LaxPower Back-Up Stick

If UVA loses to ND next week, and again in the first round of the ACC tournament, are they in danger of missing the NCAAs? Finishing with four straight losses and only one top 10 win (MD) is not a good look. I'm not sure how the committee would feel about their recent poor results, but keeping ever...

Right now is one of the (many) times I miss Sore and Old from the old Laxpower days. He'd respond to this with a detailed response to include: - the order of the current top 6, including their current record. - this Saturday's final opponent, including their record, for each of the top 6. - a break...

I've always done a simulation of the DI MLAX and DI WLAX fields, but I'm trying out the approach on the DIII field. But I assume that the DIII selection process works differently than in DI. My main questions/assumptions are: 1) RPI and your record against the various RPI buckets are king in DI. Is ...

I am not sure anyone is questioning Duke's tournament resume. I think it is more people questioning, if they are a legit contender. Right now they seem to be outside that first cut (ND and UVa). Lot of it that offense that is more Club team, than college offense. They need someone to run the offens...

I've been surprised at the degree to which people think Duke MLAX does not have a strong tournament resume. UVA is now the second, but for weeks, Duke was the only lock for the tournament. I think it would be helpful for me to lay out why the model thinks that. First, Duke has the best set of wins o...

How many Ivys get in?? I think the Ivy tourney is a 4 team championship. Penn and Yale are locks. Princeton, Brown, Harvard, Cornell and Dartmouth battling for 2 spots. That may be the most interesting conference this year, drama for most every game going forward. Get out the popcorn! Agreed - last...

Looks like last night's game has pushed JHU into the "Work-to-Do" category and given life to Nova's at-large chances

Here's where we stand in the race for the "best resume" through this weekend's DI MLAX games. These are the Strength-of-Record ratings which are measuring the quality of everyone's wins and losses. 1. Duke 2. Maryland 3. Harvard 4. Denver 5. Army 6. Johns Hopkins 7. Penn State 8. Virginia ...

This was originally published in the this morning's edition of Expected Goals, my daily newsletter. In a thriller, Army earned a nail-biting 14-13 overtime victory against Syracuse , continuing their unbeaten streak and pushing their record to an impressive 4-0. Despite entering the game slightly f...

This was originally published in the Thu Feb 29, 2024 edition of Expected Goals, my daily newsletter. In a game that was anticipated to be competitive, Franklin & Marshall managed to assert control, culminating in a 14-10 triumph over York. This victory not only improved their season record to ...

This was originally published in the Fri Jan 19, 2024 edition of Expected Goals, my daily newsletter. As the new season approaches, the Syracuse roster is a blend of seasoned veterans and promising new talent. With a history of success, the paramount question is whether this year's lineup will cont...

This was originally published in the Mon Jan 8, 2024 edition of Expected Goals, my daily newsletter. As we pore over the Hofstra Pride's roster for the upcoming 2024 season, the watchword is youth. With a significant number of new players stepping onto the field, the Pride's success will hinge on h...

This was originally published in the Tue Jan 9, 2024 edition of Expected Goals, my daily newsletter. As the new season dawns, Ohio Northern has put out a roster that bodes well for the continuation of their solid performance from the previous year. With the entire team coming back, save for a few d...

This was originally published in the Fri Jan 12, 2024 edition of Expected Goals, my daily newsletter. As the new lacrosse season approaches, we are spending some time going through each team's roster. Today, it's Johns Hopkins ' turn under the microscope. The Blue Jays' roster suggests they are wel...

This was originally published in the Fri Jan 12, 2024 edition of Expected Goals, my daily newsletter. As the new lacrosse season approaches, we are spending some time going through each team's roster. Today, it's Johns Hopkins ' turn under the microscope. The Blue Jays' roster suggests they are wel...

This was originally published in the Thu Jan 4, 2024 edition of Expected Goals, my daily newsletter. As the Princeton Tigers gear up for the 2024 season, the roster reflects both the promise of new talent and the challenge of filling the gaps left by departing players. With 49 athletes ready to don...

This was originally published in the Tue Jan 2, 2024 edition of Expected Goals, my daily newsletter. The most dramatic shift for Sweet Briar occurred within their defense, which had a tough 2023. Their defensive efficiency plummeted from a rate of 29.3% in 2022, ranking 132nd nationally, to a troub...

This was originally published in the Sat Jan 13, 2024 edition of Expected Goals, my daily newsletter. As we turn our attention to the Utica roster for the upcoming 2024 season, there are noticeable shifts and a sense of transition that could either lead to a surprising upturn or another challenging...

This was originally published in the Tue Jan 9, 2024 edition of Expected Goals, my daily newsletter. Bentley's team is gearing up for what appears to be one of the most formidable schedules in the country. The 2024 lineup, while mirroring last year's in overall difficulty, presents fresh challenges...

This was originally published in the Tue Jan 2, 2024 edition of Expected Goals, my daily newsletter. Clemson's defense in 2023 made quite an impression with its performance, nestling comfortably in the 90th percentile for overall defensive efficiency even after adjusting for opponent strength. This...