18 Patriot League Champion; advanced to NCAA Quarterfinals)
Head Coach: Cindy Timchal
Notable: Timchal’s Mids have won back-to-back Patriot League Championships and advanced to the NCAA Quarterfinals last season, but graduated two 100-point scorers and three of their top five points leaders. Navy does welcome back two-time all-League junior attacker Kelly Larkin (62 g, 55 a, 117 p) whose 117 points was the third-highest single-season total in Patriot League history and fourth in NCAA DI last season. Two-time all-League senior midfielder Andie O’Sullivan is also returning after totaling 25 goals and 20 assists for 45 points last season. Second Team All-Patriot League senior defender Marie Valenti (49 gb, 33 ct) will anchor a defense that lost all-League defender Blake Smith and goalkeeper Ingrid Boyum.


LEHIGH MOUNTAIN HAWKS
2018 Record: 13-6 overall, 7-2 Patriot League
Head Coach: Jill Redfern
Notable: Junior all-League midfielder Sondra Dickey established herself as one of the Patriot League’s most dynamic players, finishing among the League leaders in goals per game (2.84), points per game (4.00), draw controls per game (4.26) and ground balls per game (1.78). She is joined by fellow all-League selection senior attacker Courtney Henig (19 g, 24 a, 43 p) and senior attacker Kellie Gough (31 g, 8 a, 39 p), who scored the Mountain Hawks overtime game-winner in the Patriot League Tournament quarterfinal game against Holy Cross last season. Sophomore goalkeeper Samantha Sagi returns after a strong rookie campaign that saw her post a 10.80 goals against average and made 167 saves in 19 games played.


BOSTON UNIVERSITY TERRIERS
2018 Record: 10-8 overall, 5-4 Patriot League
Head Coach: Lauren Morton
Notable: First-year head coach Lauren Morton begins her tenure at the helm of a Boston University program where she starred as a student-athlete. Her Terrier program returns points leader and two-time all-League junior attacker Kailey Conry (27 g, 42 a, 69 p) and all-League senior defender Tonianne Magnelli (35 gb, 29 ct. 50 dc). Senior midfielder Katie Belval (16 g, 11 a, 81 dc), an all-League selection in 2018, along with senior midfielder Kelly Mathews (13 g, 6 a, 19 p, 18 gb) and junior midfielder Lexi Lewis (22 g, 25 gb, 23 dc) are also back for the Terriers.


COLGATE RAIDERS
2018 Record: 10-7 overall, 5-4 Patriot League
Head Coach: Heather Young
Notable: Senior defender Madeline Barcia (42 gb, 19 ct), an all-League honoree, will anchor the defensive unit in front of junior goalkeeper Samantha Croston, who finished among the League leaders with a .489 save percentage and 10.58 goals against average. Sophomore attacker Danielle VanCalcar is the squad’s returning points leader (22 g, 19 a, 41 p) and junior attack Payton Gabriel scored 31 goals last season, best among returning players, will be tasked with replacing the production of four-time first-team all-League midfielder Haley O’Hanlon.


ARMY WEST POINT BLACK KNIGHTS
2018 Record: 10-7 overall, 4-5 Patriot League
Head Coach: Kristen Skiera
Notable: The Black Knights’ 2018 squad improved by three games in League play and five games overall to push Boston University for the final Patriot League tournament spot in the program’s third season of play. Skiera’s squad is poised to take another step forward in 2019. Sophomore attacker Jackie Brattan scored 24 goals and had 46 draw controls during her rookie season and earned preseason all-League honors. Junior midfielder Samantha Stewart (24 g, 10 gb, 47 dc) earned all-League honors last season and senior midfielder Manuela Cortes (24 g) also returns to bolster the offense. Senior defender Nia Crump (13 gb, 8 ct) and sophomore defender Lauren Bredenburg (31 gb, 21 ct) are back after starting all 17 games last season along with junior goalkeeper Maddie Burns (10.65 gaa, 126 saves).


HOLY CROSS CRUSADERS
2018 Record: 6-12 overall, 4-5 Patriot League
Head Coach: Amanda Belichick
Notable: All-League senior attacker Keely Connors (37 g, 2 a, 39 p, 93 dc) returns after pushing Lehigh to overtime in last season’s Patriot League Quarterfinals with a two-goal, 14-draw control performance. She finished second in the League in draw controls per game (5.17) and free-position goals (18) for a Crusaders’ squad that returns seven of its top eight scorers from 2018, including senior attacker Baker Earl (27 g, 4 a, 31 p) and junior midfielder Brynn Carroll (20 g, 8 a, 28 p, 21 gb). Junior midfielder Audrey Mandaro led the League with 35 caused turnovers while picking up 32 ground balls.


LAFAYETTE LEOPARDS
2018 Record: 5-12 overall, 2-7 Patriot League
Head Coach: Alison Fisher
Notable: Five of the Leopards’ top six scorers are back including senior attack Jane Kirby, who finished third in the League in goals per game (3.18) last season. Senior attack Emma Novick tallied 43 goals last season while sophomore attack Anna Stein totaled 25 assists, both finishing among the League leaders in their respective categories. Senior midfielder Hannah Davey (26 g, 35 gb, 72 dc) and senior defender Amelia Heisler (22 gb, 19 ct) both return for Lafayette.


BUCKNELL BISON
2018 Record: 3-13 overall, 1-8 Patriot League
Head Coach: Remington Steele
Notable: All-League senior goalkeeper Jamisen DeWitt is back after leading the Patriot League in saves per game (10.75) with senior defender Callie DeWitt (27 gb, 17 ct) and junior defender Jessie Britton (34 gb, 20 ct) also back on the defensive side of the field. On offense, sophomore attacker Eve Calabria (19 g, 14 a, 33 p) led the Bison in points during her rookie campaign and will be joined on at attack by senior Audrey Walsh (14 g, 3 a, 17 p). Junior midfielder Morgan Steinhacker finished second on the team with 18 goals and had a team-leading 47 draw controls.


AMERICAN EAGLES
2018 Record: 3-14 overall, 0-9 Patriot League
Head Coach: Jenna Petrucelli
Notable: First-year head coach Jenna Petrucelli welcomes back the Eagles’ two leading scorers with junior attacker Erica Skowron (15 g, 25 a, 40 p) and sophomore midfielder Emma Vinall (35 g, 22 gb, 40 dc) returning. The offense will also receive a boost from senior attacker Leah Brennan (22 g, 3 a, 25 p), who also led American with 60 draw controls in 2018. Sophomore midfielder Kendall Goldblum (12 g, 24 gb, 12 ct, 29 dc) and sophomore defender Cate Golden (13 gb, 5 ct) are both back in front of senior goalkeeper Fiona Geier (133 saves), a three-year starter in the cage.
If we need that extra push over the cliff, ya know what we do...eleven, exactly.

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Dr. Tact
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Re: 2019 Patriot League

Post by Dr. Tact » Sat Mar 02, 2019 10:22 pm

Nigel:

Well done....I have a fondness for the Hounds...I am not sure how good they are yet with their up/down record so far.

Mids have snuck (sneaked) back for two wins, so same thing applies....Something tells me that no matter if Cindy has 45 players, they will miss the Collins' this year. Kelly L is a great player, but the Navy attack options went down by 2 big time and I haven't watched a game to know if there is someone to fill either hole. Without the 5 Offensive options from last year (2 big ones - Collins), Larkin, O'Sullivan, Harris, etc. may come short of recent success.

Realistically, all the other teams are looking up at those two, waiting for them to crack....

Army is kickin A** right now at 6-0....Good on ya! Hope it continues!

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wlaxnut
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Re: 2019 Patriot League

Post by wlaxnut » Sun Mar 03, 2019 7:36 am

Wow, Nigel. Ton of work went into this post. And for fans of the Patriot League, there is outstanding coverage for live streams and game replays on the Patriot League Network on Stadium. They pretty much cover all the teams. They still have complete games on demand from last year! Who knows how far back they go.

https://watchstadium.com/network/patrio ... e-network/

I loved Jenna and Julia Collins for Navy. They were very special players. Navy won't make much noise this year with those two gone. Cindy Timchal is a fabulous coach but you can only go so far if you don't have deep talent. I think Navy could have challenged for it all last year if the refs weren't influenced by Floppsy Whittle vs Maryland.

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Dr. Tact
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Re: 2019 Patriot League

Post by Dr. Tact » Sun Mar 03, 2019 8:41 am

wlaxnut wrote:
Sun Mar 03, 2019 7:36 am
I loved Jenna and Julia Collins for Navy. They were very special players. Navy won't make much noise this year with those two gone. Cindy Timchal is a fabulous coach but you can only go so far if you don't have deep talent.
Well, that's the rub. J/J never came out of the game and the bench, while longer than most D1 schools, was very short on playing time - even against the bottom of the PL. So, we just dont know what talent was hiding on that bench behind the twins....With that hard, competitive school and program, they develop fiercely dedicated Student athletes....I wouldn't be surprised that if you watch all the Navy games this year, you will find an emerging star or two....Are they ready this year? ;) They have shown resiliency to come back twice which will help them come May. I hope this is the year that the Hounds take them at the end, even if it comes to losing during the regular season (like last year for the Mids).

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Re: 2019 Patriot League

Post by Nigel » Sun Mar 03, 2019 2:44 pm

wlaxnut wrote:
Sun Mar 03, 2019 7:36 am
Wow, Nigel. Ton of work went into this post.
Somebody at the Patriot League site did the preview work. My small role was simply cut & paste. Agree, PL on Stadium is a real plus. Also agree with you Dr Tact - Navy & Loyola clearly at the top while everybody else is chasing the remaining 4 league playoff spots.
If we need that extra push over the cliff, ya know what we do...eleven, exactly.

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Re: 2019 Patriot League

Post by Nigel » Sun Mar 03, 2019 11:40 pm

Army sitting at 6-0 after a big comeback win over Monmouth. Looks like they played 'make it, take it' in the second half. Draws were 16-1 and the hole they dug out of was 8-14 with about eleven minutes left. Two 'precision strikes' in the last minute got the Black Knights the victory. Seven YCs issued on the day.

Army just missed making the league playoffs last year but they seem serious about making it this year. Next up is VCU.
If we need that extra push over the cliff, ya know what we do...eleven, exactly.

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Re: 2019 Patriot League

Post by Nigel » Fri Mar 22, 2019 11:39 pm

Patriot League play Week 2 is on deck.

Lehigh has another tough assignment after getting rudely upended by BU last weekend at home. They visit Loyola who rolled over Army. Last week the Hawks had a 6-4 lead late in the first half and then collapsed to go deep into a 12-6 hole after 12m of play in the second half. Looks like BU played a bit of make it, take it.

Hard to say a game in week two is a must win but Colgate is taking on water very fast. They're at Holy Cross and come into the game losing five in a row. Last week Navy feasted on their defensive confusion and throttled the Raiders in the second half. In fact Colgate has given up double digit goals in four straight and their second half play has not been good. They lost some good talent from last year, and their best player, but the last minute coaching resignation in January has created a bit of a quagmire there with the remaining (and very new) coaching staff. Seems likely coaches/players are not on the same page. Simply fact is they REALLY need to win this game to get a morale boost.

IMO - Army probably gets right at American's expense, Navy should have little issue with Bucknell, and Lafayette can't keep up with BU.

Tune in to PLN for action.
Last edited by Nigel on Sat Mar 23, 2019 10:44 pm, edited 1 time in total.
If we need that extra push over the cliff, ya know what we do...eleven, exactly.

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Dr. Tact
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Re: 2019 Patriot League

Post by Dr. Tact » Sat Mar 23, 2019 7:15 am

Nigel wrote:
Fri Mar 22, 2019 11:39 pm
Patriot League play Week 2 is on deck.

Lehigh has another tough assignment after getting rudely upended by BU last weekend at home. They visit Loyola who rolled over Army. Last week the Hawks had a 6-4 lead late in the first half and then collapsed to go deep into a 12-6 hole after 12m of play in the second half. Looks like BU played a bit of make it, take it.

Hard to say a game in week two is a must win but Colgate is taking on water very fast. They're at Holy Cross and come into the game losing five in a row. Last week Navy feasted on their defensive confusion and throttled the Raiders in the second half. In fact Colgate has given up double digit goals in four straight and their second half play has not been good. They lost some good talent from last year, and their best player, but the last minute coaching resignation in January has created a bit of a quagmire there with the remaining (and very new) coaching staff. Seems likely coaches/players are not on the same page. Simply fact is they REALLY need to win this game to get a moral boost.

IMO - Army probably gets right at American's expense, Navy should have little issue with Bucknell, and Lafayette can't keep up with BU.

Tune in to PLN for action.
Colgate
Loyola
Army
Navy
BU

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Nigel
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Re: 2019 Patriot League

Post by Nigel » Wed Mar 27, 2019 4:09 pm

Big Wednesday action in the PL

Holy Cross Army West Point 3 p.m. West Point, N.Y.
Loyola American 4 p.m. Washington, D.C.
Colgate Boston University 5 p.m. Boston, Mass.
Navy Lehigh 5 p.m. Bethlehem, Pa.
Lafayette Bucknell 7 p.m. Lewisburg, Pa.

Very big wins last week for Colgate and American setting up quite a showdown for Holy Cross and Army. Big hole to get out of if Army goes 0-3 in the league. BU seems to be adjusting very well to their new coach and I'd expect them to have the upper hand today at home. Lehigh has another very difficult opponent today in Navy, and most likely will be 0-3 in the league afterwards, so the coaching staff will need to sell the 'run the table' spiel. It's not an impossible task. Loyola should cruise past American (tough way to follow up a big win) while Lafayette v Bucknell could go either way. The Leopards are hoping to avoid their fifth straight loss so maybe they're due.
If we need that extra push over the cliff, ya know what we do...eleven, exactly.

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Re: 2019 Patriot League

Post by Nigel » Sat Mar 30, 2019 12:55 am

Finally going to get some warm temps across the PL trow! Boo yah!

Navy should sail thru it's game with Holy Cross. They've put in 17+ goals in their last 4 games.

American traveling to Lafayette is interesting just to see if American is truly trending up while Lafayette could see any hopes of making the playoffs vanish with another loss and remaining games against Navy/Loyola/BU.

Lehigh hosts Army and they're staring at 0-4 in league play should they lose. Army had a nice bounce-back win after losing to American. The Hawks really, really need to turn their season around or they're in a world of hurt. This should be a knock-down, drag-out for each.

Bucknell is showing improvement from last year and have two OT wins under their belt. They head to Colgate trow. The Raiders completely fell apart for about 20+ minutes against BU on Wed and were pretty much beaten before the first half time ran out. While their offense is showing some signs of life, their entire team defense has been porous and under too much pressure due to poor, mostly short, possessions at the other end of the field. Both teams are strong in the cage, but the team that stays more focused (and plays smarter ball) will win this game.

BU v Loyola in Baltimore could either be an announcement by BU that they're knocking on the door or a reminder from the Hounds that they're the big sister, while BU is still the little sister. Both teams are 3-0 in league play and both appear headed for the league playoffs. BU has quite a bit of speed and play at a fast, full field pace. Loyola has strength of schedule and a winning pedigree. This game should be a good test for each team and I think BU will give Loyola quite a game but don't expect them to get the upset.

Dr Tact - anything?
If we need that extra push over the cliff, ya know what we do...eleven, exactly.

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wlaxnut
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Re: 2019 Patriot League

Post by wlaxnut » Sat Mar 30, 2019 4:46 am

Patriot League fans must love life when it comes to broadcast coverage. I haven’t done a thorough search but I’m pretty sure all the games mentioned in Nigel‘s post are broadcast on Patriot League Network on Stadium. Pretty cool.

https://www.uslaxmagazine.com/media/tv-listings

=====================================

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Re: 2019 Patriot League

Post by seacoaster » Sat Mar 30, 2019 6:12 am

Games at/Webcasts from Ridley are always well done. Here is the Loyola-BU link for Sunday:

https://watchstadium.com/network/patrio ... rk/165175/

Doc, you out there??

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Re: 2019 Patriot League

Post by Dr. Tact » Sat Mar 30, 2019 12:07 pm

seacoaster wrote:
Sat Mar 30, 2019 6:12 am
Games at/Webcasts from Ridley are always well done. Here is the Loyola-BU link for Sunday:

https://watchstadium.com/network/patrio ... rk/165175/

Doc, you out there??
Yes, but approx 3000 miles from Ridley right now.... Will have to watch online.

Lauren Morton is a good young coach that is doing very well at BU.

Based on the recent performance of the Hounds at AU, I would be very concerned on Sunday. That said, they have played well on the hill.... I could see a close nail biter, but then, if the Hounds play their better/best game, they could win by 5-7.

Hopefully loyola is not looking past to Navy/Princeton as BU is eager for a big win and the Hounds would be that.

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Re: 2019 Patriot League

Post by Dr. Tact » Sun Mar 31, 2019 4:31 pm

Dr. Tact wrote:
Sat Mar 30, 2019 12:07 pm
seacoaster wrote:
Sat Mar 30, 2019 6:12 am
Games at/Webcasts from Ridley are always well done. Here is the Loyola-BU link for Sunday:

https://watchstadium.com/network/patrio ... rk/165175/

Doc, you out there??
Yes, but approx 3000 miles from Ridley right now.... Will have to watch online.

Lauren Morton is a good young coach that is doing very well at BU.

Based on the recent performance of the Hounds at AU, I would be very concerned on Sunday. That said, they have played well on the hill.... I could see a close nail biter, but then, if the Hounds play their better/best game, they could win by 5-7.

Hopefully loyola is not looking past to Navy/Princeton as BU is eager for a big win and the Hounds would be that.
Didn't see 21-7...that was a surprise

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Re: 2019 Patriot League

Post by Nigel » Fri Apr 05, 2019 12:55 am

League play hits the midpoint this weekend with a showdown for first place as Navy visits Loyola. Both teams are 4-0 and one could argue that this game will determine which team gets to host the league semis and final. Both teams score like gangbusters against their league sisters but this game logically should be lower scoring, but not by much. Last year Navy won the league final (at Loyola) and the NCAA match-up (at Loyola) while Loyola won the league-play game (at Navy).

Lehigh heads up to Hamilton, NY for their game with Colgate. At 0-4 in league play Lehigh is on life support. Colgate had Bucknell on the ropes last week early in the 2H, got sloppy, but held on thanks to a last second crossbar. The Raiders need to do a better job limiting TOs, earning FP shots, and taking advantage of their MU opportunities to get another win.

BU looks to bounce back after their tough trip to Loyola. Its a home game vs American and a win for the Terriers puts them in line for the playoffs. American is on a 2 game slide and losing a fourth league game would hurt bigly.

Holy Cross hosts Bucknell and HC is in the same boat as American. A loss here, with both BU and Loyola on their remaining schedule, spells trouble. Bucknell opened strong last week against Colgate, went scoreless for 25+ minutes and then woke up to almost snatch the victory. They'll need continued strong GK play, urgency, but also no lapses on O.

Army now has two nice wins after their unexpected loss to American. Next up is Lafayette, at West Point. They can't look past this game (Navy game after that) or Lafayette could surprise them. The Leopards are in that 1-3 boat so they should be motivated to up their game. Last year was a 1-goal loss to the Black Knights - another reason to get motivated. Army is looking to maintain their pace to secure a playoff spot; Lafayette is looking to get back in the conversation.

Saturday weather looks decent to good. PLN streaming for all games with NESN TV up in MA.
If we need that extra push over the cliff, ya know what we do...eleven, exactly.

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Re: 2019 Patriot League

Post by Dr. Tact » Sat Apr 06, 2019 5:27 pm

Nigel wrote:
Fri Apr 05, 2019 12:55 am
League play hits the midpoint this weekend with a showdown for first place as Navy visits Loyola. Both teams are 4-0 and one could argue that this game will determine which team gets to host the league semis and final. Both teams score like gangbusters against their league sisters but this game logically should be lower scoring, but not by much. Last year Navy won the league final (at Loyola) and the NCAA match-up (at Loyola) while Loyola won the league-play game (at Navy).

Took the red eye from PDX to see this one....wasnt disappointed. Beautiful warm day at RAC.

16-6 Final to the Hounds with running clock most of the last 23 minutes.....didn't see that coming :o :roll: Near perfect game from Loyola and Navy just happened to be there to watch it. Big test for Loyola (OOC) against Princeton on Wed in NJ.

Larkin was limited to 2G by the stopping D performance by Earnhardt.

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Re: 2019 Patriot League

Post by wlaxnut » Sat Apr 13, 2019 10:26 pm

wlaxnut wrote:
Sun Mar 03, 2019 7:36 am
I loved Jenna and Julia Collins for Navy. They were very special players.
https://youtu.be/vfKDHotVfXE

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Re: 2019 Patriot League

Post by Nigel » Sat Apr 13, 2019 11:57 pm

wlaxnut wrote:
Sat Apr 13, 2019 10:26 pm
wlaxnut wrote:
Sun Mar 03, 2019 7:36 am
I loved Jenna and Julia Collins for Navy. They were very special players.
https://youtu.be/vfKDHotVfXE
Yeah, they were great. Glad to see them graduate. :D


Three one-sided games today that pretty much played out as expected (Navy over Army, Loyola over Lafayette, & BU over Bucknell).

Colgate pulled away from American in the 2H to move into a stronger league playoff position. Not a very pretty game today in that one as the ball was bouncing around on the turf a fair amount and neither team was particularly crisp on offense. American led in most of the stats but the Raiders had balanced scoring and controlled the draw more in each half.

Lehigh secured their first league win and put a dent in the Holy Cross playoff picture. The Hawks went down early but held the lead at half and pulled away steadily thru the 2H. Decent advantage on draws to Lehigh and #18 S.Dickey threw in 5G to lead the way. The win should supercharge Lehigh's push to be part of the playoff conversation.

Next up a full slate of games on Wednesday.
If we need that extra push over the cliff, ya know what we do...eleven, exactly.

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Dr. Tact
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Re: 2019 Patriot League

Post by Dr. Tact » Mon Apr 15, 2019 5:53 pm

Nigel:

What's your seeding on the Championship right now? Beyond 1,2 and 3, I dont have a clue...Can colgate get #3?

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Re: 2019 Patriot League

Post by Nigel » Wed Apr 17, 2019 1:27 am

Dr. Tact wrote:
Mon Apr 15, 2019 5:53 pm
Nigel:

What's your seeding on the Championship right now? Beyond 1,2 and 3, I dont have a clue...Can colgate get #3?

My crystal ball is still a bit murky but has it this way,

1 Loyola (Host)
2 Navy
3 Boston

Loyola's toughest remaining game is Colgate and probably not gonna be too close.
Navy and BU should battle it out in the last week for the #2 spot. Navy won't stumble in their two games before that but BU could slip up against Army but doubtful. BU will host Navy, which may factor in, but they'd need to play a great game as well and Navy would have to play poorly. Chances slim, so I'd wager Navy takes spot #2. Loyola goes 9-0, Navy 8-1, BU 7-2.

4 Colgate or Army
5 Colgate or Army

Colgate Army trow could go either way. If Colgate wins they'll get #4 and should end 6-3. If they lose they'll probably end 5-4 but lose the tiebreak to Army, who should also end 5-4. That would put Army at #4 and Colgate at #5. Colgate is in playoffs trow even with a loss, assuming two losses on Wed from group of Bucknell, Holy Cross or Lafayette. Good chance those latter three lose so advantage Colgate. Army likely to get in if they end 3-6 unless Bucknell's tiebreak with them comes into play.

6 Lehigh

Holy Cross is in real trouble at 2-4 with both BU and Loyola left on schedule. See them ending at 3-6. And out.
Bucknell is in only slightly better shape at 2-4 (Loyola left) but they'd need to win over Lehigh and Army to get to 4-5. Doubtful on all, 2-7.
American 1-5 has to run table but won't (Navy) and good chance they end 1-8. Best is 3-6 if they could beat HC and Lehigh. Maybe HC, not Lehigh.
Lafayette 1-5 could win 2 of last 3 but better chance of losing all 3. They still have Navy so best case is 3-6. 100% need to beat Lehigh.
Lehigh is my call for #6. Sure they sit at 1-5 but with three winnable games they should get to 4-5. They saved their season last week and gained the tiebreak over HC if they both finish 3-6. They don't have any tiebreaks with Colgate and Army however.
If we need that extra push over the cliff, ya know what we do...eleven, exactly.

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